London session short NQFirst time in my life i understood price the whole leg down and why it was doing what it was doing.
MNQ1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21236.00
- PR Low: 21139.00
- NZ Spread: 217.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | New Home Sales
Early close Monday
- Previous session closed as daily inside print
- Overall sentiment unchanged
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/23)
- Session Open ATR: 447.96
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
205.05.23 nasdaq analysis
📊 Result of Yesterday’s Trading Strategy
The break of the upward support trendline triggered a sharp drop, delivering solid profits even before the U.S. session opened.
With 1 contract, this setup yielded approximately $2,000 profit, making for an early finish to the day.
📉 Current NASDAQ Situation
The Nasdaq is on the verge of breaking below the ascending trendline.
Even though it pretends to rise, it consistently gets pushed down — suggesting the bullish momentum is close to being exhausted.
Thus, I will not consider long positions today and will continue to approach the market conservatively.
Today's trading strategy:
If 21112 is broken downward, it will likely enter a corrective phase.
If that happens, I plan to continue shorting with targets down to 20827~20667.
🎯 The target range is wide because if a sharp drop does occur, the strength behind it may lead to a deeper correction, making it worth holding for the extended target.
✅ Conclusion
• It's better to focus on short strategies rather than long positions for now.
• To enjoy the weekend, taking the day off from trading might also be a smart move today.
NQ SETUP FOR 5/223/2023 This is the markup for our session today.
the blue line can be used 2 ways if price break and retest can look for buys.
if there is a valid rejection then you may could take that as well
the red line is vice versa.
Nas100Possible Sell setup forming, we entered a bearish 4 hr order block, and then 15 min shifted structure
2025-05-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears get nothing going. Everything is bought. This notion slightly changed today. We saw an increase in selling pressure and market made a decent lower high but problem for the bears is, the bull trend line held and so far we have only seen big tails below 21100. We have formed a triangle and we could see a bigger trend day tomorrow. Until the trend line breaks, I don’t think bigger shorts make sense.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls defended the trend line and if bears step aside enough, we could do a new ath over the next 2 weeks. For now they are buying the dips but are too weak to push for new highs. Still most arguments are on their side as long as we are in this clear channel.
Invalidation is below 20800.
bear case: Bears need a weekly close below 20800. What are the odds of that happening? Meh. Betting on a trend line break is almost never a good strategy. It needs to happen and you have to follow. So if bears can get a strong move and consecutive 1h bars below 20900, it would increase the odds greatly of more downside. Bears still have many problems given the daily chart. The gap down is to 20300 and the daily 20ema is around 20600. So even if we break the trend line, I doubt bears will just melt through the daily ema after such a squeeze.
Invalidation is above 21600.
short term: Neutral. For now I expect more chop until one side clearly gives up again and if I had to guess, bears are more likely to step aside since we have big obvious targets above and the trend line is still valid.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. 21400 - 21460 was the main range and both sides made money today. Only real bad trade was shorting below 21400 or buying the Globex high.
NQ: 196th trading session - recapUgly day today, man I gotta make more progress it is draining to see no results
Trade Reflection & Overview – Final Thoughts on the Day’s SetupIn this final video, I’m reflecting on the trade and the key lessons learned throughout the session. Looking back, I realize I should have taken profits when price tested the 9:33 AM fair value gap, which would have given us a nice profit. Although I expected lower prices, considering we had a bearish daily bias, I underestimated the strength of the daily fair value gap, which had already been tapped multiple times. Price held above the 50% level, and that was a strong signal for higher prices.
Additionally, the double top formation near Monday’s buy-side liquidity could have been a target for price, which adds to the case for a reversal higher. Despite missing some potential profit, we ended the day with a total of $50,723.16 in profit.
Looking ahead, the focus is on consistent trades, avoiding FOMO, and maintaining solid setups that make sense. I’m committed to sticking with MNQ for now, refining my confidence in the setups and building a steady rhythm. Once we’re fully confident and have more capital, I’ll look to take on more risk, but for now, the goal is simple — keep it consistent and avoid repeating past mistakes.
This is the year of building profitability and consistency, and I’m ready for the journey ahead.
Trade Overview:
Profit: $200
Account Balance: $50,723.16 for the day
Reflections: Missed opportunity to take profits at key levels
Next Steps: Focus on solid setups, consistency, and avoiding FOMO
Trading Plan: Sticking with MNQ for now, working on building confidence and rhythm.
Position Management – Consolidation and Missed Exit OpportunityPosition Management – Consolidation, Inverse Head & Shoulders, and Missed Exit Opportunity
In this video, we continue managing the position, which remains in consolidation. Price taps the 50% level where we took our first partial, retraces higher, and taps the inverse fair value gap that previously held support for the sell-off. From there, we rush lower to the 9:33 AM fair value gap, finding instant support and bouncing just shy of the 50% mark of that gap.
This is also coinciding with the 25% level of the daily fair value gap. As price trades up to the 7.05 area, we create a triple top before moving lower again, but it’s been choppy and ugly. At around 11:00 AM, I reflect on how taking profits at the first test of the 9:33 AM fair value gap would've been the ideal move, putting us up around $380.
We’re now observing a potential inverse head and shoulders forming, with the 9:33 AM fair value gap as the head and the 50% area as the higher right shoulder, suggesting a reversal for higher prices.
Trade Overview:
Price Action: Choppy movement, with multiple taps of key levels
Key Levels: 9:33 AM fair value gap, 50% of fair value gap, 25% daily fair value gap
Pattern: Observing an inverse head and shoulders setup forming
Exit Reflection: Considering missed opportunity to take profits at 11:00 AM.
Position Management – Price Consolidation & FVG SupportIn this video, we continue managing the position after taking our first partial. Price consolidates around the 50% retracement level before pushing lower to the 21,188.75 level, which aligns with the 9:33 AM fair value gap we identified earlier. We find support here, and at this point, we’re still hoping to see a continuation lower.
However, the inverse fair value gap only holds for a few more points before the price reverses against us. This ultimately takes us out of the position, but we still lock in a profit of $65 from the trade.
Trade Overview:
Price Action: Consolidation near 50%, then lower to 21,188.75 (9:33 AM fair value gap)
Support: Price found support at the fair value gap level before reversing
Exit: Stopped out with $65 profit as the inverse fair value gap failed to hold.
Trade Management – First Partial at 50% of the TrendIn this video, we’re already inside the 10 AM trade from the previous setup. At this point, we’re up 290 ticks, and we’re managing the position carefully. To mitigate risk, we decided to take our first partial near the 50% retracement of the trend, just in case the price reversed and went against us.
This step allowed us to lock in some profit while still leaving room for the trade to continue in our favor.
Trade Overview:
Profit: +290 ticks
Partial: First partial taken at 50% retracement of the trend
Risk Management: Protecting against potential reversal while staying in the trade.
10 AM Trade – Entry After Buy-Side Liquidity ManipulationAfter the 10 AM candle formed, price quickly expanded higher, as we had anticipated, taking out the buy-side liquidity before tapping into a new week opening gap low. Once this manipulation played out, I observed the price action on smaller timeframes, particularly the 1-minute chart, where we saw a bullish break for value gaps. I used this as an inverse setup to enter on the third or fourth candle.
The trade eventually played out, moving lower as expected, setting the stage for further price action that I’ll explain in more detail in the upcoming videos.
Trade Overview:
Entry: After the 10 AM candle, based on a break of a bullish FVGs on the 1-minute
Bias: Anticipating buy-side liquidity manipulation and a move toward lower prices
Execution: Entered on the third or fourth candle, holding for a continuation lower.
Pre-9:45 PMI Trade – Executing the Sell and Managing In this trade, we executed a sell before the Flash PMI at 9:45 AM, following our setup and market analysis. We were in the trade and managed it until we were stopped out, at which point we stayed out of the market until after the PMI release.
Once the 10 AM candle opened, we observed price action closely, waiting for manipulation. Our focus was on potential higher wick manipulation before the actual distribution of the 10 AM candle. This setup provided us with the opportunity to get into the market once the manipulation played out.
Trade Overview:
Entry: Pre-9:45 PMI sell
Exit: Stopped out, then waited for the 10 AM candle manipulation
Bias: Watching for higher wick manipulation and potential distribution after PMI release.
MNQ Trade Setup -- Waiting for Flash PMI ImpactI’m holding off on a re-entry as we approach the Flash PMI at 9:45 AM. My bias is that there’s a potential for price manipulation to push higher above buy-side liquidity, taking out the highs before continuing lower. I’m waiting for the PMI release to confirm this idea and get better clarity on the market direction.
Bias: Expecting a possible manipulation higher to take out buy-side liquidity, followed by a continuation lower.
Waiting for Flash PMI to unfold before making any further decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21177.00
- PR Low: 21113.75
- NZ Spread: 141.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Value decline follow-through following morning bull run
- Auction holding at Monday's lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/22)
- Session Open ATR: 460.09
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Supply and Demand Zones 5/21/25 $NQLink to chart: www.tradingview.com
Bearish: If we break Asia Highs and tap into the 15MIN Supply above (even push up to 21300), then a rejection to break lower into 30MIN demand to take PDL of NY session 5/21 and final target of 5/13 NY low at 20972.75.
Bullish: If we break and hold above the 15MIN supply above (and break and retest holding over 21300 12AM London Open from 5/21), then target longs to reclaim target area of ~21415. This target is based on how past price action from 5/15 and 5/19 responded when we reached into the current level we are in, and bounced back TO roughly 21415 before hitting stronger resistance/rejection.
Keeping note that on the 4HR frame we failed to break the 4HR supply above and we just created a new lower low/high now.
MNQ BUYprice broke above vwap and now retraced breaking the other candles high, looking for continuation upwards target first unfilled gap
Nas100 Longwe entered in a demand zone, sweeping a 4 hour low, the 15 min then shifted structure and retraced back to golden pocket, enter on 61.8 fib level, targets are shown. i recommend breakeven at target 1
NQ: 195th trading session - recapNo trades today. Just recalibrating myself and really locking back in.
Indexes Daily "Slow" Trend anticipationExpecting a Daily slowliness a.k.a. HRLR (ICT Concepts) due to the Bonds decorrelation which is bearish. Once Bonds has reached Sell Side Liquidity Target, acceleration will be seen on Indexes higher. Meanwhile "give and take" is expected on a Daily and 4h basis.
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
Back up we go!H6 BISI paired with M30 RANGE and standard deviation projections. A new breaker formed after chopping downward past 24 hours or so. Expect another push up for buyside.
