Bitcoin Futures (Jul 2025) forum
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ETHUSDT BTC1! BTCETH🚨Market Drop: Debt, Tariffs & Bond Moves – What’s Happening?🚨
Markets are sliding, and it's not just a coincidence. The U.S. has massive debt payments due in the next six months, and recent tariffs and trade policies are fueling market uncertainty. Here’s what’s driving the drop:
- Debt Crisis Looming: The U.S. faces growing pressure with 36.1T in national debt, requiring strategic financial moves.
- Bond Market Manipulation? Higher bond prices mean lower yields, allowing the U.S. to borrow more cheaply and manage its debt payments more efficiently.
- Tariffs & Market Shock: New trade policies are rattling investor confidence, impacting global markets.
Key Takeaway: By pushing markets lower, the U.S. may be influencing bond prices to ease its debt burden.
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Let's see what tomorrow's CPI data brings and how the market reacts. Expect high volatility ahead. 🤞
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2. Understand Market – Research before trading.
3. Control Emotions – Avoid fear and greed.
4. Stay Disciplined – Follow a trading plan.
5. Keep Learning – Learn from mistakes.
6. Invest Wisely – Don’t risk all your capital.
7. Be Patient – Focus on long-term growth.
Follow these principles for trading success!
BTCUSDT.P BTC1! ETHUSDT.P 
XRPUSDT.P SOLUSDT.BTCUSDT BTCUSD ETHUSDT BTC1! BTCETHThe CME gap at 77,950 has now been filled, in line with the analysis from earlier today. BTC now has the potential to bounce from the +FVG zone, but if it rejects again from this weekend’s CME gap, a retest of 77,400 remains likely. A deeper move toward the weekly lower Bollinger Band, around 75,500, is also possible.
Additionally, tomorrow’s CPI data release could introduce significant volatility and influence the overall trend. Key levels remain in focus. 🤞
BTCUSDT BTCUSD ETHUSDT BTC1! BTCETH🚨Key Factors Influencing the Market - March 11, 2025🚨
Global markets are facing sharp declines as multiple economic and geopolitical concerns weigh on investor sentiment:
1. Trade Tensions Escalate – New U.S. tariffs raise fears of a prolonged trade war, pressuring global equities.
2. Recession Concerns Grow – Investors shift to safe-haven assets amid increasing signs of economic slowdown.
3. Tech Sector Sell-Off – Major tech stocks, including Tesla, Nvidia, and Microsoft, drop between 4-11%, erasing significant market value.
4. Alibaba’s AI Disruption – Alibaba launches a new AI model to rival DeepSeek, intensifying competition and contributing to Nvidia’s decline.
5. China’s Deflation Warning – Declining consumer and producer prices raise concerns over weakening global demand.
6. Falling Bond Yields – Increased demand for U.S. Treasuries signals rising market uncertainty.
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Looking Ahead: CPI Data Release – March 12, 2025
Tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be a critical market catalyst:
- Higher-than-expected inflation may reinforce the Fed’s hawkish stance, keeping interest rates elevated and adding pressure to risk assets.
- A softer CPI reading could support a more dovish outlook, potentially easing market concerns and driving a recovery.
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BTCUSD BTCUSDT ETHUSDT BTC1! BTCETHBitcoin Price Action & Technical Analysis 1-Day Chart
**Overview**
- Bitcoin continues to follow the expected bearish trajectory, confirming that our analysis remains in play.
- Today, BTC rejected from this week’s CME gap (91,600 - 85,720) and moved downward toward the previous half-filled CME gap around 78,150.
- Additionally, a +FVG between 80,226 and 76,993 could act as a potential reversal zone before BTC reaches the final strong support at 75,350, aligning with the weekly Bollinger Bands' lower line.
**Key Technical Indicators & Market Structure**
1. CME Gaps & Price Movement
- BTC rejected from the 91,600 - 85,720 CME gap today, confirming it as a strong resistance zone.
- Price moved downward toward the 78,150 CME gap, which had been partially filled earlier.
- A +FVG zone between 80,226 and 76,993 could act as a potential reversal area before reaching the major support at 75,350.
- If BTC fully fills the 78,150 CME gap, the next strong support is at 75,350, where the weekly Bollinger Bands' lower band is positioned.
2. EMA
- EMA 100 at 92,168 – Now a strong resistance level, aligning with the upper range of the recent CME gap.
- EMA 200 at 85,609 – Another significant resistance level, further reinforcing the bearish structure.
3. RSI - 32.22
- RSI remains near the bearish zone, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reaction.
- However, in strong bearish conditions, RSI can stay oversold for extended periods before reversal.
4. MACD
- The MACD histogram remains in the red, with no bullish crossover signal yet.
- Selling pressure continues to dominate, confirming a bearish market structure.
5. Volume & Liquidity Zones
- High selling volume during recent drops signals strong seller dominance.
- POC at 95,902 remains a major resistance level if BTC attempts a recovery.
**Conclusion & Future Outlook**
- Bearish Bias Holds: BTC continues to follow the expected bearish trajectory.
- Next Critical Zone: If BTC fully fills the 78,150 CME gap, the next key support is at 75,350, where the weekly Bollinger Bands' lower line is positioned.
- Potential Bounce Zone: A +FVG zone between 80,226 and 76,993 could act as a reversal area before BTC reaches 75,350.
Resistance Levels to Watch:
- 85,609 (EMA 200) – First major resistance.
91,600 - 92,168 (CME Gap top & EMA 100) – Key resistance zone on any bounce attempt.
**Final Thoughts**
Our analysis remains highly accurate, with BTC respecting these zones precisely. The +FVG at 80,226 - 76,993 adds another layer of confluence for a potential reaction before the final major support at 75,350. Until a bullish reversal structure forms, BTC remains under strong bearish control.
MBT1! Bros I dont like bad news, as traders, we all, bears and bulls,facing the markets challenges. But maybe my bullish friends should be cautios.NY Fed: Expectations financial situation to worsen year from now, the highest since November 2023.
NY Fed: Public expects bigger future price increases for gas, rent and food.
Medium- and Longer-Term US Inflation Expectations Unchanged; Consumers’ Pessimism About Their Future Financial Situations Increases