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NDAQ100 trade ideas

Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— ☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18300 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— ——— Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows • 3245 – Equal highs ——— 🩸No rush. Only precision. Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force. 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
US100 - Lots of opportunities unfoldingChart Overview: This analysis focuses on the US 100 (NAS100) index, sourced from CAPITAL.COM . The chart highlights critical price levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) , and a Buy side liquidity (BSL) , offering actionable insights for traders. Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Structure: - The index has shown significant volatility, with a clear Break of Structure (BSL) indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. - The price is currently navigating between key support and resistance zones , marked by horizontal levels. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): - Two prominent FVGs are visible on the chart, representing areas where price may revisit to fill imbalances. These zones often act as magnet levels for price retracements. - Traders should monitor these FVGs for potential entry or exit opportunities , depending on price reaction. 3. Critical Price Levels: - Resistance Zones: - 20,250.0 : A major psychological barrier. - 19,750.0 - 20,000.0 : Intermediate resistance cluster. - Support Zones: - 17,000.0 - 17,250.0 : Strong historical support. - 16,000.0 : A pivotal level for long-term bias. Trading Strategy: - Bullish Scenario: A break above 20,250.0 could signal further upside, targeting 20,500.0 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario: A drop below 17,000.0 may confirm a deeper correction, with 16,250.0 - 16,000.0 as the next target. - FVGs as Confluences: Use the identified FVGs alongside volume and momentum indicators to refine entries. Timeframe & Validity: This analysis is based on the daily timeframe (Apr 19, 2025) and remains valid until key levels are breached or new structures form. Final Notes: Always pair this analysis with risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) and confirm with additional indicators (RSI, MACD, volume). The market may fill FVGs before continuing its trend. Like, follow, and comment if you found this useful! Happy trading!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Louigi_24
38
NASDAQ-100 (NDX) daily analysis by TradingDONAlright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.📈 **When the Market Faked Us Out** I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes. **Key Zones:** - **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps. - **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight. **FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:** I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal. - Distribution hit the Premium zone. - Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs. - That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop. - 💡My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level. *This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
The Interest Rates Paradox and How it'd Predict a Market Top NowIt is a common assumption that higher interest rates naturally slow economic expansion and cool overheated markets. However, the historical record over the past 50 years tells a more nuanced story when it comes to bubbles. In several major crashes—the dotcom bubble, the U.S. housing bubble, and the Japanese Nikkei bubble—a pattern emerges: monetary authorities began increasing rates well before market tops were reached. Surprisingly, instead of slowing the market in the short term, these rate hikes coincided with a parabolic run-up in asset prices . The paradox lies in the fact that while rising rates are expected to dampen market exuberance, during these bubbles, they coexisted with—and arguably even fueled—frenzied market behavior. This paradox has played out yet again over the last years. With us seeing not only the parabolic rally phase during the interest rate hikes but also us having a current agreement with the interest rates and equites topping at the same time. As with all previous market tops. As we sit here today, we have followed the interest rate topping paradox to the letter. Let's look more into it. Historical Patterns and the Paradox The Early Phase: Initial hikes into a heating up market. In each of these historical cases, central banks initiated rate hikes as part of a broader strategy to temper what they viewed as emerging economic imbalances. In the late 1980s, for instance, the Bank of Japan began tightening monetary policy as asset prices soared, anticipating overheating in the economy. Despite these early rate increases, the Nikkei continued its upward trajectory, ultimately reaching its peak in December 1989. This pattern was echoed in the U.S. during the dotcom era. Leading into the 2000 peak, the Federal Reserve started to raise rates to control inflationary pressures—even as the technology-heavy market rallied to unsustainable heights. The pattern has always been similar. Markets are starting to get hot and perhaps there's some unwanted consequence of this (like inflation). So the central bank takes actions to cool things down with the interest rate hikes. Although there have been reactions from this in the near term, overall the trend has become stronger and stronger during the hike cycle. Let me give you an example to add some context. Alan Greenspan is famous for the "Irrational exuberance" comment. He said that in 1996! The Nasdaq absolutely boomed from there for another 4 years. What had happened before was nothing compared to what came after the interest rate hikes started. The Parabolic Reaction: Markets Defy Conventional Logic What seems paradoxical is that rather than a smooth deceleration, markets often reacted to these rate hikes with an intensified speculative fervor. During the dotcom and housing bubbles, small increases in rates did not immediately curb investor optimism; instead, they appeared to add urgency, fueling a belief that the market was resilient enough to outperform despite higher borrowing costs. The market’s parabolic rise in asset prices during periods of tightening monetary policy is counterintuitive, suggesting that investors were less influenced by the immediate cost of capital and more driven by momentum and fear of missing out. By the high of these rallies it was firmly believed that this was a sign the uptrends would continue. Indeed, they could only get stronger as the interest rates came back down. ....Nah uh. Wasn't how it went all! And we find ourselves in a strongly similar situation now in 