USDCHF - it has been a while. Team, as mentioned, I do not trade forex much, but when I do, we must kill them. In other words, we must focus on a high chance of winning ratio before we trade.
We are back in business again.it has been a while; please ensure we are within target ranges and take profit 40%-70% at the first target and bring stop loss to BE; the rest are the second target if you wish
CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF Premium Tap into Order Block🚨 USDCHF Smart Money Setup Unfolding – One Shot, One Kill Opportunity
Here’s why this setup is packed with confluence and how Smart Money might be laying the perfect trap before a big drop...
🧠 Structure Breakdown:
We’re currently seeing a textbook retracement into premium pricing after a clear bearish move, and Smart Money seems ready to strike again.
✅ Swing High to Low Fib Analysis
We’ve pulled from the most recent swing high to the swing low — and price is now retracing into the 61.8%–79% golden zone. That’s classic territory for Smart Money to reposition short.
📍 Premium Trap Zone:
Between 0.8375 and 0.8395, we’re stacking multiple confluences:
Fib Golden Zone (61.8% – 79%)
Bearish Order Block
Strong High (Liquidity Pool)
Diagonal Trendline Resistance
Break of structure beneath current price
Price action is walking up cleanly, likely to attract late longs — but we know better. This is liquidity engineering at its finest. 📊
🧱 Smart Money Zones:
🔲 Order Block (OB) at ~0.8380–0.8395)
This OB aligns beautifully with 79% fib retracement and sits right below a Strong High — where liquidity is waiting to get grabbed.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Wait for a tap + bearish rejection candle inside the OB.
Set stop loss just above the Strong High.
Ride the momentum back down toward discount zones.
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: Back to 0% fib level (~0.8325)
TP2: Extension to -27% fib (~0.8295)
TP3 (if momentum flows): Sub 0.8280 levels
This setup offers a clean 1:3+ RRR with sniper-level precision. Low risk, high reward — exactly what we love!
🧘♂️ Psychology of This Move:
Smart Money creates the illusion of bullish strength to:
Lure breakout traders above the high.
Fill institutional sell orders inside the OB.
Sweep weak lows after rebalancing inefficiencies.
This is not a random pullback — it’s a calculated liquidity sweep before expansion. 🚀
⚡ Game Plan:
✅ Wait for price to reach premium zone
✅ Look for rejection (engulfing or SMC candle confirmation)
✅ Enter with SL above high
✅ Take partials at equilibrium and trail to discount
✅ Don’t rush — let price come to you 💎
🧨 Risk Management Tip:
This is a surgical setup — you don’t need to overleverage to win.
Let the chart do the heavy lifting. Stick to 1–2% risk and let the RRR carry the profit.
✍️ In Summary:
USDCHF is retracing into a major premium zone packed with Smart Money confluence — Order Block, Fib, BOS, liquidity, and trendline resistance.
This could be one of the cleanest bearish setups this week if you stay patient and time it right.
🗣️ Drop "USDCHF READY" in the comments if you're planning to catch this setup!
📲 Tag your trading partner and don’t let them miss this sniper entry!
USDCHF BULLISH BOUNCE SUPPORT.?USDCHF market moved to bounce back towards aggressive buying this pattern support the market momentum bullish with some specific Targets.
1st Target 🎯 0.86750
Final Target 🎯 0.88500
Conclusion:
The momentum shows if the market moves according to my analysis and reached at my final target then keep holding your trades and make money millionaire.
USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🌀 USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🚀
Chart Analysis – May 13, 2025
I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.
🔹 Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:
✅ Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.
🔁 Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.
🔜 Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.
🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:
Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 – 0.8341, marked by:
1.618–1.786 Fibonacci extension
Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)
Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)
This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).
🔹 Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:
Strong green bars during Wave (3)
Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction
Potential bullish convergence forming:
Price is making lower lows
AO is showing higher lows – this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal
This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support — a strong signal for trend continuation.
🎯 Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: 0.8362–0.8341 (Zone 1)
Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 – 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)
Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count
✅ Summary
This setup combines:
Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure
Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone
Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential
Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1
📉 Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!
#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview
“Can You Snatch Profits from USD/CHF’s Wild Swings?”🔥 Swissy Snatch Strategy: USD/CHF Stealth Trade Plan 🔥
👋 Greetings, Profit Pirates & Chart Ninjas! 🕵️♂️💸
Welcome to the Swissy Snatch Strategy—a cunning, calculated raid on the USD/CHF market. This plan fuses razor-sharp technicals with real-time fundamentals to snatch profits from Swissy’s wild swings.
Let’s move like shadows, strike fast, and vanish with the gains! 🌑📈
📜 The Swissy Snatch Blueprint
Entry Triggers 🔑:
🔼 Bullish Ambush: Enter long on a breakout above ~0.86500 (key resistance/EMA level), signaling a potential rally.
