CHFUSD trade ideas
How to Trade USDCHF 's Downtrend with Precision📉 Market Breakdown: USDCHF Under Pressure
Currently keeping a close watch on USDCHF 💵🇨🇭 — the pair has been in a strong, sustained bearish trend 🔻, and the overall pressure remains clearly to the downside.
My bias is firmly bearish 📊, but I’m not rushing in. Instead, I’m patiently waiting for an optimal entry 🎯 — one that offers the right balance of confluence, structure, and reduced risk 🧠🛡️.
🎥 In today’s video, we dive into:
✅ Market structure
✅ Price action
✅ The prevailing trend
✅ Entry zones with minimized risk
I also walk you through my personal entry strategy and trading plan 📋, it's not just an idea drop.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice — the content is for educational purposes only.
USD/CHF H4 | Swing-high resistance at a Fibonacci confluenceUSD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8012 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50% retracements.
Stop loss is at 0.8050 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7962 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Forex: Weekly Review...USD in the douldrums USD weakness was the stand out theme for the week starting Monday 22 June. Abated Middle East and tariff concerns, softening US data and hawkish FED board members turning dovish, all combined to ensure the dollar was the week's laggard.
It's interesting that the EUR and particularly the CHF outshone, which meant AUD CHF went down despite the 'risk on' environment. This could be attributed to general USD liquidity skewing the other currencies against each other, although I did read that the EUR and CHF are benefitting from relatively high holdings of gold. Which is a narrative I'll be keeping an eye on.
The president did try to ruffle some tariff feathers on Friday, but currently the market sees any tariff negativity as a buying opportunity. And as the new week begins, I envision last week's themes will remain in place, I wouldn't rule out a 'general risk on' trade. But it's difficult to make a case to short any other currency other than the USD.
In other news, I didn't particularly notice any other news. Except perhaps to mention CAD weakness, which I put down to proximity to the US and also the reversal of the Middle East trade (namely the oil price reversing recent gains). There is a case to say a CAD short is viable, but whilst the 4hr swings on USD CAD are heading downwards, it's likely the USD will remain the better short.
On a personal note, I only managed one trade. AUD CHF long. Which went sideways for a couple of days before stopping out. Ultimately it turned out a USD short would have been a better option. But at the time I placed the trade, It looked like the dollar was recovering against the CHF and at that point I hadn't read about the possibility CHF is benefitting from the SNB gold reserves.
When I realised a USD short would have been better, should I have manually closed the trade and placed a USD short?
There is a case to yes. But personally, I'd rather make a decision in the moment...and let that decision play out. Rather than going down the emotional rabbit hole of interfering with the original decision.
The higher risk reward per trade will ultimately take care of your account.
Personally, from a trading perspective, it was a tough month and I'm glad to see the back of June, as I always say, the only thing that matters is how you move forward.
Please feel free to offer any thoughts or questions.
Results:
Trade 1: AUD CHF -1
Total = -1%
Total since start of blog = +39% (risking 1% per trade)
Swissy Heist: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Blueprint🚨 Swissy Heist Alert: USD/CHF Bearish Breakout Plan for Swing/Day Traders 🌐💸
Hello, Wealth Chasers and Market Mavericks! 👋😎
Welcome to the Thief Trading Strategy, a cunning blend of technical precision and fundamental insight to conquer the USD/CHF Forex market. This is your blueprint to pull off a masterful heist on "The Swissy." Follow the plan, target the high-reward Green Zone, and navigate the traps where bullish players lurk. Let’s grab those pips and treat ourselves to the spoils! 💰🎯
📈 Trade Blueprint: USD/CHF Setup
Market: USD/CHF (Forex) 🌍
Bias: Bearish Breakout 📉
Timeframe: 4H (Swing/Day Trade) ⏰
Entry Plan 📊:
Breakout Strategy: Wait for a confirmed break below the Neutral Zone at 0.81800. Set Sell Stop orders just below 0.81800 to surf the bearish momentum. 🚀
Pullback Strategy: For safer entries, place Sell Limit orders at the nearest 15M/30M swing high (e.g., 0.82100–0.82300) after a support break. 📍
Pro Tip: Activate a price alert at 0.81800 to catch the breakout live! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Set your Stop Loss above the nearest 4H swing high (e.g., 0.82750) for swing/day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open positions.
Target 🎯: Aim for 0.80700 or exit early to secure profits.
