CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8268, an overlap support ,
Our take profit is set at 0.8395 an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8209, an overlap support.
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Skeptic | USD/CHF Analysis: Short Setups Ready to Pop!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the week with a sharp USD/CHF analysis, a pair that’s flashing some juicy short opportunities! 📉 Stick around as I break down why this could be a prime setup. Let’s dive in with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
USD/CHF has been rocking a major bullish trend, but in recent weeks, it’s slipped into a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This tells us the bullish momentum is still alive and kicking. The last candle, closed on May 12, was a full bearish engulfing pattern, showing that despite the correction, buyer strength is weak, and sellers are taking over. Because of this, if our short triggers activate, we could ride the continuation of the major bullish trend (likely a typo in the original, as the context suggests a bearish move for shorts) and target levels at 0.81904 and 0.80865 . If 0.80865 breaks, per Dow Theory, the major bullish trend officially resumes, and we can open shorts with more confidence and higher risk. With this big-picture view, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
For our short setup, the main trigger is a break below the support at 0.83264 . As you can see, we’ve reacted to this support twice, but each time, we formed lower highs, signaling this support is getting weaker and weaker. This makes a break more likely. You could place a stop sell below this level, but personally, I wait for a breakout candle on the 15-minute timeframe to confirm. For a long setup, I’m not opening longs until we consolidate above 0.83902 and see uptrend momentum return. The risk of hitting a stop loss is too high otherwise, and since we’d be trading against the main trend, sudden reversals are likely, giving us a lower R/R. 😎
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8304
1st Support: 0.8084
1st Resistance: 0.8501
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USDCHF LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.84
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
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: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
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USDCHF ANALYSISPrice retested weekly support and turned it into resistance. On the daily tf, price has formed HL& HH, so it could push up towards the daily resistance near 0.86000. Price is still overall bearish so be mindful when trading the counter trend. The h4 is on a bearish counter trend so I'd wait to see if price breaks h4 support for sells or break the counter trend line and retest it for buys.
USDCHF 30M | Fair Value Gap Sell Setup Inside Bearish Channel📊 USD/CHF Smart Money Breakdown — May 16, 2025
Here’s a clean SMC-driven setup where price respects the bearish order flow, taps a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and rejects right at liquidity inducement levels.
Let’s break it down 👇
🔍 1. Context
Price is respecting a descending channel structure
Clean internal liquidity run up into:
✅ FVG zone from prior imbalance
✅ Top of bearish channel trendline
This is a classic liquidity sweep before expansion lower
🎯 2. Entry Plan
Entry zone: 0.8375–0.8391 (FVG zone shaded in red)
Stop loss: Just above 0.8391 (invalidates FVG zone)
Target zone:
🟢 TP1 → 0.8340 (minor inefficiency fill)
🟢 TP2 → 0.8327 (liquidity resting at the low)
➡️ RR ratio is about 1:3 on full target — clean sniper range!
📉 3. Smart Money Logic
Retail likely triggered buy orders into that FVG zone
Institutions tap FVG for premium entry
Price already printing rejection wicks — early signs of displacement
Watch for confirmation via:
Bearish engulfing candle close
Break of minor bullish structure on 5m
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch out for USD fundamental news that might cause a fakeout spike
Let price confirm breakdown before stacking entries
💬 Do you trust the FVG? Or think price will smash through?
🧠 Drop your confluence in the comments below and follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision setups like this every day.
USDCHF looks ready to resume the downtrend .the week of 19 May The area between 0.8434 and 0.8330 has been a strong support all year but got broken to the downside on 10 April. Since then, this pair gave several day trades as it pulled back to the zone (see my previous posts). As my daily chart shows, the recent retracement helped price to catch up to the 50ema and is now nicely below it.
I will be monitoring price action also on H4 to confirm if my analysis is correct and act if appropriate. We could be looking at a trade with +350 pips potential in uncertain times (due to unconventional Trumpeconomics) so I would be prepared for large swings and the need to hold the trade for extended time periods.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
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USDCHF Breakout in Progress – Reversal from Key Support?#USDCHF
**Pair:** USDCHF
**Current Price:** ~0.8265
**Bias:** Bullish
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**Analysis:**
USDCHF appears to be forming a **base structure near the 0.8265 level**, where buyers are gradually stepping in. The price has broken above a short-term consolidation zone (highlighted in red) and is now attempting to push higher.
This move suggests a potential **reversal from the recent downtrend**, especially if the price holds above the **0.8265 key support**. A successful breakout and retest scenario could propel USDCHF toward the **0.8600** and even **0.9000** levels.
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**Technical Highlights:**
- **Support Level:** 0.8265 (established demand zone)
- **Breakout Pattern:** Consolidation breakout
- **Upside Target Zones:** 0.8600 and 0.9000
- **Invalidation:** Close below 0.8265
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**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Watch for a bullish retest above 0.8265 for continuation plays. Confirmation with bullish momentum may open the path to medium-term upside targets.
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> **Disclaimer:**
> This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and manage your risk carefully. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor.
USDCHF Short Term Buy Trade Update!!!The exchange rate of the US dollar against the Swiss franc is moving in a narrow range, trading around 0.8390 in the Asian session. After the sharp decline in April, the exchange rate is trying to bottom out and stabilize, but technical indicators suggest that the downside risk still exists. Meanwhile, the improvement in global trade relations and the change in the outlook of the Federal Reserve's policy are reshaping the market risk sentiment, thus affecting the Swiss franc, a safe - haven currency.
