chfjpy is bearish the pair is trying to reach to its support after failing to break trendline and now is heading south temporarily
cup and handle pattern is already made and we are waiting for the result
CHFJPY trade ideas
CHFJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 167.74
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 166.88
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHF/JPY short.: Safety first. Agent Chaos strikes again.Hello traders.
This is my first trade since last week.
Trump is ripping through the markets like a tornado.
First, the made for TV moment of dressing down Zelensky in the White House. We all know, the meeting just prior to that behind closed doors must have been a screaming match because he did not get his way. I'm surprised he did not yell at Zelensky, "You're Fired"! :))
The UK, France and other European leaders picked up the baton in this frightening battle of egos to prevent World War 3. The Euro responded as expected but retreated from the familiar 1.05 level.
Today, new tariffs are announced-again. The stock market responded with all three major indices shedding significant value.
Tomorrow night, Trump's address to Congress. What is going to transpire in that speech is well known ahead of time: inflation, immigration, America First, tariffs, that ungrateful Zelensky blah blah blah
However, it is the unknown that he may come up with that gave me pause to reassess risk appetite. I am not opposed to the USA demanding fair trade but why bother with the pretense of trade agreements?
Folks, it is not looking great. He took crypto on a wild ride with his "reserve" announcement. Bitcoin ripped higher from $78K to 94 and back to 82 in no time.
Gold is turning up.
The VIX was up to 24 today from a sedate average of 14 since the FOMC December 2024 rate announcement when it spiked up to 29.
I was still considering trading my favorite instrument EUR/USD(be careful) until I searched for an answer as to how legal the tariffs are under the USMCA (Old NAFTA) trade agreement and found this article.
cepr.org
I encourage you to read the whole article. The take away for me is that the use of the 1977 USA International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) as a pretext(think fentanyl) to raise tariffs on Mexico and Canada, is not only diabolically devious(good job Peter Navarro), there is not much point for any organization or individual in the US to challenge it in court.
China has already filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization during February although the foregone conclusion is that even if they prevail, the US will appeal and a whole lot of nothing will happen.
There is the ongoing opinion that Trump is using all these tariffs as bargaining tools but when one considers his outburst with Zelensky, supporting Putin in public, risking WWIII and then apply that reckless mindset to trade, I am truly terrified of the global economic pain that may follow.
I have shorted the CHF/JPY since these are the safest global currencies.
The fundamentals are simple. The SNB cut rates by 50 bps in December 2024, will meet on March 19th but will probably stay put.
The BOJ is on a different path. They are raising rates. So while both currencies are at 0.50%, the JPY seems to be the clear winner, also because of the size of it's economy and no clear threats of more tariffs-yet.
The pair is below the 100 W MA and has a long way to trend down. This could be a great set and forget trade.
This is risk off environment and I wish everyone the best.
CHF/JPY "Swissy vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (168.100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (166.000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 170.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 172.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟢Fundamental Analysis
Swiss Economic Growth: Switzerland's economic growth has remained steady at 1.5% in the last quarter, driven by the country's strong financial sector.
Japanese Economic Growth: Japan's economic growth has slowed down to 0.3% in the last quarter, due to the ongoing trade tensions and weak domestic demand.
Interest Rate Differential: The interest rate differential between Switzerland and Japan has widened, with Switzerland's interest rate at -0.75% and Japan's interest rate at -0.1%.
⚪Macro Economics
Inflation Rate: Switzerland's inflation rate has remained steady at 0.5% in the last month, while Japan's inflation rate has decreased to 0.3%.
Unemployment Rate: Switzerland's unemployment rate has remained steady at 2.3%, while Japan's unemployment rate has decreased to 2.2%.
Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the CHF/JPY market.
🟡Global Market Analysis
Forex Market: The global forex market has experienced a moderate decrease in volatility, with the CHF/JPY pair experiencing a 0.8% increase in the last 24 hours.
Commodity Market: The global commodity market has experienced a moderate decrease, with oil prices decreasing by 1.0% in the last 24 hours.
Stock Market: The global stock market has experienced a moderate increase, with the Nikkei 225 index increasing by 0.8% in the last 24 hours.
🟠COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercials): 60,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions.
Hedgers (Commercials): 40,000 long positions and 60,000 short positions.
🔴Intermarket Analysis
Correlation with USD: CHF/JPY has a negative correlation with USD/JPY, indicating that a weak dollar could boost CHF/JPY prices.
Correlation with Stocks: CHF/JPY has a low correlation with stocks, indicating that CHF/JPY could be a good hedge against stock market volatility.
🟣Quantitative Analysis
Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is at 164.500, and the 200-day moving average is at 162.000.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 55, indicating a neutral market sentiment.
🔵Market Sentiment Analysis
The overall sentiment for CHF/JPY is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions.
52% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Positioning
The long/short ratio for CHF/JPY is currently 1.2.
The open interest for CHF/JPY is approximately 150,000 contracts.
🟤Next Trend Move
Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting 170.000 and 172.500, due to the interest rate differential and the weak yen.
Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting 163.000 and 160.000, due to the ongoing trade tensions and the strong franc.
⚫Overall Summary Outlook
The overall outlook for CHF/JPY is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions.
The market is expected to experience a moderate fluctuation, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting 170.000 and 172.500.
🔴Real-Time Market Feed
As of the current time, CHF/JPY is trading at 167.100, with a 0.8% increase in the last 24 hours.
🟢Future Prediction
Short-Term: Bullish: 168.000-170.000, Bearish: 165.000-163.000
Medium-Term: Bullish: 172.500-175.000, Bearish: 160.000-155.000
Long-Term: Bullish: 180.000-185.000, Bearish: 150.000-145.000
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
CHFJPY from an Elliott Wave perspectiveA very strong move to the upside is inbound after completion of Wave B of the zigzag. This would be at exactly the 100% Fib. Retracement meaning it would be the end of the correction and resumption of Red Wave B also Green Wave C. This Wave must be a clear 3 Wave move to the upside.
CHFJPY BuyWhy the Swiss Franc (CHF) is a Strong Buy Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Global instability is driving investors toward safe-haven assets, and the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a top choice. Here’s why:
🔹 European Security Concerns – Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions are unsettling European markets, increasing demand for CHF.
🔹 Middle East Instability – Conflicts like the Israel-Hamas war are disrupting global supply chains, pushing investors toward safer assets.
🔹 Rising Global Conflicts – The escalation of wars and potential new conflicts add to economic uncertainty, making CHF more attractive.
🔹 Economic Implications – Inflationary pressures and trade disruptions are reinforcing deglobalization, making investors seek stability.
🔹 Swiss Franc’s Safe-Haven Status – Switzerland’s economic stability and neutral stance make CHF a hedge against global risks.
💡 Conclusion: With rising geopolitical uncertainty, CHF remains a strong buy for investors looking to protect capital.
#Forex #SafeHaven #CHF #Geopolitics #Trading
CHF/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 165.981 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
CHFJPY BUY until 168.40Hello guys,
Another trade to open. CHFJPY BUY until quote 168.40.
It has a risk/reward of 1:2. It.s not much but it's ok. You can see the support of the red area. I know we are in a downtrend at 4 hour chart but look at the daily chart which is a strong upward direction.
You can see the daily chart here :
So, let's hope to go with an upward correction at 4 hour chart.
What is your opinion ?
CHFJPY - Bearish Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge marked in red and it is currently in a correction phase approaching the upper bound.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHF/JPY - Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment📉 Bearish Bias
✅ Moving Averages (50MA & 200MA) - Price is below key MAs, signaling a downtrend. (+2)
✅ Daily Trendline Resistance - Price remains below the descending trendline. (+2)
✅ 4HR Support Holding - Weak price movement near support, indicating possible breakdown. (+1)
✅ Momentum Weakness - Lack of strong bullish candles suggests sellers are in control. (+1)
🔻 Total Bearish Score: 6
📰 Sources:
Trendline & Price Action - XTB
Moving Averages & Weak Momentum - IFC Markets
📈 Bullish Bias
✅ Breakout Potential - If price breaks the trendline, it may follow the weekly trendline upwards. (+2)
✅ 4HR Support Zone - Buyers defending the 165.550 level, keeping price stable. (+1)
🔹 Total Bullish Score: 3
📰 Sources:
Breakout & Weekly Trendline - RoboForex
📊 Sentiment & Market Factors
📉 BOJ Hawkish Outlook (- Bearish) - Bank of Japan signals potential rate hikes, strengthening JPY. Source
📈 Swiss Economic Stability (+ Bullish) - CHF remains supported due to safe-haven demand. Source
📉 Risk-Off Sentiment (- Bearish) - Global uncertainty driving investors into JPY as a safe-haven. Source
📌 Final Bias: Strong Bearish (Score: 6 vs 3)
📢 💡 Trade Idea: Look for Sell Setups on a confirmed breakout and retest of support.
My CHFJAP new Short Idea 26/2/2025My bias remains the same with CHFJPY I just saw that there was a Rising Wedge on 4h so I took a new short.
CHFJPY POSSIBLE BUY?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
CHFJPYCHFJPY price is in the consolidation phase. Currently, the price is near the support zone of 166.27-166.03. If the price cannot break through the 166.03 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
CHFJPY POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE!CHFJPY currently break down of traingle and trade and down side of traingle now market will going to retest this traingle resistance and make any candle that show bearish momentum and break thier low so we will see downward market will going.
Remember! The result of your past trades, whether they were winning or losing ones, shouldn’t affect how you handle your next positions.
CHFJPY is BullishPrice was in a downtrend, however now it seems that bulls are trying to assume control of the price action as bullish divergence has emerged on both hourly and four hourly time frames. If previous lower high is broken successfully then we can expect a bullish rally as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (169.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 3H timeframe (167.500) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 171.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 174.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Japanese" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟡Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors driving CHF/JPY stem from the Swiss and Japanese economies, central bank policies, and safe-haven dynamics.
╰┈➤Interest Rates:
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Rates likely at 0.75-1% in Feb 2025, down from 1.25% in 2024, reflecting global easing. Negative real yields (e.g., -1.5% with 2.5% inflation) bolster CHF’s safe-haven status.
