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MNQ1! trade ideas

NASDAQ 100: Bear Market in Sight?The NASDAQ 100 has officially entered correction territory, now trading more than -10% below its most recent high. Even more concerning: it's just 5% away from a full-blown bear market, which is defined as a drop of -20% or more. As seen in the chart, we’ve broken below the -15% threshold and are rapidly approaching the critical 18,113 level, which would mark the -20% mark. If price action fails to hold the current level and momentum continues downward, we could be on the verge of a major shift in market sentiment. If the bear market threshold is crossed, it may trigger panic selling or forced liquidation. We should prepare for increased volatility and monitor this level closely. A bounce here could be a buying opportunity — but a breakdown could open the door to a deeper downturn. Will buyers step in... or are we heading deeper into bearish territory?
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SmartSignalss
Yearly Candle on NQ 2025I believe what we're seeing right now is simply the market printing the “open low” of the yearly candle. The recent dip seems driven by short-term fear surrounding the new tariffs, but in my view, this is just noise. Long-term, this sets up a bullish scenario. Businesses won’t adjust overnight—it takes time to shift operations away from high-tariff regions. But as that transition unfolds, we’ll likely see improved margins and stronger fundamentals emerge. From a technical standpoint, I’m watching for a key reversal after price revisits the order block. If we get that reaction, it could mark the beginning of a broader move higher. This looks like manipulation, not distribution. OLHC - Gavin NFA, DYOR
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by gavintradez
#202513 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Last week I wrote that we need a proper channel down and the past week was the worst case scenario for the bulls. We could not even get to the 50% retracement and turned down violently again. There is a small chance for the bulls to make this a double bottom and go sideways but as of now that is very very low probability. More likely is that we have formed the top of the channel and will get a big second leg down to 18000 or lower. If we go down below 19000, my thesis is that we go down for 2 more weeks and then earnings will decide on the next impulse. For now the technicals are clear, market could not even retrace 50%, we turned around the daily 20ema and volume on the down move is picking up again. Everything points to a bear trend. current market cycle: strong bear trend key levels: 19000 - 20500 bull case: Bulls running for the exits. They have some previous support at the 2024-09 low 19073 but that is most likely not stopping this freight train down. Next big support is at 18000/18100 which is my W3 target. Only question now is if we find buyers tomorrow who want to keep the market above 19000. It’s not impossible that we could see 1-2 more days of stalling around 19000 but given the current structure the selling is just too strong to look for any longs. Invalidation is below 19000. bear case: Bears have now erased about a year of gains and we are heading lower. Friday was another strong sell signal and bears now want to close the monthly bar at the very low to also produce a huge sell signal on the weekly and monthly charts. The selling is strong enough for at least a decent sized second leg and the measured move leads to 16200 which is between my year-end-special target of 17500 and the bull trend line from the covid lows. Plan for the next 2 weeks is the W3 and W4 where I expect W3 to hit 18000 and W4 could retest 19000. Invalidation is above 20600. short term: Clear bear trend now once we drop below 19000. W3 should get us to around 18000 while W4 could be good for a retest of 19000. No longs for me what so ever. Big bear trend line from 22450 has to hold. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. Clear W1 of this bear trend. Market now has to close below 19000 to confirm W3. Depending on how deep W3 goes, W5 will either reach only around 17500 or the bull trend line around 16000. current swing trade: None chart update: Added most likely upper bear trend line and adjusted the 5-wave series.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Nasdaq Swing Trade – Bullish Setup with Strong FundamentalA confluence of fundamental and technical factors supports a long position on Nasdaq. COT data, retail positioning, seasonality, GDP, SPMI, inflation, and interest rates all align with a bullish outlook. Technically, price is in a discounted zone relative to the monthly low’s anchored VWAP, presenting an optimal long entry within the overall bullish trend. My target levels are set based on risk-reward principles, aiming to capture trend continuation if momentum sustains.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by benjaminlombaert
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 20011.75 - PR Low: 19983.25 - NZ Spread: 63.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY) Holding value in the weekend gap range at previous session close - Daily rotation short out of the Keltner average cloud, 20400-600 range Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/28) - Session Open ATR: 421.56 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 233K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -11.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
