USDCHF Swing trade update 26/02/2025For those tracking USDCHF, we finally got the break & close below 0.90410, with the daily candle settling at 0.89200. Now watching for a break & retest of 0.89200 on lower timeframes for additional sell entries. Short-term bearish bias remains unless we see a pullback and a break above 0.90410.
CHFUSD trade ideas
USD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly LowUSD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly Low
As shown in the USD/CHF chart, the exchange rate dipped below 0.89250 Swiss francs per US dollar yesterday—the lowest level since December 2024. The Swiss franc, often seen as a safe-haven currency, may gain appeal due to:
→ heightened geopolitical tensions;
→ uncertainty surrounding Trump's plans to impose trade tariffs on 4 March.
Technical Analysis of USD/CHF
Fluctuations in 2025 have formed a downward channel (marked in red), with bearish sentiment prevailing in February as key psychological levels continue to be breached (as indicated by arrows):
→ in mid-February, bears pushed the price down from 0.905;
→ later, 0.900 acted as resistance.
If bearish momentum persists, further resistance may emerge around 0.895 and the median of the downward channel.
The upcoming market direction will likely be influenced by key economic data releases:
→ Swiss GDP (11:00 GMT+3) and US GDP (16:30 GMT+3) tomorrow;
→ US Core PCE Price Index (16:30 GMT+3) on Friday—an important inflation gauge.
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USD/CHF - Strong supply level.Hi all, been having a pretty successful run recently. Stay tuned for more updates or follow me for more.
Currently at a Strong Resistance level.
Price has sold off pretty heavily from this level and we will be looking for a retracement to sell further down once again.
Currently price has made a Descending Wedge pattern signalling to me as a Bullish breakout towards this supply zone.
Taking out all buy side liquidity before selling off to sell side liquidity for external views. Looking for a 50PIP stop to a 300PIP return.
Follow if you wish to stay connected or message for more understanding
USD/CHF Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 USD/CHF Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe
📊 Current Price: 0.89450
🔍 Market Structure: Bullish Reversal Setup
📌 Key Levels:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support):
• 0.89139 - 0.89335
🔴 Supply Zones (Resistance):
• 0.90892 - 0.90933
• 0.91171 - 0.91228
• 0.91441 - 0.91552
📈 Entry Plan – Long Setup
🔹 Buy Zone: 0.89139 - 0.89335 (Fib 0.618 - 0.786)
🎯 Target: 0.91171 - 0.91228
⚠️ Key Observations:
• Market is reacting to a strong demand zone.
• Expecting a bullish push towards liquidity zones.
• Break above 0.91552 may indicate a trend continuation.
#FXFOREVER #USDCHF #SmartMoney #SMC #Liquidity #OrderBlock #Forex #Trading
Usdchf Trade UpdateAnother pair I caught a set up on is UsdChf. Price was overall bearish & respected a high where I then decided to take shorts for a 1:3rr. With price still being overall bearish I would like to see some type of pullback for a retest. Entry will depend on how the smaller times frames move towards the level. If price shows bullish structures before the retest then I’ll wait for structure to flip or if price hits the level to retest & pushes above I’ll wait on a bearish candle to crash back below for entry for another 1:3rr.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish RiseBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 0.8920, which is a swing low support that aligns close to the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 78.6% Fibo projection.
Our take profit will be at 0.8956, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8097, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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Analysis W9 - USD/CHF 15-Minute ChartAnalysis: USD/CHF (15-Minute Chart)
Long Entry: Entry at the marked blue line.
Take Profit: Target is the upper green line at 0.92000.
Stop-Loss (three red lines):
The three red lines mark a critical area.
As long as the price moves within these lines, no trade will be opened.
A buy order will only be placed once the price reaches the Long Entry line.
Warning: If all three red lines are broken – do not buy!
