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ES1! trade ideas

Combined US Equities - Critical Support Line drawnAs expected, not a good finish, not a great start. Now, a potential trend change pattern might be forming. This pattern has a series of two of each Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). With that criteria fulfilled (LL 926 and 925.75), the Critical Support Line can be drawn at 925.75. A breach and breakdown to close below 925.75 is likely to send the US equities market reeling over and down the cliff. This is the trend change pattern that is very reliable. Noted that the RoVD indicator has crossed below the zero line, bearish. Watch the Critical Support Line, and the TDST lines now...
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Auguraltrader
ES still in decision after drop before xmasBond Auction Demand Analysis The recent 10-year Bond Auction showed weaker demand with a 0.2 tails basis point, indicating reduced investor interest compared to previous auctions. The high bid-to-cover ratio of 2.53 suggests challenges for the stock market rally as investors seek higher yields. A 30-year Bond Auction on January 9th will provide further insights into market trends. Jobless Claims Report Impact The Initial Jobless Claims report showed favorable results, which could support a steady move in the market, particularly in the CME_MINI:ESH2025 ES index. Traders are closely monitoring these developments as they assess the implications for interest rates and overall market performance. Market Reaction and Expectations During the first session of the US market, there was little decision-making movement, indicating a need for more information on market reactions. With a national holiday approaching and a 30-year Bond Auction scheduled, a quieter market is expected in the interim.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ruby_kinetix
1/8 Daytrade idea1/8 ES plan updated. Anyone who’s been following can see we are back to extreme volatility, gone are the days of 10 point chops and now we can easily move 40+ points in a single 30 min candle. We are in a downtrend with what I described a few days ago as crash and squeeze, crash and squeeze. For today, the next selloff comes at the loss of yesterday’s low, which can take price below 5900. To get a squeeze, price will need to reclaim the 20dma first ~6020, from there it can easily make its way back to retest 6070. Bulls only take the ball if they manage to reclaim 6085. Until then safe to assume Short the pop is the theme with wide range squeeze and crash, and crash and squeeze. We could do very well with disciplined trades from major level to major level. Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by pinks333
2
S&P 500 struggles at the 1/4 Warning LineLet's not make trading harder than it is. All we can do is project - or read the Coffee ground. I'll prefer to use my projections with the Medianlines, using the Fork as my main tool. The nice part with this is, that I can relay on a proven framework with rules. Adding some risk & money management to it and the soup is ready to enjoy. So, I follow the same process with the ES. I see that price got rejected at the 1/4 line of the WL (Warning Line), and that price missed it to reach the WL1, which is a HAGOPIAN. That makes me lean on the rule, that price will go farther in the opposite direction than from where price came from (U-MLH). I outlined the scenarios with the arrows what to expect in the next weeks. Personally I'm overall very, very bearish, and I see the move to the Centerline coming. But this is just my opinion.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
1
Market Open Update: ES Buy Zone Here? APEX Trade of the DayHere's our APEX Trade of the Day! The ES provided us with a healthy pullback providing a re-buy zone around the $5975 - $5982. We can use this as an overall market gauge to see some pushes higher in our trades that we have shared! If you have seen them yet, be sure to follow for more as we can analyze the Market and finding what's available as to get positions in as we move forward into 2025! Connect with us to stay tuned for more at @MyMIWallet #MyMIWallet
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyMIWallet
ES on early Jan'25 CME_MINI:ESH2025 Market Balance Dynamics The market is currently exhibiting a prolonged initial balance on the downside, indicating a period of consolidation. Accumulation of Passive Buyers There seems to be a potential accumulation of passive buyers taking advantage of the downtrend, suggesting that buying interest may be building. Uncertainty in Market Movements However, it is still too early in the market to predict definitive movements, leaving room for either further downward trends or recovery.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ruby_kinetix
ES - bearish setup The overnight push up was shaped as abearish ascending flag Watch the 50% retracement of the Monday decline = 6,036.25 Remember, 6,032.25 is the Weekly resistance Bears have a setup to drive ES down to 5,987 with possible extension down to 5,972 I would not be surprised to see first a fake breakout of that flag tagging 6,036, the 50% retracement then brutal bearish reversal followed by a break under the lower blue trend line A failed breakout is the best trigger / catalyst of a bearish leg to a lower low The key level of support for this morning is 6,007
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by CastAwayTrader