Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now.
- Have a main reason :
- NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index.
- SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot.
- DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc).
- i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches.
- i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode.
- i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals.
- so this chart is basically only about MACD :
- it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly.
- if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size.
What could it means ?
- Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK.
- One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024).
- BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created.
- At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already.
- A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC.
- " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
NDAQ100 trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 Prepares for Launch — Reclaiming Critical GroundNAS100 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 💻🧠
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — Structure is shifting bullish. Recent higher lows and strong rebounds from April lows confirm the current upward momentum. This is supported by 12/13 Moving Averages flashing BUY , including critical 50- and 200-period EMAs/SMA clusters. MACD and Momentum indicators also favor continued upside.
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES
22,248.00 — 🔴 SELL STOPLOSS | Final Pivot High
21,955.77 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 2
21,364.19 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 1
🎯 TARGETS & BUY ORDERS
21,065.42 — 🎯 TP4 | EXIT THE RALLY
19,989.54 — 🎯 TP3 | Momentum confirmation
19,291.55 — 🎯 TP2 | Mid Pivot Zone
18,286.55 — 🎯 TP1 | Initial Profit Target
17,258.99 — ✅ BUY ORDER 1
16,630.74 — ✅ BUY ORDER 2
16,335.10 — ✅ BUY STOPLOSS | Pivot Low
🟢 SUPPORT STRUCTURE
PIVOT LOW @ 18,286 — Support holding for now
PIVOT LOW @ 17,258 — Strong confluence with previous structure
BUY ORDER zones between 16,330 – 17,258 — Demand cluster for reversals
🤓 STRUCTURAL NOTES
MACD shows bullish divergence with a rising histogram and crossover confirmation Momentum (+694) and RSI (66.69) suggest strength, though nearing overbought territory Price has reclaimed 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA levels — rare alignment of major trend confirmation
Only outlier: Hull MA (9) signaling short-term overextension — may suggest brief consolidation before continuation
🌍 GLOBAL TECHNICAL SUMMARY
📊 12 of 13 Major Moving Averages = BUY
📈 MACD & Momentum Oscillators = BUY
🧭 Majority of Oscillators = Neutral — supporting a “calm before breakout” thesis ⚖️ CCI shows slight overbought = caution near resistance zones
📉 No major bearish divergence detected — trend remains intact
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📈 Bullish Bias above 18,286.55 (TP1) targeting 19,291.55 (TP2) and beyond
📉 Bearish rejection likely near 21,065+ if volume fades — monitor RSI/MACD
👀 Watch for volume confirmation as we approach 19,989.55
🧪 STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE BREAKOUT ENTRY:
— Entry: 18,286.55
— TP Levels: 19,291.55 / 19,989.55 / 21,065.42
— SL: Below 17,258.99
RISK-ON DIP BUY STRATEGY:
— Buy Zone: 16,630 – 17,258
— TP: 18,286.55 / 19,291.55
— SL: Below 16,335.10
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
US100 H4 | Bearish Fall Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 19,514.93, which is ana swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 19363.72, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 19,637.23, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
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Demand Zone US100 (Potential Long Play) Next week there is a nice opportunity on an identified demand zone on the US100. Due to bullish market Structure, We aim for long positions on demand zones as these are higher probabilities plays than shorts. The demand zone area is the last bearish candle (without upper wick), marked on the 1HR time frame and will be the key area of interest.
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough?
Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:US100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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No shampoo in sight.....and an $11k Nasdaq?This posts presents an idea that has no precedence (that I can recall at least), so this is by definition a crazy idea BUT the chart is showing signs of extreme exhaustion and is possibly and quite frankly on the verge of a potentially destructive collapse.
If the recent severe volatility hasn't peaked your attention... this chart should.
It's quite simple...we have a MONSTER Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly TF...and we're finishing off the Right Shoulder! From a chart pattern perspective, this is ultra-ultra bearish.
The confluence we have is the Elliot Wave showing the we could be about to enter Wave 5. Elliot Waves are of course subjective BUT in this case its syncs with the Head and Shoulders.
If this was a 15min chart, most would probably agree hands down, but this is a Weekly Chart and represents Trillions on Trillions so its hard to believe that this could even be a possibility.....but I believe it could happen!
The horizontal blue lines provide 2024's High and Low Price. For this disaster scenario to be avoided, the Bulls and anyone who cares must defend 2024's low around 16100. This must not be breached, to keep the 12M bullish structure in place.
The green shaded areas highlight all of the Buy Side fair value gaps on the WEEKLY TF going back to early January 2023!
Could the market dive for these in devastating fashion? Only time will tell.
In the interim, we should trade safe and manage risk as best as we can.
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52
Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session POC: 18,758.52
Previous Session POC: 18,259.03
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation.
Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 18,800 (recent swing high).
Below 18,250 (previous swing low).
Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus):
Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop.
High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend).
ADX Strength:
ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement.
DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision.
CVD Confirmation:
CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers.
No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 18,259.03
Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300
Resistance:
VAH: 18,758.52
Rejection level: 18,800
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430
1/2 retrace: ~18,500
2/3 retrace: ~18,580
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish rejection at VAH zone.
Potential descending channel forming from highs.
Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone)
Targets:
T1: 18,580
T2: 18,750
Stop-Loss: Below 18,250
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area)
Target:
T1: 18,300
Stop-Loss: Above 18,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
Ready for Takeoff: Buy Signal DetectedThe 15-minute chart of the NASDAQ shows a recent bullish move following a correction. I identify an interesting technical structure that could indicate an upcoming directional move.
Technical Analysis:
Patterns and Structure:
Symmetrical Triangle (A): The price has formed a symmetrical triangle between points (B) and (D), suggesting consolidation before a breakout. This pattern is neutral, but the recent upside breakout indicates a possible bullish continuation.
Fibonacci: The retracement from the high at (D) to the low at (E) reached the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which acted as dynamic support (17,804.1). This level is key and reinforces the validity of the current rebound.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The 17,804.1 level (38.2% Fibonacci) and the triangle base at 17,797.2 are key supports.
Resistance: The next upside target is at 18,230.6, a previous resistance level. If the price breaks above it, it could target 18,400.
Trend:
The breakout of the symmetrical triangle and the rebound from the 38.2% Fib confirm a short-term uptrend. The price is breaking the triangle's downtrend line (E), reinforcing the bullish momentum.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Consider a long entry (buy) at the current level (~18,000) or wait for a pullback to the support at 17,804.1 for a better risk-reward ratio.
Target: First target at 18,230.6 (resistance). If the momentum continues, the next level to watch is 18,400.
Stop Loss: Below the support at 17,797.2, to protect against a false breakout.
Risk/Reward: An entry at 18,000 with a stop at 17,797 and a target at 18,230 offers an R/B ratio of approximately 1:1.2.
Conclusion:
The NASDAQ at 15M shows a bullish breakout following a symmetrical triangle, with support at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. The short-term trend is bullish, with an initial target at 18,230.6. Monitor support at 17,804.1 to confirm the continuation of the move.
This analysis is concise and structured for a TradingView post. If you need adjustments or more details, please let me know.
Disclaimer: Grok is not a financial advisor; please consult one. Do not share information that could identify you.
Definite downward trend. Great buying potential in near future.Hello all traders and learner charters. As you can see definite downward trend.
Some are even saying sell everything.
I added the five year percentages, as you can see its not very promising for the moment,
but definitely promising for anyone wanting to get into nasdaq or SP500.
There are seldom opportunities like this.
I would suggest to keep watching it, as a lot of people who rode the bull market after
Trump call, have taken there profits and sold. This trend will force others to sell as no one
wants to make a loss on nasdaq. So with that in mind, it will be red all over for a while I would say about two weeks maybe even more, but if you just keep on buying little amounts
DCA dollar cost averaging, you will get some good buying positions down low. And then hold them for the next few years. This is a great opportunity. Good luck.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18160
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18000
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
NAS100USD: Bearish Momentum Likely to Extend in NY SessionGreetings Traders!
At present, NAS100USD continues to reflect clear bearish institutional order flow. This is evidenced by the consistent formation of lower lows and the way bearish arrays—such as fair value gaps and order blocks—continue to hold as effective resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Sustained Bearish Structure:
The market has maintained a downward trajectory, with each rally being absorbed by bearish arrays. This behavior reinforces the dominance of institutional selling pressure.
High Volatility Window – New York Session:
With the New York session now underway, heightened volatility is expected. This presents a favorable environment for bearish continuation trades, particularly if price respects the key supply zones.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Consideration:
I am awaiting a retracement into a key bearish array—either a fair value gap or a bearish order block. Upon confirmation of rejection from these zones, I will seek to enter short positions.
Profit Targets:
The primary objective will be to target liquidity pools residing at lower discount levels. These areas represent external liquidity where institutional participants are likely to complete order execution.
By aligning with the prevailing bearish institutional narrative and waiting for high-probability confirmations within premium zones, we can strategically position ourselves to benefit from further downside momentum during this high-impact session.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending.
Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey.
The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending.
A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before.
On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario.
Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession.
One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy.
The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index.
Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path.
Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Sustained Bearish Order Flow:
Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower.
Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity.
Targeting External Range Liquidity:
As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution.
Profit Targets:
Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
Its good to be back,
The_Architect
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend.
Key Technical Observations:
The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns.
Notable price levels include:
- Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation)
- Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low)
- Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices
Market Dynamics:
The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way.
Trading Considerations:
A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion.
The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions.
Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels.
Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 18,606.32
1st Support: 17,788.70
1st Resistance: 18,942.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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NASDAQ: Stop the noise. Long term investors are buying here.Nasdaq may be recovering on its 1D technical outlook but remains bearish on the 1W (RSI = 37.616, MACD = -451.790, ADX = 38.564) as the timeframe is still under the dramatic effect of the 3 month correction. The market however appears to be finding support a little over the 1W MA200 and may turn out to be the new long term technical bottom as the 1W RSI rebounded from oversold grounds.
The last three times that happened, the index rose aggressively. The 15 year pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and every rally inside it obviously gets stronger. As long as the market is holding the 1W MA200, the trend will be bullish and this is the right opportunity to buy for the long term, aiming at another +113.90% bullish wave (TP = 36,000) to get hit towards the end of 2027.
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