US30 07/29 Sell Trade I don't like sells because I consider myself an optimistic person but the red candle that I mark in red gave me all I needed to know to enter sell and get my target profit filled. So. I know there is variation in this trade but we were on a downtrend and going against the trend is only acceptable when the trend is over( meaning a reversal) . So when I see a big candle break the support of my variation I entered
US30 trade ideas
DJ30/US30 LONG Reason for trade:
1. Expanding flat in play
2. Equal highs (LIQUIDITY)
3. Currently at the order block area (Ready)
Entry: 43647
Stop Loss: 43386
Take Profit: 45246
Strategy: Wait for a 30 minute engulfing candle closure.
Once in profit of 1:1 R, place the trade at BE
Blessings, in CHRIST.
US30 Weekly Forecast – Bullish Bounce or Breakdown?Hope everyone had a great weekend!
This chart outlines a critical US30 intraday structure with price currently pulling back into a key confluence zone composed of:
A rising trendline from July 23rd
Two stacked demand zones, the upper around 44,850 and lower near 44,700
Bullish Scenario (Preferred Bias):
If price respects the trendline and upper key zone, we may see a bullish continuation targeting the 45,150–45,250 range.
The clean bounce zone, marked by the green arrow, suggests smart money might defend this level.
Watch for bullish engulfing or low-volume traps near 44,850–44,880 to confirm entry.
Bearish Scenario (Alternate Play):
If price fails to hold the trendline, and breaks below the 44,850 key zone with momentum, expect a drop into the lower zone (44,650–44,700).
A breakdown below this lower demand could shift the bias entirely, opening the door for a deeper correction back into the mid-44,000s.
Weekly Playbook:
Early week: Monitor the reaction at the upper key zone for sniper long opportunities with tight stops.
Mid to late week: If structure fails, flip bias and look for supply rejections on retests for shorts.
Risk: Account for FOMC/major U.S. news events that may introduce volatility traps around these zones.
Verdict: Stay patient. Let price dictate bias at the trendline. If it holds, this could be a textbook bounce continuation setup.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 August 2025
- Dow Jones broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 43000.00
The Dow Jones index broke the support zone between the support level 44000.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction iv.
Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 43000.00 (target for the completion of the active correction iv and the former resistance from May and June).
US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/04/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/04/2025
US30 sold off sharply, breaking down from the 44,600–44,700 range and diving as low as 43,500. Price is currently bouncing near 43,750, but the trend remains weak with lower highs and a breakdown structure intact.
The market lost its key support zone and is now attempting a weak relief rally. Bulls must reclaim 44,000 to avoid further selling pressure.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📉 Sharp downside momentum
🔄 Small bounce after aggressive breakdown
🧱 Old support at 44,600–44,700 now acting as resistance
⚠️ Bearish structure intact unless reclaimed
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
43,950–44,000 → Minor intraday resistance
44,600–44,720 → Major breakdown zone
44,943 → Swing high before selloff
🔹 Support Zones:
43,600 → Intraday bounce zone
43,500 → Recent low
43,200 → Next potential demand area
🧠 Bias:
📉 Bearish Intraday
Market still under heavy pressure with no major reversal signals. Relief rallies likely to be sold until key levels are reclaimed.
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 47,577.1 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 43,436.6 .and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US 30 Index – Potential Rebound or Deeper Retracement Ahead?Just as the US 30 became the last of the three major US indices to register a new all time high last Monday at 45160, on a final wave of positivity generated by the announcement of a trade deal between the US and EU, it was snatched away again as traders used the up move to take profit on longs.
This initial fall evolved into 5 straight daily declines which took the index from its record high of 45160 on Monday to a Friday close at 43591 as the sell off accelerated, driven by disappointment of a more hawkish than expected Fed, a new wave of trade tariffs from President Trump, weaker Amazon earnings , and on Friday, perhaps the biggest surprise of all, a Non-farm Payrolls release that showed the US labour market may be weakening faster than anticipated.
Looking forward, with the shock of Friday’s data reverberating through markets, US 30 traders still have lots to think about this week. The US ISM Services PMI release is due at 1500 BST on Tuesday. Service activity has been the major driver of growth in the US economy for the last 18 months, so this new update could have a big influence over where the US 30 index moves next. Any reading below 50 = economic contraction, while readings above 50 = economic expansion, and traders could well be focused on how this month’s print stacks up against last month’s reading of 50.8.
The earnings releases of 3 bellwether US corporates may also be relevant, given their US 30 index weightings. Caterpillar reports its Q2 results before the market open on Tuesday, with McDonald’s and Walt Disney reporting before the open on Wednesday. Traders may be looking to compare actual earnings against expected, alongside assessing any future revenue guidance that is provided against the current trade tariff operating environment.
