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ES1! trade ideas

Five Consecutive Bar Scalping Strategy# This is a simple yet effective scalping strategy that aims to take advantage of buying/selling program activity on the 1 or 15 minute timeframe (May work on other timeframes). This is a momentum trade so it is important to recognize there is controlled momentum for this to work. Trade Setup: 1. First ensure the candles are controlled, indicating dominance by a strong buyer or seller. 2. Look for 5 consecutive bars printed in a row on the 1 or 15 minute timeframe. 3. For entry, set a stop short or limit buy order beyond the 5th printed candle. 4. Place your stop loss just beyond the ATR range or at the nearest invalidation point. 5. Aim for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. This is not a trade recommendation and is intended for educational purposes only. If you choose to trade using this information, you do so at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. - Tradetron3000
CME_MINI:MES1!Education
by Tradetron3000
1
#ES_F Day Trading Prep for Week 6.09 - 6.14Last Week : Last week it looked like we found balance inside the Value of 5368 - 5207 Range and I was early trying to call a potential Intraday balance range to be spending time around, instead market pushed back into VAH which was the spot where many were shorting the first time around and most likely the spot where a lot were shorting on that move inside Tuesday Globex/Wednesday RTH expecting a bigger move down but instead market failed to get back under VAH and pushed out trapping and squeezing shorts into the upper Edge again. We spent Thursday and Friday Globex building Supply inside it which got flushed back down under the Edge and Key area of 5341 - 36 but that was all the supply we had for now and we were able to get back inside 5386.50 - 36 Intraday Range and find balance inside it as we pushed above the Edge hit Key area and came back inside the Means of the range to close inside the Edge. This Week : Maybe this will finally become our range to find longer term balance in ? Market has been ripping up and down through intraday ranges back and forth without spending too much time in each, it has been a while since we had longer term balancing action and after big moves and everyone getting used to expansions to the upside and downside I think Market needs that and has been looking for a place to do that. Of course we have to be careful and adapt if things change but so far what the structure is showing us is that we are at ATH and at Key HTF Area, we don't have strong size buyers up here who want to keep pushing us higher as we saw from fails at and over this 5368 area, we can see that buyers most likely put together their cost inside lower Value above VAL after we flushed it and came back in, meaning here smart long will be sellers but for now this is the only supply that we have since are at ATH which means for any bigger back fills or moves lower we either need SIZE sellers which we might not get up here since its Summer time and they don't see any structure or build up of enough supply which they could later use to cover lower with if they would sell up here since market ran out of Supply lower. IF this is the case then this will potentially be our Balance area here between above VAL and VAH of lower HTF Range, this tells us that any moves to or under Key Supports could find their way back inside the Edge and moves above the Edge top and above 5386 - 81 Key Resistance that don't find acceptance in or above VAL would find their way back inside the Edge as well. We are in a new month and this area could be our balance for some time, and we have to be careful with looking for too much continuation above or below these areas for time being. To see acceptance higher we would need to see market build up over Edge top and take out VAL and balance around 5397 - 5412 area without coming back in, and to find acceptance lower again we would need to be able to hold under Key Support and push back into VAL without coming back over, until then will be looking to trade 5386.50 - 36 Intraday Range. Levels to Watch : Current Range 5386.50 - 5336 5386.50 - 81.50 Key Resistance 5356 - 52 // 5370.50 - 66.50 Means - where price will want to keep returning towards and balance between 5341 - 36 Key Support IF Accept over Key Resistance, range is 5432 - 81.50 5432 - 27 Key Resistance 5401.50 - 5397.50 // 5416 - 12 Means IF Accept under Key Support, range 5341 - 5290.25 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
SPX Hourly Cypher Pattern - Long DrawHello traders, Today, I am releasing my observation of a Cypher pattern on the hourly for ES. I believe another extension wave push-up is due before retracing into previous pattern zones. Among the chart are target areas, entry areas, and a stop loss I will be using for this trade. As always, keep in mind the possibility of this trade failing to materialize. None of this analysis is intended to be used as a financial guideline, or as advice to any individual(s). Thank you all for viewing! best, Richie
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by FatmanRichard
How to read mean returns (Expand the indicator)Mean returns is a trend detection and overextension indicator. It oscillates around the value of 0. The mean return line in reality is the orange one as well as the blue one. The difference is in the number of data points into the past that they consider. Since the value of those lines is the expected value of the returns in period t, then if it's over 0 the expectation is that returns will be positive, as previously the price has been trending higher. The opposite being true as well. Meanwhile, the red and green line represent the expected upwards and expected downwards returns. That means you only take the expected value for the days in which the return was positive or negative accordingly. Therefore, if the mean returns are over the expected upwards returns the price is likely to be overextended, and vice versa. Other adjustments were made to consider the current candle. This code will remain private, as it took a lot of effort to invent. I hope you are able to understand the math. If you can't, I hope this at least allowed you to read the meaning of the indicator through this.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by DarkMessiah777
1
