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SWISS FRANC / NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR

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CHFNZD trade ideas

Bullish rise?NZD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.50307 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.50055 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.5093 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.50612 1st Support: 0.50042 1st Resistance: 0.51128 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/CHF - clear breakout for a potential bearish momentum!Hi guys we would be looking into NZD/CHF today. Current Trend: Bearish 📉 NZD/CHF is showing signs of continued downside momentum, with price action indicating a weakening New Zealand Dollar against the Swiss Franc. The pair is trading below key moving averages, confirming a bearish bias. Key Technical Indicators: Resistance Levels: 0.5250, 0.5300 Support Levels: 0.5180, 0.5150 50 & 200 EMA: Price is trading below both, reinforcing a bearish trend. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Below 50, signaling bearish momentum. MACD: Bearish crossover, indicating downside continuation. Trade Setup: Entry: Sell below 0.51480 Take Profit: 0.50800 (extended target) Stop Loss: 0.5270 (above recent resistance) Market Sentiment & Fundamentals: Risk-off sentiment supports CHF strength. NZD weakness driven by softer economic outlook and lower commodity prices. Swiss Franc benefits from safe-haven demand. 💡 Conclusion: The bearish trend remains intact, and selling on retracements near resistance zones could offer good risk-reward opportunities. Keep an eye on global risk sentiment for additional confirmation. 🚨
Short
by DG55Capital
2
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.5109 1st Support: 0.5061 1st Resistance: 0.5136 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗GBP/JPY "The Beast" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.50100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.50700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.49400 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors. 🔰Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis examines the economic indicators of New Zealand and Switzerland, which directly influence the NZD/CHF pair. 🔰New Zealand Economic Indicators: GDP growth is forecasted at around 1-2% for 2025, reflecting a moderate recovery New Zealand GDP Growth Forecast. Recent data shows a contraction of 1% in Q3 2024, indicating challenges Monthly Economic Review. Inflation rate is stable at 2.2% as of the latest data, within the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) target range New Zealand Inflation Rate. Interest rates are around 3.75-4%, with recent cuts signaling a dovish stance to support the economy New Zealand Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at NZD 219 million surplus in December 2024, but annual trends indicate ongoing deficits New Zealand Balance of Trade. Major exports include dairy products, meat, logs, and wood, while imports are dominated by petroleum and machinery, making NZD sensitive to commodity price fluctuations. 🔰Switzerland Economic Indicators: GDP growth is projected at 1.3-1.5% for 2025, with a recent quarterly expansion of 0.4% in Q3 2024 Switzerland GDP Growth Rate. Inflation is forecasted at 1.1-1.4% for 2025, currently at 0.4% in January 2025, reflecting low inflationary pressure Switzerland Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 0.50%, with potential for further cuts, as indicated by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Switzerland Interest Rate. Switzerland maintains a trade surplus, with January 2025 surplus at CHF 4029.15 million, driven by exports like pharmaceuticals and watches Switzerland Balance of Trade. The interest rate differential, with New Zealand's rates higher, could attract capital to NZD, but Switzerland's stable economy and surplus may support CHF. 🔰Macroeconomics Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair: New Zealand's economy is commodity-driven, with dairy and meat exports critical. Recent declines in commodity prices, forecasted at 5% in 2025 Commodity Forecast, could weaken NZD. Switzerland's economy, with a strong financial sector and safe-haven status, benefits from global uncertainty, potentially strengthening CHF during risk-off periods. Both countries face global trade dynamics, with New Zealand's deficit and Switzerland's surplus affecting currency valuation. 🔰Global Market Analysis Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements: Global GDP growth is projected at 3.3% for 2025, according to the IMF, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook. Commodity prices are expected to decline, negatively impacting NZD due to New Zealand's export reliance Commodity Markets Outlook. Stock markets show mixed performance, with international stocks outperforming U.S. markets in early 2025, potentially affecting risk-sensitive currencies like NZD Global Stock Market Performance. Bond yields are stable, with U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, influencing global currency flows Global Economic Outlook. 🔰COT Data and Positioning COT data provides insights into large trader positions, though direct NZD/CHF data is limited, requiring analysis of NZD/USD and USD/CHF: For NZD/USD, non-commercial traders are assumed net long, suggesting bullish sentiment on NZD NZD COT Data. For USD/CHF, net short positioning (long CHF) indicates bearish USD sentiment, supporting CHF CHF COT Data. Positioning suggests a complex dynamic, with NZD strengthening against USD but CHF also gaining, potentially leading to downward pressure on NZD/CHF if CHF strengthens more. Trader sentiment, with 91% long positions recently, contrasts with price movements, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF. 🔰Intermarket Analysis Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation: NZD is highly correlated with commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat. With a forecasted 5% decline in 2025, NZD faces downward pressure Commodity Price Forecast. CHF, as a safe-haven currency, strengthens during global risk-off periods, with recent stock market volatility supporting its value Global Market Outlook. Bond yields and equity market performance suggest CHF may benefit from risk aversion, while NZD suffers from commodity weakness. 🔰Quantitative Analysis Technical analysis provides insights into price trends: At 0.50300, NZD/CHF is below key moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day), indicating a downtrend NZD CHF Technical Analysis. RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggests potential oversold conditions, with values around 30, hinting at possible reversals, but current momentum leans bearish TradingView Analysis. Support levels are near 0.5000, with resistance at 0.5100, based on recent charts NZD/CHF Technical Analyses. 🔰Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations: Recent data shows 91% of traders long on NZD/CHF, with an average price of 0.5250, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF. COT data and retail sentiment suggest mixed views, with institutional traders showing caution, potentially aligning with bearish technical signals. 🔰Next Trend Move and Overall Outlook Combining all factors, the next trend move for NZD/CHF is likely downward: Declining commodity prices and New Zealand's trade deficit weigh on NZD. CHF's safe-haven status and lower interest rates support its strength, especially in uncertain global conditions. Technical indicators and sentiment align with a bearish outlook, with the pair expected to test lower support levels. The overall summary outlook is bearish, with NZD/CHF likely to decline further in 2025, though higher New Zealand interest rates provide some counterbalance. Real-time market feeds up to March 4, 2025, confirm this trend, with future predictions leaning toward continued bearish movement. 🔰Table: Summary of Key Economic Indicators Indicator New Zealand (2025 Forecast) Switzerland (2025 Forecast) GDP Growth 1-2% 1.3-1.5% Inflation Rate 2.2% 1.1-1.4% Interest Rate 3.75-4% 0.5% (potential cuts) Trade Balance Deficit Surplus 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
CHF/NZD: BUY NOW.Fundamental Analysis: The Swiss Franc (CHF) remains supported by its safe-haven status amidst global economic uncertainty, while the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) faces pressure from softer commodity prices and a cautious Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Diverging monetary policies and risk sentiment could favor the CHF in the medium term. Technical Analysis: CHF/NZD seems rejectng the critical support zone at 1.9440–1.9500, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. RSI near oversold levels signals potential for a bullish rebound. Enter now at 1.9480 long. if you follow me you will receive updates on this idea.
Long
by zito82
2