How important is the time frame when you investWe’ve been discussing the possibility of a recession in the US for some time now, along with tariffs and the impact of Trump’s policies. This has led to declines of up to 25% in the US NASDAQ index, sparking panic among many investors. When investing for the long term, it’s important to be aware of where we are within the same time frame as our investment horizon—a 25% drop in the short term doesn’t necessarily have to be a concern for long-term investors.
In this case, we can see that the NASDAQ has established a massive uptrend over the years. As long as the main trend levels remain intact, we can’t even say the market is moving sideways. The market has provided one of the best opportunities to enter the NASDAQ, bouncing right off previous highs and demonstrating the strength of the trend.
By buying in the previous highs or near the long term trendline, means a very low risk with returns up to 30%.
NDAQ100 trade ideas
Possible reversal of this bullish wave...(LOG)Orange circles highlight repeated price rejection and the formed doji that suggests a slowdown in a bullish wave and potential reversal. The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal supply/resistance zone creates a high-probability reversal or breakout from this triangle.
If the price rejects again from the current supply zone and triangle, short setup toward the Fibonacci retracements or demand zones (18300 and below).
If the price breaks above the descending trendline, bullish continuation will likely target 20,000+ (Swing H).
Trend remains down.
Entry 19300
TP 18300 below
Target 14k.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18880
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18510
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19050
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18500
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18500 – Major support / Key level
➗ 18900 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18500 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 4 Swing Retest
• 18900 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18500 – Equal lows
• 19050 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19450
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 19300
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level
➗ 19450 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19100 – Equal lows
• 19500 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18030
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 17830
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19550
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 19450
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level
➗ 19450 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19100 – Equal lows
• 19500 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Can We Re Enter From The Same Place To Get Extra 500 Pips ?If we checked we will see that Nasdaq Gave us 300 pips , and that prove the support is very strong and we can re enter if the price hit the entry again and targeting extra 500 pips .so if the price go back to retest the same support we can add a new contract if we have a clear bullish Price action .
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
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Correction and Before a Push The US 100 shows an ascending triangle pattern that has not yet reached its projected high.
Context of the Ascending Triangle:
The price has formed an ascending triangle with an ascending support line (lower blue line) from point 1 to point 2.
Horizontal resistance is at 18,842.3 (point 3), and the price has not broken this level in a sustained manner or reached 18,979.0, as incorrectly indicated earlier.
Currently, the price is at 18,861.3, but for this scenario, we will assume it is retracing from a level close to resistance without having reached 18,979.0.
Correction to 18,670:
The price could retrace toward the key support at 18,671.7 (near point 2), which coincides with the triangle's ascending trend line.
This level has previously been solid support, making it a likely point for a rebound.
Rebound to 18,980:
From 18,670, the price could initiate an upward movement toward 18,980, a level projected as a target after breaking the triangle's resistance at 18,842.3.
This target is calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
Volume:
Volume shows a peak in previous upward movements, but has decreased in the current pullback, which is typical in a correction.
An increase in volume near 18,670 could confirm the entry of buyers for the rebound.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Buy at 18,670 after confirming a rebound (e.g., a bullish candle with increasing volume).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below 18,600 to protect against a bearish breakout.
Take Profit: Target 18,980.
Risk: If the price falls below 18,600, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, targeting lower levels such as 18,500.
TradingView Idea:
US 100 (15M) - Correction to 18,670 before rising to 18,980.
Direction: Bullish after correction.
Entry: 18,670 (after confirming a rebound).
Stop Loss: 18,600.
Take Profit: 18,980.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 3:1.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,189.77
1st Support: 18,580.75
1st Resistance: 20,258.77
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Are You Ready For Nasdaq Next Flight ? 500 Pips Waiting For Us !Here is my opinion on Nasdaq , i think we have a very good closure and we can say we will go up for sometime in the next few days , so i`m waiting the price to go back to my support area ( Lower One ) that already broken , and then we can enter a buy trade and targeting 500 pips . also if the price touch the higher place and give me a good bullish price action , we can enter a buy trade with small lot size and if the price go to the lower one we can add one more contract .
Bullish bounce?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,908.67
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 18,461.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 20,200.53
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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NAS100 - Stock Market Waiting for a New Stimulus?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index continues to move upwards towards the specified supply zone, one can look for further Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio.
