NDAQ100 trade ideas
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Why NASDAQ Could Climb Higher Next Week
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, with a notable
25% rally over the past month. Technical indicators, including a breakout
above the 200-day moving average and a positive MACD reading, affirm upward
trends. However, overbought conditions suggest potential consolidation risks
in the short term. Key resistance is near 22,275, while 21,000 remains
critical support. As volatility dips, traders may find opportunities, but
caution is warranted around macroeconomic uncertainties.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets (T1, T2): 21,975, 22,350
- Stop Levels (S1, S2): 21,250, 20,850
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has outperformed major indices, gaining 7.15%
last week and posting year-to-date surges largely driven by technology
stocks. The index remains above all moving averages and saw a 17% drop in
the VXN, reflecting reduced market fear. Small caps, however, remain under
pressure from higher borrowing costs and tighter monetary policy.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight strong upside potential but warn of
overextended technical indicators, signaling a pullback could occur before
further gains. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments, interest
rate forecasts, and sector vulnerabilities, especially in technology and
small caps. The NASDAQ seems poised to test 22,275 in the short term, though
bearish divergences may limit gains.
- News Impact: Moody's U.S. credit rating downgrade spurred after-hours
volatility, which could continue to impact sentiment, mirroring reactions to
Fitch’s earlier downgrade. Conversely, U.S.-China trade truce agreements
have uplifted markets, benefiting tech and global equities, and reinforcing
bullish trends. Positive crypto sentiment has also aided NASDAQ’s advance.
Bright prospects should buoy the index next week as optimism continues in
high-growth sectors.
Nasdaq can test the key support againNasdaq had held steadily above the 200-day moving average, eliminating all losses imposed by the tariff situation. Even though the situation doesn’t look resolved right now, parameters of tech stocks are improving: breadth and strength are improving for the last month.
The tech sector has been outperforming other sectors with the recovery of NVDA, TSLA, AAPL and other shares of tech giants. However, despite the local growth of optimism in the markets, the current upside rally looks as a comeback from a shocking event of “Liberation day”, but doesn’t look as an euphoria or a FOMO-event yet.
Tech stocks lead the rally, and it’s possible to observe some rotation between Nasdaq and S&P 500 in the near future, with Nasdaq testing the 200-day moving average back again, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Price Outcomes"This Is For The Record"
Dealing Range(DR) -Previous day High and Low
Seeing that Wednesday sell side liquidity DR swept by Thursday London sweep.
To confirm Thursday sweep, Wednesday high broken by Thursday
Price retraced 61% of Thursday DR to AOI-"iFVG" as support to go higher
Today London open showed support to Asia Low displacing to Asia high and breaking through it
Clear 1hr OB left in London session for NY to retrace and balance price
Now that NY opened and went higher we can still be open to PDH challenged as no Session lows or major key levels PDH-PDL broken
If still bullish price will have to break PDH and sweep internal liquidity lows
If bearish previous day high- PDH to be sweep area of interest AOI in NY and show clear bearish rejection,
NY now at 30min order block -OB in premium area of dealing range-DR, if there is rejection to the OB, Price must displace NY low and respect any form of resistance made to the NY low eg. FVG or OB
I wont participate in sell unless previous day low displaced.
Sit back and wait for the market to show its hand at key levels and AOI.
Bravo Six. Badged member of the SAS. Task Force QT17
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationTrade Tensions – Trump’s Tariff Plans
Donald Trump said he will set new tariff rates on trading partners within the next 2–3 weeks. China tariffs may remain at 30% through late 2025, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Relevance:
Renewed tariff threats could pressure Nasdaq 100 names with global exposure, especially semiconductors and large-cap tech (e.g., Apple, Nvidia).
Heightened inflation and supply chain risks may weigh on broader risk sentiment.
Geopolitical Risks – Russia, Middle East
Trump is open to meeting Vladimir Putin, though peace talks in Istanbul remain unproductive. Meanwhile, he returns from the Middle East with $200 billion in UAE investment deals.
Relevance:
Limited direct impact on Nasdaq 100, but reinforces broader geopolitical uncertainty, which may influence market volatility and global risk appetite.
Meta Under Pressure – Competition and Regulation
ByteDance, owner of TikTok, is reportedly on track to match Meta’s revenue this year. Meta shares fell on reports of delayed AI development and increasing EU regulatory pressure around user age restrictions.
