CHFUSD trade ideas
USD/CHF falls after disappointing CPI news🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
👉USD/CHF is in a sustained downtrend after breaking below key dynamic support levels such as the 100- and 200-day SMA. In addition, the pair has been making a series of consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that sellers may be taking control.
👉Disappointing US CPI data and previous weak news have added to the weakness of the US Dollar.
Personal opinion:
👉USD/CHF is likely to continue its bearish momentum in the near term.
👉However, DXY is recovering to the upside for the second consecutive day. RSI (1D) shows signs of increasing again after entering the oversold zone
👉Consider Sell at the retest zone of 0.8850 because this is a strong resistance area and safer
Analysis:
👉Based on the resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8855 – 0.8870
❌SL: 0.8900 | ✅TP: 0.8810 – 0.8765 – 0.8720
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
FURTHER LONG POSITIONS ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 1H - I am looking to get involved in this market with further long positions, its just a case of waiting for the confirmation in order to add to our current positions.
This market treated us very well last week generating us with over 4RR in profit, I am wanting to take full advantage of this market again this week. I believe this longer term swing has only just started.
The original trade is currently running + 32 pips. (+ 2%) 2RR
As soon as price trades into this zone and delivers me with the confirmation I need I will be looking to get reintroduced. We want to see price break structure fractally to the upside after a penetration.
A big well done to anyone who jumped in on this last week, what a week we had generating us with some great profits and no drawdown. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
USD/CHF: Selling the Head & Shoulders BreakdownSpotted a clear H&S pattern on USD/CHF 15m chart!
Selling at 0.8826 with stop above 0.8844.
Target: First 0.8815, then possibly lower to the -0.27 Fib level.
The neckline break looks solid and we're still in the channel. Risk-reward looks good here.
What do you think? Are you bearish on USD/CHF too?
#USDCHF #Forex #TradingIdea
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCHF?
In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has broken a key support level, which has now turned into resistance.
The pair is currently forming a pullback to the broken level, retesting it as resistance.
We expect the price to complete its pullback to the broken level and then continue its decline toward the specified target.
Will USD/CHF resume its downtrend after the pullback, or will buyers regain control? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDCHF 1H SHORT IDEAWhile forming a bearish pattern on the USDCHF 1H chart, the price reached and tested the previous key level around 0.88600 before dropping. This also aligned with the Fib 0.618 level. The pattern has now broken, and the price is currently retesting the 0.88394 level. It appears likely to drop further towards the 0.87322 zone, which is both a key level and the starting point of the previous pattern. Volume also aligns with this level.
USDCHF - Bearish Momentum or Reversal?Looking at the Daily Chart, price is currently retesting the 9 EMA after a downward move, which could signal a continuation of selling pressure. The MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but it hasn’t fully confirmed yet. If price fails to close above the 9 EMA, the bearish bias remains intact.
On the 4H Chart, we see strong selling pressure, with the 9 and 50 EMA acting as dynamic resistance. The MACD is forming a strong sell signal, suggesting momentum is shifting downward. Even if price pushes slightly higher, the accumulation zone above could lead to consolidation, limiting further upside potential.
The 1H Chart doesn’t provide a clear trend direction but MACD is aligning for a stronger sell signal, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Trade Outlook:
• Bearish Confirmation: If price fails to break above the 4H accumulation zone, we could see further downside.
• Potential Entry: Look for a break & retest of key levels on the 1H or 4H for confirmation.
• Invalidation: A daily close above the 9 EMA would indicate a possible shift in structure.
• Target: The next major support at 0.86433 (Daily Support).
Would love to hear your thoughts! Are we continuing bearish, or will bulls take control? 🚀👇 #USDCHF #Forex #Trading
USD/CHF - Bullish Reversal Setup
This 4-hour chart of USD/CHF shows a potential bullish reversal from a key support level.
Support Zone: The price is approaching a strong support level around 1.10193 - 1.12261, where previous price action has reacted.
Reversal Expectation: A bounce from this level could trigger a bullish move toward the 1.15719 resistance level.
Target Projection: If price respects the support, a 3.00% potential upside is expected.
Trading Plan:
Buy Entry: Look for bullish confirmation signals at the support zone.
Stop-Loss: Below the support area to minimize risk.
Take Profit: First target at 1.15719.
Technical Indicators to Watch:
Bullish Candlestick Patterns at support.
RSI / MACD for momentum confirmation.
Trendline Breakout for additional bullish confirmation.
USD/CHF 1HR // 16 March Analysis We can see a potential downtrend on USD/CHF on the 1 hour timeframe.
2 resistance zones have been identified, depending on how the market moves in the coming week and around which area the price touches the trend line, we can look for potential sells around the resistance zones if we can get a good rejection.
A good target could be the 0.87500 zone marked.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90500 (swing Trade) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.88000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🌟Fundamental Analysis
The USD/CHF pair is influenced by:
Interest Rate Differential: The difference between the Federal Reserve's interest rates and the Swiss National Bank's interest rates.
Economic Growth: The US GDP growth rate and the Swiss GDP growth rate.
Inflation Rates: The US inflation rate and the Swiss inflation rate.
🌟Macroeconomic Analysis
Key macroeconomic indicators to watch:
US GDP Growth Rate: Expected to slow down in 2025.
Swiss GDP Growth Rate: Expected to remain stable in 2025.
US Inflation Rate: Expected to decrease in 2025.
Swiss Inflation Rate: Expected to remain low in 2025.
🌟COT Data Analysis
The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows:
Net Long Positions: Decreased by 10,000 contracts.
Net Short Positions: Increased by 5,000 contracts.
🌟Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for USD/CHF is:
Bearish: 55% of investors expect the pair to fall.
Bullish: 30% of investors expect the pair to rise.
Neutral: 15% of investors remain neutral.
🌟Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider short-term investments: As the USD/CHF pair is expected to experience high volatility.
Monitor market news: As central bank decisions and global economic data may impact the pair.
🌟Quantitative Analysis
Technical indicators show:
Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are indicating a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is indicating an oversold condition.
🌟Intermarket Analysis
The USD/CHF pair is highly correlated with:
EUR/USD: A stronger euro may boost the Swiss franc against the US dollar.
USD/JPY: A weaker US dollar may boost the Swiss franc against the yen.
🌟News and Events Analysis
Upcoming events that may impact the USD/CHF pair include:
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Decision: March 19, 2025
Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Decision: March 20, 2025
🌟Next Trend Move
The USD/CHF pair may experience a:
Bearish move: Driven by the interest rate differential and economic growth.
🌟Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/CHF pair is expected to:
Experience high volatility: Due to central bank decisions and global economic data.
Remain bearish: In the short-term, driven by the interest rate differential and economic growth.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
UPDATE ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 1H - How we getting on people, sorry I have not been around these past two days I have been busy with some personal matters, nevertheless I am here with an update for you all on this trade.
I have gone ahead and taken a close for 2/3's of the trade, leaving just 1/3 open over the weekend, I have also gone ahead and moved my SL to entry applying those safety measures to our position.
This trade is currently running + 63 pips. (+ 4%) 4RR
A big well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade this week and any of you who got in later on in the week when we saw price pullback before the next push up.
Any questions with regards to this trade or the analysis for the trade, drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Lingrid | USDCHF Corrective MOVEMENT and TREND ContinuationFX:USDCHF market is consolidating after the bearish momentum. We can see the price making lower lows and lower closes showing bearish dominance. The market bounced off the support level and is forming a corrective leg against the major bearish trend. I think the market may retest the resistance zone at 0.88700, which is a range zone that often acts as both support and resistance. If we see a rejection at this area, we can anticipate the continuation of the current trend toward the previous week low. My goal is support zone around 0.87750
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
USDCHF Monthly Expectations Entry IdeaSo as we see bearish momentum on this pair, it has been respecting a high probability 4H trendline, and we see no cause for a trend breakout. There is also a swing low which price has not reached, and we expect that market should tap into the liquidity resting there before we could expect any key reversals. We would a sell at 0.89121, placing our stoploss at 0.89587 and our targets are TP1 = 0.87593 and final TP at 0.87363
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8915
1st Support: 0.8771
1st Resistance: 0.9004
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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USD/CHF: Bearish Trend Pauses, but Breakdown Risks RemainThe strong bearish trend for USD/CHF stalled this week, with buying support emerging beneath .8774, continuing the pattern seen in December. The net result has been a grind higher before running into resistance at .8854, forming what resembles a bear flag on the charts. That should put traders on alert for a potential downside break and resumption of the bearish trend.
Indicators like RSI (14) and MACD are providing mixed signals on price momentum, with the former trending higher while the latter remains below the signal line. However, the modest RSI (14) uptrend looks vulnerable, mirroring the unconvincing price action.
If the price breaks down from the bear flag, immediate levels of note include .8774, .8711, and .8617, the latter being a more substantial support level. On the topside, a break of .8854 would put .8920 and .8966 on the radar for bulls.
The price is hanging around the 200-day moving average like a bad smell this week, but having traded through it on multiple occasions like it didn’t exist, it shouldn’t be a major consideration for traders.
Good luck!
DS