🔼 Pullback Ambush: Buy at ~0.85800 (Institutional Trap zone for a dip-buy).
💡 Pro Tip: Set price alerts at these levels to trade without staring at charts! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
🟢 Bullish Trade: Place SL below the recent 4H swing low (~0.85300 for breakout trades) to cushion against wicks.
📉 Stay Flexible: Adjust SL based on risk tolerance, lot size, and volatility (ATR ~60 pips daily). This is your safety net!
Take Profit (TP) 💰:
🚀 Bullish Raiders: Target ~0.86900 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from 0.9000–0.8200) or exit on fading volume.
🚪 Escape Tactic: Watch RSI for overbought (>70) signals to dodge reversals. Consider partial profits at ~0.86000 (1:1 risk-reward).
🌐 Why Trade USD/CHF Now?
USD/CHF is a volatility goldmine, driven by:
💵 USD Strength: Hawkish Fed signals (e.g., Powell’s May 2025 comments on sustained 4% rates) and robust Q1 2025 GDP (2.8% annualized) fuel USD bullishness, pushing USD/CHF higher.
🇨🇭 CHF Weakness: Swiss National Bank (SNB) holds rates steady at 1.25% (Q4 2024 decision), with low safe-haven demand for CHF due to easing geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China trade talk progress).
📈 Yield Differentials: US 10-year Treasury yields at 4.2% (May 19, 2025) attract capital to USD, supporting USD/CHF uptrends.
📊 Technical Edge: RSI (14-day) at 52 signals neutral momentum with room for a bullish push. Fibonacci retracement levels highlight resistance at 0.86900 and support at 0.85500.
🎢 Volatility: USD/CHF’s daily ranges of 0.8–1.2% (80–120 pips) offer quick profit potential for agile traders.
Current price (May 19, 2025): ~0.8620, testing resistance at 0.86500.
📊 Real-Time Sentiment Snapshot (May 19, 2025)
Retail Traders:
📈 Bullish: 40% 🌟 (Betting on USD strength).
📉 Bearish: 45% ⚡ (Cautious on CHF safe-haven spikes).
⚖️ Neutral: 15% 🧭 (Awaiting US data clarity).
Institutional Traders:
🏦 Bullish: 60% 🏦 (Favoring USD on yield spreads).
📉 Bearish: 30% 📉 (Hedging for CHF strength).
⚖️ Neutral: 10% ⚖️ (Monitoring Fed/SNB cues).
⚠️ Key Risks:
US CPI: A hotter-than-expected print could spike USD/CHF to 0.8700. A miss may test 0.85500.
SNB: Dovish SNB comments could weaken CHF further, boosting your bullish setup.
Geopolitics: Sudden US-China trade escalations may strengthen CHF, invalidating longs.
Technical Validation (May 19, 2025)
Price Action: USD/CHF at ~0.8620, eyeing resistance at 0.86500–0.8700, with support at 0.85500–0.85800 (4H chart).
EMA: 50-EMA (~0.8600) acts as dynamic support. A breakout above 0.86500 confirms bullish momentum.
Fibonacci: From March 2025 high (0.9000) to April low (0.8200), 61.8% retracement (~0.8680) matches your TP of 0.86900.
RSI (14-day): At 52, room for upside if US data supports USD.
Volume: Rising on recent upticks, supporting breakout potential.
ATR (14-day): 60 pips, guiding SL (50–60 pips) and TP (~100–120 pips).
Strategy Enhancements
To make the Swissy Snatch even deadlier:
Refined Entries: Confirm 0.86500 breakout with volume spike or 0.85800 pullback with RSI >40.
Timeframe Clarity: Use 1H or 4H for entries, 4H for swing lows (SL).
Bearish Contingency: Short below 0.85500 (support break) if CPI disappoints, targeting 0.85000.
ATR Scaling: Adjust SL/TP to ATR (e.g., SL at 1x ATR, TP at 2x ATR) for volatility-adapted trades.
Chart Visuals: For TradingView, annotate EMA, Fib levels, and RSI to boost engagement.
Join the Swissy Snatch Squad!
👉 Smash that Boost button to make this strategy a TradingView legend! 🚀
Every like and share fuels more high-octane trade plans.
Let’s conquer USD/CHF together! 🤜🤛
Keep charts locked, alerts primed, and trading spirit electric.
See you in the profit zone, ninjas! 🏴☠️📈
USD_CHF LOCAL BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅USD_CHF is making a local
Bearish correction and will
Soon retest a horizontal
Support of 0.8320 from where
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Forms Falling Wedge Pattern Near Support GapOn the 1-hour chart, USDCHF is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a classic technical formation that often precedes a bullish breakout. Price action is compressing within a narrowing range, marked by two downward-sloping trendlines.