2024-06-11 - a daily price action after hour update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Dax continues with daily new lows in a two-sided market. Nasdaq made another ath 48 points higher and broke above it’s wedge. Mixed markets going into tomorrows CPI and FOMC releases. I expect nothing less of a firework to either direction. For sp500 and nasdaq I expect a complete blow-off top if CPI is not really hot and then only Jpow can save the bears. For nasdaq at this point the 20000 target is absolutely reasonable and in reach. If the numbers align tomorrow, we will see more bear slaughter. Commodities had a trading range day. Gold is trying to grind higher but new highs get sold off hard on bigger volume and oil is keeping it above 77, which is very bullish imo. Bulls can probably get another leg up to 80 again. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Bulls got their big leg up to a new ath again. It’s still not breaking clearly above 5400, which would make all bears capitulate so we can melt to 5500 or higher. It’s a clear trading range with small higher highs. Everything below 5340 is bought, so you know exactly where to buy. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5330 - 5387 bull case: Again, I can not go full-bull because we are still inside the trading range. Tomorrow will bring a big move to either side. Bull targets have been in my weekly chart for many months now. On the daily chart you can draw multiple bull wedges and market broke above the smallest today. Confirmation would be above 5400. Invalidation is below 5360. bear case: Bears had a rather strong EU session but bulls gave em the finger with bar 10 and a 40 point reversal. They need to keep it below 5400 or I think many stops will be triggered and bears will give up. If bears get help from CPI or Jpow tomorrow, 5300 is the obvious first target and below that comes last week’s low 5200. TBH I can see a move down to 5155, which is the 50% pb from this trading range 4935 - 5385. If CPI prints hot and Jpow hammers on top, the market will have to react because it is not positioned for any risk what so ever. Invalidation is above 5400. short term: Bearish here at 5386 for at least 5355 again. Invalid above 5400. Don’t trade tomorrow’s news events. It’s mostly gambling. medium-long term: Bearish. We will see 5000 over the next weeks again and 4600 over the next 12 months. —unchanged current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long 5340 or since bar 10. No if’s or buts. Has worked the last days so expect it to work again until it clearly stops working.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Your Roadmap Into CPI and the Fed MeetingE-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 5371.25, up 15.50 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 19,109.75, up 72.00 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures consolidated below their respective record highs set in the post-Nonfarm Payrolls rebound Friday. Given yesterday's lack of additional enthusiasm, today could provide a nice range trade as market participants await tomorrow’s CPI release at 7:30 am CT and the conclusion of the two-day Federal Reserve meeting at 1:00 pm CT, where they release a policy decision, statement, Summary of Economic Projections, and Fed Chair Powell holds a press conference. Internally, yesterday was a mixed session. AAPL finished lower amid its developer conference, NVDA pared losses on its first day of trading the 10:1 stock split, AMD was downgraded, LLY set a fresh record on its Alzheimer’s drug news, financials were lower and energy was higher. As we near the U.S. opening bell, both the E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures are flirting at their respective pivot and point of balance. Continued action below 5360-5363.75 in the E-mini S&P ushers a retest of the opening bell low from both Friday and Monday at 5341. Similarly, continued action below 19,067 in the E-mini NQ increases the probability of a test of 18,940-18,982. However, a firm tape within the first 30-60 minutes that holds above our Pivot and point of balance could pave the way for an old-school pre-Fed ramp. Given tame CPI expectations and the dovish-leaning results of the last FOMC meeting, this is certainly in the cards. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 5371.25-5375.75**, 5380-5385.50**, 5400-5406.50***, 5420.75**, 5430.50**, 5449.50***, 5459.75***, 5475.75*** Pivot: 5360-6363.75 Support: 5357**, 5348.25-5351.25**, 5339.75-5341**, 5328-5331.25***, 5322**, 5312.50-5316.50***, 5304-5306.50***, 5295.25-5298**, 5286.50-5288*** NQ (June) Resistance: 19,121-19,155***, 19,208**, 19,319-19,322***, 19,414***, 19,507*** Pivot: 19,067 Support: 19,017-19,034**, 18,940-18,982***, 18,854-18,880***, 18,800-18,819**, 18,753-18,756***, 18,701*** Micro Bitcoin (June) Yesterday’s close: Settled at 69,875, up 120 Bias: Neutral Resistance: 68,600-68,850***, 69,755-69,875***, 70,415-70,515**, 71,160**, 71,650-71,890**, 72,635-72,825***, 73,685****, 76,685-77,000*** Pivot: 67,780-68,035**** Support: 66,898-67,030***, 65,995**, 65,067**, 63,236-63,325*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
2024-06-10 - a daily price action after hour update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Can see a diamond pattern on the 1h tf and the recent triangle we are forming. Market is in breakout mode. The move from bar 36 - 44 was strong but afterwards market was in a weak bull channel above the 15m 20ema. The buying above 5360 was weak and I expect bears to trade back down to 5350 tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5330 - 5385 bull case: In my weekly outlook I was more bullish above 5320 for another leg up to 5500. After today’s price action above 5360, I’m not so sure. If bulls can break above 5380 and the ath 5385, sure they can get it but today’s highs were not bought eagerly. Bulls remain in full control, trading above 15/60 and daily 20ema. Invalidation is below 5350. bear case: Bears see today’s bull channel as a weaker one, which already had 4 pushes to the upper trend line. They want a reversal below the ath tomorrow and test back down to at least 5350 and then the open of this week at 5347. I expect bears to keep the market inside the triangle for most of tomorrow and going into the CPI release. Invalidation is above 5400. short term: neutral inside given range. Bulls would need to break strongly above 5380 for me to go long up here. medium-long term: Bearish. We will see 5000 over the next weeks again and 4600 over the next 12 months. —unchanged current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long double bottom bar 18 + 36 on bar 39. 15m 20ema held so you could have held into close.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds