NQ: 137th trading session - recapOK session today, I felt a bit of FOMO when that opening moves happened, but at the end of the day it didn't really matter.
Won't trade the opening tomorrow.
MNQ1! trade ideas
Scalper’s Paradise – Insights on Evolving Technical LevelsThis is my first post, and I’ll do my best. However, I might not know how to update the post or even view the comments. So, in advance, I apologize for any issues that may arise. :)
Now, let’s dive in with a snapshot of a 1-minute chart. Here, you can see the developing VPOC line along with the VWAP line. These aren’t just random indicators—they are volume-based indicators, meaning the data comes directly from the exchange system. This makes them highly relevant for traders, as they provide crucial insights into market activity.
But what exactly does this mean?
The developing VPOC line (Volume Point of Control) represents the price level with the highest traded volume of the day. It is often displayed when using a Volume Profile.
On the other hand, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a standalone indicator that calculates the average price based on volume. Essentially, the VWAP line divides the chart into two key areas:
Above VWAP → Favorable for short positions (or considered expensive for long positions).
Below VWAP → Favorable for long positions (or considered expensive for sellers).
These levels help traders gauge price efficiency and market sentiment throughout the day.
Insights from My Time as an Institutional Junior Trader
As a junior trader in the institution, my job was simple: follow orders. This meant I was told what to trade and in which direction—I was responsible for executing the trades at the best possible price.
Now, as an institutional trader, I execute thousands of trades a day, which naturally results in an average price due to the sheer number of trades executed at different price levels.
So, how is my execution evaluated throughout the day? Exactly—against the Volume Profile and VWAP.
For example, if I need to buy a large quantity and my executions are concentrated in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart, it means I’ve done a good job—I’ve secured a better-than-average price. On the other hand, if my trades are mostly in the upper area, it means I haven't performed well, as I couldn’t even beat the average price.
Let’s put on our thinking cap and bring everything together.
Imagine you need to accumulate a long position, and you’ve been buying thousands of times, resulting in an average price.
Now, let’s assume you are an institutional junior trader, and your boss instructs you to buy. You’ve already accumulated 85% of the position, and your average price is in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart. Suddenly, the price has risen, and you have the opportunity to buy the remaining 15% at the VWAP.
Would you take the trade? Of course, you would.
Why? Because 15% won’t significantly move your average price, and you’re still buying at a reasonable level.
And that’s exactly how institutional traders operate all the time. They are constantly evaluated against these key indicators (VWAP & Volume Profile)—just like I was.
How You Can Apply This as a Retail Trader
So far, we’ve discussed just a small aspect of trading, but now you understand that levels matter and that institutional traders think differently when it comes to buying.
While retail traders often focus on getting the best price, institutional traders prioritize average price. This fundamental difference leads to completely different trading styles.
Now that you know how institutions operate, you can start watching the key levels provided by indicators like VWAP and Volume Profile. These aren’t just static levels—they are developing levels, meaning you can use them multiple times throughout the day.
Monitor these key levels throughout the session.
Pay close attention to order flow when price approaches these levels.
Identify who is in control—buyers or sellers—so you can take action accordingly.
By combining these insights with the order flow, you can make more informed and precise trading decisions—just like the institutions do. 🚀
Sincerely,
Marco
Targetting buyside on NNQThis is in demo due to the fact I’m working double this week so I had to take this on my phone, regardless we had an amazing day which is great and builds our confidence specially because we are utilizing our cellphone to take the entry.
I am starting to notice I am getting better at recognizing certain market patters making me more confident and comfortable taking my trade ideas.
Disclaimer:
Trading can bring total loss of funds, be very careful and take these trades at your own risk. ⛔️
NASDAQ Potential ShortPotential Short to 20 Day MA and/or VWAP, around 780, watching 2 minute chart for confirmation if 9 day MA does not hold. Looking for BO failure
NQ1 bearishAfter the cross of 21750 I took a position that consolidated for 45mins and now just broke support. looking to hold this trade till it reaches 21500 or show some sign of consolidation to close or trail a SL
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21773.75
- PR Low: 21832.25
- NZ Spread: 131.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Remains relatively quiet anticipating Powell speech
- Holding auction in previous session highs below the close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 395.38
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 262K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Bearish?Going Short Due to price reacting to the OB i Will Watch This Carefully Due to the nature of the game
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout.
For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound.
Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable.
As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky.
On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach.
Gold
Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials.
Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated.
Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position.
For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today.
With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined!
Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550
-Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917
-Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25
📈21965-21990
📉21555-21530
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-02-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: What did we learn today? Market is digesting any newsbombs quicker and quicker but we still have deep pull-backs. Today the volume was atrocious so I don’t think the bullish daily bar is all that important. If bulls get follow-through above 22000 tomorrow, I am clearly wrong and we test 22100 next and afterwards there is no more resistance until 22400.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21300 - 22000
bull case: Bulls only objective is to print higher highs above 21967. Until they achieve that, market is in a triangle and bulls are not favored when buying the highs. They have prevented another much deeper sell-off below 21400 but given the low volume today, I don’t think many will be thrilled to buy above 21800 tomorrow. Above 21967 we go for 22100 next and after that is no more resistance until 21400.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears were fine with the gap down and did not fight the buying today. I do think tomorrow will be very different. Every bear who sold above 21800 made money since end of December. The price action is not bullish enough to make more bears doubt that we will strongly break above this triangle. First target is today’s open, 21760. Then we have the midpoint of this triangle around 21700, followed by last weeks close 21588. Below that is Globex low 21453 and then 21200.
Invalidation is above 21970.
short term: Bearish. Stop for shorts is 22110. If I’m wrong here, so be it but structure is neutral and odds favor the bears to keep making lower highs now and we test back down to at least the midpoint of this triangle around 21500.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the big Globex gap down and then market did not print one single bearish signal until bar 45 and that was the first, so you can not sell it.
NQ: 136th trading session - recapAs stated on the chart: Failed trade because I took a bad one. Definitely gotta remember that trading with positive emotions is as bad as trading with negative ones.
Get your mindset right, my god, lock in.
Journey to 53K: Analyze this MNQ trade with me! 2.10.25It really helps out if you guys support and subscribe. Give it a like if you guys enjoy this content it motivates me to keep posting and shows me that what I am sharing you guys find valuable. I appreciate the 600+ views, to those watching, thank you for being an early follower of my journey and may God bless yours.
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NQ Daily Mark Up 2/10/25NQ is be very bullish since opening last night. One could only assume it will continue up. I am expecting just that. It may settle for a min in consolidation before rallying back up but we will get some points!
As always I have marked up both ways! Please be mindful of your contract sizes and risk . Stick to your trading plan! Good luck .
SL is around $600
NQ! Short Idea MXMM / Quarterly TheoryHello again, today I will be showing you my current short idea on the Nasdaq.
If you have any questions, feel free to write a comment.
-T-
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Taking Nasdaq On A DateMe and Nasdaq had a GREAT time last week; riding the lows and highs from sunrise to sunset. Even though the initial target of Mon 27th Daily candles wick encroachment was met, the upside potential was astounding.
Besides that, NASDAQ’s price action over the past 2 months has been lacklustre, struggling to trend and stay in one direction but it’s no surprise as with all the geopolitical drama happening all over the world has caused many institutional traders to sit on their hands and wait.
Risks are Bubbling in the Nasdaq-100The Nasdaq-100 has led this cycle, driven by U.S. economic resilience and an unprecedented investment surge in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure.
However, risks are emerging from overvaluation, excessive AI spending that has yet to translate into revenue, and geopolitical uncertainties tied to the Trump administration.
With the Nasdaq-100 trading below its all-time high and lacking sufficient catalysts for a breakout, a near-term correction could occur if these risks materialize. Investors may consider a short position to capitalize on this potential downturn.
AI Spending and Overvaluation Risks
The "Magnificent Seven"—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—have dominated market sentiment, collectively accounting for approximately 63% of the Nasdaq-100's total market cap. This highlights the rally's extreme concentration.
Much of the momentum has been driven by high expectations for rapid growth in artificial intelligence, further amplifying the market's reliance on these key players.
The broader backdrop has also been supportive: US economic growth continues to surprise to the upside, with growth expected at 2.3% for the year, while corporate earnings—even more so for tech—are likely to rise 7-14%, as per multiple analyst outlooks.
However, recent earnings reports have injected caution into AI enthusiasm. Alphabet missed revenue forecasts, sending its stock down 7.3%, while AMD dropped 6.3% after weak data-center sales. Amazon's AWS posted $28.79B in revenue, just shy of the $28.84B estimate, raising concerns over AI over-spending.
Despite this, AI capex remains aggressive. Meta reaffirmed its $60-65B 2025 capex plan, despite $17B in Metaverse losses last year. Microsoft defended its Azure and OpenAI bets, while Alphabet, despite AI competition pressures , is committing $75B to AI infrastructure in 2025.
With ambitions and excitement all around, the market’s reaction toward these companies, in light of underwhelming earnings and efficient competition from China, has not been so forgiving.
Cracks are forming, and a more cautious approach to Nasdaq-100 exposure may be warranted.
Valuations are stretched, with the index’s forward P/E ratio at 34 , up from 28 in 2023. While the AI boom, particularly in consumer adoption, took off in early 2023, the market is now pricing in near-flawless execution—yet investors have yet to fully grapple with the rising costs, intensifying competition, and looming regulatory scrutiny.
Risks remain in some of the largest Nasdaq-100 stocks, particularly Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 50.7 raises concerns about its ability to sustain past explosive growth. Similarly, Tesla, with a P/E ratio of 183.6, faces headwinds from a slowdown in the EV industry, making its valuation increasingly vulnerable.
Political and Trade Uncertainty
Donald Trump’s return to the White House has generated significant energy and excitement. However, the extremity of his policies could create new trade uncertainties, particularly for companies dependent on Chinese supply chains and international revenue.
Since his inauguration, Trump has announced a series of tariffs against major trading partners. The risk of retaliatory measures raises the possibility of a full-blown trade war. His aggressive stance on trade could introduce sudden and unpredictable market volatility.
The previous trade war saw tariffs disrupt global tech supply chains and put pressure on corporate margins. For instance, in 2018-2019 Nasdaq-100 volatility spiked and tech earnings growth slowed.
If history repeats itself, the overextended valuations of Nasdaq-100 could probably get a reality check, particularly if these firms start guiding for higher costs in upcoming earnings calls.
Technicals Point to Upcoming Resistance
The moving averages for the Nasdaq-100 reflect a bullish sentiment owing to the strong rally for the past several months.
However, the ATH level of 22,100 has proven strong resistance with prices testing this level multiple times over the past few months. A strong catalyst may be required to pass this level.
During previous corrections, price has reached between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA).
Momentum indicators suggest that a short-term downward trend may be imminent.
Periodic movements in the index suggest a downturn is imminent and prices may reach as far as the S1 pivot point at 20,700.
Options Signal Growing Bearish Sentiment
Options positioning on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures and Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures signals a bearish sentiment. OI and volume put/call ratio for both E-mini NQ and Micro E-mini NQ are greater than 1 suggesting higher put positioning than call. There is a particualrly high concentration of puts at the March expiry.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Given the frothing risk factors impacting the Nasdaq-100, risk of a sharp decline is high. Elevated valuations, escalating trade tensions, and slowing AI rally, all risk a correction in the index.
This decline may materialize in the next 2–3 weeks, aligning with critical macroeconomic events, including Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data releases, and upcoming corporate earnings reports.
With a correction likely, investors can express this view using a short position in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures expiring in March (MNQH2025). Each contract requires initial margin of USD 2,303 as of 10/Feb and provides exposure to USD 2 x Nasdaq index (~43,400).
Investors can also use the standard E-mini NQ futures to express the same bearish view with larger notional sizes.
Entry: 21,700
Target: 21,200
Stop Loss: 22,100
Profit at Target: USD 1000 ((21,700-21,200) x 2)
Loss at Stop: USD 800 ((21,700-22,100) x 2)
Reward to Risk: 1.25x
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
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MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21656.75
- PR Low: 21418.00
- NZ Spread: 534.25
No key scheduled economic events
Economic event break ahead of Powell double header the next 2 days
- QQQ gaps daily gaps filled
- Fading back into Friday's range on directionally volatile week open
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 2/10)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 407.59
- Volume: 40K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Looking for advice regarding Trade executions for Leap challengeMy trades Leap Challenge traded on Tradingview have been causing me quite the issue when it comes to my trade entries, especially Micro Bitcoin (MBT). I attempted to seek help from TV, but was not able to get a reply. Please advise
Ready for the pump to at least ATHSPY/ QQQ charts are super strong. For the past two weeks, we saw gap downs on Mondays because of Deepseek & Tariffs. Then on Tues / wed / Thursday, the market filled all the gaps!
We have had two Monday gap downs, and naturally people are concerned if Trump will surprise us with news over the weekends. So last Friday (7th Feb) we saw a sell down because of this uncertainty. Now that it has been two weeks, the market has digested deepseek and tariffs news. I don't think any news can bring it lower. The bears have all the reasons to break the market, but all key levels are held.
With the market this strong, my guess is that if there are no news over this weekend, we gonna pump upwards real hard!
NQ targets for today and this week!We are still bullish on the HTF and looks like we want to fill in those inefficiency's from last week and those 2 sets of Relative equal highs! big pool of liquidity around 22111.00
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection.
On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge.
Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown.
On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy.
Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling.
On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable.
The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
Gold
Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory.
At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option.
However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases:
Wednesday: U.S. CPI
Thursday: U.S. PPI
On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones.
Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220
-Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900
Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856
-Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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NQ / ES / NDX / SPX/ QQQ / SPY retracement setupMy recent disposition of a market sell for Friday February 7, 2025 was accurate, but I was mindful of technical studies that did not match up or favor a continued deep downtrend for NDX / SPX / QQQ / SPY going into trading this week, beginning Sunday February 9, 2025.
Therefor I closed my short position on QQQ, and posted this information here:
I am currently of the opinion that NQ / ES / NDX / SPY will all go Bull-Tard into mid week. See the Fibonacci levels, and my predicted target for NQ.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any Future, Stock, or Option -- Just mu opinion.
I'm posting this message at approximately 5:50 PM EST on Sunday, February 9, 2025
