NQ1! trade ideas
NQ: 172nd trading session - recapYea, it's a bit unfortunate that that happened but it is what it is, don't really care. But what is good is that price action actually starts looking "good" again as explained on the chart. Maybe the highly volatile days are now over, man they were brutal.
I'm just sitting on my hands right now waiting for that one bullish day, which will hopefully be reflected directly in the opening, I could catch a massive move to the upside.
Until then, I expect price to just chop around for a bit, could be tilted to the upside or downside, don't really know & don't really care. If price action is good and "foreseeable" I can make good decisions.
NQ UpdateLooks like the EOD pump might be a setup for the ECB meeting tomorrow morning. Did not play it because my indicators did not hit oversold. Taking the patient approach and just waiting for a good play.
I did get into sold gold though this morning. They way they're pumping gold, the dollar index won't matter as much, lol.
NQ Short (04-16-25)Staying with the Short, NAZ with a Gap up and a Gap down move in the off session (very little in the Reg). When the moves in the markets seem manufactured and happen in the O/N or off session, look Short. Looks like 18,400-300 is the Danger Zone here and below could be the express way lower. Should we get there, look Long 1st as the will U Turn it away (Gap, off session, Holiday, Dead Zone or any low volume period).
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/15/2025
📈19130 19280
📉18670 18520
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-04-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I always refuse to interpret more into trading ranges than necessary. We have nested triangles. Just wait for the breakout. I have a bad feeling for bears, since today’s bad news could not push markets down, always a bad sign for bears.
current market cycle: bear trend valid until bear trend line broken but trading range a bit more likely right now. At least on lower time frames.
key levels: 16000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls need higher highs above 19000 to test 19250 and then the huge buy climax at 19384. If they get it, that means the bear trend line is broken and the bear trend is over and we will likely see a short squeeze for the ages. Huge day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 18740.
bear case: Bears have to defend the bear trend line or they can just give up until we see 20000 or higher. Lower lows below 18600 would be a decent start tomorrow and next target then is 18750. Below is the elevator down to 18000 or lower. I would like a weekly close below 18000 very. much.
short term: Neutral 18900 - 19000. Invalidation prices for both sides are clear. Be patient and wait for the big breakout.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 overshot it by 1000 points. Now my bearish bias is gone and I will wait how this unfolds. Big uncertainty for this year but I think this selling is overdone and big bois are buying with both hands below 17000.
trade of the day: Shorting 19000 was good multiple times.
NQ Short (04-15-25)NAZ rejected at the Diablo, again. No Pass go Short and a passing of KL is a Long. 19,400 is the zone to watch, should the Overnight Magic Traders get the NAZ that high. If O/N can't do it I highly doubt the Reg Session will as it usually sells off. NAZ on the edge of the channel and has not done much since the 20 minute 2,000 point pop from Uncle Bunker.
NDX Update below
NQ: 171st trading session - recapWas definitely more into the market today than usual, which is really good.
I feel like I can get the bag with this. In theory it is really the simplest way to make money:
I got my strategy, follow it and execute your plan. I don't really know why I doubt myself and the plan I wrote down, it's perfect. Take your trades, get the funded account, and execute your plan on picture perfect setups. It is pretty simple, yeah. Lock in.
NQ Range (04-14-25)Will stay with Range and the Friday for Monday. The chart below is the NDX, red line is Diablo with yellow arrow, white arrow is Danger Zone. The move away from the DZ was a 20 minute 2,000 point move. One of the best U Turns in recent 5-10 years and well manufactured, to boot. Look at all Mega Cap Tech stocks, you can see they (major indexes also) are under a similar Trend Line. When the NAZ gets pinned between a Diablo TL & DZ, or U Turn needed support level, the games/tricks come out (like we are seeing now). Passing the TL (Diablo) up usually will take off like a rocket or snail lift for weeks (but will not drop). No pass and rejection will retest the DZ and look for anything to hold it (like a Friday- Monday sideways to Long). Under the DZ and we just keep dropping. Highly doubt the significant drop takes place as we are approaching "Buy in May and Go Away". Unless the old "Sell in May and Go Away" decides to return.
NDX