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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025 - USDCHF broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance levels 0.8500 and 0.8600 USDCHF currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 0.8325 (which stopped the previous waves A and (b)) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from April. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the middle of last month. Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance levels 0.8500 and 0.8600.
Long
by FxProGlobal
USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.842. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.830 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Regains StrengthMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Regains Strength USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward the 0.8400 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8265 resistance zone. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8300 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from the 0.8200 support. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.8245 resistance zone against the Swiss Franc. The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8300. A high was formed at 0.8340 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8185 swing low to the 0.8340 high. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8300. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 0.8340. The main resistance is now near 0.8350. If there is a clear break above the 0.8350 resistance zone and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8400. If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 0.8300 level. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8265 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8185 swing low to the 0.8340 high. The next key support is near the 0.8245 level. A downside break below 0.8245 might spark bearish moves. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8200 level in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
#USDCHF #ICT #COT I’m bullish on USD/CHF, expecting a rally as the dollar gains traction. The latest COT data suggests Non-Commercial speculators are adding to CHF futures shorts (net short rising past -24,314 after a prior 915-contract cut), signaling growing bearishness on CHF and fading safe-haven demand—a clear catalyst for USD strength. The DXY, despite an 11% drop since January, shows short-term resilience at 99.86 (up 0.03% on May 8), with U.S. data (e.g., services sector) boosting confidence, even amid global uncertainties. On the chart, a weekly opening gap above 7th April (0.85430) acts as a magnet, likely pulling USD/CHF higher toward resistance at 0.8500-0.8550. SNB intervention risks loom if CHF weakens too fast, but the setup screams USD/CHF upside. 📈
Long
by ict_whiz
USDCHF Trade Idea, AMD PATTERN: last trade of the week for meClean setup unfolding on USDCHF! After grabbing liquidity near the weekly low (0.81924), price showed strength and reversed with conviction (AMD Pattern). Entered long from the refined demand zone and now eyeing the weekly high at 0.83317 as target. 📌 Trade Breakdown: 🔹 Entry Zone: Bullish reaction from demand 🔹 Confluence: Liquidity sweep + internal structure shift 🔹 Target: Weekly high zone at 0.83317 🔹 Risk/Reward: Solid R:R with protected downside below recent low Let’s see if bulls can maintain momentum and drive us to TP! 📈🔥 #USDCHF #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexTrading #LiquiditySweep #TradingView #TradeSetu
Long
by JrillzFX
USDCHF INTRADAY sideways consolidation Recent price action in USDCHF suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 0.8300 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 0.8130, followed by 0.8090 and 0.8050. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.8300, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, USDCHF could target 0.8365, with further resistance at 0.8400 and 0.8470. Conclusion: The price remains below pivotal level, with 0.8300 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
TOKYO knows something...SUS @ 0.8270OANDA:USDCHF Tokyo opened as usual...but so hard to swallow...that they control direction of USD and more surprisingly CHF... btw...just shorted USDCHF ...watch this 🙈 SUS @ 0.8270 and y'all what that means for Gold 🪙🥇 😉 sorry no trendlines OB or FVG or fib ...since unreliable for execution of investment grade...they monitor DD and other KPIs like RR and return in K/hr... this is a system generated alert based on statistical significance...kinda like math. can't predict manipulation magnitude...but usually -33p...our SL is $ value based on position size... 🥂
Short
by ADVISOR_fx
USD/CHF: Break and Retest of Broken SupportUSD/CHF has broken down from a long-term range — and is now retesting that breakdown area as the market weighs diverging macro signals. With safe-haven demand lifting the franc and improving US data supporting the dollar, this is a classic battle between structure and sentiment. Flight to Safety vs Improving US Economic Data The initial break lower in April came as money flowed into the franc on a wave of risk aversion and safe-haven demand following Trump’s tariff announcement. But sentiment has shifted in recent weeks. Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report showed stronger-than-expected job creation and a rise in labour force participation, while weekly hours remained steady. Although wage growth softened slightly, there was nothing in the data to accelerate rate cut bets — and that’s given the dollar some breathing room. At the same time, the Swiss National Bank is facing the opposite challenge. Annual CPI for April came in flat at 0.0%, down from 0.3% in March and uncomfortably close to outright deflation. With the SNB already having delivered a rate cut in March — ahead of the Fed — markets are now questioning whether negative interest rates could return if inflation stays subdued. That policy divergence has fuelled a modest retracement in USD/CHF over the past fortnight. Retesting the Breakdown On the weekly candle chart, the break of long-term support in April marked a decisive shift in structure. The pair had been trapped in a wide range for months, but the sell-off sliced through the bottom of that range, confirming bearish momentum and ushering in a new phase of downside exploration. Since then, we’ve seen a period of sideways consolidation as USD/CHF grinds along the lower end of the chart. Crucially, the pair has now retested that old support level — and it’s struggling to reclaim it. Price has stalled beneath this zones, which reinforces the idea that it has flipped from support to resistance. USD/CHF Weekly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zooming in on the daily chart, the recent bounce off April’s lows has run into trouble. Price action over the last week has carved out a small double top-type formation following the retracement — not a classic top in the trend sense, but a clear sign of hesitation. This stalling comes right at the 21EMA, offering dynamic resistance in line with the broader bearish trend. A clean break below last week’s lows would be a strong signal that the corrective bounce is over — and could open the door for a retest of April’s low, or potentially deeper downside, in line with the prevailing trend and market structure. This is a classic break-and-retest setup — and with fundamentals pushing in both directions, the technical levels will likely determine who wins the next round. USD/CHF Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
PREPARING FOR SHORT POSITIONSUSD/CHF 4H - With this market we are simply waiting for price to finish correcting itself, trading price up and into the Supply Zone above. Once it has done we can then look to go short. We want to see price trade up and into this zone as we can expect enough Supply to be introduced to flip the balance. Those who bought into the market will look to remove orders, essentially taking profit and those looking to short will be looking to enter in once confirmation has been given to get involved. Confirmation will come via a break of structure to the downside, its tells us that the correction has finished and the new impulse is ready to take place. The end of one trend and the start of another, once we have that confirmation, we look inside the impulse that broke the structure for areas that price can pullback up and into, this is to set a lower high before the next move lower.
Short
by Lukegforex
ORBimport pandas as pd import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # Load your data (CSV must have 'Datetime', 'Open', 'High', 'Low', 'Close') df = pd.read_csv('EURUSD_15min.csv', parse_dates= ) df.set_index('Datetime', inplace=True) # Define the ORB time window (e.g., 9:00 to 9:15) orb_start = '09:00:00' orb_end = '09:15:00' # Extract opening range orb_range = df.between_time(orb_start, orb_end) orb_high = orb_range .max() orb_low = orb_range .min() # Identify breakout df = df > orb_high df = df < orb_low # Plot breakout levels and entries plt.figure(figsize=(14,6)) plt.plot(df , label='Close Price', alpha=0.7) plt.axhline(orb_high, color='green', linestyle='--', label='ORB High') plt.axhline(orb_low, color='red', linestyle='--', label='ORB Low') # Mark breakout points plt.plot(df [df ].index, df [df ] , '^', color='green', label='Long Entry') plt.plot(df [df ].index, df [df ] , 'v', color='red', label='Short Entry') plt.title('EUR/USD ORB Strategy (15-Min)') plt.legend() plt.grid() plt.show()
Long
by eltonmajadibodu
Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news: ➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed. Personal opinion: ➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease. ➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270 ❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block ✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
USDCHF H4 I Bearish Fall from the 50% FIboBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.8265, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.8195, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.8332, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USDCHF Trade IdeaUSDCHF trades flat despite upbeat US jobs data.It hits an intraday low of 0.82189 and is currently trading around 0.82590. Intraday bias appears to be bullish as long as the support 0.8180 holds. The U.S. April 2025 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), released on May 2, 2025, reported decelerating employment expansion with a rise of 177,000 jobs, lower than a revised 185,000 in the prior month, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%. Significant job gains were seen in health care, transport and warehousing, financial activities, and social assistance, but federal government jobs fell. Median hourly earnings increased 0.3% from last month and 3.8% over the year, and the average workweek continued at 34.3 hours. Technical Analysis Points to Further Upside The pair is trading below the 34-EMA and 55-EMA on the 4-hour chart indicates a minor down trend. The immediate resistance is at 0.8280 any break above targets 0.8300/0.8350/0.8380/0.8500. Support Levels and Potential Declines On the downside, near-term support is around 0.8180, any violation below will drag the pair to 0.8135/0.8090/0.8000. Indicators CCI (50) - Bearish Directional movement Index - Neutral Trading Strategy Recommendation It is good to buy on dips around 0.8230 with a stop-loss at 0.8180 for a TP of 0.8500.
Long
by adiechiii