2025. Leveling Off and the Market Peak It gets weirder still when you notice rather than markets slowing down on rate cuts they highs of the equites rallies always came rate increases eventually plateau. Historical data shows that when interest rates stabilized—often within a narrow band of around 5% to 6.5%—this stabilization coincided with the market reaching its absolute peak. In these instances, the plateau did not signal the end of the monetary tightening cycle; rather, it marked the culmination of the bubble. Market participants, having pushed prices to their limits, were suddenly confronted with a reversion, as the underlying economic fundamentals could no longer justify the inflated asset values. Knowing what happened before does not let you know what will happen in the future, but it's worth knowing. It may well just end up being useful in the future. In every instance of a big market top in the last 50 years the pattern was interest rate hikes and parabolic rallies in this phase, when the hikes stopped the first market sell off began. We have an exact matching of these conditions now. The Bear Market and Rate Easing Once the market had peaked, and the bubble burst, central banks found themselves in a difficult position. In response to the ensuing economic downturns, monetary authorities were compelled to cut rates dramatically—even as equity markets remained subdued. This rapid reduction in rates was aimed at stabilizing economies and stimulating recovery, yet it often came too late to salvage the once-insatiable market exuberance. The inversion of the earlier paradox—where rate hikes were accompanied by soaring markets—serves as a stark reminder of the complexity of monetary policy in times of speculative excess. All you have to do is look at any of the interest rate charts for the crash in question and it's clear to see these both peaked and reversed around the same time. During bubbles, historically correlation with equities and interest rates is close to prefect. From the start of our interest rate hikes to now, this has continued to apply. A play out of the historical norms for this would now see rates continue to drop with equities dropping alongside them (Overall, maybe rallying on the news now and then). Which would make this a rather risky time to be buying the dip. ================================= Realistic Examples of the Paradox ================================= Nikkei Bubble (Late 1980s): Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan initiated rate hikes to cool a rapidly expanding economy and soaring asset prices. Market Behavior: Despite these increases, the Nikkei continued its parabolic climb, peaking in December 1989. Aftermath: Following the bubble’s burst, rates were cut sharply as the market entered a prolonged bear phase. Dotcom Bubble (Late 1990s to 2000): Monetary Policy: In response to rising inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates before the bubble reached its zenith. Market Behavior: Rather than curbing exuberance, the rate hikes coincided with an acceleration in market gains, contributing to an unsustainable rise in tech stock valuations. Aftermath: The eventual plateau in rates occurred as the market hit its peak, soon followed by a dramatic downturn when investor sentiment shifted. U.S. Housing Bubble (Mid-2000s): Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s gradual rate increases were part of an effort to moderate the housing market’s explosive growth. Market Behavior: Housing prices continued to rise, reflecting an underlying confidence in the market that outpaced the modest increases in borrowing costs. Aftermath: When rates eventually leveled off, the market was near its peak, and subsequent rate cuts during the bear market underscored the stark reversal of fortunes.
IG:NASDAQShort
by holeyprofit
QQQ FORECAST Q2 FY25: 13% RECOVERY APRIL FOOLSlike comment follow all the signals here are lit comment your instrument below ill analyse it bonds crypto etf reits all dat paperwork The recovery was swift exactly at our $16811 price level (great bargain) if you watched last call now im calling bluff on this 90 day hype stop loss above entry targets set there might be a bullish continuation by the mid point narrated by the path line $17709 if confluence presents itself and necessary events present themselves im hopping out and longing these tariff games can go anyway in a heartbeat
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
1
US 100 Index - Is 17404/749 Support Important?As European traders return from their extended Easter break they turn on their screens to find US assets back under pressure. The US 100 index dropped 2.2% yesterday to close at 17779, which included a late rally from a mid session low at 17570. These moves are potentially reflecting a growing unease around numerous important issues, including, a lack of progress in trade talks with US allies, US economic growth concerns and President Trump's on-going challenge to Federal Reserve independence. Looking forward, US 100 traders have a lot to focus on this week, Tesla reports its earnings after the close tonight, against a backdrop of weekend news reports which suggested it may be about to delay production of cheaper EVs. That aside, investors may also be focused on sales projections for 2025, autonomous driving plans and the impact of tariffs on the company's profitability. It may well be a similar story when Alphabet reports its earnings after the close on Thursday. Throw in the latest April Preliminary PMI Survey releases on Wednesday from the developed economies, which could well start to show the impact of tariffs on growth, business sentiment and inflation, and it is possible that the recent US 100 index volatility could continue across the week. Technical Update: Could Potential Support at 17404/17749 Be Important? As impressive as the 18% recovery in the US 100 index from the April 7th 2025 low to the April 10th 2025 high (16290 up to 19222) appeared, after the latest price weakness, this upside may prove to be a limited reactive move, although further confirmation may still be required. As the chart above shows, the latest upside strength saw the index back to what some traders may have viewed as an important resistance, marked by a combination of the declining Bollinger mid-average (18992 at the time) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the February 18th 2025 to April 7th 2025 weakness, which stands at 19258. With the latest price activity seeing weakness materialise again, it might now be suggested this potential resistance range remains the important focus on the topside, although much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends. With this in mind, what are the potential supports we might wish to monitor, to help us gauge how much further the current weakness may have to