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MBT1! trade ideas

BTC - Long around 80k after resolution of BTC Futures Volume gapI closed by BTC position (which was infact call spreads on BITO) at 107k and haven't touched it. I don't like to short in general and bitcoin can be very tricky. I am interested in BTC at around 80k after the resolution of the BTC Futures Volume Gap and the mitigation of short interest present at former all time highs etc. If volatility has spiked aggressively I may look to enter into a credit put spread and use that to finance OTM calls at longer expirations, I will do that all on IBIT. On a paper trade I setup a few days ago I have OTM 45 puts on the February 21 contract on IBIT. I didn't actually take the trade as I've been busy managing QQQ and NVDA positions, but it would have served the basis of a multi leg low risk synthetic call if I had. The open papertrade on Optionstrat is linked below. It was planned but I didn't take it because I got distracted by other things like watching 50% of my unrealized profit on NVDA vaporize because of a stupid mistake I made when hedging. optionstrat.com
CME:BTC1!Long
by HundredLotTrader
1
BITCOIN; BTC Indecisive Moment What's Ahead Many annalists had started to say or speculate on the bitcoin price ,mostly regarding a short or mid term bearish case scenario in play I kind of love the 2Weeks charts on bitcoin as well as other markets right now - for a more precise insight of basic market structure rules taking its toll and managed to achieve new all time highs across many sectors not just crypto (SPX ;Gold and so on) Under some sell of circumstances bitcoin may follow a bearish trend and reach lower levels 79k - could be a major support level = as a quick market shake off 70k - could be mostly represented by the next bear market lows 53K - this could happen under an economic crisis coupled with a black swan event Greetings 🍀and the best of luck to you !
CME:BTC1!
by blackriver85
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King! If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out! Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom! Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade: Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far. Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed? ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where: A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak. B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level. C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see: The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement. The B wave goes to the 0.382 The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began. CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down. Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming. Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat. Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun! Conclusion: The King Needs to Reset! No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits. Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
CME:BTC1!Education
by Candle_Styx
1
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences. Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control). We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
CME:BTC1!Short
by BOT721
2 IDEAS. BULLISH AND BEARISH.BASIS JANUARY (M) CANDLE CLOSE.Bearish Scenario in Red lines. If BTCUSD January month candle closes below 99k. A bearish momentum is possible.To 49k Unless Feb month candle briefly goes below 99k( Institutional bulk buying will create a jump up to above 105k). Then the bullish move will be restored. Bullish scenario in Green lines If January Monthly candle closes at above 103k. or anywhere above 100k, We will be looking at a bullish rally to 155k -take profit. Then a retracement will happen. king's ideas.
CME:BTC1!
by pkingg
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down. If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up? Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
CME:BTC1!Short
by Jojo2075
BITCOIN TO $250K – THE INEVITABLE💥 OANDA:BTCUSD is set to explode past $250,000 – here’s why: 1️⃣ Big Players Are In: BlackRock, Fidelity, and global institutions are driving massive adoption. 2️⃣ Supply is Shrinking: With 19M BTC mined and halving ahead, demand is skyrocketing. 3️⃣ Macro Trends Align: Inflation and fiat uncertainty make Bitcoin the ultimate safe haven. 📈 Technicals Are Screaming Bull Run: FWB:65K ATH? Flipped to support. $100K? Just a milestone. $250K? The new frontier. 🔥 This isn’t a rally – it’s a revolution. Don’t miss your chance to make history. 💬 Drop your price targets below. Are you ready for the $250K era? 🔄 Share this post and join the movement.
BLong
by IPatrice
BTC1! short idea with open gap fill and catching a quick longAs you might know, open gaps have a fill-rate of 90-95%. Additionally the open CME-gap (1W-basis) has much confluence with important technical levels for support and it lies in the middle of two zones where enormous amounts of USDT-inflows came into the market. 1. the 2024-range (Q1 - Q3) 2. the 2025-range (Q1 at least) Where the new neckline also is, the new support that became resistance appeared. It might also be a good strike for smart money to know that above the biggest orderblock of 2024 support has developed more strength and consequence. So why you don't give it a try to retest it? Here a maximum of buying pressure should lead to a strong bounce of BTCUSD towards a new alltime-high, if and as long as global liquidity rises again. But if not, at least inflation should do half of the bullish job for BTCUSD and a "sideways up" would be my - historically BIASed - expectation. It begins with a shorter short. In the end it might be a very, very quick longer long because of my expectation of rising buying pressure with huge volume delta for the bulls below 78k.
CME:BTC1!
by BossmodeInvestments
2