Bank of Japan (BoJ): Rates at 0.25-0.5%, a cautious hike from near-zero, but still a funding currency. Yield differential favors CHF slightly.
Impact: Mildly bullish for CHF/JPY, as CHF retains a yield edge.
╰┈➤Inflation:
Switzerland: Inflation at 2-2.5%, above SNB’s 0-2% target, prompting potential currency strength to curb import costs.
Japan: Inflation at 2.5%, high for Japan, but BoJ tolerance limits JPY gains.
Impact: Neutral to bullish, favoring CHF resilience.
╰┈➤Economic Growth:
Switzerland: GDP growth ~1.2% (2025 estimate), steady due to banking and pharma sectors, despite Eurozone slowdown.
Japan: GDP ~1%, export-driven (e.g., U.S. tariff diversion), but domestic weakness persists.
Impact: Mildly bullish, CHF edges out JPY in stability.
╰┈➤Safe-Haven Flows:
Both CHF and JPY are safe-havens, but CHF benefits more from European risks (e.g., Eurozone PMI at 46.2, Feb 2025) vs. JPY’s Asia-centric exposure.
Impact: Bullish for CHF/JPY in risk-off scenarios.
╰┈➤Trade Balance:
Switzerland: Surplus ~CHF 4B monthly, driven by exports (watches, pharma).
Japan: Surplus ~¥1.5T, but vulnerable to U.S. tariffs.
Impact: Neutral, both currencies supported.
🟠Macroeconomic Factors
A U.S.-focused lens with global context:
╰┈➤U.S. Influence: Fed rates at 3-3.5%, DXY ~100. A softening USD aids CHF/JPY upside, though Trump tariffs complicate flows.
╰┈➤Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China at 4.5% (slowing) and Eurozone at 1.2%. Risk-off favors CHF over JPY.
╰┈➤Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 (FXStreet) pressures Japan’s import costs, mildly weakening JPY.
╰┈➤Swiss-Specific: SNB may intervene if CHF/JPY surges past 170, capping gains.
╰┈➤Japan-Specific: BoJ’s yen tolerance limits JPY strength unless intervention occurs.
🟤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME):
╰┈➤Large Speculators: Net long CHF (30,000 contracts), net short JPY (150,000), suggesting CHF strength vs. JPY weakness.
╰┈➤Commercial Hedgers: Net short CHF (40,000), net long JPY (100,000)—exporters hedge JPY strength.
╰┈➤Open Interest: ~90,000 contracts (CHF/JPY futures), rising, indicating U.S. trader interest.
╰┈➤Key Insight: Speculative CHF longs signal bullish CHF/JPY bias, JPY shorts reinforce this.
🔴Market Sentiment Analysis
Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders:
╰┈➤Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 65% long CHF/JPY at 167.000 (hypothetical broker data), expecting safe-haven CHF gains. Contrarian risk if shorts pile in.
╰┈➤Institutional Traders: U.S./European funds (e.g., UBS, per Dec 2024) favor CHF (USD/CHF to 0.84 by 2025), neutral on JPY (USD/JPY to 145). Bullish CHF/JPY sentiment persists.
╰┈➤Corporate Traders: Swiss exporters hedge at 168-170; Japanese firms lock in JPY at 165-167, neutral stance.
╰┈➤Social Media: Trending bearish JPY setups, CHF favored in risk-off chatter.
╰┈➤Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~60% long—mild overcrowding.
🟣Positioning Analysis
╰┈➤Speculative: U.S. longs target 170, shorts eye 165.
╰┈➤Retail Crowding: Longs at 167.500-168.000 risk a flush.
╰┈➤Institutional: Balanced, leaning bullish on CHF strength.
╰┈➤Corporate: Hedging stabilizes near-term moves.
🟢Overall Summary Outlook
CHF/JPY at 167.000 reflects CHF’s safe-haven edge over JPY amid U.S. tariff risks and global slowdown fears. Fundamentals (rates, inflation) and macro trends (risk-off, USD softening) favor CHF, backed by COT’s bullish CHF tilt. Sentiment (retail/institutional longs) and quant signals (price above SMAs) support upside, though SNB intervention looms. Short-term bullish to 168.50-170.00, medium-term range-bound with a bullish bias.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
CHFJPY: Pullback From Support 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY looks bullish after a test of a key horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I identified a double bottom pattern
on an hourly.
Its neckline was violated with the market opening today.
I believe that the pair will continue rising at least to 167.0 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
potential trend reversal / buy on chfjpyTREND REVERSAL
double bottom
ChfJPY has been falling for a while now; its currently at a major support on Hourly and daily timeframe and it might be a chance for a reversal
CHF/JPYOn Daily chart,
in the past 20 days, there have been multiple atempt to break the 166.00 Psychological Support/Resistant and it failed. ther is a great chance to pull back from Bearish move and price is over extended from EMAs.
On 1H chart,
It seems the price is setteling down and getting ready for reversal to 167.500 area.
CHFJPY 1W IdeaPotential for a bearish pullback on the CHHJPY which could lead to a price movement towards the support level at 159.000. SELL zone from 167.500
