AMP Futures - Profile mode, and ladder type (Volume footprint)In this idea we will demonstrate how to apply the new profile mode and ladder type display to the volume footprint charts using Tradingview.
MES1! trade ideas
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/17/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/17/2025
📈5660. 5680
📉5600. 5580
Like and share for more daily ES levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Quiet up dayI am looking for a quiet day in the S&P 500 as the market momentum continues to the upside and the market gets ready for the Fed announcements on Wednesday.
ES futures update 17/03/'25Last week, I mapped out some trading zones that are still valid and unchanged.
The 4H supply zone has broken out, so I will be looking for a long position after a retest of this broken supply zone, which should now act as support.
My last trade was a short from this zone, resulting in a small profit since market closing prevented reaching the full take-profit target.
Let's see if the bullish momentum can hold during the retest entry.
As always, follow for more market updates.
ES/MES Prediction 3/17/25 = +$2725 1 ContractIf you're trading MES, Its 1/10th of the $$$.
Example: 1000 on ES is 100 on MES. 😎🫡💰
3/17/25: $2,725 in 1 hour....minimum 😤🔥🫡
Levels are provided DAILY prior to market open. Like and follow for more insight 🫡💰🔥
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 Intraweek Pre-FED Bounce?Here comes the pre-FED volatility—price is dipping into that “value area” and OTEUM is looking to ride it higher 🤜💥. But watch out: Trump is back on tweet mode 🦅, which could rattle the market at any moment. Go small, manage your risk like a pro, and let’s see if we can ride this bounce 🚀!
#SP500 #ExpertCall #PreFED #Volatility #TrumpTweets
Gamma Exposure on SPXToday marks the first day in a long time where we can observe some green, bullish levels on gamma exposure. The daily GexView indicator displays thin green lines, which represent the gamma exposure of zero-days-to-expire contracts. The thick lines, on the other hand, represent the total gamma exposure across all expiration contracts. This is a promising first step, especially if these lines persist over the next few days and continue to develop further.
ES Futures Market Outlook & Key LevelsCME_MINI:ES1!
As we discussed in last week’s TradingView blog, the ES futures are currently undergoing a 10% correction. You can access the full context through the link here.
Rollover Notice:
Today marks the rollover of ES futures to the June 2025 contract. The rollover adjustment using Friday’s settlement prices for ESH2025 and ESM2025 is +52.25. To map out the new levels for ESM2025, simply add +52.25 to the levels on ESH2025.
Note: TradingView will roll over the continuous ES1! chart on Tuesday, March 18, 2025.
Key Events This Week: This week, all eyes will be on the FOMC rate decision , FOMC press conference , and the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP ), which includes the Fed’s dot plot, inflation expectations, and growth forecasts for the next two years. This release will set the tone for market movements, at least until the clarity of the looming reciprocal tariffs deadline on April 2, 2025.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Bullish LIS / Yearly Open 2025: 5,949.25
• Key Level to Reclaim: 5,795 - 5,805
• Resistance Zone: 5,704.50 - 5,719.75
• Bearish LIS / Mid Range 2024: 5,574.50
• 2024-YTD mCVAL: 5,449.25
• 2022 CVAH: 5,280.25
Market Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Fed Support ("Fed Put")
The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady this week. However, markets are forward-looking, so the key focus will be on the updated SEP forecast and the Fed’s press conference. A dovish stance and flexibility to support the US economy, including rate cut expectations moving to the May/June meetings, will drive sentiment. This would imply markets pricing in more rate cuts throughout 2025. The CME Fedwatch tool is a useful resource for tracking Fed fund probabilities and comparing these with the dot plot projections.
Scenario 2: Trade War 2.0
If the Fed remains in a "wait and see" mode, maintaining a restrictive stance while uncertainties surrounding Trade War 2.0 persist, markets may face heightened volatility. The combination of a restrictive Fed policy and geopolitical tensions could act as a double whammy for markets.
ES Morning Update March 17thOn Thursday, ES reclaimed 5558, triggering a long setup that led to a rare green day. The 5645 target was hit on Friday after a strong trend day. With that momentum, today is likely to be more complex—hold runners.
As of now:
• 5599, 5615 are key supports
• Tests of 5599 and recoveries of 5615 are actionable setups
• Holding above keeps 5644, 5666+ in play
• If 5599 fails, expect selling pressure to increase
SP500 Weekly Action Areas & Price Targets 17/03/25In this udpate we review the recent price action in the emini SP500 futures contract and identify the next high-probability action areas and price targets for the trading week ahead. To review today's video analysis, click here!
ES, Mar 17, 2025 CME_MINI:ES1! swept September’s low, clearing major sell-side liquidity before starting to reverse. I’m anticipating a push through the 4H FVG, inverting it, and then a retracement into it early this week (March 17th/18th). If price holds above, we could see continuation higher, but failure to hold the FVG as support may lead to another leg lower.
The Weekly FVG remains a key resistance — multiple taps could weaken it for a potential breakout later in March.
ES1! Intraday levels for 16-17 March Oh no!
Here are the levels for ES1! tonight/tomorrow.
Sorry for the poor graphics, it seems Tradingview has uh, prevented publishing ideas with "private" indicators overlaid.
Unfortunately my levels are exported from secondary software for overlay on Tradingview via pinescript so it really makes sharing ideas much more difficult.
I understand the reason but for the rare person like me who uses Pine just for plotting functions its a real hassle, so I beg you Tradingview to reconsider! haha
Okay, anyway now that that is out of the way, I am very neutral for the session tonight/tomorrow.
I expect moves in both directions, and keep in mind we have FOMC on Wednesday.