Relevance:
Meta (META) faces increasing headwinds from both competition and regulation.
Sentiment could spill into other ad-driven or AI-exposed Nasdaq 100 names.
xAI Controversy – Grok AI Glitch
Elon Musk’s xAI chatbot Grok posted controversial content due to unauthorized system tampering. The company has since corrected the issue.
Relevance:
Raises concerns about oversight and content control in the AI space.
May indirectly affect sentiment around AI-related names in the Nasdaq 100, including Tesla and other emerging AI platforms.
Conclusion – Nasdaq 100 Implications
Caution warranted around large-cap tech, especially Meta and AI-focused companies.
Trade war rhetoric and geopolitical risk could add volatility to the broader index.
Watch for market reactions to tariff announcements, regulatory headlines, and key AI developments.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21540
Resistance Level 2: 21710
Resistance Level 3: 21900
Support Level 1: 20890
Support Level 2: 20730
Support Level 3: 20600
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ100 (US100) Testing Key Supply Zone – Big Move Loading?The NASDAQ100 (US100) is currently testing a major supply zone around 21,380 – 21,400, marked clearly by repeated price rejection and visible range resistance from LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
After a strong bullish move from the 20,688.51 demand zone, price is consolidating just below resistance, forming what looks like a potential distribution range. If bulls fail to break this level cleanly, we could see a sharp drop toward the next key supports:
First target: 21,044.29 (Minor support / previous resistance)
Second target: 20,688.51 (Major demand zone, confirmed by volume)
Why this setup matters:
The supply zone has already rejected price multiple times – showing seller strength.
RSI is flattening out, showing momentum loss.
U.S. economic events are coming up (marked on the chart) – these could trigger volatility and confirm direction.
Trading Plan:
Watch for a clean rejection or breakout from the blue zone.
A confirmed rejection + bearish candle pattern = short entry with stops above the zone.
A breakout with volume = bullish continuation above 21,400.
Comment below:
Are you buying the breakout or selling the rejection?
Follow for more clean NASDAQ setups every week!
#US100 #NASDAQ #TradingSetup #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #Forex #Indices #RejectionTrade #Breakout
SHORT NAS100Updated Market Read on NAS100 Footprint
🟠 1. Trend & Price Action:
The overall short-term structure remains bearish.
The rally seen around 07:00–08:00 AM failed to hold above 21,220 and got rejected quickly.
Price has rotated back below the 21,200 key level and is currently printing at 21,194.5, below the VWAP-style center line.
🔴 2. Delta & Volume Shifts:
Look at 06:30–07:00 AM:
Strong positive delta: +290 with 11.51K total volume → Buyers were active.
However, the next few candles (07:00–08:00) show delta flipping negative again (-303) despite decent volume (13.49K).
This indicates buying effort was absorbed, and sellers regained control.
📉 3. Sell Imbalances Reappear:
From 07:30 onward, you see clear sell imbalances (left-side red/black clusters) starting to stack again.
Especially at the top of candles — typical of aggressive selling into buyer attempts.
🧊 4. Absorption Failed at Resistance:
The previous support zone at 21,220–21,240 is now acting as resistance.
Price was rejected right at this level, with sellers stepping in forcefully.
✅ Current Bias: Bearish Continuation
Key Supporting Evidence:
Failure to hold above 21,220 resistance.
Return of negative delta dominance.
Rejection after attempted bullish response (failed absorption).
Sell imbalances resuming into highs.
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,140 – held earlier and could still see responsive buyers.
Breakdown Level: If 21,140 breaks on heavy sell delta, next move could extend lower.
Resistance: 21,220–21,240 – current supply zone.
🔁 Trade Implication:
Short bias below 21,200, targeting 21,160 → 21,140.
Invalidate if price closes above 21,240 on strong positive delta and imbalance flip.
NAS100 | Footprint Chart UpdateKey Developments:
Price just closed above the 21,200 key level with a modest bullish footprint.
Positive delta (+18) with relatively light total volume (~110 contracts) suggests controlled buying rather than aggressive initiative buyers.
Buyers successfully absorbed the heavy selling pressure from the previous candle (delta -293) and pushed price higher — a short-term bullish signal.
📊 What This Means:
The market is showing signs of potential reversal after holding 21,160 and reclaiming 21,200.
If buyers can maintain strength above 21,200, we may see a move toward the 21,240–21,260 resistance zone.
