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NDAQ100M2025 trade ideas

Week 23 Bullish speed delivery Bias on Nasdaq.Looking for speed to show up next week and expand higher to reach out 22, 672.00 breaching trough the D SIBI after a potential Mon-Tue LOW. I don't really wants to see price gyration around the D +OB on Monday and Tuesday even if pre-CPI. Better it would be to see a opening gap higher and a retrace into the gap to form the Low of the week Mon-Tue and then rally. + We're 2 weeks a head of contract change. Acceleration towards liquidity before the change in contract is usual behavior
CME_MINI:NQM2025Long
by AlessandroGiust
NQM June 6 Outlook: Break Above 21700 = Strong Uptrend📝 Description: 📅 Date: 06 June 2025 📍 Instrument: NQM2025 (Micro Nasdaq Futures) NQM is currently trading inside a tight consolidation zone between 21605 and 21675. This zone reflects indecision — but such ranges often precede strong directional moves. 🚨 Key Level to Watch: ➡️ Breakout Level: 21700 If price breaks and sustains above 21700, we could see a strong uptrend unfolding with: 📈 Target 1: 21850 📈 Target 2: 22000 💡 Trading Notes: Breakout above 21700 should be supported by momentum or candle confirmation. 21605–21675 remains the consolidation zone — avoid trades within this choppy range unless clear signals appear. This outlook is based on smart zone analysis using the Emperor Setup (Pivot + RSI Candle Logic) — designed to simplify trend reading and trade execution.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by LiveTradingEmperor
2025-06-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Good day for the bears but if you look at the daily or 4h chart, do you really want to sell this? Of course not. Most traders will wait and see where the bears fail to long this for another try at 22000. Technically we had at least 3 legs up in this wedge and 21936 qualifies as a top. I would still not sell this yet. Favoring the bulls for some bounce, can be higher or lower high. Below 21390 I would be neutral and we could try to test down to 21200 or 21000. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls will likely be eager to buy close to the bull trend line which we have not touched since early Monday. Question then is, will we get a lower high or finally the 22000 print? You never know in advance. What you can know is that selling below 21600 is most likely a bad trade. Invalidation is below 21390. bear case: Bears getting more confident in shorting new highs since they make decent money doing so. Until we see 21000 again, they will still likely only scalp and not hold on to positions for longer. The bull wedge is too obvious to hold short and pray for a break. If bears would stay below 21700 tomorrow, that would certainly change their outlook and more bulls would start doubting that we can get to 22000. Daily 20ema is around 21200 and the bull trend line around 21400, those are the next targets for bears. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Neutral but if I had to have a position, I’d be long with stop 21050. I will sit on hands and wait for bears to give up and scalp some longs tomorrow. If bears continue down, it will be without me because I don't like getting trapped. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in. trade of the day: Longing 21700 was a good trade a couple of times today. You could have made decent money doing so and then getting stopped out on the break below 21630 but that would have been still a profitable day. Get comfortable losing.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Supply and Demand Zones 6/4/25 $NQLink to chart: www.tradingview.com Price is bound between the 1HR demand and supply zones. We are only a few percentages away from ATH, if we can break and hold above the strong 1HR and 4HR supply above that can be a test to go ATH. If we fail to break, then I would be interested to see a retest of the 1HR demand below that was tapped 1x earlier. I would like to see if we can hold this demand or continue to break lower to fill the gap at 20360s as a bigger HTF play. Keeping note that on the 1HR frame we are having higher highs and higher lows as we try to push through the double 1HR supply zones above.
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by tradeswithjess
2025-06-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls buy every dip and so should you, until it stops working. Clear target above and also clear invalidation level below us. Trade the wedge. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls will likely get a third leg up tomorrow and if they want it bad, we could accelerate upwards for 22000. Right now the wedge is clear but if we get so close to 22000, I doubt market will hesitate to print it. Bulls have to stay above 21500 or risk a deeper pullback to 21300 and I don’t know if they could do 22000 afterwards. If we print below 21500, I think I’d expect a lower high below 21800 but for now they are in full control and are favored for 22000. Invalidation is below 21500. bear case: Literally the exact same play every day. Globex and EU sell it, US session pumps. Don’t fight it. Will end soon but just don’t be early. Below 21500 would be a start but only a daily close below 21000 will make me turn bear. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Neutral because longs above 21650 are bad. Wait for a pullback to 21600 or 21550. Can you make them work? Sure but you would have to have a stop at least 21400 and scale in. Bears have nothing for now. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in. trade of the day: Longing the double bottom on the 15m tf on US open at 24500.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Nasdaq 100 Uptrend Approaching Important Resistance LevelHey Traders so today still looking at Nasdaq 100 now in strong uptrend but watch close this 21,867 level because a few things could happen. It could break through which would be bullish. It could pause and consolidate or it could reverse. Then we have the All Time High at 22,684 not too far away! So if your bullish wait for a closing price above that level 21,867 before continuing to buy or better yet let it break above them pullback then buy at a better price. However if you bearish I wouldn't try shorting until a break below support at 20,700 Always use Risk Management! (Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by TradeTheIndex
550+ Points Secured on MNQ | Bullish FVG + Gap Fill PrecisionIn today’s trade, we captured over 550 points on MNQ, banking a solid $288 profit on one clean, high-probability setup. Here’s the breakdown: Sunday’s open left a gap above, creating a clear target for buy-side liquidity. During Asia, price dipped into a validated Daily Bullish FVG, which had previously been traded through and reclaimed — a powerful sign of support. As price retraced into the 30m FVG and approached its high, I entered at 7AM, aiming for the equal highs above. Although we exited slightly early before the 10am open push, price ultimately fulfilled the full TP target, confirming the strength of the setup. 🎯 Bonus insight: As mentioned in the video, re-entry at the 50% of the 30m FVG was also valid — and it could’ve netted another 600+ points. That’s how powerful these FVG structures are when aligned with narrative and timing. Watch the full video to see the exact entry logic, TP strategy, and lessons learned. Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trade recaps and educational content! #MNQ #NasdaqFutures #FVG #FairValueGap #LiquidityTrading #DayTradingStrategy #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradeRecap #FuturesMarket #GapFill #PriceAction
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by BDripTradess
NASDAQ 100 TECH HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Bear Trap!🚨 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 HEIST: Tech Rally or Bear Trap? (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Salam! 🌟 Attention all Market Bandits & Tech Raiders! 🏴‍☠️💻💰 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: We're targeting the E-MINI NASDAQ 100 for a bullish loot grab! Long entry only—high-risk Red Zone ahead: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Don’t let the bears ambush your profits! "Claim your tech treasure and run—you’ve earned this steal!" 💰🚀 🚪 ENTRY: The Tech Vault is Open! 📈 "Swipe bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Buy Limit orders at recent swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF). 📌 Pro Thief Move: SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Plan 📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent swing low (20,700.00, 4H TF). 📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and orders. 🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit! 🎯 22,600.00 (or bail early if the market flips!) ⚡ SCALPERS’ QUICK HIT 👀 Long scalps ONLY! Deep pockets? Raid now. Light wallet? Join swing traders. Trailing SL = Your Profit Shield! 🛡️ 📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (NASDAQ Bullish Momentum) Tech rally brewing! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT, Macro, Geopolitics) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Index-Specific Analysis & Positioning 🔗 Full intel? Bio linkss checkk! 👉🏻👉🏻👉🏻 ⚠️ WARNING: News = Danger Zone! 📡🚨 Tech news moves FAST! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Trailing SL = Lock profits. 💖 SUPPORT THE TECH HEIST CREW! 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥 More boosts = bigger future heists! Stronger crew = more $$$ for all! Profit daily with Thief Trading Style! 📈🏆 Next tech raid coming soon—stay tuned! 🖥️🤑
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Thief_Trader
NQ1! Gap DownEntry missed by 5 ticks or 1 point and 1 tick. Unfortunately, the idea behind this setup can't be shown to the detail that I would have liked, on a chart, as I am unable to publish an idea on timeframes of less than M15. However, I will try my best to describe and explain as clearly as possible in this idea. My first thought of call after hearing the new Steel Tariff news was that Futures would possibly gap down into Sunday's open. This part of the thesis was correct and so continuing from here, I wanted to see how price action behaved post the gap down and whether or not price would fill the gap or rolled over and begin a further leg down. To the aid of 20/20 hindsight, we can now see that price rolled over to the downside. This next part is significant to whether I was going to leave a Limit Order resting. Before the roll-over was instigated, I would have presumed that traders who were immediately short from the open were then in immediate drawdown due to the temporary rise in prices before the continued down-move. Their buy-stops would have either been above the first one minute candle's high, at an area below the previous support now turned resistance or above Friday's close. Again hindsight shows now that the majority of the short term liquidity was at a zone below the previous support area. After the initial roll-over move, I then immediately changed to an M1 timeframe to see if I could spot firstly a liquidity grab and a break of structure to the downside due to displacement thus creating a bearish price imbalance or more commonly known as a Fair Value Gap. The presumption that whoever placed market orders immediately at the open, boosted this theory that Buy-Side-Liquidity could be present above the market price. On M1, I spotted the roll-over to the downside after taking out all the traders that were immediately short from the open. Then, in conjunction with one another a break of structure and displacement. Displacement, a strong period of selling pressure producing a price imbalance or Fair Value Gap in this instance needed to cause price action to close below or break the short-term swing low after the liquidity grab, which is known as either a market structure shift or break of structure. There were two opportunities to trade short before leaving my Limit Order resting at the Fair Value Gap that you will be able to see on the chart as a small red rectangular box. All the necessary labelling is there. I was just not on my toes enough to spot the first two OTE points before seeing the market drop further. Therefore, I thought to myself, leave one sell contract resting at the 0.25 Gann level, being measured from the high of the lower wick of the FVG to the low of the higher wick of the FVG, (this is something that I am back-testing to see if the 0.25 Gann level always gets hit within these price imbalances or not) with a stop above the first bearish candle's high that caused the break of structure on M1. I hope this description is good enough for anyone wanting to read this. If you have the ability to scale down to the M1 chart then please do take a look at the NQ1! from last night's open and I wish you all good trading.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Bloomers117
The Last Batch of Good DataCME: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures ($MNQ) #TheFuturesLeap #Microfutures Investors have defied the Wall Street adage of “Sell in May and Go Away”. The S&P 500 rose by 6.2% in May while the Nasdaq climbed 9.6%. Both indices notched their best monthly results since 2023. The Dow Jones gained 3.9% for the month. The S&P stood out as it recorded its best performance for the month of May since 1990. Several favorable factors propelled May’s impressive stock index gains: • Early-May employment data pointed to continued strength, raising risk appetite. • A temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction for 90 days helped calm trade tensions. • Robust earnings from Nvidia and Super Micro Computer fueled rally momentum. Meanwhile, these unfavorable events also occurred in May: • Moody’s downgraded the US sovereignty rating. By now, the US has lost its AAA ratings from all three major credit agencies. • The 20-year Treasury bond auction received a cold shoulder in the bond market. • The trade talk between U.S. and China has been stalled apparently. In any other time, bad news of such significance would send the stock market into a free fall. But investors turned a blind eye to them. This highlighted a bullish market sentiment, a prevailing appetite for risky assets amid uncertainty in geopolitical and trade tensions. Underpinning the rising stock prices are solid macroeconomic data for the month of April and strong Q1 earnings from major US corporations. Given that stock prices reflect expected future earnings, it is fair to ask: Will the data stay good? Import dependency is unlikely to change any time soon On May 30th, US Census Bureau reported that the U.S. trade deficit in goods narrowed sharply in April, with the gap contracted 46.0% to $87.6 billion. Goods imports decreased by $68.4 billion to $276.1 billion. Exports of goods increased by $6.3 billion to $188.5 billion. What really happened is that there was a boost in imports in Q1 due to the front-running ahead of tariffs. This ended in April as the higher rates kicked in. If we take March out as an outliner, we will find that the April data is 9.7% higher than February. As a matter of fact, U.S. trade deficits in 2025 rose sharply comparing to 2023 and 2024 levels. With the US-China interim trade deal in effect from May 14th, we could expect large waves of imports to resume from now through August, pushing trade deficits even higher. The global supply chain is decades in the making. Its undoing will take years. Meanwhile, imports will pour in, only at higher costs due to the new tariffs and higher freight costs. My conclusion: U.S. trade deficit will grow bigger, at least for the remainder of 2025. Retail price hikes could cause inflation to rebound US retailers largely source their products overseas. Could they just “eat the tariffs?” • Walmart: FY2024 revenues $681 billion (+5.1% YoY). Net income jumped 25.3% to $19.4 billion, lifting its net profit margin to 2.9%. • Target: Revenue $107.4b (-1.6%). Net income $4.14b (+49%). Profit margin 3.9%. • Costco: Revenue $254.5b (+5.0%). Net income $7.37b (+17%). Profit margin 2.9%. • Walgreens: Revenue $147.66 billion (+6.17%). Net Income -$8.64 billion (-5.9%) • Amazon: Revenue $638.0b (+11%). Net income $59.2b (+95%). Profit margin 9.3%. Apparently, even the largest and the most efficiently run retail giants are operating with a razor-thin margin. Retailers really have no choice but to pass on the tariffs to consumers, in the form of higher prices. On May 15th, Walmart announced to raise prices starting in late April. The price hikes would accelerate in May, and a larger sting will start to be felt in June and July when the back-to-school shopping season goes into high gear. Other retailers are expected to follow suit. Walmart’s action provides air cover for the tens of thousands of retailers to raise their prices freely. My conclusion: Inflation will go up from May through the holiday season in December. Higher interest cost will eat into the bottom line While stock investors brushed off the Moody’s downgrade, the bond market has been in real trouble. As the US treasury bonds lost their “risk-free” status, debts of all kinds and all durations see a big spike in yield. Bond investors are undergoing a complete makeover of repricing bonds and reassigning a new “risk premium”. On May 21st, the U.S. Treasury held an auction for 20-year bonds that fell significantly short of expectations. The lack of bidders—an alarming indicator of waning confidence in the U.S. economy—resulted in the yield on these bonds skyrocketing to 5.1%. The bond yields go up even though the Fed holds rates steady. This indicates that central bank monetary policies are not very effective in shaping the long end of the bond market. Even if the Fed lowers the overnight Fed Funds rates, bond investors would still demand higher yield to compensate for the perceived risk increases for the once “risk-free” instruments. Commercial banks could keep interest rates high for mortgages, corporate bonds, auto loans and credit cards. As of June 2nd, the futures market puts the odds of the Fed holding rates unchanged at 95.4% for its June 18th FOMC meeting, according to CME Group FedWatch tool. www.cmegroup.com My conclusion: The Fed may have little appetite for cutting rates if inflation goes up. When they cut the overnight rates, businesses and households may not get any relief from high interest expenses. Trade tensions and geopolitical risks may stay elevated Before the ink dries on a temporary agreement, the trade talk between U.S. and China has been stalled. The minister-level negotiation has gone nowhere, and it may take presidential talk to salvage the agreement. At this point, we could not make any assumption about any trade agreement. Its shape and form and timing are uncertain. If the trade talk breaks down, we will see a new round of tariff reescalation and retaliation. On June 2nd, breaking news report that Ukraine carried out a large drone attack deep into the Russian territory. Russian retaliation is expected. After months of effort, potential ceasefire and peace negotiation could fall apart. My conclusion: Trade and geopolitical tensions are both escalating, after early signs of calming down. These would hurt economic growth and dent investor appetite for risk. Trading with Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures Based on my analysis above, I hold the opinion that good data may quickly turn bad in the coming weeks, and correction in the US stock market is imminent. Valuation at the current lofty level completely ignores the risk escalation closer on to us. Anyone sharing this view could express it by shorting the CME Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures. The Micro Nasdaq contract has a notional value of $2 times the index. At the Friday closing price of 21,578, each September contract is worth $43,156. The minimum margin for shorting one contract is $3,036 at the time of this writing. The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of May 27th, the total open interest for Emini Nasdaq and Micro Nasdaq futures are 275,143 and 204,499 contracts, respectively. • Leverage Fund has 77,467 in long, 251,452 in short, and 10,472 in spreading • The long-short ratio of 1-to-3.2 (= 77467/251452) show that the “Smart Money” is very bearish on the Nasdaq while the index gained nearly 10% in May Hypothetically, if Nasdaq 100 were to pull back 5% before September, a short futures position will gain $2,157.8 (= 21578 * 0.05 * 2). The risk of shorting the Nasdaq is that the stock index continues to rally. To hedge the downside risk, the trader could set a stop-loss at his order. For example, a stop loss at 23,000 for a short order would set the maximum loss to $2,844 (= (23000-21578) x 2). Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by JimHuangChicago