CHFTRY BULLS STRONGUSD/CHF has slipped strongly as investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the Fed interest rate outlook.
Investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the hawkish interest rate outlook from Fed policymakers.
SNB Maechler commented that further hikes in interest rates cannot be ruled out.
The USD/CHF pair has witnessed an intense sell-off, following the footprints of the declining US Dollar Index (DXY) in the European session. The Swiss Franc asset has slipped sharply to near 0.8950 as investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the hawkish interest rate outlook from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers and upcoming Employment data.
S&P500 futures have recovered nominal losses posted in London, however, the overall market sentiment is bearish. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has slipped vertically to near 103.00 despite more interest rate hikes from the Fed being highly likely.
Turkish lira fell to new marginally lower record low in early Wednesday, as Turkish June inflation data sparked fresh weakness of the currency.
Monthly inflation rose by 3.9% in June, below 4.8% consensus and annualized figure was also below expectations (38.2% in June vs 39.4% f/c), while consumer prices were slightly below previous month’s figure (June PPI 40.4% vs May 40.7%).
Inflation remains elevated, though significantly below last October’s 85.5%, the highest in over two decades.
Turkish lira fell sharply in June (down over 20% vs US dollar, the biggest monthly fall on a record), following re-election of President Erdogan and despite CBRT’s new leadership and turn towards more orthodox approach to monetary policy, as the central bank already raised interest rates after a cycle of cutting rates last year.
Trend Bullish
CHFTRY trade ideas
CHFTRY longUSD/CHF has slipped strongly as investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the Fed interest rate outlook.
Investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the hawkish interest rate outlook from Fed policymakers.
SNB Maechler commented that further hikes in interest rates cannot be ruled out.
The USD/CHF pair has witnessed an intense sell-off, following the footprints of the declining US Dollar Index (DXY) in the European session. The Swiss Franc asset has slipped sharply to near 0.8950 as investors have shrugged-off uncertainty associated with the hawkish interest rate outlook from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers and upcoming Employment data.
S&P500 futures have recovered nominal losses posted in London, however, the overall market sentiment is bearish. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has slipped vertically to near 103.00 despite more interest rate hikes from the Fed being highly likely.
Turkish lira fell to new marginally lower record low in early Wednesday, as Turkish June inflation data sparked fresh weakness of the currency.
Trend bullish
Swiss Franc/Turkish Lira 5 RRR shortEntry taken prior to triggering event. Proof is available - upon request - of me spotting this trade at the illustrated position entry price.
Trading Methodology:
1. An asymmetric bullish/bearish pennant is drawn using ascending and descending curved trend lines with a minimum of three price action touche points per line. The direction is determined by the previous trend.
2. The angle tool is applied from the earliest two trend touch points, beginning at the earliest touch point.
3. A trend-based Fibonacci retracement triangle is drawn starting from the earliest trend touch point and ending at the earliest touch point of the opposite trend line .
4. Based on the degree, of the earlier defined angle, the appropriate (and secret) levels are selected for the fibonacci retracement ; two levels for stop-loss and two levels for take-profit. The closest stop-loss level to the current price level is the top priority stop-loss. Though the secondary stop-loss level is often chosen for some markets such as FX and some equities in order to account for seldom unexpected resistance breaks. The greater target level is the top priority, and where majority of the shares are sold, though some may choose to close part of the position at the first target level or set it to be the stop-loss once price exceeds it. Entries should be laddered in around the levels closest of the yellow line.
This trading strategy can be applied to any market and time frame, and positions most often garner the greatest risk-to-reward ratio with the highest success rate. What more can you ask for? I will only be posting my unique trading strategy until EOY. I work solely with price action to identify pennants and apply unique trend-based fibonacci retracement levels for SL and TP levels. Reach out to me if you have any questions.