USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8263
2nd Resistance – 0.8227
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CHFUSD trade ideas
USD/CHF 4H Bearish Setup: FVG Rejection & EMA Resistance Strateg🔵 Chart Structure
🔻 Downtrend Identified
* Lower highs & lower lows forming.
* Resistance line sloping down 📉.
🧲 EMA 70 (0.82387)
* Acting as dynamic resistance 🔴.
* Price currently sitting just below it ⬇️.
💠 FVG (Fair Value Gap) — 0.82441 to 0.83097
* Price expected to fill the imbalance here.
* Confluence with resistance = 🔥 ideal sell zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
🟦 Entry Point:
* 💥 0.82415
* Just under EMA + inside FVG zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
* ❌ 0.83110
* Above FVG + above previous high = protected stop.
🎯 Take Profit:
* ✅ 0.80150
* Near prior demand zone + horizontal support.
* Target zone clearly marked in light blue 🧊.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
🎲 Estimated around 2.5:1 or better.
✅ High reward potential if resistance holds.
⚠️ Caution / Notes
🔎 Watch for bearish confirmation candles 🕯️ at entry zone.
📆 Be aware of economic news that could impact USD or CHF.
🧪 If price closes above 0.83110, setup becomes invalid ❌.
📌 Summary
Element Level Emoji
🔵 Entry 0.82415 💥
🛑 Stop Loss 0.83110 ❌
✅ Take Profit 0.80150 🎯
🔻 Trend Bias Bearish 📉
📐 Tools Used EMA, FVG, Resistance 📊
USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead.
First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well.
But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May.
Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal.
This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc.
Here's my game plan:
Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83.
My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone).
The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone.
My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal.
Let me know your thoughts below!
USD/CHF Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Bearish ReversalThe USD/CHF 4-hour chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal signal. The Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are well-formed, suggesting bearish momentum. The price is currently consolidating below the neckline, indicating a potential breakout to the downside. The Ichimoku cloud confirms resistance above the current price level, adding further bearish bias. If the price breaks below the neckline decisively, a significant downward move is expected.
Entry point: 0.82080
First target: 0.80638
Second target: 0.79500
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USD/CHF..30M chart pattern.Here’s the breakdown of MY USD/CHF Long Trade Setup:
📈 Trade Idea (Long USD/CHF)
Entry: 0.82140
1st Target: 0.82400
2nd Target: 0.82650
Stop Loss: Not specified ⚠️
🧮 Trade Metrics
Target Pips Gain % Gain (Approx)
1st Target +26 pips +0.32%
2nd Target +51 pips +0.62%
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
No stop loss provided — without it, risk/reward can’t be calculated.
A stop loss around 0.8180–0.8190 might make sense depending on recent support levels.
✅ Summary:
Clean setup with small but realistic targets.
Reward-to-risk will likely be favorable if you use a stop below 0.8190.
Would you like help identifying a technical stop loss or creating a table of your full trade plan (including BTC, gold, and USDCHF)?
USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
USD/CHF💰Symbol: { USD/CHF }
🟩Price: { 0.82174 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82385 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
&
🟩Price: { 0.82455 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82936 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.82200 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
4️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8197
1st Support: 0.8042
1st Resistance: 0.8448
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UPDATE ON USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 30M - Back with an update for you lovely people, as you can see price has traded down and into the Demand Zone I marked out, following the story I created.
For you pre-emptive traders, you may already be in with a pending order, however I am going to wait to see if we can more confirmation before I look to enter.
As we know trading against the overall prevailing trend comes with some risk which is why we need to take extra precautions when we look to buy into this market.
This is the main reason I am waiting for a little more confirmation before entering in long with this market, if you have any questions in the meantime drop me a message or comment below!
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside BreakMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside Break
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move towards the 0.8250 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8200 resistance zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair declined heavily below the 0.8250 level before the bulls appeared. The US Dollar tested 0.8160 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above the 0.8200 resistance zone. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180.
The bulls are now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low at 0.8250. The next major resistance is 0.8295.
The main resistance is near 0.8335. If there is a clear break above 0.8335 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8420.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 0.8200 support. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8160 zone. A downside break below 0.8160 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is near the 0.8120 pivot level. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.8050 level in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
USD/CHF: Squeeze Risk Builds After Bullish ReversalRisk of a countertrend squeeze in USD/CHF is building after it printed a bullish engulfing candle on Tuesday, breaking out of the falling wedge it had been trading in over recent weeks.
While the price signal alone is bullish, to get excited about the prospect of a meaningful squeeze higher, USD/CHF needs to clear minor resistance overhead at .8246. If it can get a foothold above this level, it would generate a setup where longs could be established with a stop beneath for protection. .8333 looms as a potential target—a known resistance level that also has the key 50-day moving average sitting just above it.
Momentum indicators remain bearish but are starting to turn higher, suggesting the bearish flows that pushed USD/CHF to multi-week lows on Monday may be starting to ebb.
Good luck!
DS
PREPPING FOR LONGSUSD/CHF 1H - It will be interesting to see whether or not this area of Demand holds and whether we have means to enter in on this market with some long positions, taking advantage of the corrective wave that should trade price up and into the Supply Zone above.
Once we have clear rejection from the zone price is currently trading into, delivering us with some fractal breaks I will be using that to build on my confluence and I will be looking for some entries on the market.
I want to see the last fractal high that traded price down and into that Demand Zone break, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to now flip the balance, once we have that we can look to take part.
The potential trade here could be huge, its important we just wait patiently and sit on our hands, allowing price to come to us. Once I have the confirmation I need I will let you all know.
AUD/JPY Short, EUR/JPY Short, GBP/JPY Short and USD/CHF ShortAUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- Corrective tap into area of value.
- 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
- Tap into area of value.
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.821.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.832 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF: Bearish Wave Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Quick update for USDCHF.
Earlier on Monday, I shared a bearish forecast based on a
confirmed violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
We got quite a deep retest of that and bears finally showed their presence.
I remain bearish bias and expect a bearish continuation soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
THOUGHTS ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 1H - This market I am wanting to see a continuation in bearish structure, what we are witnessing at the moment is price correcting itself, this is in prep for the next impulsive wave to the downside.
Once we see price trade up and into the Supply Zone above, this is when I will be looking to take part in the market with short positions. Its important we are following the prevailing trend, this increases probability of success.
You can see I have drawn out a path trading us lower initially before the move higher, this is because I am trying to tell a story. A story to help you all understand the journey price takes in order to get to where it wants to be longer term.
We understand price is going to trade lower longer term as that is the bias of the market, but in order for it to have enough Supply to trade lower we must first see price introduce Supply and for Demand to be offloaded, the Demand it picks up initially will be removed and Supply will be introduced.