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MES1! trade ideas

MES1! weekly analysisMonday Morning Analysis - Weekly News Numerous JPOW pressers Inflation PPI Retail Technical MA's have yet to turn bullish RSI above 50 Price well above VWAP Price Action Supply Resistance between 6112 - 6085 Accumulation support 6022-6009 Current Up-trend Displayed Change of Character (CoC) at Sunday night open, with a large gap down breaking the trend. Analysis With upcoming news releases and no change on the tariff discussions, extremely bullish action seems unlikely. Look to sell - Target 6085-6111 Look to Close around 6016
CME_MINI:MES1!
by WillNixTrading
MyMI After-Hours Update: S&P 500 Potential Pullback?As the White House proposes 25% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imported to the US, and with the current resistance we're seeing around the $6069 Price Level, we're now looking for a potential pullback as more import duties are to be included along with Steel and Aluminum come Tuesday / Wednesday of this week. If we do see a pullback, we're looking to see if it break support on the 50% Retracement and even further below are the $6021 Price Levels, but even more so, the $5960s. Going to be an interesting one to watch! Stay connected by registering your FREE account on our website to access even more resources and tools to improve managing your financials and investments. LINK IN BIO!
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by MyMIWallet
1
Market Outlook for Week 7 (US):Upcoming Week Economic Events & Data Releases (February 10-16, 2025) The coming week will bring several crucial economic events and data releases, which could significantly influence market trends and investor sentiment. Below are the key events to monitor: Key Economic Events & Data Releases U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report (Tuesday, February 13, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The U.S. CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends, with investors particularly focused on whether inflation remains elevated or continues to ease. A higher-than-expected reading could reinforce concerns over persistent inflation, while a lower print could support risk-on sentiment. U.S. Retail Sales Report (Wednesday, February 14, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The retail sales data will offer an important gauge of consumer spending trends, a key driver of economic growth. A stronger-than-expected report could indicate that consumer confidence is holding up, while a miss could signal weakening demand. Bank of England Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 15, 2025) Time: 7:00 AM EST The Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rate, but any commentary on future rate hikes or economic outlook could impact the British pound and bond markets. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday, February 15, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The jobless claims report will offer the latest data on the U.S. labor market. Any surprise spike in claims could fuel concerns over a slowdown in hiring or a potential recession. Major Corporate Earnings Reports A range of companies, particularly in the financial and consumer discretionary sectors, will report earnings next week, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Home Depot. These reports could provide insights into the health of the broader economy and consumer sentiment. Market Implications Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any economic data that may signal a shift in growth or inflationary pressures. Strong retail sales or a cooling inflation report could boost investor optimism, while any signs of weakening consumer demand or elevated inflation may prompt risk aversion. The bond market may experience volatility based on the CPI report and retail sales data, potentially influencing Treasury yields. The U.S. dollar’s direction will be influenced by the inflation data, jobless claims, and retail sales report. A stronger dollar could arise if inflation remains sticky or if economic growth expectations falter. Volatility could spike in sectors sensitive to economic conditions, including retail, consumer goods, and financials.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeTools
Understanding Fibonacci In TradingUnlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its powerful applications in trading. Learn how to use Fibonacci tools to identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk, and refine your trading strategies. While many traders are familiar with basic Fibonacci retracements, this guide will also explore advanced techniques and lesser-known concepts. 📚 The Foundation of Market Geometry 🔢 What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34... This mathematical principle, introduced by Leonardo Fibonacci in Liber Abaci (1202), is foundational to nature, architecture, and financial markets. The key ratio derived from this sequence is 1.618, known as the Golden Ratio. ✨ The Golden Ratio and Market Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in natural patterns and price movements. In trading, these ratios help determine potential support and resistance levels. Other critical Fibonacci-derived levels include: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) (not strictly Fibonacci but widely used) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) 📊 How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders noticed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, leading to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools: 📉 Fibonacci Retracement: Identifies potential reversal zones during pullbacks. 