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Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Jun 2020)Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Jun 2020)Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Jun 2020)

Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures (Jun 2020)

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MNQM2020 trade ideas

Careful Trusting "News" | Fake News TradingOn Monday, April 7th, 2025 amidst incredible market volatility, you'd expect your most trusted news outlet to report on-the-minute news. But most importantly, accurate news . With the markets down nearly 20% in ~4 trading days, every piece of information matters. But with the age of fast (social) media, news outlets will do anything possible to be the first to report. Even .... posting fake news. The way this works is they get news that's "probably true", they post it, then it's verified to be true. This may work often for them and when it doesn't, nobody really cares. But when you're talking about times of volatility unseen since COVID, all this nonsense gets exposed. So - at roughly 10:10 AM EST, CNBC reported that there will be a "90-day pause on tariffs". A ground-breaking report that likely caused John Doe to buy $10M in NASDAQ:NVDA calls dated end of July because that's a no-brainer right? It surely cannot be false since CNBC is his go-to trusted news-source and there is just NO WAY that they would ever post any news without being 100% true and verified. ESPECIALLY news about TARIFFS -- the talk of the town (psh, the world actually) at the moment. 90 day pause? That's not something you report lightly. You know the ripple effect that'll have on the markets. Result of that news report? The markets (e.g. CME_MINI:NQ1! ) jumped 6.60% in under 10 minutes. Jane Doe likely saw that jump, looked at that news, and rebought her shares that she sold at the bottom earlier this morning. Surely that news cannot be fake. It's a 90-day tariff pause. That's huge. Surely the White House will see "Yeah baby! We take credit for that". Nope, at roughly 10:18 AM EST, the same CNBC reported that, "the 90-day pause on tariffs was fake news according to the White House". Results? Market right back down -6.5% in 20 minutes. Suppose you FOMO'd into AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ calls.. well, you lost almost everything depending on the strike and date. In this market, manage your RISK and always hedge. Don't forget to thank CNBC, your most trusted news-source for that capital gain loss. Welcome to trading in 2025. The age of report-first, verify-later. Welcome home. Be careful listening to the news and take everything they say with a grain of salt. And as always, don't chase the news. KD out.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by kingdips
13
NQ Range (04-08-25)Staying with the Range forecast. NAZ is inside the Yellow arrow range (yesterday post). The Box is the range to watch, NAZ may go above and drop back inside to retest KL's 17,027-16,845. You can see new declining channel above. Below is 30M chart. Watch all moves in both directions with VIX this high. Yesterday (chart below) we had a tweet, leak, comment, etc. regarding tariffs (unofficial, not credible source) that move the NAZ 1,700 points in 30 minutes. Expect some games during lower volume periods (to the upside). Let's go Meathead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
2
Does History Repeat Itself? How Far Can the Nasdaq Fall?Let's examine the current 2025 correction on a logarithmic chart: the price movements show significant similarities to the February 2020 decline. At that time, the global crisis—then driven by COVID-19 panic—fundamentally influenced market movements, while now, trade uncertainties are generated by President Trump's aggressive tariff announcements. The chart reveals that the Nasdaq is declining steeply, and technical levels play a decisive role: yesterday, the price bounced back from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, it is clear that supporting technical indicators—such as the break of the RSI convergence trend on the days triggering the decline—confirm the downward movement. In the earlier 2020 decline, massive volume accompanied the initial weeks' movements, while this year's movement is characterized by steadily increasing volume. Nevertheless, the current volume peak falls short of the peak measured in the 2020 week (4.45 million vs. 6.8 million), indicating that the trend may continue with further declines. Overall, technical analysis—the examination of logarithmic charts, the break of the RSI trend, and volume movements—suggests that the current correction may deepen further, and the Nasdaq's target price can be estimated between 14,500 and 15,000 points. Observing a similar scenario in history, when global events triggered high volatility, it appears that market reactions now do not differ from past patterns. If the current negative trend continues, a further deepening of the correction is plausible, as the lag in market volume (4.45M vs. 6.8M) indicates that investors have not yet been able to offset the negative sentiment prevailing in the sector.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by jpsatrio
1
nasdaq rallies to 32kgood morning, i don’t usually post publicly, especially not about the stock market, but today feels like the right moment. i wanted to share my updated outlook for the nasdaq over the next year or so. this was originally a member-only idea i shared back in september. you can check out the original post here: --- the whole idea was based on a leading diagonal pattern, followed by a sharp wave 2 that resets sentiment and shakes out early optimism. this kind of move tends to scare most people out before the real run begins. from there, the setup calls for a parabolic wave 3 that carries us all the way to the grand cycle wave 5 target, around 32k (chart attached) 👇 --- the reason behind this move is actually pretty straightforward... a short squeeze into the end of the cycle, a weakening dollar, falling interest rates, looser tariff policy, and everyone’s favorite fuel: quantitative easing. while rates haven’t fallen yet and tariff policies are still tight, major shifts are on the horizon. i believe those shifts will trigger a parabolic rally. and there’s one more catalyst behind this push, the ai boom. i believe artificial general intelligence will be cracked before the year is over, and the market is already beginning to price that in, starting now. 🌙
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by notoriousbids
1
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/11/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/11/2025 (Just because 😏) 📈18670 18820 📉18220 18060 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by J3Trad3s
2
NQ Range (04-14-25)Will stay with Range and the Friday for Monday. The chart below is the NDX, red line is Diablo with yellow arrow, white arrow is Danger Zone. The move away from the DZ was a 20 minute 2,000 point move. One of the best U Turns in recent 5-10 years and well manufactured, to boot. Look at all Mega Cap Tech stocks, you can see they (major indexes also) are under a similar Trend Line. When the NAZ gets pinned between a Diablo TL & DZ, or U Turn needed support level, the games/tricks come out (like we are seeing now). Passing the TL (Diablo) up usually will take off like a rocket or snail lift for weeks (but will not drop). No pass and rejection will retest the DZ and look for anything to hold it (like a Friday- Monday sideways to Long). Under the DZ and we just keep dropping. Highly doubt the significant drop takes place as we are approaching "Buy in May and Go Away". Unless the old "Sell in May and Go Away" decides to return. NDX
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
NQ Range (04-10-25)Staying with the Range 19,400 - 18,200. Looking for 18,200 retest to hold or not. Was that insider trading yesterday? Seemed like it. Anyway, we can add that to the bag of tricks, curveballs, etc. Yesterday was a major Danger Zone, U Turn, Drop Offset, Info Leak, Algo Long Only move that happened during the Dead Zone. With O/N -400 points tonight, we may be setting up for a 18,200 retest. Big action and bigger reaction may be in store after the one sided perfectly timed manufactured move from yesterday.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
NQ Range (04-11-25)The forecast here is until the Monday Close, looking at the typical Long play from Friday - Monday. Expecting some games on this one, including some head fakes. Long to KL 19,389 and rejection would be the Short, pass hold Long. Short to any KL below will have the push/pull price action and will struggle to get lower. After Monday and should the NAZ still be inside this range look Short. The games usually come out on Friday's and in the Sunday-Monday Pre Open session. 30M Chart is below.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent. To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight. Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models. Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike. As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation. AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy. Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000. In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by BallaJi
2
Nasdaq is not done yet, dont be fooled! On Wednesday, April 9, 2025, the Nasdaq experienced a significant 15% surge, driven by news catalysts. This upward movement aligned with the price reaching the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), effectively absorbing all internal liquidity at that level. The critical juncture now lies in how the Nasdaq (NQ) performs over the next few days. Should we see a retest and breach of the recent highs from this news-driven rally, it could signal a strong potential for the index to achieve new all-time highs (ATH). Conversely, if the momentum falters and fails to sustain these levels, a swift decline toward 16,000 could materialize, with a further potential downside target of 14,000.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Almenio
Nasdaq Outlook (Apr 15–19)🧠 Nasdaq Outlook (Apr 15–19) 📌 Bias: Neutral → Bearish 📈 Bull Target (if bounce): → 19,200 – 19,600 📉 Bear Targets (if rejection): → 18,000 → 17,500 → 16,000–16,500 🗓️ Key Events • Tue: Empire State Index • Wed: Core Retail Sales, Powell 🧨 • Thu: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Price may rebalance D/W inefficiency early — then drop if macro aligns 🧩 📛 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational only. Trade safe. #NQ #NASDAQ #Futures #Macro #DayTrading #SoothingTrades
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by SOOTHING_TRADES