MNQ1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21480.00
- PR Low: 21453.50
- NZ Spread: 59.5
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Follow-through on daily print value increase rotation
- Closing in on 21600 front run pivot from previous week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/28)
- Session Open ATR: 450.12
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 274K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
25.05.28 nasdaq analysis🕒 NASDAQ - 30-Minute Chart Analysis
Looking at the 30-minute chart, we can see an ascending triangle pattern forming on NASDAQ.
If resistance is broken to the upside, it would normally make sense to approach with a bullish bias. However, the presence of this pattern in this context feels somewhat off, so even if a breakout occurs, I plan to let it go without entering.
Currently, my plan is to enter a short position if the price breaks below the red box area, which represents the ascending trendline.
The target for this trade is the blue box zone.
If the bottom of the blue box is broken as well, I will approach today’s market with a bearish strategy only.
Bullish on IndexsForgot to post, But we had asweep of liquidity, market structure shift with FVG making a ICT 2022 model, price bounced off FVG we can anticipate more bullish price nice target would be may,20 daily high
Nasdaq 100. Mistakes and Daily Orderflow 27.05.25Covered the mistakes that I have made while reading the price. Wanted the shorts although the daily and the 4H suggested bullish price action. The good think was didn't forced. Just left the market after booking partials and breakeven
Post that took one long towards the Volume Imbalance
NQ: 197th trading session - recapI'm back, haven't had great days. School stress is really annoying me rn. I can't concentrade. Tomorrow, I will skip school and trade, I will be locked in, hopefully. And thursdays a holiday day in Germany - hopefully not in the US so the markets open...
Quick Win on MNQ with Over $250 Profit — Here’s the Setup!Today’s trade was a perfect execution using an inverse fair value gap. I spotted a bearish fair value gap that had been disrespected, and instead of fading it, I flipped the bias and used it as an inverse gap, anticipating price would not trade under it. With my stop just below, I targeted the buy-side liquidity near the London kill zone highs.
The result? A smooth ride to over 300 points and a $250+ profit in a single entry, reaching target with precision. This is how it’s done when you combine technical setups with market context. Keep your risk low, target the right liquidity zones, and let the market work for you.
#MNQ #FuturesTrading #TradeSetup #FairValueGap #PriceAction #TradingTips #MNQTrade #NasdaqFutures #LiquidityHunt
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21292.00
- PR Low: 21224.00
- NZ Spread: 152.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Value increase and expected high volume following holiday weekend.
- Auctioning at Friday's high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/27)
- Session Open ATR: 468.28
- Volume: 119K
- Open Int: 271K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ Futures – Institutional Levels UnfoldingNASDAQ Futures – Institutional Levels Unfolding
Price is currently consolidating just below a key supply zone at 21,960–22,330, where multiple inefficiencies and prior order flow imbalances converge. The weekly narrative suggests potential expansion if buyers can reclaim 22,330, which unlocks the path toward 22,660–22,860—a macro liquidity cluster resting above.
On the downside, liquidity voids remain exposed between 20,890–20,670 and 19,850–19,400, where algorithmic rebalancing may find efficiency if sell-side pressure reactivates.
Institutional eyes are on these high-timeframe levels as the auction seeks value. Follow for real-time insights and setups based on Smart Money and Order Flow concepts.
#NQ1 #Futures #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #MarketStructure #ICT #Trader
NQ weekly forecastFor the next week, the markt will go lower to retest the weekly FVG and then go higher
Daily Chart NQ Outlook 5-25-25CME_MINI:NQ1! --- Monthly close coming up, would prefer we close monthly candle above 20666.50 (top end of M FVG), then I would like to see a retracement back into Monthly FVG and it act as a support level, then price heads back up into 22654, relative equal highs.
If Buyers Support & Defend $21K Major Key Level, I'll look LONG!CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Stick to the plan, Never doubt the process. -500K
Last week Bulls were met with Major RESITANCE as they pushed just slightly above Daily Fib. Level 78.5%. The Resistance Price Level is around $21530.00 that sellers heavily defended.
My intended Playbook; If Buyers can defend & support MKL $21K, I do believe they will purge the HIGH and head towards Daily Fib. Level 88.6% / Daily Imbalance Zone. The Pricing of these Level are around $21,949.50...
Overall My outlook is LONG this week on this Asset looking to purge the HIGH and head into more premium pricing. Daily Fib. Level 88.6 / Imbalance Zone
Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management), our job is to MANAGE the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well an abundance of fruit awaits us.
#BHM500K
2025.05.25 nasdaq weekend analysis📊 Friday Market Recap & Analysis
As previously mentioned, the trend had shifted downward, and I advised against taking long positions—short bias only.
Although the uptrend line was broken twice, one break was a fakeout and the price pulled back up.
Eventually, the red box support zone was broken, and the target was hit with a max drop of $363, resulting in a profit of around $7,260 per contract.
A rebound occurred as the US market opened, but a short-term trendline break at the close suggests Monday's market may lean downward—unless strong positive news emerges over the weekend.
🕰 Weekly Chart View (NASDAQ)
The weekly candle closed just slightly above the previous high, but not significantly—likely meaningless.
The 20-week MA is currently at 20,272.
If the NASDAQ breaks the recent low, there’s a high chance it could drop down to the 20-week MA + top of the Ichimoku Cloud.
📅 Daily Chart View (NASDAQ)
Buying pressure hasn’t fully disappeared yet—NASDAQ is still sitting above the 20-day MA, meaning the trend could revive.
However, if the 20-day MA (around 20,647) is broken, the price may fall into the orange box supply zone.
Historically, we’ve seen a box range movement between 20,400–19,300, so a break of the 20-day MA could lead to a repeat.
For long re-entry, the purple box zone (19,300–18,980) is a strong support area to watch.
✅ Conclusion
・Unless major news comes out over the weekend, Monday’s market will likely retest the 20-day MA.
・If that level breaks, the next drop could be around $1,000, which is significant.
・As always—wait patiently and take the trade when the market gives it to you.
Nasdaq and Indexes Week 22 BiasWhile the Indexes maitain a Bullish perspective on Weekly right now, I would not dare to anticipate next week "Flavour" but rather wait for The New Week Opening and if necessary till FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.
I would like to see immediate rejection from where price it's right now (allowing it to reach the IFVG starting at 20,690.00) to maintain a bullish bias rather then a deeper retrace, otherwise Bias may change on a Daily basis and pause that Weekly View for a later time .
#202521 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Not as bearish as I am on dax but I think market should not go above 21200 again and continue down. For that to happen, bears need to leave a strong bear gap somewhere. Gap down on Monday or Tuesday will likely do the trick. If the bull trend line holds and the current bear trend line breaks, There is the small possibility of another leg up but for now I can’t see that happening.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 19000 - 21000
bull case: Bulls need to stop the selling and reverse to above 21000 fast or bears will push this much lower. If they manage to stay around 21000, more bears could doubt the strength of this selling but it’s a weak argument as of now. If bulls go only sideways around 21000 and close Monday above it, that would change a lot to the better for them. They have support from the daily 20ema until clearly broken.
Invalidation is below 20600.
bear case: Bears see a clear topping pattern with at least 3 decent tries of going above 21350 and now we have the strong selling on Friday with a total escalation of the trade war with the EU. Bears were given a gift and they need follow-through and leave a big gap that has to stay open, like the bulls did with the 3 current open gaps. Targets for the bears in order are the breakout retest 20277, 20000 and then the prior support around 19300/19400 which is around the 50% retracement.
Invalidation is above 21200.
short term: Neutral until we clearly have follow-through selling by the bears. I want to lean max bearish but need more confirmation.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
NQ and ES Market OutlookPossible Scenarios for NQ and ES this coming week, remember to always for the price to go sa mga POI natin before looking for an entry OR if you see price targeting your POI, then look for confirmations that yung POI is your target TP area.
NASDAQ 13/100 The price continued to move in a range on 15 min TF. The price has finally broken downward from the range.
NASDAQ 12/100 with two tradesI had done my analysis on NASDAQ. The market sentiment remains positive post Federal decision on interest rates.
NASDAQ Analysis 11/100 and one bumper trade !!!The market moved higher with Fed Decision on Interest rates. THe market sentiment remains positive.
NASDAQ Anaylsis 10/100 and two tradesI have done NASADAQ analysis. Trump recently announced a trade deal with UK which boosted the market sentiment. But will the rally continue?
Nasdaq futures - medium term correction is quite likely# Elliott Wave Analysis of Nasdaq 100 Futures: Critical Juncture Signals Potential Reversal
Based on the provided Elliott Wave chart analysis of the Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures, the market appears to be at a critical inflection point where Wave 5 of the primary impulsive sequence may be nearing completion. At the current level of **20,910.75**, down **267.50 points (-1.26%)**, technical indicators suggest a potential major corrective phase could be imminent. The convergence of Elliott Wave completion patterns, RSI divergence signals, and extreme market sentiment readings creates a compelling case for heightened caution among traders.
## Elliott Wave Structure Analysis
### Current Wave Count and Positioning
The chart reveals a completed five-wave impulsive structure that began from the March 2020 lows, with Wave 5 potentially reaching its terminal point around current levels . According to Elliott Wave Theory, **Wave 5 is prone to truncation and often presents with indicator divergence** . The current structure shows classic characteristics of a maturing Wave 5, where **the fifth wave is the final leg in the direction of the dominant trend** .
The exponential moving averages positioned at **20,211.64** and **20,278.60** provide crucial support levels that align with the expected Wave 4 correction zone. Elliott Wave practitioners recognize that **Wave 4 typically retraces less than 38.2% of Wave 3** , and the current price action respects these theoretical boundaries. The fractal nature of Elliott Waves suggests that within the larger degree Wave 5, we have likely completed five sub-waves of lesser degree.
### Fibonacci Relationships and Target Zones
Elliott Wave analysis relies heavily on Fibonacci relationships between waves. The chart shows potential completion targets where **Wave 5 equals Wave 1** or represents **0.618 to 1.618 of Wave 1 plus Wave 3** . Current price levels appear to satisfy these mathematical relationships, suggesting the impulsive sequence may be mathematically complete. When **Wave 5 is extended, the most common multiple for its length is 1.618 times the length of Wave 1 through Wave 3** , which aligns with current market positioning.
## RSI Divergence Signals
### Bearish Divergence Formation
The RSI indicator at the bottom of the chart displays classic **bearish divergence characteristics**, where **price makes higher highs while RSI forms lower highs** . This divergence pattern typically occurs **when RSI is above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought** . The current RSI reading suggests that **buying pressure is fading** despite continued price advances, which **is usually a sign that the uptrend is losing strength, and a downward reversal might be coming** .
**Wave 5 almost always presents with indicator divergence** , and the RSI pattern confirms this theoretical expectation. The divergence serves as an **early warning that the uptrend might lose momentum and reverse** , providing traders with advance notice of potential trend changes before they manifest in price action.
### Momentum Deterioration
The weakening RSI momentum while prices reach new highs indicates **underlying selling pressure building beneath the surface** . This divergence pattern suggests that **institutional smart money may be distributing positions** while retail sentiment remains bullish. The divergence becomes more significant when confirmed by other technical indicators and Elliott Wave completion patterns.
## Market Sentiment Context
### Fear and Greed Index Implications
Recent market sentiment data reveals extreme volatility in investor psychology. The **CNN Fear and Greed Index plunged to just 3 on April 8, marking its lowest level since March 2020** , before recovering modestly to **8** by mid-May. These extreme fear readings historically correlate with major market turning points, though **fear of this magnitude can bring extreme volatility, often resulting in steep market declines** .