📈 Fibonacci Extension: Forecasts potential profit-taking levels. 📐 Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones: Advanced tools for multidimensional analysis. Circles Fans 🛠 Applying Fibonacci in Trading 📍 Step 1: Identifying Swing Highs and Swing Lows Choose a clear trend and mark: Swing High (peak before price declines) Swing Low (trough before price rises) 📏 Step 2: Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels On platforms like TradingView, apply the Fibonacci tool: Uptrend: Draw from Swing Low to Swing High. Downtrend: Draw from Swing High to Swing Low. Key retracement levels act as support or resistance zones. 🚀 Advanced Fibonacci Concepts 🎯 ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone A modern adaptation of Fibonacci, OTE focuses on the 0.618 - 0.786 retracement zone. 📊 Bullish Setup: In an uptrend, the price pulling back into the OTE zone signals a high-probability long entry. 📉 Bearish Setup: In a downtrend, price retracing into the OTE zone suggests a shorting opportunity. 💎 The Golden Pocket The zone between 0.618 - 0.650 is known as the "Golden Pocket." This is a prime area where the price often finds strong support or resistance before continuing its trend. ⏳ Fibonacci Time Zones While most traders focus on price-based Fibonacci levels, Fibonacci Time Zones can predict when significant price movements may occur. These vertical lines are placed at Fibonacci intervals (1, 2, 3, 5, 8...) from a significant market event. 🔄 Fibonacci Confluence When multiple Fibonacci levels align with other indicators (trendlines, moving averages, pivot points), it creates a Fibonacci Confluence Zone, strengthening the probability of a reversal or continuation. 📊 Fibonacci Clusters Traders can plot multiple Fibonacci retracements/extensions on different timeframes. Overlapping levels suggest a high probability reaction zone. 📌 Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci analysis is most effective when combined with: 📉 Candlestick Patterns: Confirmation for reversals or continuations. 📏 Trendlines & Moving Averages: Validate Fibonacci levels. 📊 Volume Analysis: Gauge strength of reactions at Fibonacci levels. 🧠 ICT Strategies: Incorporate Fair Value Gaps, Inversion Fair Value Gaps, Breaker Blocks, and Order Blocks for precision entries. 📍 Practical Applications of Fibonacci ⚡ Scalping: Use Fibonacci on lower timeframes (1m, 5m) to identify intraday opportunities. 📈 Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. 💰 Long-Term Investing: Apply Fibonacci tools on weekly/monthly charts to pinpoint major turning points in the market cycle. 🏆 Key Takeaways Mastering Fibonacci enhances your ability to: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks with precision. Gain deeper insights into price movements. By integrating Fibonacci with other trading strategies, you can refine your approach and improve decision-making. Start experimenting with Fibonacci tools today on TradingView and elevate your trading strategy!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
07 February 2025President Donald Trump said he would soon announce a plan on reciprocal tariffs on American imports. The major averages flipped into red territory this morning after US consumer sentiment sank to a seven-month low in early February. Inflation expectations jumped amid concerns about Trump's tariff threats. Americans now expect an inflation rate of 4.3% over the next year, a full percentage point higher than last month, the University of Michigan survey found. The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) yield rose to a session high of 4.5% in the wake of the sentiment update and the monthly jobs report. That report saw US economy added 143,000 jobs in January, missing economist expectations, but still showing signs of resilience in the labor market. Unemployment ticked down to 4.0%, from 4.1% in December.
CME_MINI:MESM2025Short
by cyfoo
1
ES/ Morning Update Feb 6thYesterday morning, ES triggered longs with the reclaim of 6037. The targets came in perfectly—6056, 6076, 6087, and 6105 were all hit, with the final target reached overnight. I emphasized in my daily summaries for the previous couple days the importance of letting the trade run instead of over-managing, and that approach remains in effect today. As of now: • 6086 is holding as support • This level keeps 6105, 6115, and 6130 in play • If 6086 fails, expect a dip to the 6066-6070 zone
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
The S&P mini looks like it's going to trade higher February 5th 2025 yesterday I thought the es was going to go higher and it did.... but it didn't go much higher and It reversed before I would have hit a Target. and I would have been stopped out because I would not have liked the risk. today the recuperated from approximately 50 point correction lower and now it looks like it's going to trade higher. this would be a scalp trade up and they would not think of it as a market that's going to make new highs which is possible... but I personally believe the markets going to be it treacherous for buyers at some point. are a couple of things I wish I articulated more clearly but it gets tougher as I get older. I almost didn't post this video..... but I decided to post because I know the Market's going to move at least a little higher and I'll make it a point to do a shorter video perhaps tomorrow and I will clarify some things that I meant to with more clarity.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by ScottBogatin