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MNQ1! trade ideas

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19382.00 - PR Low: 19296.75 - NZ Spread: 190.75 No key scheduled economic events Maintaining Tuesday's range, rotating back to Wednesday's lows - Constant intraday swings has overall sentiment frustrated Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/14) - Session Open ATR: 481.32 - Volume: 50K - Open Int: 264K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
2025-03-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls can’t get anything going that’s not sold heavily. I can’t see this not closing at the lows tomorrow. The target is obvious, 2024-09 low at 18867. The tight bear channel started at 22245. This selling without any meaningful bounce is so weird and overdone, it’s hard to grasp. We went from melting higher on literally any news to not being able to close green on a week where news were all in line or not bad. I can not take this as a W1 of a new bear market where my next target is likely 18000 for W3 and 16000 for W5. current market cycle: trading range - only daily closes below 20000 mark the end of this bull trend key levels: 19000 - 21000 bull case: Easy as pie to write. Bulls need anything above 19800. Anything below is much more likely to that we sell hard again, since it’s not stopping. Bulls can not trap any bears and are quick to give up on any selling pressure. Best for bulls would be to stay above today’s low and make another higher low above 19165. Weekly close above 19500 would surprise me big time. Invalidation is below 19140. bear case: Bears are really overdoing it. A 5-10% up move is around the corner I think. Next target below is the September 2024 low at 18867, which aligns somewhat with the current bear channel. The channel is the dominant feature right now, so trade it. My base assumption for tomorrow is another try by the bulls and heavy selling into the weekend. Would not be surprised if we close the week below 19000. Invalidation is above 19600 but bulls need something above 19800 if they want further upside. 19600 is just the break of the bear channel. short term: Can only be neutral for now. Having a bullish bias but bulls are not doing enough for now. I wait. 20k is my first target. Nothing changed. Selling down here is not for me. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Will update this on the weekend. Bear trend has started. trade of the day: Yeah. Globex printed the high of the day early and market could not get above it or 19600 for that matter. I thought a trading range day was much more likely and we had decent two-sided trading but bulls are running for the exists and just want out. 6 x 1h bars that struggled to stay above 19550 was the cue that we likely test down again.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Markets Seeing Strength Over the last few weeks, traders have seen consistent selling pressure across equity markets, and today we are seeing buyers step in and the markets are moving higher. On the day, the equity indices, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil are seeing higher prices as traders saw CPI come in worse than expected and Crude Inventories came in better than expected. The NQ contract led the gains for the indices being up over 1% and Silver trading up near 1%% on the session. The CME Fed Watch Tool has been fluctuating over the past few weeks as the equity markets have been selling off, and is now pricing in a pause for the March and May meetings. To finish out the week, economic data including initial jobless claims, PPI, and Bond Auction data will be on the front of traders' minds to see if the selling will continue in equities or if buyers will be confident to step into the market. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by CME_Group
Quick 70 point scalp on NQShowing you guys a trade idea with my current thoughts on the market and price. I will be busy today so that is all for me, taking my $370 dollars for the day and I am calling it. Good luck and Good trading to anyone trading today! Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure: The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading. Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary. BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC): Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms. Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement: CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk. Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results. General Trading Disclaimer: Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations. Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility. By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by BDripTradess
NQ1! Morning Mark UP Hey yall! Mark up is done in 100R TF. Please wait to take this after the news at 8:30am EST. We have some unemployment claims and PPI coming through. As always I have marked up for the buy and sell I’m very neutral in this bc the NQ has went deep both ways when it opened back up yesterday. There was a strong ‘W’ formed for a possible bullish rally but went flat :(. Use your best judgment SL are wide at 120 pt and always practice risk management and stick to your trading plan! Good luck!!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Just_that_Chic
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 19637.25 - PR Low: 19567.50 - NZ Spread: 155.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - PPI 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction AMP margins temporarily increased for tomorrow economic events - Previous session closed as inside print - Auction returning to previous session low (closed bullish) - Advertising rotation back to Tuesday's lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/13) - Session Open ATR: 484.58 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5
US Market Reversal Emerged? This Week's Closing is CrucialThe final trading day of February. I always take the opportunity to analyze the monthly chart closely. We saw an inverted hammer. From the cash chart, clearly, we can see the inverted hammer. Beyond that, it also appears to be a potential double top for the Nasdaq. E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: NQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ Trading the Micro: cmegroup.com/markets/microsuite.html
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by konhow
5
NQ Panic Sell into SupportNQ and the global markets have been getting destroyed on news of trump tariffs, inflation, as well as recession warnings. Although many of these issues are political and are being viewed with altering perspectives, we are approaching a major support level here at the anchored VWAP of the overall uptrend since the nasdaq sold off 17%. Shorting the market here can be quite dangerous as there is a potential for support to hold, and continue the uptrend here. Lets see how it plays out
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by afurs1
1
