CHFUSD trade ideas
Lingrid | USDCHF pullback Trade as BEARISH Momentum ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfills my previous idea . It reached the target. The FX:USDCHF is making lower lows and lower closes, indicating bearish momentum in the market. Recently, it broke through the downward trendline and the significant level of 0.89000. On the weekly timeframe, the price is currently trading within a big range between 0.84000 and 0.92000. Given that the price has recently bounced off resistance and is heading toward the lower end of this range, I expect a shorting opportunity. If the price pulls back to the resistance around the downward trendline zone, I expect it to continue moving lower toward the December low level. My goal is to support zone around 0.86800
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSDWaiting for third touch on 15 minutes timeframe to sell this pair.
Remember we don't counter trend all we wanna do is to ride the wave.
Falling towards overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8805
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.8751
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8912
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level that is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8962
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8929
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9003
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.90700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.88500 & 0.88000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors.
⭐1. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators driving the USD/CHF pair:
US Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: 2.3% – Indicates robust economic expansion.
Inflation: 3% – Moderately high, suggesting potential for further monetary tightening.
Interest Rates: 4.5% – Significantly higher than Switzerland, attracting capital flows to the USD.
Trade Balance: Deficit of -98.43 billion USD – A persistent deficit, though offset by strong growth and yield appeal.
Switzerland Economic Indicators:
GDP Growth: 0.2% – Slow growth, reflecting a weaker economic performance.
Inflation: 0.4% – Very low, indicating stable but minimal price pressures.
Interest Rates: 0.5% – Low rates, reducing attractiveness for CHF-denominated assets.
Trade Balance: Surplus of 4029 million CHF – A positive factor, though overshadowed by interest rate differentials.
Key Insight: The significant interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%) favors the USD, potentially driving capital outflows from CHF to USD, supporting a bullish USD/CHF outlook.
⭐2. Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions provide context for currency movements:
Global GDP Growth: Projected at 3.3% for 2025, with mixed regional performances.
US Economy: Strong growth (2.3%) and higher inflation (3%) may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase rates, bolstering the USD.
Swiss Economy: Low growth (0.2%) and inflation (0.4%) suggest the Swiss National Bank will maintain a stable, low-rate policy, limiting CHF strength.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline, which typically supports the USD due to its inverse correlation with commodities.
Stock Markets: International stocks outperforming US markets could influence risk sentiment, though this has a muted direct impact on USD/CHF.
Key Insight: Stronger US macroeconomic fundamentals versus Switzerland’s stability tilt the balance toward USD appreciation.
⭐3. Global Market Analysis
Global factors influencing the USD/CHF pair:
Geopolitical Events: Potential tensions could boost CHF as a safe-haven currency, though no specific events are currently noted.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Possible further rate hikes if US data remains strong, supporting USD.
Swiss National Bank: Likely to maintain low rates, limiting CHF upside.
Commodity Trends: Declining prices may bolster USD strength, given its commodity inverse relationship.
Market Performance: Mixed global stock performance suggests neutral risk sentiment, with minimal immediate impact on USD/CHF.
Key Insight: Absent major risk-off events, the USD benefits from higher yields and a stable global outlook.
⭐4. COT Data (Commitment of Traders)
COT data reflects trader positioning:
Non-Commercial Traders: Likely net long USD against CHF, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook.
Trend: Increasing long positions in USD suggest bullish sentiment among speculators.
Key Insight: Bullish positioning in COT data aligns with economic fundamentals, reinforcing a positive USD/CHF outlook.
⭐5. Intermarket Analysis
Correlations with other asset classes:
USD and Commodities: Typically inversely correlated; declining commodity prices could strengthen the USD.
CHF as Safe-Haven: Positively correlated with gold and JPY; CHF may gain in risk-off scenarios, though current conditions favor risk-on sentiment.
Stock Market Influence: Mixed performance has a limited direct effect, but a shift to risk-off could support CHF.
Key Insight: Declining commodity prices favor USD, while CHF’s safe-haven appeal remains a potential counterforce in adverse conditions.
⭐6. Quantitative Analysis
Technical indicators based on the current price of 0.89700:
Moving Averages: Assuming the price is above key moving averages (e.g., 50-day or 200-day), this suggests an uptrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): If not in overbought territory (e.g., below 70), there’s room for further gains.
Support/Resistance Levels:
Support: 0.8900 – A potential downside target if the trend reverses.
