ETH1! trade ideas
book sweep 🍒last post:
one from 2022:
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there's many ways to label this run,
but it will under no circumstances be labeled as an impulse.
it's not a bullish nest,
and it's not 5 waves up.
chop city,
that's all it is.
ralph nelson elliott would look at this and snicker,
tongue in cheek at what's about to come.
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now that the boomers are in,
we're going to run it down,
and the boomers are going to panic sell everything.
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calling this move a double zig-zag,
subdivided into a 3-3-3.
abc from the 2022 high,
wxy from the 2022 low to the 2024 high,
followed by an abc \ wxy down to about 900 usdt, into 2025.
the move will happen quickly,
because this time, the common mans average is near the highs.
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1129
☿
🍒
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BTC Leads, ETH follows, Altcoins right behind, true?We hear that CRYPTOCAP:BTC runs 1st.
Then CRYPTOCAP:ETH follows.
Then #altcoins lag showing the biggest gains.
Let's see how true that is
Early 2021 Chart:
1 Extended #BTC a little bit more on the left to show that there was a run already in progress.
2 #Bitcoin led the rally & it also TOPPED earlier.
Took #ETH a little longer to run. It topped later. It also sold off faster than its counterpart.
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit a mid April peak
CRYPTOCAP:ETH hit a mid May peak
ETH fell faster & coincided with BTC on all bottoms, shown in the yellow box.
#Ethereum resumed run was bigger, but was in conjunction with #Bitcoin.
#BTC made a higher high on this run.
However, while the #ETH run was bigger, peaking a month later both times, it made a lower high.
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CRYPTOCAP:ETH bottomed right above 1k in Mid June - July & tested this in Nov.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC bottomed at a lower price in November.
Both put higher lows in the middle of March.
Since then:
#ETH has done a 4x!
#BTC has done 4.5x & has new ATH!
The #Bitcoin performance is pretty much the same but the technical is better.
#Ethereum is still under the ATH & resistance is currently stopping.
***So far:
The early 2021 run shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC was a clear leader, topped before $ETH.
Later in the year, #BTC peaked first BUT did manage to make another high while #ETH did not.
During bear market, the clear performer was #ethereum. It managed to bottom first, before BTC.
#Bitcoin has similar performance in returns in similar time frames but has been more impressive technically.
***
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CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH
#altcoins follow similar trajectory to #ETH in early 2021 but outperformed it by a very good amount.
The second half of #altcoinseason wasn't as strong as the first half but still outperformed #ethereum & coincided with patterns again.
Smaller caps weakened first showing a loss for risk appetite.
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#Altcoins perform more like CRYPTOCAP:BTC come August 2022.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 bottomed a month AFTER #BTC. This is shown in the yellow box.
Since then, as a whole, smaller caps have severely underperformed #bitcoin
& #ethereum by 50%!
Granted, those in the right sectors have done well. Sectors like #AI #CryptoGaming & #memecoin.
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at an ATH
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is 20% away from its previous all time high.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = is a whopping 50% from its all time high!
*******Conclusion*******
Not sure of the narrative being pushed for the last 2 years is correct. At least in reference to #altcoins as a whole.
If you're in right sectors, yes, it is great! However, looking at the the data shows that most previous winners are severely lagging.
Examples are CRYPTOCAP:BNB CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BIST:LINK
Hope you enjoyed this & get something out of it.
(Very hard to show all this data here, Please see our profile for more data)
Not much of a pause for the ether rocketEthereum has had quite a run over the past six weeks. Yesterday's tiny pullback seems to have just set the stage for a further advance. This echoes the price action that prevailed until late summer 2022.
From Labor Day 2022 until the end of January 2024, sideways price action gave Ethereum traders almost as many opportunities to be whipsawed as to make profits.
A second-stage advance will find us adding to our long position if Ethereum can manage to hold above 3650 or so. If we do load the boat, we'll be ready to reverse on a pullback below 3450.
Ethereum CME Futures Gap UpEthereum CME Futures testing Gap Up Support Resistance levels.
Also Fibonacci 55% Retracement Level , First Touch Price Rejection.
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Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
Three corrective waves are enough and continue? Deeper correctivDear Friends,
I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions.
The first analysis is Litecoin
In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily).
I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished.
Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
ETHUSDTLevel - 2306.56
Looks long
We stayed at the level, saved up, now I’m looking forward to reaching the goal of 2389.15
$ETH holding better than $BTC but for how long?One of our #ETH TARGETS has been hit. The Gap is FILLED!
CRYPTOCAP:ETH doesn't look as bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC but it is weakening.
Keep an eye on #Ethereum volume. Very important short term.