History rep. itself? Whipsaw shakeout, emotional rollercoasterThis is an optimistic view of the recovery from the recent selloff. Reasons for the optimistic bias: - weak USDX helps exports - low Crude helps manufacturing - employment remains steady - interbank interest rates are lower, liquidity is ample - tariffs are noise, yet to see objectively based on data what they will do Its less likely though that we have a clean V bounce, price rarely moves in straight lines specially on the way up. We are yet to see if the recent positive data sustains the bounce or the rally will be sold by people who bought the top and try to get out at a smaller loss before it gets worse (and it may). In any case there is another leg down wether one support level lower or starting to create the staircase upwards we will see. The timescale might drag out into longer consolidation before move up depending on data, but the next earnings cycle around mid-May could prove the growth scare wrong. The projections are based on a similar pattern last year scaled to current moves.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SubZero
Expectations for PPI tomorrowMarch 13, 2025: Producer Price Index (PPI) Report & Market Outlook PPI Overview: Inflation Trends & Market Impact The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. It's a key indicator of inflation at the wholesale level, influencing consumer prices, monetary policy decisions, and financial markets. Recent PPI Trends: January 2025: PPI for final demand increased 0.4% MoM, following a 0.5% rise in December 2024. Year-over-year, PPI advanced 3.5% in January. February 2025 Forecast: Analysts anticipate a 0.3% MoM increase, suggesting continued inflationary pressures. PPI Data Breakdown: Expected vs. Actual (To Be Updated Post-Release) Expected PPI (MoM): +0.3% Expected PPI (YoY): +3.5% Core PPI (Ex-Food & Energy, MoM): +0.2% Core PPI (Ex-Food & Energy, YoY): +3.2% Actual PPI Data: Pending release at 8:30 AM EST Immediate Market Reaction (Post-Release Update Needed) Stocks: S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow futures reaction. Bonds: 10-Year Treasury yield movement. Forex: USD reaction vs. EUR, JPY, and GBP. Commodities: Gold, oil, and industrial metals response. Sector-Specific Impacts Growth Stocks (Tech & Discretionary): Higher PPI could trigger a sell-off if rate hike fears rise. Defensive Stocks (Utilities & Consumer Staples): Likely to outperform in a high-inflation scenario. Industrial & Energy Sectors: Higher input costs could pressure margins. Financials: Banks may benefit if inflation keeps rates higher for longer. Trading Strategies & Key Levels S&P 500 Levels: Watching 4,800 support, 5,000 resistance. Nasdaq: Tech stocks volatile above/below 16,000. DXY (Dollar Index): Bullish above 105 if inflation exceeds expectations. Gold: Strong resistance at $2,100; potential breakout if inflation data disappoints. Bonds: 10-Year yield key level at 4.25%. Macro & Fed Policy Implications Hotter PPI (+0.4% or higher): Could delay Fed rate cuts, leading to risk-off sentiment. Cooler PPI (+0.2% or lower): Could reinforce rate cut expectations, boosting risk assets. Fed Watch: Next FOMC decision hinges on both PPI and CPI trends; traders should monitor Fed speakers post-release. Considerations for Investors Monitor Federal Reserve Signals: Any shift in rate-cut expectations will heavily impact market direction. Sector Analysis: Industries with high input costs may experience increased volatility. Inflationary Pressures: Rising PPI suggests consumer prices could also increase, influencing Fed decisions. Conclusion The March 13 PPI report will set the tone for upcoming Fed policy moves, market sentiment, and trading strategies leading into Q2. Stay alert for real-time updates post-release as market conditions evolve.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by neuralenergies
Increasing VolatilityExecutive Summary Volatility in the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures market has risen significantly over the past two weeks, as evidenced by the upward trajectory of both the 10-period and 60-period SMA Historical Volatility (HV) metrics. This report analyzes the implications of heightened volatility on market participation and liquidity, while providing actionable strategies to leverage these conditions effectively. Current Volatility Overview Key Observations (March 3–13, 2025): The 10-period SMA HV (10-minute) has surged from 0.075 to 0.225, reflecting rapid intraday price swings. The 60-period SMA HV (60-minute) trended upward from 0.100 to 0.200, confirming a sustained volatility regime. Divergence between the two SMAs indicates accelerating short-term volatility relative to the longer-term trend. Drivers: Macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts). Earnings seasonality and sector rotation. Algorithmic trading amplifying price movements. Impact of Volatility on Market Dynamics 1. Market Participation Increased Activity from Short-Term Traders: Day traders and algo systems capitalize on wider price ranges and intraday momentum. Scalping strategies thrive in choppy markets. Reduced Long-Term Positioning: Institutional investors may defer large orders to avoid slippage. Risk-averse participants hedge via options or reduce exposure. 2. Liquidity Dynamics Bid-Ask Spreads: Likely to widen as market makers price in risk, particularly during off-peak hours. Slippage Risk: Elevated during high-volatility spikes (e.g., news events). Liquidity Clustering: Focus on peak trading hours (e.g., NYSE open/close) where order book depth remains robust. Strategic Recommendations for Traders 1. Adapt Position Sizing and Risk Management Reduce position sizes to mitigate volatility-driven drawdowns. Use dynamic stop-loss orders to protect against sudden reversals. 2. Leverage Volatility-Sensitive Instruments Trade volatility derivatives (e.g., VIX futures, options) to hedge or speculate. Implement straddle/strangle strategies ahead of scheduled catalysts (e.g., CPI reports). 3. Optimize Execution Timing Focus on high-liquidity windows (e.g., 9:30–11:30 AM ET) to minimize slippage. Avoid holding oversized positions into overnight sessions. 4. Monitor Key Technical Levels Track the 10-period SMA HV for intraday momentum signals. Use the 60-period SMA HV to identify broader trend reversals. 5. Stay Informed Track real-time news feeds for unexpected catalysts. Analyze volume profiles to distinguish between noise and meaningful price action. Conclusion The current volatility regime in ES futures presents both opportunities and risks. Traders who adjust their strategies to prioritize risk management, liquidity awareness, and tactical execution will be best positioned to capitalize on price dislocations. While short-term traders may thrive in this environment, long-term participants should remain cautious, using volatility as a tool for strategic entry/exit points rather than a deterrent. Prepared by: Joshua C Dawson Managing Director/ Oxley & Sinclair Date: March 12, 2025
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by neuralenergies