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MES1! trade ideas

Combined US equities - D-DayYesterday, the Gap reopened, after an early week stall on Monday. These last two candles have top wicks suggesting selling pressure to keep the gap open. Thing is, I would have preferred to see a more solid down candle. Meanwhile, this indecision is biased to the downside from indicators and longer term chart (week) point of view. The MACD is in bearish territory and the VolDiv is bearish too. Price has been supported and one of two things will happen: 1. More probable is the volatility spike and markets breakdown fast as they are overdue; or 2. the less likely sudden extreme bullish rally, at the risk of being a blow out top or near term double top for a bigger bolder downside drop in a few months. Given these, and other supporting charts for a probable downside, I would watch the support breaks very closely.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Auguraltrader
2
7-30-24 - HTF ViewThe monthly shows respect for a fvg into new highs. This is bullish, however today is the close of the month and the bar is unlikely to extend. Even if it does, it may need a reversal and has already done everything needed on the day time frame to show a reversal, namely a HH & iFVG with a GAP. The Weekly has invalidated a gap and has bounced off a lower gap. For now, the bias on the weekly remains bullish On the daily, we've tested from the -FVG and have not invalidated it. So, if we take any DTF liquidity, we can expect to push back into the gap (we've taken yesterdays low) and then we'll see if the gap will hold us down or not.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by kcft
1
Es Levels & targets July 29thExcellent follow through for buyers after fridays close. On Friday, one of my targets were 5528. We got there, then dipped. Right before the close, we got a failed breakdown of 5498 level which shot us right back up to 5528. Been basing up here since. As of now: Hold runners if you have them. 5519, 5502 are supports. Staying above keeps 5536, 5542, 5550-55 in play. 5502 fails, sellers retest 5483 area. Sellers are still in short-term control, and will stay this way until 5550-55 reclaims. Until then, all longs shall be treated with small size and high caution. Be very aggressive with profit takes level to level in this scenario when longing.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ESMorg
ES Day Trading analysisOn ES , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5545. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The downtrend combined with the strong volume area along with the strong S/R area from the past are my main reasons for this short trade. Happy trading, Dale
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Trader_Dale
Building Success In PineScript - The Ment Pressure SystemAfter more than two weeks of playing around with Pinescript, I've managed to put together some really cool tools for my followers/subscribers. The idea of price pressure intrigued me, so I decided to create something based on it. Ideally, I planned to build something that helped traders find and execute better trades. It is difficult to identify chop vs. trending in any market/interval. My goal was to create a small suite of tools to help traders identify better trade setups. I still believe I have more work to do with these pressure tools, but I'm very happy with how they work. I did learn some "tricks" with Pinescript related to how variables and processes work (of course, by trial and error). Watching the code run in real-time has been fun (watching a 2 min ES chart). I can't wait to see how my followers use these tools and develop new ways to deploy them efficiently. What are your thoughts? Anything I can do to improve? Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by BradMatheny
#202431 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: comment: Increased volume on the down move is telling you that this one is the real one. Over the next months, market will test down to the bull trend line from 2023-10, which is also where the weekly 20ema is. Friday we stopped around the smaller bull trend line and it’s a decent place to expect some pullback before we be on our way to 5400/5450 comment: Low of the week was 5432 and I wrote 5400/5450, +121 points. For most letters/rooms/subscriptions you have to pay good money for those outlooks, if you even get them this accurate. Hope you made some. current market cycle: Bull trap triggered. Probably forming a trading range first before we get to the bear trend. First guess for the range would be 5300 -5600 key levels: 5400-5600 bull case: Lower lows and lower highs. Bulls stopped the selloff where they had to and their last bull trend line before only the one from the covid low remains. I do think the two legged correction is good for now for the bears and a bounce is due. Since both sides have reasonable arguments, I think it will come down to earnings. If the mag7 report good and their outlook stays good, we bounce higher. If they fail or some fail, we move sideways. Slightly favoring a higher bounce to form a proper channel downwards. Decent chance bulls might close both bear gaps. Invalidation is below 5400. bear case: Bears see another minor pullback which could not even get to the daily 20ema at 5640. They want another strong leg down to 5300 to make it clear that the bull trend is dead. It’s not out of the picture that they get it. Probability wise, it’s more reasonable to expect the bull trend line to hold and at least go more sideways before another leg down. Issue with that is, that next week we have so many news that will have a big influence on longer term traders, that we will most likely go higher than 5500 or lower than 5400. For bears it’s a really bad short right at the big support. You can scalp short on strong momentum again but bears will likely wait for a pullback before they try again. My preferred path forward is the bear channel on my chart below. Invalidation is above 5600. outlook last week: short term: Bearish but also expecting a pullback first. Same as dax. → Last Sunday we traded 5553 and now we are at 5499. Low was 5432. Bearish was right. Pullback was right. Hope you made some. short term: Neutral. Both sides have valid arguments. Will make this dependent on earnings and will only do scalps for now. Market has to form a better channel if it wants a sustained down move. medium-long term: First target for this section was 5450 and that will be hit over the next days or 2 weeks. After that is 5300 over the next 3-8 weeks and 5000 could be hit again in 2024. —update: 5450 was hit mid July. Next comes 5300 over the next 2-6 weeks. current swing trade: Took profits on the swing short from 5700. Will add again above 5550. chart update: Added my preferred bear channel for the next weeks.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds