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ES1! trade ideas

Market Outlook for Week 5 (US):The upcoming week features several key economic events and data releases that could significantly influence market sentiment and asset prices. Below are the highlights and their potential market implications: Key Economic Events & Data Releases Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, January 31, 2025) Time: 2:00 PM EST The Federal Reserve is expected to halt its rate cuts after 100 basis points of cuts last year, with investors keen to understand future monetary policy.  European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025) Time: 7:45 AM EST The European Central Bank is anticipated to cut rates by another 25 basis points due to economic sluggishness and tariff threats from the U.S.  Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025) Time: 10:00 AM EST The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain its current interest rate, with market participants closely monitoring any indications of future monetary policy adjustments. Advance Economic Indicators Report (Tuesday, February 5, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST This report will provide insights into international trade, retail, and wholesale activities, offering a snapshot of the U.S. economy’s performance.  Major Corporate Earnings Reports Several major companies, predominantly in the technology sector, are set to report earnings, including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Apple.  Market Implications Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any data hinting at changes in economic growth, inflation, or labor market conditions. Positive surprises in growth or inflation cooling could drive risk-on sentiment, while signs of a slowing economy or stubborn inflation might increase market volatility. Bond markets may see notable movement depending on the GDP and Core PCE figures, while the U.S. dollar’s trajectory will largely depend on labor market and inflation data. Investors should prepare for potential volatility across sectors, particularly in interest rate-sensitive areas like technology and real estate.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeTools
MES / ES Weekend Plan Jan 26As we press higher, do note that we are currently above January value making anything above 6060’s premium on the monthly. That does not mean to start bearish bias, but to rather be cautious of potential pullbacks. We’ve had 2 weeks of upward momentum reaching new ATH on ES and SPY. QQQ and DIA so far lacking in that department which adds to concerns. Would also note that this week and Dec FOMC week profiles has POC relatively the same location - perhaps exits for major swing longs up here. Again nothing "bearish" in larger context, but day to day, we may be a tad stretched. Thursday’s end of day spike up was on the ridiculous side, therefore longs on Friday, in my opinion, were higher risk. Over night session with the Bank of Japan data release saw a look above and fail of that spike which carried down into RTH. RTH also swept that over night high, but by falling back into the spike added to the bearish bias for the day. A single print at 6143.25-6144.5 was also made. We did have a spike down attempt, although only a few ticks; however, buyers stepped in to move us back above 6128-30 and closing the week just above weekly POC. In general, buyers have nothing to worry about until we explore back into last Tuesday’s range (6043.5-6087.5) and accept lower. For this week, I will use Friday’s range as a guide. Friday’s low sits just above Thursday and Wednesday VAL. Friday’s high just above Thursday spike top along with an excess from Friday. Breaking lower, should see the RTH poor low at 6111.25 including cleaning up the remaining single print from Dec FOMC 6107.5-6111. Further weakness would target the Dec POC at 6096.25 and finally the gap fill at 6087.50 where I do expect buyers to step in. I would start to fish for longs down here, but would also focus on 6071-75 as this would include Tuesday’s IBH breakout at 6072. Acceptance lower, will target Tuesday's excess low at 6043.50. If buyers don't step in here to save it, The gap fill at 6004 and single prints 6005.25-6012.75 come into play. Frankly anything 6087-6058 should be of focus. Will need to see a reversal structure form for more confidence as further moving through Tuesday’s value can occur. But in this area we have gap fill, Friday 100% extension, last Tuesday POC, Dec FOMC Low, last Tuesday IBH breakout, last week VAL, and Jan VAL. If we open Sunday higher and move above Friday’s VAL (6133-35), I would target the Jan 23 spike base at 6139.25 followed by the single print 6143.25-6144.50. Acceptance higher will then target Friday’s POC ~6149 and the spike top 6153.75. Anything higher will need NQ, YM, and RTY to step up. I think NQ especially needs to be supportive. Higher targets on ES would be the 50% extension of Friday’s range 6180’s along with 6200-10 as the 100% extension where the weekly expected high resides. Potential Look above and fail of Friday’s high can be a valid short just as a look below of Friday’s low can be a valid long. If we near Friday’s high, pay attention to the other products if they are also being supportive or not. If 6128-30 starts to become resistance, the large spike on Jan 23 becomes more serious and further represents a failed breakout. Continue to have the following: Jan 13 swing low vwap, Dec FOMC vwap, and Sept FOMC vwap as these will continue to catch up to price. Image
CME_MINI:MES1!
