CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF Next Week Possible TrendBased on this week's cycles in Swiss Franc/Dollar, we can expect to move towards a sellside liquidity from next week.
Of course, everything is possible and again, more patience than the previous analysis will show the result.
According to the divergence data with the dollar index and the reaction to the 4H Fair value gap
We can consider liquidity pulling downward
But trades should be time-sensitive and according to a trading plan and complete risk management.
As a rule, this analysis will be updated over time.
Be successful and rich.
UPDATE ON USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 4H - With this market we are wanting to see price break down also, we have seen that price has broken structure to the downside on the extreme higher timeframes. Price has recently come back up to test the neckline it broke.
It just so happens that there is also a FVG here, giving us multiple pieces of confluence suggest a potential area of interest for price to come and reverse from.
Now that we have seen price trade into this area, its important we wait for confirmation of a reversal as well as entry confirmation before we look to execute any short positions in the market.
Once we see price break the last protected low, we will then have the confirmation needed to suggest a reversal in this current trend, confirming the start of the next impulse to the downside. I will update you all when I have something.
USDCHFFalling wedge formation (or triangle):
The upper boundary is the resistance line connecting the lower highs.
The lower boundary is the support line running along the local lows.
The wedge is narrowing - a classic sign of potential volatility compression before the exit.
Three touches of the lower boundary (orange circles):
This confirms the strength of the support level.
Repeated rebounds from the same level increase the probability of its upward breakout.
Possible scenario (yellow arrows):
Another upward rebound is expected within the wedge.
If there is a breakout of the upper boundary of the wedge with momentum - this is a confirmation of the bullish signal
Forecast:
Base scenario: wedge breakout upwards and growth.
Alternative risk: if the price breaks the support level downwards
(where there were 3 touches), this will be the invalidation of the pattern - a sharp collapse is possible.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on USD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.820 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF..4h chart pattern..I'm considering a **BUY trade on USD/CHF** with an **entry at 0.83170** and a **target at 0.8600**. Let's analyze this trade setup:
### **Trade Summary (USD/CHF Buy)**
- **Entry:** 0.83170
- **Target:** 0.8600
- **Potential Gain:** **283 pips** (0.8600 - 0.83170 = 0.0283)
### **Key Considerations:**
1. **Current Market Context:**
- USD/CHF has been influenced by **USD strength** or **CHF weakness**.
- Check recent economic data (e.g., US inflation, Fed policy vs. SNB actions).
- If the **Swiss National Bank (SNB) is dovish** or the **Fed is hawkish**, this trade could work.
2. **Technical Levels:**
- **Support:** If 0.8317 is a key support (e.g., recent swing low), buying here makes sense.
- **Resistance:** 0.8600 is a psychological level and may act as strong resistance.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Consider placing a stop below a recent low (e.g., 0.8250 or lower).
3. **Risk Management:**
- A **283-pip profit** is sizable, but ensure your **risk-reward ratio** is favorable (e.g., 1:2 or better).
- Example: If your stop loss is **100 pips**, your risk-reward is **~1:2.8**, which is good.
4. **Fundamental Triggers:**
- Watch for **US CPI, Fed speeches, or SNB interventions**.
- If the **USD strengthens further**, this trade could accelerate upward.
### **Final Thoughts:**
- This trade has a **strong potential** if USD continues upward momentum.
- **Monitor resistance levels** (0.8400, 0.8500) for possible pullbacks.
- **Always use a stop loss** to protect against unexpected reversals.
Would you like help with **stop-loss placement** or **technical confirmation signals**? 🚀
Could the price reverse from here?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85076
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8619
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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USDCHF Trade Opportunity AnalysisGood morning, esteemed traders,
Today, I would like to bring your attention to a significant trading opportunity regarding the USDCHF currency pair. After experiencing a considerable decline throughout April, we have observed a consolidation phase lasting over a month. Importantly, USDCHF has attempted to breach the resistance level at approximately 0.8343 on three separate occasions, indicating strong interest at this pivotal price point.
Notably, we witnessed a false breakdown earlier this week, which likely served to lure additional sellers into the market. This move has set the stage for a potential bullish breakout . I anticipate a target of 322 pips from this trade, positioning it as a medium-term opportunity with an attractive Risk-to-Reward ratio of 1:2.
Here are the particulars for this trade setup:
- Entry Price: 0.8343
- Stop Loss: 0.8181
- Profit Target: 0.8666
As always, I encourage you to conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before entering any positions. Wishing you all profitable trading.
Best regards,
Ehsan
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCHF Confirmed bottom Buy SignalLast time we looked at the USDCHF pair was three months ago (February 05 2025, see chart below) and it gave us the best sell signal possible, easily hitting our 0.8400 Target:
This time the long-term price action has transitioned into a Megaphone pattern, whose bottom was reached on the April 21 Low. At the same time the 1D RSI hit the 18.90 Support, which has been the Ultimate Buy Signal for the August 05 2024 and December 28 2023 Lows.
Since the price has been rebounding since, we view this as a confirmed buy signal and the start of the Megaphone's new Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by +10% and +10.67% respectively so a mere repeat of the +10% rally, will hit at least 0.88000.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift
USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing.
Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures.
🌍 What’s Driving the Market?
1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight
Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD.
2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF
SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case.
3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty
While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD.
📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook
Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely.
We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range.
📌 Key Levels
BUY ZONE:
→ 0.8265 – 0.8245
SL: 0.8200
TP targets:
→ 0.8325
→ 0.8365
→ 0.8425
→ 0.8585
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup is range-to-breakout biased.
If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone.
Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence.
Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected.
📣 Final Thoughts
USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand.
✅ Wait for price to come to your zone.
⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility.
🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
USDCHF set for big move? Fed meeting could trigger breakoutUSDCHF is stuck in a tight range ahead of today’s Fed meeting, with technical patterns pointing to a possible breakout. A dovish Fed could trigger a move toward 0.8872 or lower, with risk-reward setups as high as 11:1.
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Day 1 of turning £20 to £1million in 1 yearThis is day one of the challenge turning 20gbp to 1 million GBP within 1 year.
Expressed thoughts on some fundamentals going on right now and the approach for this week. This was posted 15 minutes before market open on a Sunday. Let the fun commence.
Ideally trying to complete this before 11th May 2026 hitting 1 million by then.