RR=2.16 Buy ideabullish butterfly pattern +bullish RSI divergence + breakout of inverted head and shoulders pattern followed by a pullback : potential trend reversal scenario .
PS : Never risk more than 2% of your capital per trade
CHFNZD trade ideas
NZDCHF Swing idea. 2 January 2025Here is a breakdown of my view on NZDCHF,
Lets take a look and see how price will move. As always, apply risk management.
Regards,
NZDCHF Swing Trading 4h SL 0.5119
TP 0.4954
R:R 1:3
I'm seeing some sells here price retest the supply zone respecting it, I'm now expecting it to approach the final target
Let's make some $$$
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.50853
1st Support: 0.50538
1st Resistance: 0.51322
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/CHF: Bearish Bias Driven by New Zealand’s Recession The short-term outlook for NZD/CHF is leaning bearish, and here’s why. A mix of macroeconomic trends and policy decisions from both New Zealand and Switzerland suggests the NZD will continue to weaken against the CHF. Let’s dive into the details:
Why I’m Bearish on NZD/CHF:
1. Central Bank Divergence:
• The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has been aggressively cutting rates, lowering the cash rate by 125 basis points this cycle to 4.25%. With New Zealand in a recession, there’s an expectation for another 100 basis points in cuts by mid-2025.
• Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has also eased slightly, with a 50 basis point cut, but their more stable economy suggests they’re less likely to push rates much lower.
2. Economic Growth Stories:
• New Zealand: Things aren’t looking great—Q3 brought an official recession, and all signs point to slower growth ahead. This will likely keep the RBNZ in an easing cycle.
• Switzerland: On the other hand, Switzerland’s GDP is projected to grow by 1.3% in 2024 and 1.5% in 2025, with strength coming from improved domestic demand, rising employment, and stable financing conditions.
3. Inflation Gap:
• New Zealand: Inflation concerns have taken a back seat to growth, giving the RBNZ room to cut rates further and keep the Kiwi dollar under pressure.
• Switzerland: Inflation is incredibly low at 0.7%, giving the SNB flexibility, but their stronger economic position means they don’t need to take drastic action.
4. Global Trade Uncertainty:
• Global trade tensions, including potential U.S. tariffs, add another layer of uncertainty. New Zealand’s export-driven economy is more vulnerable, whereas Switzerland, with its diversified economy, can weather these challenges better.
5. Market Sentiment and Technicals:
• The NZD/CHF exchange rate has been trending lower, reflecting growing bearish sentiment. The Kiwi dollar continues to lose ground as the CHF benefits from its status as a safe haven.
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
When you put it all together—New Zealand’s recession, the RBNZ’s aggressive rate cuts, and Switzerland’s relatively stable outlook—the case for a bearish NZD/CHF bias becomes clear. Unless we see a major shift in global trade dynamics or unexpected announcements from either central bank, the downtrend is likely to persist.
What I’m Watching:
• How quickly the RBNZ moves forward with additional cuts.
• Any surprises from the SNB that could alter Switzerland’s stable narrative.
• Global trade developments, like potential U.S. tariffs, which could have ripple effects on both economies.
Conclusion:
With New Zealand’s economic challenges and Switzerland’s solid footing, the bearish bias for NZD/CHF seems well-supported for now. Keep an eye on central bank decisions and trade headlines—they could hold the key to any shifts in this narrative.
Bullish bounce?NZD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.50866
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.50405
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.51381
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZDCHF SELLSsince we are falling from that Daily FVG . I want us to get a clear MSS on a 4hr to 1hr then we can swing trade. other than that I'm very bearish on this pair.
Risk Management is the key to successful trades
Good Luck!!!!
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.50984
1st Support: 0.50581
1st Resistance: 0.51263
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDCHF FORECASTTraders! We are in the holiday week and we can see unusual volatility. What we need to do is to wait for the clear confirmation from the market before we make any decision, the good thing about this strategy, you can trade in every market condition, So guys be patient.
I wish you Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
NZDCHF SELLING OPPORTUNITY.My Bias For NZDCHF is Bearish. Broke Structure again on 1D TF to the downside.i am waiting for it to retrace back to my entry point.
NZDCHF SELL SETUPWaiting for a retracement towards 50 percent of the range after the previous strong fall to sell again
[Vienmelodic] NZDCHF 17 Dec 2024 SetupNZDCHF First time breaking the downtrend structure on H4 timeframe.
and we spotted good demand area to follow trend as green rectangle shown on the image
idea :
Open Long Position with 1:3 RRR as always
We'll update the open transaction on several days..
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
NZDCHFNZDCHF is in bullish trend.
Bullish divergence also shown in RSI.
Falling wedge reversal pattern also form.
Market sentiment is also bullish .
We buy at CMP.
NZDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5121 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5146
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on NZD/CHF, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.514.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZD/CHF for a bulish move ?the market has been indicating a bullish move now for a while. based on tchnical this trade is taken on the Daily timeframe demand zone, with fundamentaly bullish bias.
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.51716
1st Support: 0.51270
1st Resistance: 0.51950
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/CHF "The Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/CHF "The Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a trade anywhere,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low level should be in retreat.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
Goal 🎯: 0.52300
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Mon 16th Dec 2024 NZD/CHF Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/CHF Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could fall to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.52237
1st Support: 0.50523
1st Resistance: 0.53112
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
nzdchfThe NZD/CHF pair is showing bullish momentum, likely aiming to grab inducement and liquidity below key support levels before continuing its upward trend. This move suggests smart money manipulation to trigger stop losses or activate pending buy orders beneath recent swing lows, creating the liquidity needed for a stronger bullish push. Traders may consider a sell position targeting the liquidity zone below, anticipating a short-term drop before the bullish continuation. A clear reversal signal at the liquidity zone would then confirm a potential long entry for higher resistance levels.