by bluenotes
P&L Calendar P&L Calendar A calendar integration within TradingView where users can view their Profit and Loss (P&L) on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis. The calendar would display each trade’s P&L in a color-coded format (green for profits, red for losses) so users can easily track performance over time. Key Features: 1. Daily P&L Tracking: Each day’s P&L could be shown next to the date with a color code for profits (green) and losses (red). 2. Weekly/Monthly View: View total P&L for the week or month with aggregated values. 3. Trade Tags: Option to tag individual trades with labels (e.g., “long,” “short,” “scalping,” etc.) for more detailed tracking. 4. Performance Summary: Ability to click on a specific day/week/month to see detailed breakdowns of trades for that period. 5. Customizable Appearance: Allow users to choose how they want their calendar and P&L to be displayed, with options for sorting by profit, loss, or trade type.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by HappyPoeticPerson
1
ES may not close high this fridayCME_MINI:ESH2025 is likely will not close above Thursday high today (Friday). If it is so, then we may see the test of Thursday and Wednesday Cash session Low, which are poor low, On Monday. but that shall be only a temporary correction. ES fail to stay above Yesterday high and ON high today, but it doesn't show aggressive liquidation today. so, need more caution for shorting ES on Monday. CME_MINI:NQH2025 also doesn't show any strength on Friday session one. for now, ha
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by ruby_kinetix
S&P futures daily chart AIL buy climax at key levelS&P is all-in-long, in a tight bull channel, buy for any reason, but now at a point of likely exhaustion after a possible climax. Price testing the breakout point from the last FOMC day and big selloff. Bulls will take profits here and bears will look for a foothold to sell. Since the market is in a large trading range, odds favor a pullback. If price continues higher, odds will favor a deeper pullback and possible reversal. Likely a small trading range today.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AlSmith22
S&P 500 (March 2025) - Clock Is Ticking For $7,000 ES!Happy new year traders! This is a perfect time to do a review on the S&P 500 continuous contract and ESH (March 2025) contract as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias. Tech stocks have been rallying since trump came into office and it doesn't seem to have a end in sight. They say the trend is your friend until it isn't. Aiming for previous all-time highs until proven otherwise.
CME_MINI:ESH2025Long
by LegendSince
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00). Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
2025-01-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: One again we saw a huge Globex sell spike but now follow-through. Bulls are on their way to 6100 and there we will see how many buyers we can find to retest the ath 6186. Plan is simple, trade the bull channel/expanding triangle until clearly broken. current market cycle: trading range (obvious bull trend on lower time frames) key levels: 6000 - 6100 (above 6100 comes 6200 into play) bull case: Bulls are in BTFD mode and making higher highs again. 6100 is their next target and the last resistance until 6186. Problem for the bulls is that we get decent sell spikes and holding through them is tough. That is probably why we see bigger profit taking when we print new highs. Invalidation is below 6000. bear case: Bears ask themselves how many pushes on whatever time frame bulls can honestly get. The 6100 likely won’t hold but how many are willing to buy above 6100 when we could easily pull-back 100 points. We will find out tomorrow. Bears don’t have many arguments. We have a clear bull pattern upwards and the best they can hope for is to scalp short on new highs for a decent pull-back. Until bears can close consecutive bars below 6000, I would not look for bigger shorts. Given the current erratic price action due to orange man tweets, it’s a wild ride. Trade smaller and with wider stops. Invalidation is above 6120. short term: Bullish for 6100, then Neutral until clearly breaking out above again. Targets above are 6186 and then 6200. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying 6000, duh. Otherwise literally every touch of the 1h 20ema.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
M.A.G.A's STORYTAIL (SP500)If I can reach the stars, pull one down for you Shine it on my heart so you could see the truth That this love I have inside is everything it seems But for now I find, it's only in my dreams And I can change the world I will be the sunlight in your universe You would think my love was really something good Baby, if I could change the world If I could be king, even for a day I'd take you as my queen, I'd have it no other way And our love would rule in this kingdom we have made 'Till then, I'd be a fool wishing for the day And I can change the world I would be the sunlight in your universe You would think my love was really something good Baby, if I could change the world Baby, if I could change the world I could change the world I would be the sunlight in your universe You would think my love was really something good Baby, if I could change the world Baby, if I could change the world Baby, if I could change the world Eric Clapton
CME_MINI:ES1!
by POWERFUL_TRADERS