The index's current positioning suggests that while fear has dominated recent sessions, contrarian signals may be emerging. Historically, **when fear reaches extreme levels, it has marked moments of potential opportunity or further market turbulence** . The combination of extreme sentiment readings with Elliott Wave completion patterns creates a confluence of reversal signals.
### Volatility Environment
The **CBOE Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index (VXN)** has elevated to significant levels, with recent readings around **24.20** . Higher VXN levels indicate **heightened expectations of near-term price swings** and often correlate with **institutional hedging activity** . When combined with Elliott Wave completion patterns, elevated volatility readings suggest market participants are positioning for significant directional moves.
## Trading Recommendations
### Short-Term Strategy (1-4 Weeks)
**Bearish Positioning**: The confluence of Elliott Wave 5 completion, RSI divergence, and extreme sentiment readings suggests high probability of corrective action. Traders should consider **shorting rallies toward resistance zones between 21,000-21,200** with stops above Wave 5 highs. Target initial support at the **Wave 4 low around 19,000-19,500**, representing a potential **10-15% correction** .
**Risk Management**: Given the potential for **truncated Wave 5 scenarios**, where the market reverses sharply without reaching typical extension targets , position sizing should be conservative. **Limit single-trade exposure to 1-2% of capital** and maintain strict stop-loss disciplines above recent highs.
### Medium-Term Outlook (1-3 Months)
**Corrective Wave Expectations**: Following Elliott Wave theory, the completion of the five-wave impulsive sequence should trigger a **three-wave corrective pattern (A-B-C)** . Wave A corrections typically retrace **38.2% to 50% of the entire impulsive move**, suggesting potential targets in the **18,000-19,000 range**. Wave C of the correction **is typically at least as large as Wave A and often extends to 1.618 times Wave A** .
**Sector Rotation Opportunities**: During major Elliott Wave corrections, defensive sectors often outperform growth-oriented technology stocks. Consider reducing exposure to **semiconductor and cloud computing sectors**, which have shown weakness with **-9.3% and -5.8% monthly declines respectively** , while increasing allocations to utilities and consumer staples.
### Long-Term Perspective (3-12 Months)
**Accumulation Zones**: Major Elliott Wave corrections create optimal long-term accumulation opportunities. The projected **Wave A target zone between 18,000-19,000** should provide strategic entry points for patient investors. Historical analysis suggests that **Wave 2 corrections of higher degree** often retrace to previous resistance levels that become support.
**Volatility Strategies**: Elevated VXN readings and expected corrective volatility create opportunities for **volatility premium capture strategies**. Consider selling put spreads at projected support levels and buying protective calls to benefit from mean reversion following the corrective sequence.
## Risk Considerations
### Alternative Wave Counts
Elliott Wave analysis requires consideration of alternative scenarios. The current count assumes Wave 5 completion, but **complex Wave 4 patterns** could extend the impulsive sequence. If price breaks above recent highs with strong momentum, the **extended Wave 5 scenario** becomes more probable, targeting **22,500-23,000** levels .
### Macroeconomic Catalysts
**Trade policy developments** and **Federal Reserve communications** could accelerate or delay the expected corrective sequence. **Trump's tariff policies** and ongoing **US-China trade tensions** create fundamental headwinds that support the bearish Elliott Wave scenario. Monitor **employment data and inflation readings** for confirmation of economic slowdown that typically accompanies major market corrections.
## Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of Nasdaq 100 Futures presents a compelling case for major trend reversal as Wave 5 approaches completion. The convergence of RSI bearish divergence, extreme sentiment readings, and theoretical wave relationships creates a high-probability setup for significant corrective action. Traders should prioritize capital preservation and position defensively while preparing for strategic accumulation opportunities in the projected correction zone. The fractal nature of Elliott Waves suggests this analysis applies across multiple timeframes, reinforcing the significance of current technical developments.
Based in AI research
NASDAQ - Target Zone - Break of channel - ShortNASDAQ - Target Zone - Break of channel - Short
We can have a rebound phase with new short phase
target area 19000