Now, while the US 30 index has opened this new trading week on a more stable footing, currently trading up 0.25% at 43705 at the time of writing (0530 BST), assessing the technical outlook for the week ahead could also be useful for traders.
Technical Update: Deeper Retracement Risk Emerging?
While it might be argued that it was the reaction to the latest US employment data that saw US equities encounter fresh selling pressure, as the chart below shows, prices were already declining into Friday’s payrolls release.
Price weakness was materialising in the US 30 index right after it posted its new all-time high on Monday July 28th at 45160, and traders might now argue that last Thursday’s close below support provided by the Bollinger mid-average, currently at 44412, was the first potential indication that a more extended phase of price weakness was possible. The case was then perhaps strengthened by Friday’s negative reaction to the payrolls data, which saw closing breaks under support provided by the July 16th last correction low at 43770.
There is of course no guarantee that this price action will result in a retracement of the April 7th (36440) to July 28th strength (45160), but assessing what may be the potential support and resistance levels to monitor this week could be helpful, if the recent volatility continues to dominate price action at the start of August.
Possible Support Levels:
Last week’s price decline held at the 43337 level which was the August 1st low, and having previously found buyers at this point, they may be found again. As such, this 43337 level could now prove to be the first support focus for the week ahead.
Closing breaks below 43337, if seen, could lead to the possibility of further price declines, opening potential to test the next support at 41824, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength (see chart above).
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having now seen the Bollinger mid-average for the US 30 index turn lower after last week’s fall, this may now be the first resistance level to watch on any subsequent rally higher. It currently stands at 44442 and watching how this level is defended on a closing basis could be useful.
If a more sustained phase of price strength is to materialise, it could be closing breaks above the mid-average at 44442 that increases the possibility of it happening. Such moves could then see retests of the July 28th all-time high at 45160, possibly higher if this level is then breached on a closing basis.
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DOW JONES Strong rebound on its 4H MA50.Dow Jones (DJI) is having a strong rebound exactly on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is taking place just after the price broke above the Bull Flag that served as the accumulation pattern following the previous Channel Up.
This is a repetitive pattern and most likely we will now see the new Channel Up starting. The technical Target on such formations is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 48000.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Shakeout On The WayUnlike the SPX, the DJI didn't make a higher-high. Why is this? I think partially because it's price weighted as opposed to market cap weighted like the Nasdaq or SPX. The other part would be CPI numbers.
So what's next for the DJI? I see hidden bullish divs long term and hidden bearish divs short term, this a common shake out tactic I see to liquidate longs and shorts. I'll be looking to load up on the trade at the bottom of the channel and play the range as it develops.
As always: stay calm, don't panic, and don't forget you can always use a stop loss
The fear and green index is at 74, when people are greedy be fearful.
US30 H4 IdeaThe Federal Reserve meets next week and is widely expected to leave rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%. Still, market participants will watch for commentary on inflation and rate-cut prospects, especially after recent criticism of Fed Chair Powell by President Trump.
What Should Traders Watch?
With the major indexes on track for weekly gains, next week’s developments could test the market’s resilience.
Long Position on Dow Jones Industrial Average
Initiating a long position at 44,456, supported by robust economic data and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings. These indicators point to continued resilience in the U.S. economy, potentially allowing the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts sooner than previously anticipated — a positive catalyst for equities.
📌 Entry: 44,456
🛑 Stop Loss: 44,207
🎯 Take Profit: 44,900
Monitoring price action closely as market sentiment continues to shift in response to macroeconomic developments.
US30 Hits New All-Time High – What’s Next?US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has printed a new all-time high, exactly reaching our target at 45,090, as previously anticipated.
Today, we may see a correction toward 44,770 and 44,610. If the price stabilizes above these levels, another bullish leg is expected.
On the upside, a break above 44,910 would confirm a bullish continuation toward 45,090 and 45,250.
Key Levels:
Support: 44,770 · 44,610 · 44,370
Resistance: 45,090 · 45,250
previous idea:
Dow Set for Volatile Move as Earnings, Tariff Risks CollideUS30 OVERVIEW
The price is currently consolidating between 44,180 and 44,620, awaiting a catalyst. Today’s earnings reports are expected to heavily influence Dow Jones price action.
If earnings come in strong, the index is likely to push toward 44,620 and 44,760. A confirmed stability above 44,620 would strengthen the bullish case, potentially opening the path toward a new all-time high near 45,100.
However, a break below 44,180 would signal bearish momentum, with potential downside toward 43,960. Additional pressure could come from escalating tariff tensions, further weakening sentiment.
Resistance: 44,620 · 44,760 · 45,100
Support: 44,180 · 43,960 · 43,630
US30 Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#US30 is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
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