2025-03-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Many potential trend lines that market could respect tomorrow. We are in an expanding triangle, a broad bull channel and the big bear trend on the daily chart. No idea what we get tomorrow so I lean neutral around 20000. current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 (above 20700 that thesis drops to a 50/50 chance) key levels: 19600 - 20700 bull case: Bulls surprised me with the huge buying around 20000. Yesterdays selling was good enough to expect lower prices, so stopping at 20000 wasn’t what I hoped for. Bulls turned the market neutral and if they continue with higher highs above 20200, they could get a breakout to 20400 or 20500. My w2 target still remains 20700. Past 50 trading ranges range is 19600 - 20500 and 50% of it is 20060 and we are at 20004. Good enough. Market is in balance. Invalidation is below 19600. bear case: Bears printed consecutive bear bars on the 4h chart but they barely make new lows on them. We could see a strong move below 20000 but for now I would need a strong signal and follow-through before I join the bears below 20000. I also think most bears will give up above 20200 and wait for market to get closer to 300 or 400 again. Daily chart shows it the best. We just closed the gap from Monday and market is now free to do whatever. short term: Neutral 20000. Bears are slightly favored to continue the bigger bear trend but as of now, selling around or below 20000 does not make sense. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. trade of the day: Tough day if you are not comfortable with trading ranges and it was absolutely not clear that we get a range-bound day. Bull reversal from the US open was likely the best trade since it was very strong without much uncertainty.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 20531.50 - PR Low: 20504.00 - NZ Spread: 61.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders 09:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Cleared previous week high, raising value towards 20600 - Auctioning inside daily Keltner average cloud below previous session close - Weekend gap remains unfilled Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 3/25) - Session Open ATR: 432.71 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 224K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -9.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
2025-03-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Volume is garbage but we are moving higher. Likely more due to strong bears stepping aside rather then strong bulls buying. 20700 is the 50% and we will likely get there over the next 1-2 days. I do think bears have to prevent the bulls from getting a 4th consecutive daily bull bar or more bulls could join and more bears cover. My thesis is that we are in W2 and forming a bear channel, so I would greatly prefer it if market stays below 20700. 20900 would be the breakout retest and is the next logical target above. current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 (above 20700 that thesis drops to a 50/50 chance) key levels: 19600 - 20700 bull case: Bulls have a bull trend from Globex open yesterday and keeping the market above the 1h 20ema. Right now longs with stop 20360 are reasonable since we are making higher lows. 20700 is the obvious target and then the breakout-retest 20900. As long as bulls keep the lower bull trend line valid, they are good. The upper wedge line is likely to get broken, so I don’t think it’s bigger resistance. Market is doing his best to keep most traders out of this move up, since most of the gains are made in the pre- and after market (obviously not futures). Invalidation is below 20360. bear case: Bears don’t have much right now. The bear trend is obviously still alive and market is likely forming a bear channel but since we are going up in a very tight channel, bulls are in control on the lower time frames. Bears need to either print a strong rejection tomorrow before or after we hit 20700. I’d prefer before, then another leg up to the 50% and then another strong rejection down to 20000 but it’s a rough guess. First target for bears is a break below 20300 again and going sideways. short term: Neutral 20500 and bullish only closer to the 1h 20ema. 20700 is my bull target and there I expect the battle for either continuation of the big bear trend or transition into a big trading range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. trade of the day: Buying 20300 early in EU session or any pullback close to the 1h 20ema. Market is so strong since open of the week that moving far below the 1h 20ema was very low probability.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
3.25.25 Market UpdateTradovate is not working for me, so I cannot trade. Times like this shows how sometimes having different brokers is beneficial. Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure: The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading. Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary. BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC): Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms. Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement: CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk. Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results. General Trading Disclaimer: Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations. Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility. By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by BDripTradess
Trading Mistake made before 9:30 openEntered a trade that I should have waited on, here it is. Transparent and shown in real time in this video with my personal opinions. Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure: The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading. Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary. BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC): Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms. Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement: CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk. Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results. General Trading Disclaimer: Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations. Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility. By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by BDripTradess