Watch for increased buy imbalances and stronger delta on the next candles to confirm follow-through.
⚠️ Caution:
A failure to hold 21,200 and a drop back below it could signal a bull trap, leading to a re-test of 21,160 or even 21,120.
📍Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,200 → 21,160 → 21,120
Resistance: 21,240 → 21,260 → 21,300
🧩 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish – Awaiting confirmation from next candle’s order flow.
📌 Stay disciplined. React, don’t predict.
Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,280
Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190
Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75
High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution.
Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top)
Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions)
Absorption Zones:
Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume)
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection)
Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure)
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 21,190
Lower POC: 20,060.91
Resistance:
VAH: 21,280
POC: 21,259.75
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060
Retracement Levels:
1/2 = 20,675
1/3 = 20,537
2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price)
b) Notable Patterns:
Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top)
Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower
Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation):
Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3)
Targets:
T1: 21,000
T2: 21,190 (VAL retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup):
Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH)
Target:
T1: 20,800
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
Staircase seen in real chartsFor the most part OANDA:NAS100USD has exhibited a near perfect staircase up so far.
It does appear fairly extended right now, but with rotation out of safe havens into risk on assets again, what remains to be seen is how much fuel is in the tank, and how far can the tailwind take it.
NY AM Silver BulletHigher TF manipulating highs, 7:30 NY high swept at 9
With MSS lower NY swing high and low after 930 and before 10am. OTE entry at 61& of Fib aligns with iFVG to sell. Moerse void below London Low.
Lower TF 5min iFVG that pushed into 7:30 high.
Entry criteria Casper Silver Buller>>$$$
How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly.
This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic.
Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range
Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing.
To do this correctly:
Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance.
Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range.
Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line.
Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount.
You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price.
Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters
The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive.
Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework:
Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups.
Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups.
The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation.
Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M
Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries.
But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind.
Here's what to do:
Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone.
The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG.
Wait for price to retrace into that FVG.
Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction.
Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move.
The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent.
Example: Long from Discount
Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG.
Now you wait.
If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because:
It’s inside 4H discount
The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in
The FVG is your refined entry zone
Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium.
Example: Short from Premium
Opposite logic applies.
If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG.
When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low.
Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M)
To keep your execution sharp, stick to these:
Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves.
The FVG must break intraday structure.
It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions.
Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop.
Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction.
This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value.
Targets and Exits
Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse.
If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels.
If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels.
More specifically:
Look for old highs/lows
Clean equal highs/lows
Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone
This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade.
Conclusion
Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades.
Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value.
___________________________________
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US Tech 100 setting sight for ALL time highs - Target 23,671Buy the dip. Never fails as the American markets will always recover.
The question is however, where is the bottom of the DIP and have I considered what risk to take if it continues to dip.
That is what actually causes portfolios to get blown.
However, I don't buy Dips. In fact, I don't buy low, sell high.
I buy HIGH sell HIGHER. Always have always will.
When momentum is on the way, it is better to get on the trend and ride it on up.
And that is WHAT the US Tech 100 is showing or the Nasdaq.
Technicals look great too.
Inv Head and Shoulders
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 23,671
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NDQ100 Bulls in Control – Eyes on Major Resistance Ahead!Nasdaq 100 (NDQ100) Daily Analysis – May 14, 2025
The Nasdaq 100 has made an impressive recovery, surging from its April lows and now heading toward a key resistance zone.
Key Technical Insights:
Support Held Strong: Price rebounded perfectly from the 20,288 support zone (marked in blue), showing clear buyer interest at that level.
Clean Breakout Structure: The current rally is structured with higher highs and higher lows – a textbook bullish trend.
Next Target: All eyes are on the major resistance zone near 21,300, which previously triggered heavy sell-offs in February.
Volume + Momentum: Momentum is rising, and unless there's a sharp rejection near resistance, we might see a breakout continuation.
Trade Plan to Watch:
Bullish Bias: While price stays above 20,288, bulls are in control.
Bearish Setup? Watch for rejection candles or divergence near 21,300 to consider a short-term pullback.
What’s Your Take? Will NDQ100 blast through resistance or face another rejection like in Q1?
Let’s discuss it below! Drop your trade setups, like, and follow for more clean price action charts.
#ndq100 #nasdaq100 #indices #usmarket #priceaction #supportandresistance #breakouttrading #bullmarket #tradingview