Why are investors turning their attention to mid-cap stocks?This will be the 2 questions we will be discussing today
1. So, what is happening on this divergence and its implication?
2. And who is leading who?
a. Large cap leading the mid-to-small cap market? Or
b. The mid-to-small cap leading the large cap market?
The answer: The mid-to-small cap is leading the large cap market and why is it so?
If recession hits, hypothetically mid-to-small cap stocks employing the majority of the work force or employees in United States will be the most affected, this huge workforce is also considered as the mass consumer.
The large cap stocks, their business depends on the mass consumer. If the mass consumers start to tighten their belts, the large cap stocks revenue will also be affected subsequently.
Some reference for traders:
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 & Option:
Outright:
0.10 index points = $10.00
Micro E-mini S&P MidCap 400:
CME ClearPort:
0.05 index points = $0.50
E-mini Russell 2000 & Option:
Outright:
0.10 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Russell 200
Outright:
0.10 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EMD1! trade ideas
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2727.9
Pivot: 2612.6
Support : 2564.4
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 2727.9 where the swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 23.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2727.9
Pivot: 2612.6
Support : 2564.4
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 2727.9 where the swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 23.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2727.9
Pivot: 2612.6
Support : 2564.4
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 2727.9 in line with swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 50% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2727.9
Pivot: 2612.6
Support : 2564.4
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 2727.9 in line with swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 50% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2727.9
Pivot: 2612.6
Support : 2564.4
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 2727.9 in line with swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 50% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 2564.0
Pivot: 2494.8
Support : 2460.9
Preferred Case: On the H4, with prices moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 2494.8 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation of price breaking pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 2564.0 where the swing high resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to the 1st support at 2460.9 where the pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to fresh worries of global growth and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan capital, Taipei, we have a bearish view on the Midcap 400 index. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
Broadening Wedge Descending Results Continue Right On Track A Broadening Wedge Descending brought prices to the valley before ascending right on track to break above the pattern and makes its current ascent to the price target. This formation with a 74% chance break to the upside will net you an 83% chance to reach the price target. If you got in at the valley low then you have done exceedingly well up to this point. I'll have an update to the chart when the target price is met.
S&P 400 MIDCAP E-MINI FUTURES (MAR 2019), 1D, CME_MINITrading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 1767.7
Stop Loss (SL) : 1783.2
Take Profit (TP) : 1736.7
Description
EWH2019 formed Turtle Soup Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Stop at 0.382 Level (1767.7) and place stop after 0.618 level (1783.2). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (1736.7)
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $280,000
Risk Management (1%) : $2,800
Position Sizing
$0.1 = +-$10/mini-contract
Commission fee = -$4.1/mini-contract
EP to SL = $15.5 = -$1,550
Contract size to open = 2 standard contracts
EP to TP = $31 = +$3,100
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$8.2
Loss = -$3,100
Gain = +$6,200
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1.99
S&P 400 MIDCAP E-MINI FUTURES (MAR 2019), 1D, CME_MINITrading Signal
Long Position (EP) : 1636.9
Stop Loss (SL) : 1602.9
Take Profit (TP) : 1734.9, 1778.1
Description
EWH2019 formed Double Repo Buy at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Buy Limit at 0.382 Level (1636.9) and place stop after 0.618 level (1602.9). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (1734.9) and 1778.1
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $280,000
Risk Management (1%) : $2,800
Position Sizing
$0.1 = +-$10/mini-contract
Commission fee = -$4.1/mini-contract
EP to SL = $34 = -$3,400
Contract size to open = 2 standard contracts
EP to TP#1 = $98 = +$9,800
EP to TP#2 = $141.2 = +$14,120
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$8.2
Loss = -$6,800
Gain#1 = +$9,800
Gain#2 = +$14,120
Total Gain = +$23,920
Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.51