Last week, financial markets experienced a brief sigh of relief as U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to ease tensions by signaling a limited retreat in the tariff war with China, sparking hopes for reduced friction. However, this optimism quickly faded once it became clear that Trump’s retreat was neither substantial nor impactful.
From Beijing’s perspective, the trade war has transcended economic concerns, becoming an issue of national pride and sovereignty. As a result, China, the world’s second-largest economy, is not retreating as easily as Trump anticipated. This stance has evolved into a significant challenge for the White House. U.S. officials indicated that tariffs of 145% could be reduced within two to three weeks if an agreement is reached.
Nonetheless, according to Chinese authorities, negotiations have yet to even begin, raising doubts about Trump’s negotiation tactics. Additionally, other concessions, such as reducing tariffs on American automakers, remain uncertain, and Trump has even threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian car imports.
This environment not only fails to clarify U.S. trade policy but also deepens uncertainty for domestic businesses. Although the White House claims it is monitoring markets closely and Trump is eager to strike deals with key partners, these assurances have not alleviated concerns about the future of the U.S. economy.
In the upcoming week, critical economic data could either intensify or ease current worries. On Tuesday, the Consumer Confidence Index for April and the JOLTS job openings data for March will be released. The highlight, however, will be the preliminary estimate of GDP growth, scheduled for Wednesday.
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.2% annualized contraction in the U.S. economy for Q1 2025. Meanwhile, a Reuters survey of economists projects a modest 0.4% growth rate, a significant slowdown from Q4’s 2.4% growth.
Accompanying these reports, the ADP private-sector employment data and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be published. The core PCE for March is expected to show a monthly increase of 0.1% and an annual rise of 2.5%, down from 2.8% previously. Personal spending is anticipated to maintain its 0.4% monthly growth, reflecting resilient household expenditures.
Additionally, on Wednesday, the Chicago PMI and pending home sales figures will be released. Thursday will bring the Challenger layoffs data for April, but market focus will be on the ISM manufacturing PMI, expected to drop from 49 to 47.9.
The week’s main event will be Friday’s release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Forecasts suggest job growth will slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3%.If NFP and PCE data come in weaker than expected, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in June could intensify, although the likelihood of a cut in May will remain low. Such data would likely be bearish for the U.S. dollar but could support equity markets if recession fears do not dominate sentiment.
Some Federal Reserve officials have suggested that if economic conditions deteriorate significantly, rate cuts could start as early as June. Currently, the Fed has maintained high rates to combat inflation but may lower them to support growth and prevent a sharp rise in unemployment if necessary.
Trump’s trade wars pose a dual risk of increasing inflation while hurting employment, complicating the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. Presently, the Fed is in a “wait-and-see” mode, but several officials indicated last week that cuts could begin if economic data worsens.
Beth Hammack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, told CNBC on Thursday that the Fed might lower rates starting in June if signs of economic weakening due to Trump’s sporadic tariffs appear.
Christopher Waller, a Fed Board member, stated on Bloomberg TV that he could foresee rate cuts if the labor market collapses but does not expect such a scenario before July.
On Thursday, Waller remarked, “It would not be surprising to see an increase in layoffs and a higher unemployment rate, especially if major tariffs return. I would expect faster rate cuts once signs of severe labor market deterioration emerge.”
These comments highlight the Fed’s current dilemma as it awaits clearer evidence of significant economic fallout from Trump’s trade wars.
The Federal Reserve’s mandate is to maintain low inflation and unemployment levels. Its primary tool, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs across the economy. The Fed can stimulate growth by lowering rates or curb inflation by raising them.
Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs present the risk of simultaneously driving up inflation while damaging employment, forcing the Fed to prioritize which challenge to address first.
Following the Wave StructureAnalysis:
The NASDAQ100 appears to be following a classic 5-wave structure.
Currently, we are finishing Wave 3, with an expected corrective move toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone near 19,018.7.
From there, the chart suggests a continuation toward the 19,879 area (close to the daily 200 EMA) and, finally, toward the 20,866 target, completing the cycle.
Key zones:
Support: 19,018.7 (50% Fibo and strong structural level)
Resistance: 19,879.1 and 20,866.2
Additional levels: Daily 200 EMA and previous structural gaps
The path won't be in a straight line — expect consolidation and pullbacks along the way. However, the bullish projection remains intact as long as the 19,018.7 support holds.
Let's keep riding the wave! 🌊