Bullish rebound off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8902
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8849
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8968
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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PREPARING FOR THE NEXT SHORT OPPORTUNITYUSD/CHF 4H - I am currently waiting for price to pullback up and into the Supply Zone I have marked out as this would act as a great area to get involved in shorts from.
This market is quite clearly bearish at the moment and until we have a break in one of the last protected highs we should be looking to short this market, trading with the prevailing trend.
I have gone ahead and marked out an area of Demand I feel price may reverse from, with this market being bullish on the higher timeframes price is currently within a corrective phase.
Once price trades down and into the Demand Zone below I feel this will be the area to look to go long from longer term as this should be the area that price sets a higher timeframe higher low.
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Reversal at Key SupportThe USD/CHF pair is currently trading near a significant support level around 0.8950, with bullish signals emerging. The harmonic Bat pattern suggests a potential reversal, aligning with historical price reactions at similar levels. Additionally, the presence of green buy markers and RSI indicators approaching oversold conditions indicate possible upward momentum.
If price sustains above the 0.8950 region, a bullish move towards 0.9000 and beyond could unfold, with further resistance around 0.9120. Confirmation of reversal signs, such as bullish candlestick formations and RSI divergence, will strengthen the case for a recovery.
USDCHF Bearish Breakdown on 4H Chart: Double Top FormationUSDCHF has confirmed a Double Top pattern, followed by a trendline breakout, signaling potential downside momentum. The rejection from the resistance zone led to a breakdown, aligning with Fibonacci extension targets. The first bearish target (Level 1) is set at 0.89215, with a further drop toward (Level 2) at 0.88661 if selling pressure continues.
USD/CHF NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
USDCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.8975 pivot level.
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9038
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8952
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF INTRADAY testing important support at 0.8946 The USDCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the rising support zone.
The key trading level is at 0.8946, the previous consolidation price range, and the rising support trendline (Daily timeframe) zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 0.8946 level could target the upside resistance at 0.9033 followed by the 0.9087 and 0.9120 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 0.8946 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 0.8913 support level followed by 0.8860.
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Will USDCHF Rise from the Support Zone?When the USDCHF daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the USDCHF 0.8821 support level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.8919 level may exceed the 0.9436 level and target the 1.0030 level.
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Potential Toward 0.92USDCHF is currently trading at 0.899 and forming a bullish flag pattern, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.92 target. The bullish flag is a strong continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp upward move, followed by a consolidation phase. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s resistance, it could trigger a new bullish wave, driving USDCHF higher.
Technically, the bullish flag suggests that buyers are accumulating positions before the next breakout. A confirmed breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, with increased volume, could validate the uptrend. Traders should watch key resistance zones and look for strong bullish candlestick formations to confirm the breakout momentum toward 0.92.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. If economic data from the US continues to show resilience, the dollar could gain further strength against the Swiss franc. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy stance, which has remained relatively dovish, could contribute to CHF weakness, supporting the bullish outlook for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is currently consolidating within a bullish flag, preparing for a potential breakout toward 0.92. A strong move above resistance, combined with bullish fundamentals, could accelerate the upside momentum. Traders should keep an eye on US economic data and risk sentiment to confirm the trade setup.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90800 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89000(or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
US Economic Trends: The US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by consumer spending and business investment.
Swiss Economic Trends: The Swiss economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025, driven by exports and investment .
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, while the Swiss National Bank is expected to maintain a negative interest rate policy.
Trade Policies: The US-Switzerland trade relationship is expected to remain stable, with no major changes in trade policies anticipated.
⚫Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024 .
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets.
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🔵COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have reduced their net long positions in USD/CHF to 35%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.6, indicating a bearish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in USD/CHF futures has decreased by 8% over the past month, indicating declining investor interest
🟢Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -30
🟡Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 0.9104, 200-period SMA: 0.9034.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 38.21, daily chart: 34.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 0.90200 (lower band), 0.9124 (upper band).
🟠Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for USD/CHF is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected decline in US interest rates, slower Swiss economic growth, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected economic data releases.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