As we've been saying for some time now, #ETF , or institutions, are NOT what #crypto is about & makes it easier to manipulate #crypto. It is what it is now.
On ETF news, this might be built in already.
$ETH ETF news but it has held well regardlessCRYPTOCAP:ETH has been hovering around Major Resistance for some time and it has certainly held well.
There's a tiny downtrend but this can easily be broken today & on HEAVY VOLUME.
#ETH RSI & $ Flow are looking petty good, not bad at all.
1st target called long ago was 2300.
Next target is the Gap fill and that sits around 25-2600.
Then the final target would be 50% Fib level, putting #ethereum at 3000. Might pause around there for a bit again.
#crypto #ETF
Major Consolidation I am leaning more toward the idea that it is a bearish consolidation because we just closed the gap. Since things are likely more apparent with ETH, we can correlate it to Bitcoin when bullish ETF hype is still kicking.
ETH I will be a buyer at 1700K$ levels
Right now, my position with ETH and BTC is derisked.
ETH forming bearish engulfing on weekly and more...Battle happening with CRYPTOCAP:ETH at the moment.
#ETH pumps but it cannot hold them.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is really struggling @ major resistance.
Recently it did break the uptrend and bounced back above.
As of now it's under it again and in the middle of an intraday downtrend.
#ETH RSI & $ FLOW peaked in mid November & have formed negative divergence since then this means it is weakening.
Volume is also lessening with some selling showing up.
CHART SHOWN IS WEEKLY
Weekly #Ethereum forms a bearish engulfing but it lacks volume
Arrows show previous instances.
MMBM for January.I'm not sure about what the first quarter of the year will bring, but I would like to see a bullish response towards the weekly gap. If I'm correct, we are in the 2nd re-accumulation stage of a Market Maker model on the 1D timeframe, so the price should make a strong upward move. In case the idea is invalidated, I'll be looking at the sell-side liquidity below 2144.5.
See weekly chart for context:
$ETH looking yucky atmCRYPTOCAP:ETH is breaking down at the moment.
Currently, it is testing the Green Moving Avg support area.
#ETH has NOT traded under the Green average since Oct 23.
RSI doesn't look very good but it also looked strong before & didn't pump much. So it may weaken but reverse. We'll see.
Weekly does show hope HOWEVER, #Ethereum may get a lil ugly before it gets better.
Time for ETH to Outperform BTC? Ethereum futures (ETH) have showcased robust performance this year, marking an impressive gain of over 80% year-to-date, albeit trailing behind Bitcoin (BTC) with its remarkable surge of over 130%. However, this lag may present a compelling opportunity for ETH as a catch-up trade.
In the realm of cryptocurrency fundamentals, Ethereum distinguishes itself with a broader array of applications compared to Bitcoin. While BTC is often likened to digital gold, Ethereum functions as a decentralized platform facilitating the creation and execution of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps).
Ethereum's Performance
Despite its stellar performance, ETH prices remain more than 55% below their peak, in contrast to BTC's 42% decline. Similar to the relationship between gold and silver, the trading dynamics between BTC and ETH reflect their unique roles in the cryptocurrency landscape.
ETH, despite sharing the spotlight with its more prominent sibling BTC, has demonstrated remarkable strength, outperforming traditional stock indices year to date. Notably, the crossing of the 21-day EMA above the 50-day EMA on October 30th, triggered by CPI and PPI numbers for October indicating no increase in inflation, fueled a notable rally in ETH prices, aligning with the broader trend in risk assets.
Major Headwinds for Ethereum:
As the year draws to a close, the prospect of easier financial conditions bodes well for Ethereum, especially as retail traders may increasingly engage in transactions using cryptocurrencies. However, potential headwinds loom with the Federal Reserve's summary of Economic Projections and crucial job-related data releases, including ADP Non-Farm, JOLTs, Unit Labor Cost, Avg Hourly Earnings, and Nonfarm Payrolls.
From a technical standpoint, major support rests at the psychologically significant 2000 level, and the recent break above 2150-2200 has instilled greater confidence in the upside potential of the ETH currency. The interplay of fundamental factors, market dynamics, and technical indicators will continue to shape the trajectory of Ethereum futures.
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Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
$ETH lowest amount of shorts & trying to climb higherCRYPTOCAP:ETH on the other hand has the LOWEST amount of shorts in a LONG TIME!!!
Daily it looks like $BTC. At least in the sense that it wants to push a little bit higher.
#ETH targets are in the 2500-2600 & 3k area.
IF #ethereum can break above the Major Resistance right above, 2300ish area, it's off to the races!!
#crypto