Resistance: 0.9009 and 0.9026 – Upside targets if bullish momentum continues.
Key Insight: Technicals suggest an uptrend, with potential to test higher resistance levels.
⭐7. Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gauged from trader behavior:
Current Sentiment: Likely moderately bullish on USD/CHF, reflecting economic and technical factors.
Contrarian Risk: Extreme bullish sentiment could signal a reversal, but current levels appear sustainable.
Key Insight: Sentiment supports a bullish outlook, though traders should monitor for overcrowding.
⭐8. Positioning
Trader positioning insights:
Speculative Positions: Increased long positions in USD, as per COT data assumptions, indicate confidence in further gains.
Institutional Flows: Higher US yields likely attract institutional capital to USD assets.
Key Insight: Positioning reinforces the bullish case for USD/CHF.
⭐9. Next Trend Move
Direction: Likely upward, driven by interest rate differentials, technical momentum, and economic strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, barring unexpected economic or geopolitical shifts.
Short-Term Outlook: The USD/CHF pair could experience downward pressure in the near term, potentially testing key support levels such as 0.8900. If this level is breached, the pair might decline further toward 0.8850 or lower.
⭐10. Overall Summary Outlook
Summary: The USD/CHF pair, at 0.89700 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bullish outlook. Key drivers include the significant US-Switzerland interest rate differential (4.5% vs. 0.5%), stronger US GDP growth (2.3% vs. 0.2%), and higher inflation (3% vs. 0.4%). Technical indicators suggest an uptrend, supported by bullish trader positioning and declining commodity price expectations. Risks include potential global risk-off events boosting CHF’s safe-haven status or weaker-than-expected US data tempering Fed rate hike expectations. However, the prevailing trend points to further USD appreciation.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8883
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8819
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8984
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHFUSDCHF ( U.S Dollar / Swiss Franc )
This Analysis is based on these Factors :
1. Falling Wedge
2. Support Level
3. Elliot Waves
4. Fibonacci Level
5. Change of Characteristics
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Dips Further
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.8975 and 0.8950 support levels.
- There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8910 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.9000 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8975 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8920. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.8870 level. A low was formed near 0.8871 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor increase and the pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9036 swing high to the 0.8871 low. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.8910 level.
There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8910. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9036 swing high to the 0.8871 low at 0.8950, above which the pair could test the 0.8975 level.
If there is a clear break above the 0.8975 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.9000.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.8900. The first major support is near the 0.8870 level. The next major support is near 0.8850. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8820 level in the coming days.
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USDCHF Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.8840
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.8958
My Stop Loss - 0.8777
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:USDCHF has reached a key supply zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.89940, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR USDCHFAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
The price approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure on the LTF to identify a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: A upward move is expected.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
USD-CHF Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is going down
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 0.8921
From where we will be
Expecting a local rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.8987, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.8947, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8928, an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Outlook 3-4-2025In this video i will show my trade outlook what i am gonna trade. I see an buy oppurtinty for audusd and nzdusd.
USD/CHF - Market Outlook This is my Outlook for USD/CHF
Currently we have some very clean price action in the 6H of which we have had a CHoCH and we previously tested a strong Supply zone before selling off. Leaving behind lots of buy side Liquidity Im looking to take out this first Supply zone before then selling off into the 0.27 Extension on the Fib. As long as P.A continues with this clean movement I will look to capture a similar move
Good luck to all the traders that follow
USD/CHF | Channel breakdown bullish Retest of high chance Easy?📉 USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bearish Breakdown & High-Probability Trade Setup 📉
The USD/CHF bullish channel has officially broken down, confirming a strong bearish momentum This breakdown signals a shift in market structure with price action moving into a major selling zone
With a fair value gap (FVG) and key retest levels traders should focus on ideal short entries within a critical price range before further downside continuation
🔥 Key Trading Levels & Setup:
📌 Retest Entry Zone: 0.9050 - 0.9100
🎯 Target Points:
✅ 1st Target: 0.8900
✅ 2nd Target: 0.8830
✅ 3rd Target: 0.8750
📊 Technical Confirmation:
🔹 EMA 50 → Confirms a bearish trend shift acting as dynamic resistance
🔹 Channel Breakdown → Indicates strong selling pressure from institutional traders
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retest Levels → Possible pullbacks before the next drop
🔹 Lower Highs & Lower Lows → Classic market structure for a downtrend
🚀 Trading Strategy:
1️⃣ Wait for a retest within the 0.9050 - 0.9100 zone to confirm market rejection.
2️⃣ Look for bearish candlestick formations (e.g bearish engulfing, shooting star).
3️⃣ Enter a short position with a controlled stop loss above the retest zone.
4️⃣ Follow risk management – maintain a strong risk-reward ratio.
5️⃣ Target the downside levels step by step while adjusting stop-loss for profit protection.
🔴 Risk Management is Key: Always set stop losses and avoid over-leveraging.
📢 Follow the Rules & Trade Smart!
🔔 Like Comment & Follow for real-time market insights expert trade setups, and profitable trading strategies! Let’s trade smart and stay ahead of the market!
[USDCHF] Bearish Momentum Ahead! (Read captions for more).📉 USDCHF Price Forecast – Bearish Momentum Ahead! 🚀
USDCHF has broken down the uptrend channel and retested the breakdown zone, confirming a bearish structure. The pair has also broken below the 200EMA and is repeatedly taking resistance at this level, signaling strong seller dominance.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
✅ Uptrend Channel Breakdown – Trend reversal signal.
✅ Bearish Order Block at 0.9040 – Strong resistance zone.
✅ 200EMA Breakdown & Retest – Bearish continuation confirmed.
✅ Supply Area & Order Block at 0.8900 – Major selling pressure.
📊 Technical Target Levels:
🎯 1st Target: 0.8800
🎯 2nd Target: 0.8710
🎯 Final Target: 0.8620
📢 Final Thoughts:
USDCHF is currently in a strong selling zone with a confirmed bearish order block and repeated EMA resistance rejections. A sustained move lower could push the pair towards deeper support levels.
🔔 Like, Comment & Follow for more expert analysis! 🚀
(This analysis is for learning purposes only, not financial advice.)
USD/CHF LONGSUSD/CHF 1H - I am wanting to see price trade down and into the zone we have marked out below, clearing this area of Demand before trading the market higher.
I am expecting enough Supply to be offloaded and enough Demand to be introduced to give us an S&D flip, using that to give us the confirmation to buy into this market longer term.
You will notice the fractal path I marked out above, where I wanted to see price trade up and into the fractal area of Supply before moving lower, this trade played out perfectly but you'll notice my alert wasn't set off.
This meant that unfortunately we missed out on shorts trading price lower down and into the Demand zone which would have been our take profit target, I hope some of you managed to jump on from previous analysis.
Nevertheless, we are looking and preparing to take this market long, we are simply waiting for price to give us the confirmation to do so. I will keep you all posted.
USDCHF sideways consolidation The USD/CHF currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by the longer-term uptrend. However, recent intraday price action has been consolidating near the previous breakout zone, signaling a potential buildup before the next directional move.
Bullish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 0.8950, which aligns with the previous consolidation range and the support trendline zone.
A corrective pullback toward 0.8950, followed by a bullish bounce, could reinforce the uptrend.
If buyers regain control, upside targets include 0.9050, followed by 0.9074, with 0.9120 acting as a key longer-term resistance.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 0.8950 on a daily close would weaken the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement toward 0.8913, with further downside potential extending to 0.8860 if selling pressure persists.
A sustained move below 0.8860 could indicate a broader shift in trend, increasing the risk of further declines.
Conclusion:
While the overall trend remains bullish, the ongoing sideways consolidation suggests a potential retest of 0.8950 before the next move. A bounce from this level could reaffirm the uptrend, while a break below 0.8950 would expose further downside risks. Traders should monitor price action around this critical support zone for confirmation of the next trend direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF 15K TARGET PROFIT LIVE TRADE UPDATEUS Dollar Weakness:
Expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts put downward pressure on the US dollar. When markets anticipate lower interest rates, it generally makes the currency less attractive to investors.
Economic data, such as weaker-than-expected US employment figures, can reinforce these expectations and further weaken the dollar.
Also, concerns about US trade tarrifs, and the potential negative effects they bring to the US economy, also has a weakening effect on the USD.
USDCHF LIVE TRADE SHORT 300pip TARGET"Recent economic data discrepancies between the U.S. and Switzerland are influencing USD/CHF. If Swiss data is better than US data, that will strengthen the CHF against the USD. We are below or vwaps and broken our true support zones.