💡 Why the Bearish Bias?
The USD/CHF is showing strong bearish momentum, fueled by technical patterns and fundamental drivers. Key factors include:
Technicals: Recent support at 0.81931–0.82120 held briefly but failed to sustain bullish momentum, reinforcing a bearish tilt below key moving averages (100/200-hour MAs).
Fundamentals: Safe-haven demand for the Swiss Franc persists amid global uncertainties, with bearish patterns like an inverse cup and handle signaling further downside. For a deeper dive, check fundamental reports, COT data, sentiment analysis, and intermarket trends via Linkks🔗
⚠️ Volatility Warning: News Impact 📰
News releases can spike volatility and disrupt price action. To protect your trades:
Avoid opening new positions during major news events.
Use trailing stops to lock in gains and shield running positions.
💪 Join the Heist!
Support this Thief Trading Strategy by smashing the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s strengthen our crew and make pips effortlessly. With this plan, you’re equipped to navigate the USD/CHF market like a pro. Stay sharp, and I’ll be back with the next heist plan soon! 🐱👤💸
Happy trading, and let’s steal those profits! 😎🎉
USD-CHF Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF keeps falling down
And the pair broke the key
Horizontal level of 0.8090
Decisively so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move down next week
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF H1 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8041 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8090 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7979 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF Forms Bullish Gartley, Targets Upside Despite Bearish BiaChart pattern- Bullish Gartley pattern
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)- 0.8070
USDCHF pare most of its gains improving risk mood. It hits an intraday low of 0.80877 and is currently trading around 0.80866. Intraday bias appears to be bearish as long as the resistance 0.8140 holds.
Technical Analysis Points to Further Upside
The pair is trading below the 55-EMA, 200 EMA and 365 EMA on the 4-hour chart indicates a bearish trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8140 any break above targets 0.8180/0.8250/0.8300.
Support Levels and Potential Declines
On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8080, any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8000/0.7920.
Indicators (1-Hour)
CCI (50) - Bearish
Directional movement Index - Bearish
Trading Strategy Recommendation
It is good to buy on dips around 0.8070 with a stop-loss at 0.8040 for a TP of 0.8185..
USDCHF - TIME FOR RECOVERYTeam, USDCHF has been selling off last few days
Time to make AMERICAN greater again, lolz
This price is good for entry
Please ensure once it hit your 1st target, bring STOP LOSS TO BE
Always take 50-70% from your current volume
TODAY, we short AUS200 target hit
also DAX short also hit.
Now, lets focus on USDCHF!
USD/CHF – T/F:1H - Potential Bullish Reversal SetupWe're watching USD/CHF closely for a bullish trend reversal. The pair is currently in a bearish trend, but a clear bullish divergence has formed—signaling early momentum shift.
According to Myfxbook sentiment data, 92% of retail traders are holding long positions, indicating strong bullish interest in this pair. However, we are waiting for confirmation via breakout of the last lower high (LH) before entering the trade.
Trade Details:
🔹 Pair: USD/CHF
🔹 Trend: Bearish (reversal expected)
🔹 Divergence: Bullish
🔹 Sentiment: 92% Long (Myfxbook)
🔹 Entry: Buy Stop at 0.81334 (after LH breakout)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.80966
🔹 Take Profit: 0.81702
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Trade will only be activated after confirmation of breakout above the last LH, signaling the start of a bullish structure.
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USDCHF resistance retest at 0.8195 The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8195, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8195 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8100, followed by 0.8065 and 0.8035 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8195 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8215, then 0.8240.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8195. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF – Short Setup Following 5-Wave CompletionUSDCHF Sell Limit
Entry: 0.8185
Target: 0.8117
Stop Loss: 0.8210
Duration: Intraday
Expires : 24/06/2025 08:00
Technical Overview
A 5-wave bullish Elliott Wave sequence appears to have completed at 0.8216, suggesting a corrective phase may follow.
Price is testing bespoke resistance at 0.8185, where we anticipate fresh selling interest.
Although mild early-session buying is possible, upside is expected to be limited, and the broader view favors further downside.
We prefer to initiate short positions early, targeting a move back toward 0.8117.
Two key U.S. PMI reports (Manufacturing & Services) are scheduled for 16:45 UTC, potentially adding short-term volatility.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 0.8185 / 0.8210 / 0.8216
Support: 0.8140 / 0.8117 / 0.8085
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.