The Market Matrix - DXY, Gold, NAS & Crude for Feb 7 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix. Covering Gold, DXY, Nasdaq & Crude Oil.
NQ1! trade ideas
Last Week's Trading Review & next outlook Feb 10-14(Disclaimer: This is just a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the market was highly volatile. Monday opened with a significant gap down due to weekend tariff news, but prices quickly rebounded with news support, recovering until Friday morning. However, after the NFP data release on Friday, the price plunged during the New York session, failing to hold its earlier gains.
Key observations:
-The 4-hour chart shows an equal high around 21,970.
-On the daily chart, there’s still an unfilled VI gap between 21,770 and 21,910.
-Friday’s failed breakout raises the possibility of a retest of the lower level at 20,941 before another breakout attempt.
Market Outlook for Feb 10–14: For the upcoming week, focus on Monday and Tuesday’s price action. Two potential scenarios may unfold:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price finds support around 21,432, there is a high probability of another breakout attempt. If the market remains bullish, the price should hold above 21,432 and avoid breaking below 21,314. Look for buying opportunities on dips, with a target at 21,971.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 21,432, it is likely to retest the 20,941 level. Watch for potential rebound opportunities to short the market, aiming for 20,941. Be cautious of a possible bounce between 21,156 and 20,941, as the price may attempt another upward breakout from this range.
Your Thoughts?
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? Feel free to comment and share your view! 😊
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/07/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/07/25
📈22102-22145
📉21706-21663
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Weakness Across The Board #S1E6In this episode, I will take you through the devastation NFP left in it's wake and what we can draw from the signatures left behind.
With many expecting 2025 to start off with a bang, we have seen nothing but inconsistencies in price action.
Trump and his tariffs also doesn't help but the good news is, once w get through this period, we will see price action loosen up.
NQ Range (02-03-25)Another Friday high to Sunday/Monday O/N low of 1,000 points or more, new pattern? The drops are in the off session with gaps. BTD/FOMO's are trapped (is what I see). NAZ at 21,256 (2025 Open Price), under Danger Zone TL (Orange TL above) and near channel bottom. White arrow is range for break out and 20,695 is TLX Spoke level that is the Danger Zone Express Lane (break under). On the upside, that is easy: Buy any Dead Zone hold (after 1st hour) or any weekday O/N until that does not work. Prior 1,300 did retrace most of drop in 4 days, only to be retested in 1 night. November 2024 to current has been a channel that is setting up a huge/massive move. We do not know the direction, most likely lower since the Reg Session just can't seem to hold or lift the NAZ higher.
SELL ON NASIt has been in a channel for quite some time..Yet the selling pressure has been very prominent. after much liquidity was built up and a with a master candle being broken to the down side and seeing a sell flat top close below gave me the indication this was a great area to execute the sell.. if we can break that low it will be a massive trade.
SHORT NASLooking for small short gain on NAS.Patiently waiting for price to hit supply zone. Only looking for 5:1 Risk/Reward but could potentially hit demand zone(Green)
NQ Short Idea (MXMM | Quarterly Theory)Hello guys, I hope everyone is having a profitable day.
I present to you my todays short idea. I want the London highs to be swept and price to manipulate into my Key Level. I will enter short once this happens and we have ChoCh + retrace into any PD Array (OB, FVG,...)
Praise be to God.
-T-
MNQ Practicing some Entries on NFP.Just practicing for next week. Not trading today.
Market is choppy and coming my for stops so you have to leave wider stops., which I am not comfortable with. I like to enter trades that run with my entry.
But we can see we got some right entries the stops just needed to be wider and the bias/target was correct. So lets see the outcome of the trading day but I am content with the shots I took today.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/06/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/06/25
📈21845-21940 ; 21795-21870
📉21656-21565 ; 21650-21575
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ daily mark up 2/7/25NQ is still moving bullish and opened as such! I expect if it does fall it will fill the gap around 21,799. Please stick to your trading plan and be careful! Good luck!!
* 100R TF with a 120pt SL
NQ - Nasdaq is set up to POP or DROP, and here's whyIt's nagging and nagging and nagging at the U-MLH, but this Cheese must be super hard.
If we they are not able to eat through it, open and close above it, then the I'm on to stalk a short.
PTG1 is the 1/4 line
PTG2 is the Center-Line
IF we open and close above the U-MLH, the target is the white Center-Line.
It's simple, clear and there's not more to babble about this opportunity.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21857.00
- PR Low: 21807.50
- NZ Spread: 110.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
Inching towards 22000 daily pivot
- AMP margins increase for pre-RTH job reports
Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 2/7)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 391.64
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
MNQ1! is bound to move to 22,433 by the end of this month/we have been struggling with the huge daily gap, and i think it is about time we break out of it, if you peep how we have been moving, we recently disrespected the smaller Gap on the daily and are currently in the larger one. And on this larger gap we have already broke the CE. so i am personally looking for longs, i currently have been on a win streak on MNQ and GC, really easy longs this week as long as you know what you're looking for.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - NFP Has Arrived! #S1E5Expect a whole heap of mumbo jumbo as NFP is released later on today.
Roll up your socks, tighten your boots cos Today will be a WILD RIDE!!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed slightly higher with low volatility. As mentioned yesterday, the daily chart shows that the index is holding support at the 3-day moving average, while the MACD remains in an upward buy trend. However, resistance is evident along the upper trendline connecting previous highs.