Key observations:
A price gap from May 10 still remains unfilled, serving as a potential area of interest for buyers. The market may look to revisit and react to this level.
The lower boundary of the wedge has acted as strong support, with multiple rejections suggesting demand interest.
A break above the upper trendline of the wedge would confirm a potential reversal, with bullish momentum likely accelerating toward the 0.8465 resistance level.
Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Entry: Wait for a decisive breakout and candle close above the upper wedge boundary (around 0.8340–0.8350).
Target 1: 0.8465 (recent swing high and gap origin)
Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low near 0.8280 or just under wedge support (0.8260)
Alternative Scenario:
If the wedge support breaks down with strong bearish momentum, the price may slide lower to retest deeper support near 0.8200.
This setup favors bulls only if the wedge breakout is confirmed. Conservative traders may wait for retest confirmation before entering long positions.
Could the price bounce from here?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st, pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8324
1st Support: 0.8280
1st Resistance: 0.8397
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
UsdChf Trade IdeaWith UC being bullish and respecting a higher time frame support level I'll personally be looking to go long IF price can break bearish structures within the range and go bullish. That would confirm our continuation of the bullish run and respect of the support level. We'll see what happens. Shorts could come into play as well so patience is gonna pay here.
USDCHF Short Term Buy Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 24th I shared this idea "USDCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short Term"
I expected further continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 4H - This here is another pair I analysed for you all last week that has played out really well for us, we have seen price continue to break down after the penetration of the Supply Zone above.
We are seeing price rest above this gap in the market, however as you can see price is creating lower highs each time, suggesting that the Supply in the market is building, I believe we will see price continue to move lower shortly.
Now in order for us to have higher timeframe confluence of a further move to the downside we aught to see price break the last protected low within the bullishness that traded price up and into the Supply Zone initially.
Once we see the low there break we have higher timeframe confluence, however if we want to be more pre-emptive, we could wait for the fractal low to break which sits just below the gap.
DON'T DISS USDCHF, WE ARE GOING LONG!USDCHF FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 DON'T DISS USDCHF, WE ARE GOING LONG!USDCHF FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8519
1st Support: 0.8334
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8316, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8509, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8184 , a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USD/CHF Reversal Setup (Read-Caption)🧠 Professional Technical Analysis – USD/CHF 💱
🗓️ Date: May 6, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
📊 Current Price: ~0.82218
🔍 Technical Indicators
🔵 EMA 20: 0.84190 (short-term trend)
🔴 EMA 50: 0.82524 (mid-term trend)
❗ Bearish crossover: EMA 20 is below EMA 50 → short-term bearish bias 🐻
📉 Support Zone Analysis 🛡️
🟥 Key Demand Zone (Support): 0.82084 – 0.81437
🔁 Price has bounced here before 🪃
🕯️ Candles with long lower wicks = buyers stepping in 🧍♂️💪
🟠 This is the “bounce zone” 📈
🧭 Trade Idea
✅ Long Entry: Around 0.82084–0.82200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.81437 ❌
🎯 Take Profit: Around 0.83600 🟢
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Excellent (>2:1) if bounce holds 🚀
🔄 Price Action Outlook
📉 Downtrend approaching major support
🕯️ Looking for bullish candlestick confirmation (engulfing, hammer, etc.)
📈 Target area aligns with mean reversion to EMA 20
📌 Conclusion
👀 Watching for bullish reversal signs 🔄
🛒 Buy zone is clearly defined ✅
⛔ Setup is invalidated if price closes below 0.81437
USDCHF - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting USDCHF
Scales
- S: 0.8485 pending
- M: 0.8460 activated, triggers 0.8138 pivot
- L: 0.8457 activated, triggers 0.8258 pivot
Forecast & Targets
- ST: Limited upside to 0.8485 min, 0.8584 max
- MT: bearish; eyeing reversal conditions
#USDCHF #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
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Originally published on BlueSky
USDCHF : The fine point in playing the DSo far, I have been writing about playing the D - The D is he final point in the price movement, something which we ANTICIPATE.
What do we anticipate?
We anticipate a REVERSAL. In simple terms, we trade 'opposing' the trend.
Why?
The explanation is simple - Buy when Low. Sell when High.
Once the complete structure is complete, then we have a clear picture of price action. Our understanding is correct. Price did as we anticipated.
Now, price had bounced upward from a long term D, chances are it will go up more. Price is now a two Bs, one BIG, and another small. Not a coincidence but it is price telling us something - a confirmation of future direction.
BUY. The R/R is fantastic.
Good luck.
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support level around 0.8318
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting further growth
On Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.