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USTECH100CFD trade ideas

NAS100 - Possible Outcome20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: NASDAQ VERY bullish, so I believe LONG 1st. Resistance between 21965 - 22000 If it gets that far, and if resistance holds, Possible correction back to 21750 Keynote! Alot of data this week. Trade safe as the year is coming to an end. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by ANROC
Still searching for a topThe Bubble of Overvaluation: When Rich Daydreams Burst In the glittering world of tech, valuation often feels less like a science and more like an act of fantasy. Companies are valued not by their earnings or tangible impact, but by the whimsical projections of the ultra-rich who see tomorrow’s unicorns in today’s fledgling startups. This isn’t new. But the scale at which tech valuations have spiraled into the stratosphere is staggering—and unsustainable. Take a step back and ask: why is a social media company, with no profits and dwindling relevance, valued higher than the GDP of a small nation? The answer is simple—it's speculation. The wealthy elite, drunk on dreams of infinite growth, pour money into anything that promises to reshape the future. The result? Tech companies inflated to absurd proportions, their stock prices propped up by hype rather than substance. But daydreams don’t last forever. Reality has a way of intruding, and it’s coming with a vengeance. As economic inequality reaches breaking points, and as crises like hunger, housing, and climate change become impossible to ignore, the priorities of even the richest will have to shift. What happens then? Those dizzying valuations will come crashing down, because they were never built on anything solid to begin with. The irony is that the resources squandered on inflating tech bubbles could solve many of the world’s most pressing problems. Feeding the hungry, housing the homeless, funding education, and building sustainable infrastructure—these are investments with real, tangible returns. Instead, we’re caught in a cycle of hoarding and speculation, where the richest cling to dreams of domination instead of learning what it means to share. Eventually, they’ll wake up. And when they do, the crash will be spectacular. But maybe, just maybe, that reckoning will usher in a world where resources are allocated not to feed fantasies, but to feed people. Until then, the tech world remains an overvalued dreamscape, poised for a rude awakening.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Predicter-336
1
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index. The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends. This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains. The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips. The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact. Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy. Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published. Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025. The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Lies on NASDAQ to FOOD Big # ADM TSN CAGWell this is just a follow up so I dont need to explain...see prior post of mine and you will get whole story.. Get you food in order cause it will get really fun...I guess this is why at a dinner I had with John Bogle of Vanguard he said: "Boys....if any of you are smart and think about the future, how many of you will follow the phones versus follow the farming life, raise your hands? Well, it seems all the hands are up...so good news, none of you get to enjoy this exquisite meal tonight because no one will replace the people who made it all happen from soil, air , and water. If any of you boys are smart, get into that game by the early 20's and you will be able to take control of the world..and make the real money, the controlling money. Own the land, control the water, and your portfolios better contain the crops and their respective companies of tomorrow." Spoken June 2010 Say....isnt there real nice land in the Midwest owned by a few big guys or hedgefunds....and wait a sec...isnt there some "breadbasket" in that for border of the Big Meany we like to pick on that had a few hands dipped into it. Things arent random...just be in the right rooms at the right time :}
NASDAQ:NDX
by CYQOTEK
NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence: Key Observations: 1. Engineered Retail Resistance: Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it. These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops. 2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic: Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs. After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below. Trading Outlook: Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup. If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect