Nasdaq analysis: 27-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames!
- Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason!
- I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how!
- You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why!
- I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that!
- Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart!
- In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave!
- Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop!
- The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames!
- Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart!
- My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen!
- My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there!
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NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US100 Bullish AnalysisNASDAQ 100 (US100) - Bullish Setup for Liquidity Grab
📈 Overview:
The market recently broke structure (BOS), signaling a shift in momentum. Price is currently retracing towards an Order Block (OB), presenting a potential long opportunity.
🔍 Key Levels:
OB Zone: Potential demand area for a buy setup.
Resting Liquidity (Resting Liq): The market is likely to target this level for liquidity grab.
Target: 20,677 - 20,937 zone, where liquidity resides.
📊 Plan:
Wait for confirmation within the OB zone before entering a long position.
Target the resting liquidity above for a strong move.
Maintain risk management in case the setup invalidates.
💡 Bias: Bullish as long as OB holds.
🚀 Let’s see how this plays out!
#US100 #NASDAQ #SmartMoney #Liquidity #OrderBlock
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up.
The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point.
This pullback is taking place today.
Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
Both happen to be around the same level.
Buy and target a little under them at 23400.
Previous chart:
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My NQ Long Idea 26/03/2025There is a big technical area that has taken the spotlight in NQ and it is around the 50% fib level with a gap opening.
US economy has seen some strengthening recently with the FED looking neutral-dovish. A price correction may not even occur here it can keep going up continuously the moment we have a conclusive risk-on environment.
Inflation has cooled down from 3.0 to 2.8 and interest rate was held at 4.50 from 4.50.
We are expecting a rate cut of 0.25 bps by Q2 so the market is looking forward to price that in.
I see a potential "buy the rumor" then "sell the news" scenario here. So during the next fomc meeting we may get a small sell off for a price correction then NQ will continue its up momentum.
Technical setup looks good I expect a turbulent price action which will fill the opening gap at the 50% a consolidation here can be healthy for price action before we get a Wyckoff spring.
We have recently exited a bearish channel and entered a new bullish channel which is still in progress but must pay attention to it as we could start trending in that direction.
I may take a short position (for the short term) since I anticipate a correction to the gap at the 50%.
[NDX] A textbook chart for being bearishSummary
- See the previous idea for context:
- Another realization: horizontal channels for S/R work better than diagonal ones. This doesn't mean that the latter need to be discarded altogether.
- Looking back, NDX did really have desperate jumps towards the end of the bull rally.
- High volume on days with large inverted hammers was a sure sign of an impending stampede.
- Today's rejection is why being long without confirmation is a bear trap. Being on the short side is much less stressful.
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900.
However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300.
We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
Nasdaq - Long Strategy I want to be onest.. this is not an easy trade.
This trade can have a final loss but in any case we have many poit to our side with a high propability for e long correction.
We arrive on 0.61 of Long Wave
RSI is in oversold
Attention to put correctly at BE the trade
NAS100 Price ActionHey traders!
Looking at the current market structure, we can see that the price failed to make a new higher high , which is often the first sign of a potential trend reversal. This was followed by a break of two key structure levels, confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Interestingly, a supply zone was formed during this shift, but price didn’t even retest it — instead, it dropped right after its creation, showing strong bearish pressure. There's also an internal candle (IFC) marking the transition point.
With this kind of price action, it’s likely that the market is heading toward the next demand zone below. This could present a solid short opportunity, but always remember to manage your risk wisely and wait for clean confirmations.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
☄️ Trading Insights:
💯 Liquidity moves the market.
✈️ Volume confirms breakouts.
👍 Precision wins—no hesitation.
Bullish Structure Shatters
🔥 Bullish Break Our Path – 20360
👌 Entry: Break + volume → Retest → Long position → Secure profits.
Bearish Structure Shatters
🔥 Bearish Break Our Path – 20260
👌 Entry: Break + momentum → Retest → Short position → Target lower liquidity.
Why we enter ?
🩸Liquidity Sweep – Institutions grab liquidity before pushing .
🩸CHoCH – Trend shift confirmation.
🩸Key Level Retest – Strong breakout zone.
🩸Weekly/Monthly Zone – Institutional accumulation.
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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nas100 buy re-entrywe got kicked out 2 times
we use proper risk managment
so lets ride the bullish trend
NSDQ100 INTRADAY no reaction to durable goods dataThe US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders increased 0.9% ($2.7 billion) in February, reaching $289.3 billion. This follows a revised 3.3% gain in January and beats market expectations of a 1% decline.
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.7%.
Excluding defense, orders increased 0.8%.
Transportation equipment led the gains, up 1.5% ($1.4 billion) to $98.3 billion.
Despite the positive data, equity markets showed little reaction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,386
Resistance Level 2: 20,658
Resistance Level 3: 21,000
Support Level 1: 19,692
Support Level 2: 19,443
Support Level 3: 19,131
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Possible SELLI will be looking to sell at this supply level and take it down to the previous low. I do also want the market to close the gap that it created on Monday
US100We are at a weekly support that was broken and could become a potential resistance. H1 and h4 are in a rising wedge or bearish flag. Waiting on H1 to break recent support and turn bearish.
NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
Share with someone in need on true levels 🔑
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,090.40 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,044.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Nasdaq insights: 26-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
