USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25👀 USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25
🔥HOT PICK ALERT 🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.819.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.831 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside BreakMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside Break
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move towards the 0.8250 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8200 resistance zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair declined heavily below the 0.8250 level before the bulls appeared. The US Dollar tested 0.8160 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above the 0.8200 resistance zone. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180.
The bulls are now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low at 0.8250. The next major resistance is 0.8295.
The main resistance is near 0.8335. If there is a clear break above 0.8335 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8420.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 0.8200 support. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8160 zone. A downside break below 0.8160 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is near the 0.8120 pivot level. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.8050 level in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.8199
1st Support: 0.8113
1st Resistance: 0.8267
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8251
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8313
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8112
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
Why You Should Avoid Safe-Haven Shorts Next WeekTraders, don’t walk into next week blind.
The U.S. and China are set to hold official trade talks in London on June 9, and the market is already shifting in anticipation.
This video breaks down exactly how the process works — from Trump’s surprise phone call, to tariff de-escalation, to what happens when global tensions ease.
If you're planning to short USD/JPY, USD/CHF, or any safe-haven pairs next week, you need to watch this first.
Because a positive trade outcome = risk-on sentiment, and that means JPY and CHF will likely weaken fast.
I explain:
Why optimism crushes safe-haven setups
What smart money is watching
How to align your trades with the macro narrative
And how not to get trapped like most retail traders will
📉 This is how real traders position ahead of a global sentiment shift.
Drop a comment if you’re preparing the same way, and follow for more macro-driven trade insights.
USD/CHF H1 | Falling toward a swing-low supportUSD/CHF is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8189 which is swing-low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8159 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.8244 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.821
Target Level: 0.815
Stop Loss: 0.826
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CHF – BULLISH Plan for Next WeekThe battlefield is set.
The market has spoken — now it’s our turn to act.
This is my two-scenario strategy for USD/CHF going into next week, built around institutional behavior, liquidity grabs, and market structure.
📍 Zone Recap:
Liquidity Taken – Price swept below key support zones, triggering stop-losses and clearing out retail longs.
Support Levels – Minor zones were broken on the lower timeframes (LTF), but these are not structurally strong.
Institutional Setup – Smart money often manipulates these levels before initiating the true directional move.
🧭 SCENARIO 1 – The Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
The most probable outcome based on structure and liquidity behavior:
Price opens bullish.
Retests the broken minor support (now acting as demand).
Buys triggered after confirmation.
Targets:
First TP: 0.82650
Second TP: 0.83500+
Break above = room for explosive movement toward 0.84000–0.84500
This aligns with the concept of liquidity engineering, where the market takes the weak hands out before the real move starts.
⚔️ SCENARIO 2 – The Last Sweep Before the Climb (Less Likely but Possible)
If price opens bearish, we must remain vigilant:
A final push lower could target the same liquidity zone again,
further liquidating retail traders who jumped in early.
If this occurs, the real bullish move would follow, catching everyone off guard.
Entry would then be taken after a deeper retest + bullish market structure shift.
🧠 STRATEGY MINDSET:
This isn’t guesswork — this is preparation.
Retail sees chaos. Smart traders see order in manipulation.
We don’t chase moves. We understand them.
“The market punishes the impulsive and rewards the prepared.”
I stand with patience. I wait for confirmation.
I strike when the weak are removed and the zone is clean.
🔐 Remember:
No confirmation = no entry.
Adapt to the narrative the market gives you.
If 0.81750 breaks down with strength → pause. Reevaluate. No ego.
📈 USD/CHF outlook: Bullish bias, smart entry only.
Drop your thoughts, setups, or if you’re preparing for the same war.
Let’s grow and conquer — one level at a time.
THOUGHTS ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 1H - This market I am wanting to see a continuation in bearish structure, what we are witnessing at the moment is price correcting itself, this is in prep for the next impulsive wave to the downside.
Once we see price trade up and into the Supply Zone above, this is when I will be looking to take part in the market with short positions. Its important we are following the prevailing trend, this increases probability of success.
You can see I have drawn out a path trading us lower initially before the move higher, this is because I am trying to tell a story. A story to help you all understand the journey price takes in order to get to where it wants to be longer term.
We understand price is going to trade lower longer term as that is the bias of the market, but in order for it to have enough Supply to trade lower we must first see price introduce Supply and for Demand to be offloaded, the Demand it picks up initially will be removed and Supply will be introduced.
USDCHF Turns Bullish Aiming for the 8-Hour Resistance ZoneFollowing the completion of the bearish trend on the 2-hour timeframe and a confirmed reversal from that level, we expect the price to move from the highlighted orange zone toward the 4-hour and 8-hour resistance highs.
Disclaimer: You are responsible for your own trades. Do not risk more than 2% of your account on a single setup.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.8193
1st Support: 0.8047
1st Resistance: 0.8457
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.