CHFJPY trade ideas
CHFJPY: Bears Will Push Lower
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the CHFJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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CHFJPY MAY 2024 WEEK 3 OUTLOOK -
Daily - bullish. looks clean to the upside. but, we have had 6 consecutive long days on this, so a day or two of trading in range will be good for a sustained move upwards.
Origin - as long as price holds above the zone **171.913 - 171.497**, we are bullish. if price breaks down, then I will look for buyers to step in around last week's AVWAP. price can just trade in range for a day and then shoot up from there.
CHF/JPY Weakens, Sell At This LevelSell positions are entered when a valid Daily rejection is formed and confirmed on the H4 timeframe when testing the supply area of 171.33-172.29.
The selling opportunity this time will capitalize on the potential weakening of prices when testing the supply area. For further clarity, please refer to the explanation below.
CHF/JPY Daily
Level: Supply 171.33-172.29
On the Daily chart, there is a potential selling area in the supply zone of 171.33-172.29. Sell positions await the price to test the supply area and form a valid rejection in the form of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern or pin bar (with a long upper shadow).
CHF/JPY H4
Signal: Daily Rejection Followed by H4 Candlestick Confirmation
For a sell entry, the signals used include 2 stages:
Formation of a valid Daily rejection in the form of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern or pin bar (with a long upper shadow) when the price tests the supply level of 171.33-172.29.
Wait for a pullback first, then take a sell position using confirmation from candlestick patterns on the H4 timeframe such as bearish engulfing, pin bar (with a long upper shadow), or bearish inside bar.
CHF/JPY Entry Opportunity
From the above description, it can be concluded for the entry opportunity with the following plan:
Position : Sell
Level : Supply 171.33-172.29
Signal : Daily Rejection followed by H4 candlestick confirmation
Attention:
Entry only when confirmation has been formed.
Always use good money management (1-2% risk per transaction).
If a sell position has been taken and the price has not yet reached the SL or TP, close the position as soon as possible (emergency exit) if the price forms a candlestick reversal pattern (bullish engulfing, pin bar with a long lower shadow, or bullish inside bar) on the Daily timeframe.
Hopefully, this analysis helps readers to observe price movements and make transaction decisions.