carry? Possible Support Levels: Fibonacci retracements can offer an insight into potential support zones, with them possibly able to hold, even reverse price weakness back to the upside. Therefore, 17404/17749, which is equal to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the April price strength, maybe an area traders are currently focusing on. However, there could still be potential for a further period of price weakness if this 17404/17749 range is broken on a closing basis. In that case, the next support may well then be represented by the April 7th 2025 session low at 16290, possibly further, if this in turn gives way. Possible Resistance Levels: The 17404/17749 support range is still intact, and while this remains the case on a closing basis, attempts at price strength could still be seen. However, with the declining Bollinger mid-average currently at 18648 and having recently seen it reverse attempts at price strength, closing breaks above this level might be required to trigger a more extended phase of strength. That said, as proved the case in early April, 19258, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, may also now need to give way on a closing basis, to suggest further attempts to develop price strength towards higher resistance levels. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
What is ICT Order Block and How to Trade it 👉🏻 ICT order block is basically an area on the price chart which indicates the huge institutional orders and signals the strong reversal or continuation of price. You can use the order block as a confirmation of your trade entry or for the reversal of price. In this article, we will teach you all about order block trading strategy from definition to its identification and to use along with examples. You can jump to the part of this guide, you are most interested in or you can continue reading the whole article : Table of Contents 👇🏻 1 : What is ICT Order Block? 2 : Types of Order Block 3 : Bullish Order Block 4 : Bearish Order Block 5 : Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy 6 : Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy 7 : Final Thoughts What is ICT Order Block? ⚡️ ICT Order block is the area in the price chart, where a large number of orders are executed by institutional traders in the market and market shows sudden strong move from that area. Retail traders follow institutional foot prints, so they wait for these order block zones to buy or sell in the market & make profit along with big institutions like banks. You can see the example of order blocks in the picture given below : Types of Order Block As you know market has two price moves bullish & bearish. So on the basis of price moves, order block is divided into two types. (I) Bullish Order Block (II) Bearish Order Block Bullish Order Block A bullish order block is the last bearish candle before the bullish impulse (strong sudden) move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bearish and the second candlestick being a bullish one. How to Identify a Bullish Order Block? ⚡️ To identify a valid bullish order block you need to check following things. (I) Second candle being a bullish candle, should grab the low of previous bearish candle. Price should go below the low of previous bearish candle. (II) Second candle being a Bullish candle should close above the high of previous bearish candle. (III) Imbalance in lower time frame in the order block zone. (IV) Structure shift in lower timeframe. To sum it up we can say, second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick. You can see the example of bullish order block in the picture below : Bearish Order Block ⚡️ A bearish order block is the last bullish candle before the bearish impulse move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bullish and the second candlestick being a bearish one. How to Identify a Bearish Order Block? ⚡️ To identify a valid bearish order block you need to check following things. (I) Second candle being a bearish candle, should grab the high of previous bullish candle. Price should go above the high of previous bearish candle. (II) Second candle being a bearish candle should close below the low of previous bullish candle. (III) Imbalance in lower timeframe in the order block zone. (IV) ICT Market Structure Shift in lower timeframe. To sum it up we can say second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick. You can see the example of bearish order block in the picture below : Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️ In bullish order block trading strategy you would look for shift of price delivery from bearish to bullish and then execute a buy trade utilizing a bullish order block. When the trend is bearish and it approaches a demand zone where you would seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the buy-side. Then you will be looking for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed market trend. When you find the bullish order block in that move, it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bullish order block zone to execute a buy trade. When price retraces back and tests the bullish order block zone you can execute a buy trade as shown in the picture below : When tradin bullish Order block trading strategy your stop loss will be 10/20 pips below the low of order block zone. Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️ In bearish order block trading strategy you would be looking for the shift of trend from bullish to bearish and then execute a sell trade utilizing a bearish order block. When market trend is bullish and it approaches a supply zone where you seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the sell-side. Then you would look for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed price trend. When you find a bearish order block in that move it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bearish order block zone to execute a sell trade. When price retrace back and tests the bearish order block zone you can execute a sell trade. A real market example of bearish order block trading strategy is shown below in the picture. Final Thoughts⚡️ When trading using bearish Order block trading strategy our stop loss will be 10/20 pips above the high of order block zone. Order blocks can also be found in a trend after a pull back and these order blocks confirm the strength of trend. We can use these order blocks to trade the trend or to add new positions in the trend. Like in a bearish trend after a bullish pullback a bearish order block may form, which confirms the strength of bearish trend and we can add a new sell order to enjoy the bearish trend. Likewise in a bullish trend after a bearish pullback a bullish Order block may form which confirms the strength of bullish trend and we can add a new buy order to enjoy the bullish trend ❤️ .
