S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.
ES1! trade ideas
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25
📈6100-6120
📉6060-6040
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning Update Feb 14thYesterday morning, a reclaim of 6066-70 zone in ES kicked off an easy long trigger, with 6125 set as the final target and 6139 as a bonus. We managed to tag 6139 overnight before the market pulled back to 6125.
As of now:
• Let the runners keep working, as thats all i do on Fridays mainly.
• 6120-23 is acting as support (it held, but it’s showing some weakness).
• Holding above this level keeps 6133, 6137, and 6154 in play.
• If 6120 fails, expect a dip to 6113, then 6098.
14 February 2025The S&P rose on Thursday after President Donald Trump announced plans for reciprocal tariffs but postponed their implementation. Investors also reacted to a new report indicating that inflation may be picking up again.
Despite Trump’s tariff announcement, markets remained steady. During a briefing, he emphasized the need for “fair and reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners. However, the order he signed did not immediately enforce the tariffs. Instead, they are set to take effect as early as April, allowing time for potential negotiations with other countries.
MES1 THE LEAP BULISHMES1 is another asset representing the S&P 500 during the current leap. It is currently showing a bullish movement. The targets, danger zone, and stop loss levels are marked on the chart.
Please pay close attention to the danger zone and stop loss.
Note: My ideas are not intended for any type of scalping or scalpers!
You can find the full list of my ideas here: www.tradingview.com
Here are some of my ideas:
ES1! Back in for a FREE TRADE!I'm looking at a bearish reentry for the ES1 (E-mini S&P 500 futures) as recent price action suggests weakness following a correction. After a strong sell-off, we've seen a brief pullback or consolidation, which could be setting up for a continuation of the bearish trend, especially if the price fails to break key resistance levels
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Afraid of Tarrifs? SP500 Intraweek Short!🚨 E-mini S&P 500 (ESH2025) | Inflation & Tariff Pressure Short Setup 🔻
This chart screams "bearish vibes" 📉 as inflation heats up and tariff talks continue, casting a shadow over market optimism. We will be opening up NY session in a critical value area 🔴, signaling a potential continuation of the sell-off.
🎯 Riding this wave could unlock some sweet profit potential as macro pressures keep the market under fire. Stay sharp, traders! ⚡💼
ES Morning Update6020 has been the pivotal level in ES. It needed to hold after CPI yesterday to set up a rally toward 6070. It held perfectly, pushed through the 6066-70 zone, and later hit a bonus target at 6087 overnight. The range between 6020 and 6125 has become choppy, with 6070 acting as the key magnet.
As of now:
• Bulls want to hold 6058/recover 6070.
• Keeps 6087, 6104, 6125 live.
• 6020 fails, sell.
Bearish Intraday Position Started on ES1! price action suggests a potential downward move, with key resistance levels being tested. Watch for any breakdowns below support for further confirmation. Stay cautious and manage risk as the session progresses. Keep an eye on market sentiment, news, and volume for any shifts.
Es going to full recovery based off of probabilitiesLooking at Stats from the Opening Range Breakout we still have a 46% probability of hitting the 2STD of the 15 min opening range which would be a full recovery. I can see us possibly making new highs through the week based off of this recovery if it holds today.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days.
I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week.
I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up.
So, you get this content as a substitute.
Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support.
Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern.
Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase.
Get some.
ES Morning Update CPI DayYesterday’s setup came from a failed breakdown of the 6066-70 zone at 9:30 AM in ES. The daily target of 6093 was reached at 11 AM, and sellers have held below that level since. With CPI scheduled at 8:30 AM today, it’s time to let the runners work if you have them. Or sit on hands til after
As of now:
• 6078 and 6066-70 must hold through any CPI traps to keep 6109, 6115, and 6126+ in play
• If the price dips below 6066, expect a move down to 6020
Check my CPI Trading Guide I sent out yesterday evening on how to trade days like today.
S&P 500Hello & welcome to this analysis
The index has entered into the potential reversal zone (PRZ) of a Bearish Harmonic ABCD pattern suggesting a higher probability of completion of an uptrend and likely reversal.
The likelihood of reversal confirmation would require it to start sustaining below 5900 on weekly basis since this is a pattern formed in the monthly time frame.
Harmonic Patterns are based on unique structures backed by specific Fibonacci ratios.
Regards