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Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen

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CHFJPY trade ideas

CHFJPY in a Clear Bearish TrendCHFJPY in a Clear Bearish Trend Since November 20, 2024, CHFJPY has begun a clear bearish wave, dropping nearly 700 pips in just two weeks. Last week, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reported higher inflation data. With this increase in inflation, it is likely that the BOJ will keep its promise to hike rates on December 19th. In simple terms, the market is anticipating a rate hike from the BOJ at this meeting, which is why JPY continues to strengthen. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
CHFJPY1-Seasonality: In Seasonals we can observe the CHFJPY pair remains Bullish. 2-Fundamentals(Exogenous Factors): Real GDP, IR Differential, BOP Relative, Stock Relative all are mix to Decreasing 3-Fundamentals(Endogenous Factors): for JPY factors are Increasing and CHF endogenous factors are mix to increasing. 4-Forex Conditional Scoring: Data is mix or mix to decreasing for both CHF & JPY 5-Global LEI & GDP: is overall increasing Overall as we can say JPY index is in Buy and CHF index in sell, so we can expect increasing trend in CHFJPY.
Long
by mhamzasaeedm
CHFJPY - Short IdeaThe exogenous and endogenous factors are decreasing for the pair CHFJPY. However, CHFJPY's leading economic indicators are increasing. COT report RSI also shows that net positions are decreasing for CHF and net positions are increasing for JPY. Interest rate differential is also negative for the pair CHFJPY as IR for CHF decreases and increases for JPY. Technically CHFPY is in a bearish trend making HHs and HLs and currently, it is at a strong Daily Support level. Wait for the retracement to fib 0.382 or 0.5 level to enter the trade. Place the stop loss on the previous LH.
Short
by MasoodAnsari
CHFJPY Short IdeaCHFJPY Short Idea COT Report - Non Commercials are reducing there position in CHF, showing weakness in CHF. - Non Commercials started taking long positions in JPY, showing strength in JPY. Endogenous Factors - JPY score after all indicators is +3 and +4 for last two months - CHF score after all indicators is -2 and -1 for last two months - JPY looks stronger and CHF weaker in Leading Economic Indicators Exogenous Factors - JPY Interest Rates and Real GDP are getting stronger. - CHF Interest Rates and Real GDP are getting weaker. Seasonality - December is usually a bullish month for CHFJPY, but this time exogenous and endogenous factors, the fundamentals of both currencies, are not looking in favor of the seasonality. News Catalyst Expecting a negative or equal to last month CPI data for CHF releasing on Tuesday. This may keep the trend of CHF JPY bearish for next few days as well. Trade Plan Place a Sell Limit near Order block or between 32%-50% retracement on h4, expecting it to be triggered before or at CPI news release. SL is above h4 recent swing high.
Short
by EminantRise
CHFJPY - YEN RETRACEMENT OVER?The fib .618 gives the Yen a very strong support looking at the daily Index chart for Japanese Yen. Yen has been ranging within the last 2 weeks sitting right on top of the fib.618 level but yesterday broke out of range with that long green elephant bar. A break below 172.6 level could see this pair drop harder as it has failed to reach previous high and presently consolidating. A near perfect Broadening wedge formation somewhat indicating a reversal is looming after a long bullish trend. Usually in this case if current swing fails to reach previous high or break above it, we anticipate price to drop hard targeting Price objective for Broadening Wedge formation (160.80). Looking out for potential SHORT scalps on this pair on the break of 172.60 level targeting next support (W1) of 169.25. A break & close above resistance will nullify analysis.
Short
by GhosTrader_GT
CHF/JPY continues the downtrendOn CHF/JPY , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 171.540 and 172.500. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. Support from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
CHFJPY forecast On technicals, The price reacted to the bearish cypher pattern and started dropping, breaking the support level with a strong candle. It seems likely to continue its decline toward the 166 level. Right now, we’re waiting for a retest of the broken 172 support, which could be a good entry point. On the fundamental side, Swiss GDP dropped by 0.4% in the third quarter, as expected, while The yearly tokyo core CPI rose to 2.2% from 1.8%, beating the forecast of 2.0%. This supports the yen’s strength against the CHF.
Short
by Justfxtrades
CHF/JPY Analysis The pair has shown some bearish momentum, reaching a zone of interest for potential reactions. While a short-term bounce is possible due to oversold conditions and the proximity to a key weak low, the risk here is not negligible. Market dynamics suggest this could be a countertrend move, so it's vital to manage risk carefully. Key Observations: Weak low interaction: The price is sitting near a potential liquidity zone, making a reaction plausible. Risk Note: Larger trends still lean bearish; any bounce may face resistance. Always prioritize risk management and trade responsibly!
Long
by Charts_M7M