The Bollinger Bands indicator shows that the upper band is 0.8468, the middle band is 0.8259, and the lower band is 0.8049. The exchange rate is currently above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, but there is still a distance from the upper band, indicating that the upward space may be limited. In addition, the CCI indicator reading is 129.7512, which has entered the overbought area, suggesting that there may be callback pressure in the short term.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
USD/CHF 1H – Bearish Trend Supported by SNR Breakdown & AO Conv**Key Observations:**
1. **Support and Resistance (SNR) Dynamics:**
- The pair has breached critical support levels at **0.83952** and **0.83933**, signaling weakening bullish defense.
- Next immediate support lies at **0.83500**, followed by **0.83200**. A breakdown below these levels could accelerate bearish momentum.
- Previous supports (e.g., 0.84200–0.83952) now act as resistance, with **0.83933** serving as a key level for bears to defend.
2. **Awesome Oscillator (AO) Convergence:**
- The AO histogram shows a clear bearish shift, declining from **+0.01500** to **-0.00500**. This transition into negative territory reflects increasing downward momentum.
- The **convergence** between price action (lower lows) and the AO’s downward trajectory confirms bearish alignment.
**Bearish Outlook:**
- The breakdown below SNR levels, coupled with AO’s bearish convergence, suggests a high-probability downtrend.
- A sustained close below **0.83933** could target **0.83500** and **0.83200**. A retest of the former support-turned-resistance (0.83933–0.84200) would offer an entry opportunity for shorts.
**Risk Management:**
- A bullish invalidation would occur if price reclaims **0.84200** with AO reversing above zero.
- Place stop-loss above **0.84200** for short positions.
**Conclusion:**
USD/CHF favors bears on the 1H timeframe. Monitor SNR levels and AO for confirmation of continued downside.
**#Forex #USDCHF #TechnicalAnalysis**
UsdChf Trade IdeaUC is currently at a higher time frame level of support. I'll personally be looking for shorts if price on the smaller time frames can give a shift in structure to support the short idea. If all goes well we could expect the low at 81095 to get tapped into again. Obviously I wouldn't be targeting that low. I'll be looking for a 1:3 - 1:4rr. We'll see what happens.
USDCHF - Potential SellHi Traders,
Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:USDCHF
BIAS: SELL
Logical Analysis:
The STORE is giving a discount big time on this pair. The problem is to find buyers and make some business.
Price is now at an area where buyers were not interested in which make be believe that a discount is going to be given.
Technical Analysis: See Chart
Good Luck
USDCHF 30M Smart Money Entry from Demand — Watch This Level🧠 USDCHF 30M | SMC Precision Entry
Let’s break down this sniper play on USDCHF that’s setting up right from a Smart Money demand zone.
🔻 1. Liquidity Sweep Into Demand
Price broke structure earlier, then pulled back into a clear demand block.
We saw liquidity grabbed beneath multiple swing lows before this sharp rejection.
This is classic Smart Money accumulation — they take out weak hands before pumping it up.
🧱 2. Order Block + FVG Alignment
Price is reacting off a refined OB zone (marked in red) with a Fair Value Gap right above.
That OB was the last down move before the push up, and price just tapped into it clean.
The overlap of these two areas adds confluence for bulls.
📈 3. Entry + TP Setup (RRR ≈ 3:1)
📍 Entry Zone: 0.84070 – 0.84200 (inside OB)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below OB, around 0.84000
✅ Take Profit: 0.84750 (clean imbalance above)
There’s a wide imbalance zone above, which price may be magnetized toward.
🔥 4. Why This Works
✅ Liquidity Grab
✅ OB + FVG Confluence
✅ Bullish Reaction Wicks
✅ Tight SL Below Structure
✅ Clean RRR
This setup is Smart Money 101 — let them sweep, you step in with precision 💯
💬 Drop “📍USDCHF OB Tap” if you saw this coming.
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for SMC setups that work.
USDCHF BUY TRADE PLAN🟢 Swing BUY Plan
📈 Market Bias & Type
* Type: Swing Continuation Buy
* Bias: Bullish (Confirmed HTF structure shift from April lows)
* D1: BOS confirmed after clean liquidity sweep
* H4: Higher highs, healthy pullback expected
🔰 Confidence Level: 85%
Factor Score
D1 Break of Structure ✅ 20%
OB + FVG Confluence ✅ 25%
Volume Displacement ✅ 20%
Liquidity Sweep Structure ✅ 20%
📍 Entry Zones
Zone Price Range Structure Reference
Primary 0.8320 – 0.8290 D1 OB + FVG Sweep Base
Secondary 0.8385 – 0.8345 H4 OB w/ D1 wick imbalance
❗ Stop Loss
SL = 0.8250
→ Below OB origin and March structure sweep
🎯 Take Profits
TP Level Reason
TP1 0.8460 Revisit of recent high
TP2 0.8540 March supply zone
TP3 0.8610 Weekly imbalance target
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5–1.0%
* Breakeven at TP1
* Trail after TP2 using 4H structure
* Scale-in from Secondary Zone if rejection candle forms
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* H1 Bullish Engulfing / Rejection ✅
* Volume spike ✅
* No H1 CHoCH against entry ✅
⏳ Validity
* Primary Zone: Valid 48–72 Hours
* Secondary Zone: Valid 24 Hours from test
❌ Invalidation
* D1 Close below 0.8250
* Momentum breakdown across sessions