The probability metrics favour the downside targets but don't think its unreasonable to expect both upside and downside targets.
Looking for it to snag either resistance of support first before taking a position this evening.
Good luck everyone! Safe trades!!! 🚀
!!!!EXTREME WARNING!!!! ES / US500 Is About To DROP 500 Pips!!!Based On My Trading Algorithms ES / US500 Is About To Move Down 500 Points!!!
S&P 500 (March Contract) - Stock Market Loses $5 Trillion!The S&P 500′s rapid 10% decline from a record high into correction territory has wiped out trillions of dollars in market value.
The market value of the S&P 500 at its Feb. 19 peak was $52.06 trillion, according to FactSet. Thursday’s decline put the index’s market value down to $46.78 trillion.
That makes for a total loss of about $5.28 trillion in about three weeks.
Will the rate announcements cause S&P 500 to sink lower into the abyss??
Reference: www.cnbc.com
Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC).
I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is!
I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis.
I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading.
Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all.
- R2F Trading
Why DCA Does Not Work For Short-Term TradersIn this video I go through why DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) does not work for short-term traders and is more suitable for investors. I go through the pitfalls than come through such techniques, as well as explain how trading should really be approached. Which at it's cost should be based on having a positive edge and using the power of compounding to grow your wealth.
I hope this video was insightful, and gives hope to those trying to make it as a trader. Believe me, it's possible.
- R2F Trading
SPY shortsThe chart displays the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (4-hour timeframe) with technical analysis indicators. Key features include:
Current Price: 5,628.25 (SELL) and 5,629.25 (BUY).
Recent Movement: The price recently bounced from a low and is projected to reach 5,676.00 by March 17, 2025, before potentially dropping to 5,392.50 by March 24, 2025, reflecting a decline of -283.50 points (-4.99%) in 7 days.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.5 retracement levels at 5,836.25 and 5,641.75.
Extension levels indicate potential further declines below 5,352.00 and 5,253.75.
Pivot Points: Marked at multiple levels (e.g., 5,935.50 and 6,166.50) for resistance and support.
Volume: 410.25K with a daily gain of +112.50 points (+2.04%).
Projection: The blue arrow suggests a bearish outlook after a short-term rise, with a significant price drop expected.
This chart is likely part of a trading strategy based on Fibonacci retracements, pivots, and projected price movements.
Full recovery on the way? Perhaps...As I stated in my last observation, the "bottom" held and the S&P e-mini's began to move up reaching a .236 retracement at 5639. Considering the damage from the last few weeks, it was a welcome and much needed recovery. Looking forward, I expect a continuation of the market to chop higher heading to the next important level of 5709, or a .382 retracement. There was so much damage to so many stocks that it would be hard to expect much more than this, but given the highly emotional way people sold into this down move, there should be an equally emotional move higher as FOMO kicks in and investors reluctantly buying many of the same companies they
recently sold: wash sale rules be damned.
Follow through will set the toneFollow-through in the S&P 500 daily chart on Monday will be important to reinforce the possibility that buyers are returning to this market. The goal to the upside would be a close above 5700 within the next two trading sessions.
A look at the ES1!What's up traders,
Havent posted in a while.
Heres my take and outlook for next week, using the MES1! (SP500)
Current Outlook
Technical Look:
Momentum Bearish -323.25 (looks weak)
MACD Bearish, possibly inflecting
RSI 36.72, off lows and crossing MA (oversold)
200D SMA at 5775.75 (Below the 50 Day)
50D SMA at 5967.43 (Above the 200 Day) Trending towards a Death Cross
Price Action
Bullish Engulfing Candle on the March 14 bounce.
Price successfully crossed the 5600 Psychological Level
We bounced at ~5500
Experiencing resistance in the 5640-5620 Range (expected)
Sentiment
Canada showed promise as heading towards a (take your best guess at the details) resolution to the tariff fight with the united states.
Tariffs remain a major drag on the stock market pricing.
Government shut down at time of this post, is apparently narrowly avoided.
Gold Set a new high.
Outlook for Next Week
Economic Reports
Monday - Retail Sales 830AM
Tuesday - Building Permits, Housing Starts 830AM
Wednesday - Fed Int Rate Decision 2PM, JPOW Speech 230PM
Thursday - Existing home sales 10AM
Notable Earnings Reports
Micron
Nike
Fed Ex
General Mills
Carinval Cruise
NIO
Tencent
I viewed the Firday bounce as a sort of 'relief rally'. My belief is that we could go higher on the back of it. The market has majorly 'oversold' by the numbers - and the probability of a bounce became increasingly likely. Upside resistance to remain mercurial on the rapidly changing sentiment narrative.
A possible outcome: retest the underside of the 200DMA.
I do not expect a notable price recovery towards ATH's until the tariff effects are known, which means: I expect higher than normal volatility for several months
Earnings projections (in the coming earnings season) will shed the required light on reality.
I have been adding long term holds - such as:
GDX
DAX
META
GOOG
AMZN
BABA
UNH
C
CRWD
IBIT
NVO
CMG
INDA
AVGO
I remain ~90% cash at ~3.7% yield.
Resistance possibly at:
5672 August 2024 Resistance, September 2024 Support
5724 July 2024 Resistance and later Support
5775 (200 Day SMA)
ES futures update 14/03/'25The key trading zones from yesterday's analysis remain unchanged.
Yesterday's plan was to short at the demand zone retest after the breakdown, but the trade was cancelled since price never reached my entry point.
Today, I'll be watching for either a short opportunity at the 4H supply zone or a long position after a breakout and retest of the supply zone.
Follow me for more trading updates.
