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NQ1! trade ideas

2025-04-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Very good trend by the bears but the close was bad for them. Giant tail below this daily bar and if they can not keep the market from retracing more than this 50%, we could reverse this to test 18200+ again. If we stay below 18000, I heavily favor the bears but for now I’m rather neutral and assess where we are before EU opens tomorrow. current market cycle: bear trend continues for now key levels: 16000 - 18500 bull case: Bulls need to break above the 50% retracement for today and can then continue higher to test the upper bear channel line around 18300. Any tariff news could get us there but todays news were bad at best. Bulls don’t have much until they reverse this day and claim 18170 again. Invalidation is below 17700. bear case: Bears got the breakout below and are on their way of retesting the lows but they have the problem, that we have not seen two consecutive decent trend days since 3 weeks ago when we sold from 20000. So what are the odds of another strong bear day tomorrow? Very low. Best for bears would be, if they kept the market below the 50% pb from today below 17940. This would leave a giant open gap and increase the odds of continuation down. Right now the bear channel down is very broad and I don’t think many bears will hold above 18000 and a decent bar above the 1h 20ema. If today was indeed the acceleration of this potential W5, we should see another strong trend day tomorrow and go for 17000. Invalidation is above 18050ish. short term: Bearish if we stay below 18000. Right now channel is broad and could go up to 18300. 1h 20ema should be latest resistance by the bears or we will likely test 18200 or 18300. If we continue down, next support is 17400, then my measured move target around 17250 and below is 17000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. trade of the day: Short from Globex open.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
NQ Range (04-21-25)Sell in May should NAZ float back up or, Buy in May should it drop from here. The Buy in May would be near lower range or 17,000-500. Yellow Zone to left is the 10-15 minute "insider trading" move that was needed to get the NAZ away from the Danger Zone of death. Not much doing since so expect more of the same with tricks, games and O/N magic rides higher. Reg Session seems to still prefer the sell button. Anyway, until we break out of this range (could be weeks or minutes, as we have seen) we are in a range of insignificant noise. NDX Chart below, Diablo is hanging Tough.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
MNQ Outlook 4-21-25Toying around with posting publicly welcome back folks. MNQ still is yet to pick a direction following the big run on wednesday 2 weeks ago. long term I think path of least resistance is for price to continue to chase sellside liquidity. However that high that was put in on that wednesday may be cleared out first. In any case my trade bias is always day by day and what is offered to me during my trading window. Please note this is not investment advice.
CME_MINI:MNQM2025
by akhena10fx
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 18383.50 - PR Low: 18231.25 - NZ Spread: 340.75 No key scheduled economic events First day back after a week off for work - Unfilled weekend gap of -0.24% Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/21) - Session Open ATR: 751.20 - Volume: 34K - Open Int: 238K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -19.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5
#202516 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Expanding triangles are my least favorite structure and we are in one. I have no bias here because both sides have reasonable arguments. Bulls just want this selling to become a bear trap and test up to the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears can see it as a bear flag that tested the 50% retracement of this bear leg. current market cycle: trading range on the monthly chart - daily chart is a bear trend that could be transitioning into a trading range again key levels: 55 - 69 bull case: Bulls see it as a failed acceleration down and want to retest the prior bear trend line around 68. Same target as last week but this week they closed the weekly bar above 64 which was my line in the sand. If they continue here, they will likely squeeze much higher again. 69 next target. Invalidation is below 60. bear case: I give the bears one more day to form a strong reversal but the odds are low. This breakout could go much higher and Friday looks like a give-up bar. Argument for the bears is that we are still at the 50% retracement and the breakout-retest of the March low 64. Any prices above 64.2 is invalidation for the bears. I will only view this as bearish again, if bears break the bull trend line from the 54.48 low and that’s currently around 61. Invalidation is above 64.2. short term: Neutral at 64. Above 64.2 bullish and only below 61 I think bears have taken control again. medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-20: This does look like another bear trap below 60, which was to be expected. Depending on next week I will write some more here. For now It’s still a bear trend until bulls can reclaim 72.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#202516 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral and very similar to dax, as most of the time. I do think we will see one more leg down in this current bear trend before we could go sideways for longer, until earnings become the absolute fucking shitshow I expect them to become. We get daily news about big companies not exporting to China or to the US due to tariffs. No one believes this will go down smoothly. Bear trend line holding so far, 50% retracement for this bear trend was 19483 and the spike high last week was 19388 and bulls could not get above it this week. The daily 20ema is also right above us and every time market touched it, we sold and closed below. Triangle will likely break on Tuesday and I am having wet dreams about going below 17000 again. current market cycle: bear trend but above 19388 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range key levels: 15500 - 19500 bull case: Bulls want this trend to end and crush the hopes for a third leg down. That has not changed. Their only target is 19388 and if they get it, market is completely neutral and they will likely go for 20000 again. Bulls still have the triangle argument but below 18100 that is gone as well. At this point I think only very positive news could save the bulls. Market is likely waiting for big earnings next week and if Tesla surprises downwards, we will hopefully crash this m* again. Invalidation is below 18000. bear case: Last week my assumption was that the tariff exemptions were enough to pump this above the bull spike from the previous week but that failed and we went lower since. If even that can not lift the market to higher highs, what will? Only a big agreement with the EU and/or China. How likely is that? This US government doesn’t even know how to articulate their goals in negotiations, how do you think you could guess it? Market is in maximum limbo and since we are still somewhat high enough, we could see more risk-off trading. Until bears can get below 18000, we likely continue sideways. 3 big resistances held and the bear trend line is intact. Bears are heavily favored to continue down and I expect a third leg. Can the third leg get much below 16400? I don’t know but I doubt it. Only a deep recession would get us there and for that we would need earnings going real bad. Below 18000 I expect 17200 to be the next big support but a retest of 16400/16500 could happen. Invalidation is above 19388. short term: Neutral. Sideways most likely until a clear breakout above or below. Below 18000 we could do 17500 or 17000 fast. Above 19388 market is free to test much higher again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Only a big tariff agreement news can move the markets and that can go either way. You have no edge in guessing what will happen, so having huge swing positions right now does not make much sense. If earnings go bad, we will go much lower. What is the next big support to be hit? The lows of 2022 at 12565. Can we really get there? With a deep recession and some bigger failings, sure but for now it’s unrealistic to expect it.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
In this short video, I break down the daily chart of the Micro EIn this short video, I break down the daily chart of the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ, June 2025 contract) and share my outlook for the upcoming week. I'm watching the weekly high and low, a potential bearish retracement pattern, and price behavior around the 0.5–0.75 Fibonacci levels. 📉 My main scenario is a short-term move higher into resistance, followed by a potential continuation to the downside – but I'm staying flexible and watching price action closely.
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Short
by SilverMountainTrading
Nasdaq (NQM) - Best Time To Buy Nasdaq?After a successful run from September 2022, making more than 110% up to the beginning stages of 2025, Nasdaq has successfully made holders over the past few years richer than those who decided to invest in a random meme coin and what we have been seeing over the past months is a decline close to 30% which is miniscule in the grand scheme of the bull trend. Could the market continue to trade lower? Possibly but if you learn the skills necessary to hedge your portfolio by shorting the market, its a win win scenario!
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by LegendSince
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/17/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/17/2025 📈18594 18670 18740 📉18440 18365 18290 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by J3Trad3s
1
Perfect Range Clear Tradable Levels To Watch!Sometimes you just have to zoom out and look at which levels will produce the highest probability trade. if those levels do not get reached, then we should not trade them. Lets see if price gets to these levels tomorrow and if so we know how to position ourselves. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Navitility