Today, a pullback toward the 5-day moving average should be considered, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be a key catalyst in determining whether the uptrend continues.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a consolidation phase that could gradually lift moving averages before another bullish wave emerges. Overall, a buy-on-dip approach remains favorable, particularly if a pre-market pullback toward the 5-day MA occurs. However, given the potential for increased volatility from today's data release, risk management is crucial.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the 3-day moving average. However, downside support remains strong, making further declines difficult, which favors buy-side positioning. Since oil has now tested the 3-day MA, today’s strategy should focus on selling near the 5-day MA if a rally occurs.
Both long and short positions should factor in weekly closing dynamics, as weekend geopolitical risks may lead to gap openings on Monday.
On the 240-minute chart, oil remains in a downward trend, but signs of base formation are emerging. The MACD is nearing a potential golden cross, so traders should watch closely for a momentum shift.
Additionally, geopolitical risks are increasing, with Trump tightening sanctions on Iran, adding to oil market volatility. Given these conditions, buying dips remains the preferred approach, but risk management is essential.
Gold
Gold closed lower, facing a sharp pullback after reaching the psychological level of 2900. The deep retracement suggests profit-taking at key resistance levels.
Despite this correction, the daily chart still maintains a buy trend, and as long as gold holds above the 10-day moving average on a closing basis, the overall bullish bias remains intact. However, given that the MACD is completing its third bullish wave, a consolidation phase is likely as the MACD and Signal line begin to narrow. For now, buyers should focus on entering at lower levels to optimize risk-reward.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged, leading to the current pullback. However, the MACD and Signal line are significantly below the zero line, meaning that despite the downtrend, buying interest could emerge on any further dips. This structure reduces the appeal of chasing short positions.
Today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a major risk event, known for triggering extreme volatility in gold. As one of the most critical economic indicators for gold traders, managing exposure ahead of the release is crucial. Expect range-bound price action before the report, with a potential breakout afterward.
Stay disciplined and manage risk carefully, as today’s NFP release will drive market volatility. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21820 / 21750 / 21710 / 21625 / 21510
-Sell Levels: 21870 / 21930 / 22010 / 22070 / 22135
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.20 / 69.80 / 69.20 / 68.30
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.20 / 72.70
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2876 / 2871 / 2862 / 2855
-Sell Levels: 2885 / 2892 / 2896 / 2902
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
NQ: 134th trading session - recapNothing crazy happened today, rather uneventful session.
See y'all tomorrow...
NQ! Buy Idea on LEAP CHALLEGE accountNot trading my prop account due to FOMC, this video will show you why haha, as I was about to shift my SL it rammed it. Extremely sudden and unexpected.
Content that we took a partial at the highs (which btw the market was failing to execute) i had to click the button several times for it to fill my order.
over $1,000+ made on this trade.
Give me a like and a follow if you enjoy this content!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
NAS 100 Futures - ShortDecelerating inflation and decelerating growth for February indicates deflationary pressures in play. February could potentially see a nice correction or maybe a deep and hard one. Either way, the fundamentals as well as the volatility adjusted price range both indicate it is time to be cautious and mind your risk management practices. In any case the technicals on lower time frames have begun to weaken roll over and slow. Short for now.
February trading rule The idea is to grow a small 1200 account strictly trading my setup and see where we get to at the end of February.
This is a transparent journal and I will be sharing my thoughts as i trade.
NQ daily mark up 2/6/25She is still going up and open bullish! I’m anticipating a continued buy. Again be careful follow your trading plan!
Set up today for both ways however, please pay attention to the market. SL is wide 130+ points ~ $600 . TP are confirmed with fibs and supports and resistance.
Smart Money Strategy on NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) - 30-MiInstrument: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trade Type: Long/Short (Based on Smart Money Analysis)
Smart Money Concept:
Institutional Order Flow: Identify areas where institutional traders are likely to enter or exit positions.
Liquidity Zones: Focus on areas of high liquidity where price is likely to react.
Fair Value Gaps:
Gap Identification: Look for gaps between the high of one candle and the low of the next, indicating potential areas of imbalance.
Gap Filling: Anticipate price movement towards filling these gaps as part of the market's natural tendency to seek equilibrium.
Entry Strategy:
Entry Point: Enter the trade when price approaches a fair value gap with confirmation from volume and price action.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss beyond the gap to protect against unexpected moves.
Position Size: Adjust based on risk tolerance and account size.
Current Market Conditions:
Economic Indicators: Consider recent economic data that may influence institutional behavior.
Volume Analysis: Use volume spikes to confirm the presence of Smart Money activity.
Target Profit Strategy:
Target Levels: Set profit targets at key liquidity zones or previous highs/lows.
Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop to secure profits as the trade progresses.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 to ensure favorable trade outcomes.
Continuous Monitoring: Stay alert to changes in market conditions and adjust the strategy accordingly.
Conclusion: This trade on the NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) leverages the Smart Money concept and fair value gaps to identify strategic entry and exit points. By understanding institutional order flow and maintaining disciplined risk management, traders can enhance their trading performance.
indicators are Lux Algo Smart Money Concepts and Orderblocks, and Fair Value Gaps. All by @LuxAlgo_Team