FX:NAS100Education
by InnerCircleAnalysis
Bearish opportunity if support is broken📉 US100 – Watching for a possible bearish breakout After reaching the key level of 19,151.5, the US100 price has shown weakness by breaking out of an ascending wedge. It is currently testing a dynamic support zone at 18,695.4, just before a liquidity zone marked in red. A break below this zone could trigger a move towards 18,434.1, and in extension towards 18,185.8, if bearish pressure continues. This structure suggests that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears, especially if the blue support fails to sustain the price. 🧠 Action plan: Monitor a breakout with volume and a bearish structure to seek short entries with appropriate risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
1
Consolidating at lower levels, gathering strength for a rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.) Due to the Easter long weekend, there were only four trading days last week. Despite the Trump administration's renewed escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and its threats of war against Iran, the Nasdaq remained largely range-bound over the week. Crude oil prices saw a modest increase, while gold experienced a stronger rally driven by rising risk-off sentiment. Nasdaq Outlook: After the market opens next Tuesday, the Nasdaq has a high probability of filling the price gap between 18,600 and 18,800. However, before the full impact of the tariff policy is priced in, the market may still test lower support levels. Key downside support lies in the 17,000–17,300 range. If the market fails to find strong buying interest above this zone, prices may retest the previous low of 16,349, or even fall further toward the 15,500 level. That said, the Nasdaq is currently in a deeply oversold condition on the daily chart. In the absence of further negative developments, there is a high likelihood of a significant rebound in the coming weeks. Next week may still require patience as the market digests the negative implications of the tariff news.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
NASDAQ Heading to 14K – WXY Correction UnderwayUS100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis 📆 Daily Chart (1D) 🧭 Updated: April 15, 2025 🟠 General Context and Structure The price reached a high of 22,236.5, completing an ascending wedge (orange lines), which was broken down with strong volume and bearish momentum, signaling a change in the larger structure. After the collapse from that high, the index formed what appears to be a W wave within a complex corrective structure (WXY), completing in the 16,176.3–16,992.2 range. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (Projection) We are currently seeing the development of the upward corrective wave X, which appears to be structuring as a 5-wave impulse: (1) and (2) already completed Projection of (3), (4), and (5) with a target in the 21,025.9 area After this upward movement, the start of a downward correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected, which would complete the bearish wave Y of the broader WXY pattern. 🔍 Key Support and Resistance Zones 🔴 Major resistance: 22,239 – 22,236.5 (Highs and strong rejection zone) ⚪ Intermediate resistance: 20,356.6 and 21,025.9 (Potential targets for wave X) ⚪ Intermediate support: 18,523 (Zone where wave (4) could form) 🟢 Strong support: 16,992.2 and 16,176.3 (base of wave W) 14,054.4 (potential target for wave Y, critical point) 12,719.4 (extreme extension if the decline intensifies) 📉 Movement Projection Current bullish reaction remains impulsive → wave (3) is underway. Possible extension to 21,025.9 before a reversal. Drop in 3 waves (a)-(b)-(c) towards: 🎯 First bearish target: 16,176 🎯 Second (final) target: approximately 14,580 (area marked as the end of wave Y) ⚠️ Conclusion / Trading Idea We are seeing a complex WXY-type correction developing. The most likely scenario suggests a bullish continuation towards 21,025 to complete wave X, followed by a sharp drop towards the 14,580 area. 📌 Possible trading plan: Swing long to 21,025 if the momentum is confirmed. Strong short from that area, looking for targets towards 16,000 – 14,580 in the coming months. 🧭 Risk Management Stop loss above the all-time high of 22,236.5 for short positions. Bearish confirmation after reversal structure at 21k.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by JAG_Trader
1
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— ☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18600 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— ——— Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows • 3245 – Equal highs ——— 🩸No rush. Only precision. Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force. 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike 🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF 🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution. ☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18600 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence ———— CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200 Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820 Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot 🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered ☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory —— 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo