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NQ1! trade ideas

Idea with support fibs MNQ1!Purpose and Idea Behind the Script This Pine Script strategy is designed for Fibonacci-based intraday trading with a focus on larger, high-quality trades while minimizing excessive trading frequency. The strategy leverages Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to identify potential high-probability entry points. It incorporates trend confirmation from a daily moving average, ATR-based risk management, and self-adjusting trade sizing to optimize performance. The core idea is to execute trades with a fixed dollar amount per trade, ensuring consistency in risk exposure while reducing overtrading. Risk management includes dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels, daily drawdown limits, and automatic recalibration of Fibonacci levels in volatile markets. The strategy is self-correcting, meaning it adjusts calculations dynamically to maintain effectiveness under different market conditions.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by lilsadguyinc
MNQ IDEAThe Enhanced Fibonacci Growth Strategy is a complex, multi-layered trading approach designed to generate high probability setups and manage risk effectively in a volatile market. Here’s a breakdown of the strategy and the thinking behind the script: 1. Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels: • Purpose: Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) and extensions (161.8%) are crucial levels where price tends to reverse or consolidate. The script uses these levels to identify potential entry points and profit-taking areas. • Thinking Behind It: The idea is to enter trades near key Fibonacci retracement levels (typically between 38.2% and 61.8%), as they are strong support or resistance zones. Once price moves beyond these zones, the Fibonacci extension levels can act as potential targets for taking profits. 2. Trend Confirmation with Moving Average: • Purpose: The script uses a 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) to determine the overall market trend. • Thinking Behind It: The SMA helps to filter out trades that go against the trend. The idea is to buy when the price is above the moving average (indicating a bullish trend) and avoid taking long positions during bearish trends (when the price is below the moving average). This ensures that trades are taken only in the direction of the prevailing trend, improving the probability of success. 3. Dynamic Position Sizing Using Risk Factor: • Purpose: The script adjusts position size dynamically based on the account equity and stop loss distance. The risk factor defines the portion of equity allocated to each trade. • Thinking Behind It: The risk amount is calculated as a percentage of total equity, ensuring that the trade size is appropriate for the account size and volatility. This reduces the chance of catastrophic losses and ensures that the trader’s capital is managed responsibly. By adjusting position sizes dynamically, the strategy adapts to changing market conditions and balances risk across trades. 4. ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit: • Purpose: The Average True Range (ATR) is used to determine the stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility. • Thinking Behind It: ATR is a measure of market volatility. By using ATR to calculate the stop loss and take profit, the script adjusts for the current market conditions, ensuring that the stop loss and take profit are wide enough to avoid getting stopped out prematurely in choppy conditions, but tight enough to lock in profits when the market moves in the desired direction. This helps in maintaining a balance between protecting against losses and capturing profits. 5. Drawdown Management: • Purpose: The script incorporates multiple drawdown limits to manage risk on both a per-trade and daily basis. • Thinking Behind It: The goal is to protect the account from large, uncontrollable losses. The strategy sets daily, per-trade, and total drawdown limits to close all positions and stop trading if the drawdown exceeds a predefined threshold. This is done to ensure the strategy doesn’t blow up the account in case of a losing streak or an unexpected market event. 6. Time-Based Trade Duration (30-Minute Limit): • Purpose: Trades are closed within a 30-minute window to avoid holding positions for too long and exposing the account to extended risk. • Thinking Behind It: By limiting trade duration, the strategy seeks to capture short-term moves while avoiding exposure to long-term market fluctuations that could lead to larger losses. The 30-minute window ensures that the strategy operates in a more active, intraday context, making it suitable for shorter timeframes like 30-minute or 45-minute charts. 7. Target Profit: • Purpose: The script sets a target profit of $10,000 for the strategy to achieve within a 12-hour timeframe. • Thinking Behind It: The goal is to grow the account by a fixed amount within a short period, using a combination of high-probability setups and strict risk management. By setting a target profit, the strategy has a clear objective, ensuring it is focused on consistent, profitable trades without taking excessive risk. 8. Overall Goal: • Purpose: The strategy aims to grow a $100,000 account to $110,000 within 12 hours, using Fibonacci-based entries, trend-following confirmation, and dynamic risk management techniques. • Thinking Behind It: The focus is on achieving consistent, small gains within a fixed timeframe. By utilizing Fibonacci levels for entries and exits, confirming trends with a moving average, and employing dynamic risk management (position sizing, ATR-based stops, drawdown limits), the strategy balances the potential for profit with strict risk control. Complexity of the Script: The script is highly sophisticated and takes into account multiple variables, such as Fibonacci levels, moving averages, volatility-based risk management (ATR), and dynamic position sizing. It also incorporates various safety mechanisms like drawdown limits to protect the account from significant losses. The combination of these factors makes it a comprehensive and robust strategy for short-term trading with a clear risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion: The Enhanced Fibonacci Growth Strategy is a well-balanced trading approach designed to take advantage of key price levels, trend direction, and market volatility while keeping risk under control. The strategy is dynamic and adaptive, adjusting to changing market conditions to maximize the chances of achieving a specific profit target within a set timeframe. Its complexity lies in its multi-layered approach to risk management, time-based trade duration, and Fibonacci-based decision-making, making it suitable for traders who want a structured, disciplined way to grow their account over short periods.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by lilsadguyinc
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, DXY & Nasdaq for Feb 1 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix. Disclaimer The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions. The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Tradius_Trades
NQ: 131th trading session - recapThat's the end of the month - last 2 sessions were pretty boring, literally no entries whatsoever. I'll probably do a monthly recap, but just not on here. Although I will say some stuff... opening trades: 1x winning trade (+3RR) 1x losing trade(-1RR) 1x missed trades, I'm a dumbass (possible +3RR) 1x possible trade after reconsideration (breakeven) ranging trades: I lost count, I'm still developing so it's not that important lmao. Anyways, overall a good month, didn't expect so many trades, definitely better than December '23
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by GRBmlr
NQ Range (01-27-25)Final week of the 1st month, so far not much has changed with intraday Price Action. The original Danger Zone TL (Orange) now has a lower long term TL that may be an indication that the Danger Zone is dropping (NAZ may start to experience lower lows and start a decline). Short below 22,200 and Long above. 19,200 is Strong Long Zone, we did retest U Turn Zone #1 (21,000) and may retest #2 (20,000). For now, Long in the O/N, fade the Open Range and Long in Dead Zone or near the Close. Should this pattern change, it would be a minor miracle. Go Fed & Washington Street (Wall Street is 2nd Banana), the Fed Is back this week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
7
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25 📈 21849.75, 21937.25, 22024.75 (NEXT ZONES: 21859.5-21968.75) 📉 21674.50, 21587, 21499.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21748.75-21639) Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 (💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS) *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
From almost Blowing Funded account to being back in ProfitsThis was a perfect illustration of how our emotions can affect us and our trading decisions. However through my 5 years of trading, I've been working on mastering my emotions as best as I can and as you guys can see-- I still had several times where I showed plenty of emotions. This leads me to come to the conclusion I still have a long way to go with mastering my emotions but progress is being made, and that is enough for me. If you guys liked this idea and post please give it a like! Forex and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure: The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading. Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary. BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC): Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms. Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement: CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk. Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results. General Trading Disclaimer: Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations. Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility. By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by BDripTradess
9
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/31/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21725.25 - PR Low: 21660.00 - NZ Spread: 145.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM) 09:45 | Chicago PMI Inching close to 21800 weekend gap breakout, following previous session liquidity swings - Holding action above previous session close, at highs - Daily gap fill advertisement remains Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 1/31) - Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904) - Session Gap 1/31 +0.33% (open < 21633) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 403.79 - Volume: 32K - Open Int: 258K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -3.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher within its range-bound market. On the daily chart, it faced resistance near the gap created on January 27. Even if the index continues to rise, it is likely to encounter strong resistance near the January 24 closing price of 21,911. Keep in mind the principle that gaps tend to get filled and that they often act as strong support or resistance levels once filled. Since the MACD is still maintaining a buy signal on the daily chart, it is advantageous to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy. The recent move appears to be driven by dollar weakness, and similar to gold's strong rally yesterday, Nasdaq could also experience an additional upward rally. Therefore, short positions should be taken at the highest possible levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the zero line and is now pulling the signal line upward as well. If the index continues to rise and fills the gap, both the MACD and signal line will be above the zero line, and after consolidating at the gap resistance level, the next directional movement will likely be determined. It is best to focus on buying on dips while setting strict stop-loss levels for any short positions above the gap. Proper risk management is key. Crude Oil Crude oil closed nearly flat but showed a meaningful breakout from the downward channel on the shorter time frames. It also created a gap-up on the daily chart and broke above the 5-day moving average. Previously, oil had been declining due to Trump's announcement regarding increased oil drilling, but this news is largely priced in now, making a technical rebound possible. The key level to watch on the upside is $74.50, while buying opportunities exist below $73, with a stop-loss at $72. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence has formed at the bottom, leading to another buy signal. Since the price appears to be building a base, additional buying momentum could emerge. While the market is still range-bound, a buy-on-dip strategy remains favorable for now. Gold Gold surged to new all-time highs and closed with strong gains. The rally was driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff imposition, boosting gold prices significantly. As mentioned yesterday, the MACD turned upward again, leading to another sharp rally on the daily chart. Since gold strongly broke out of its previous range with a large bullish candlestick, today is a buy-on-dip day, particularly near the 3-day moving average. If the price retraces in the pre-market session, it could dip toward the 3-day moving average, so traders should be mindful of this possibility. However, if gold maintains its strength and closes with another bullish candlestick, the 3-day moving average will move higher, reinforcing the uptrend. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have diverged significantly, reflecting the strong uptrend. Buying on dips remains effective, while selling should be avoided since RSI indicates overbought conditions. As gold's volatility is increasing, traders should consider adjusting contract sizes, using micro contracts, or lowering leverage to allow for wider stop-loss levels and better trade management. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21680 / 21630 / 21580 / 21530 / 21465 -Sell Levels: 21770 / 21845 / 21890 / 22010 / 22055 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.40 -Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.10 / 74.50 / 75.00 GOLD - Bullish Market(April) -Buy Levels: 2845 / 2840 / 2831 / 2824 -Sell Levels: 2860 / 2866 / 2870 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
2025-01-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 1h 20ema is flat as your first girlfriend. Don’t over analyze this trading range. 50% of it is around 21560 and we are seeing bulls buying dips, taking the stairs while bears violently crash the elevator down in between. Will likely see a bigger impulse tomorrow or Monday. I have no bigger opinion on which side will get it. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21300 - 21780 bull case: Bulls need to close the big gap to 21900 and maybe some points above to get all the stops and turn the market truly neutral again. For now bears are defending it well, which is bad for the bulls. Bulls have going for them that they are printing higher highs and higher lows and are trading above the daily 20ema but as long as the gap stays open, they are not doing enough. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears only argument is the open gap to 21900 but other than that, they are fumbling it again. If try get to 21450 or below tomorrow and fail again to print lower lows below 21350, odds favor the bulls to rally hard into the weekend. Invalidation is above 21900. short term: Neutral as can be. 21560 is my mid point for this and mean reversing was profitable the past 2 days. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying 21450 or selling above 21700 has been good the past 2 days. Do it until it clearly is not working anymore.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq Future – January 2025The analysis of key levels for the Nasdaq future suggests that the low recorded on January 27, 2025, at 20,763 marks the beginning of a quarterly cycle. If this level holds, it could trigger a sequence of positive daily bars, confirming the bullish structure. However, there are two additional key levels to monitor in order to validate the strength of this trend. Key Levels to Watch Primary Support – 20,763 This level represents the cyclical low of the new quarterly cycle. Holding this level is crucial for maintaining the bullish setup. Intermediate Support – 20,980 (former structural resistance) This level corresponds to the structural high of July 11, 2024, and July 24, 2024. It was a significant resistance in 2024 and now acts as a strategic support. Holding above this level would confirm that the 2025 market remains above 2024 levels. 50-Period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50) – 21,346 This dynamic technical level serves as the first warning signal of weakness if breached. A drop below this level could introduce bearish pressure, jeopardizing the bullish setup. Operational Conclusions Maintain a bullish bias as long as the price remains above 20,763. 21,346 (EMA 50) is the first warning level: a break below it could indicate weakening momentum. 20,980 is the key support to confirm that the market is consolidating above the 2024 highs. The overall outlook remains positive, with a confirmed bullish structure as long as these levels hold. A potential break below 20,763 would compromise the quarterly cycle structure and require a reassessment of the technical scenario.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by andreapriolo10
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25 📈 21748 & 21885.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21807-21917, 22027-22137) 📉 21473.50 & 21336.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21477-21367, 21257-21147) Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 (💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS) *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21586.25 - PR Low: 21505.75 - NZ Spread: 179.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - GDP Previous session closed as practically an inside print - Advertising possibility to close the weekend gap above 21800 - Momentum expected above previous session high, 21700 zone - Creates psychological liquidity below 21360 Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/30) - Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 410.01 - Volume: 32K - Open Int: 258K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed flat as the market digested the previous day's FOMC decision to hold interest rates and major corporate earnings reports. The strategy of selling at the 5-day moving average proved effective, and despite the FOMC decision and earnings from Tesla and Microsoft, the index remained within a range-bound market. On the daily chart, the MACD is still above the signal line and the zero line, indicating that the buy signal is still intact. However, as there has been no significant volatility, the gap between the indicators remains narrow, maintaining the current range. Since the buy signal is still valid, it would be advantageous to monitor whether the gap-down from January 27 is filled and trade accordingly within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the signal line below the zero line and is now consolidating. For the MACD to cross below the signal line, a sharp decline would be necessary, but given the current spread between the MACD and the signal line, such a drop appears unlikely. Instead, if the market continues to consolidate and the MACD and signal line converge, the next move—whether another buying wave or a selling wave—will determine the trend. Since key economic reports, including the GDP release and Apple’s earnings, are due today, it would be best to adopt a range-bound strategy. Crude Oil Crude oil faced resistance at $74 and closed lower. On the daily chart, the sell signal remains intact, with prices failing to break above the 5-day moving average and continuing to decline within a downward channel. Prices are currently supported around the $72 level. For a bullish outlook, it would be crucial to see a strong bullish candlestick breaking above the downward channel's upper boundary at around $73.60. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line. While the MACD has crossed above the signal line, the price has not surged, resulting in only a narrow spread. Given that the $72–73 range has historically been a strong support zone, it would be preferable to buy on pullbacks. However, if the price breaks below this range and a sell signal emerges, it will be important to monitor whether the $72 level holds as support. Gold Gold closed flat on the daily chart, maintaining a buy signal. The MACD and signal line are gradually converging, but the spread remains sufficient to prevent an immediate shift to a sell signal. If the MACD turns upward, further gains are likely. A key factor to watch is whether the weekly candlestick forms a bullish pattern and the MACD crosses above the signal line. Key resistance levels are at 2800 and 2820. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is still intact, but the spread has narrowed, indicating weaker momentum. The market is range-bound with mixed buying and selling pressure. As long as no sell signal appears on the 240-minute chart, a buy-on-dip strategy is preferable. However, keep in mind that upcoming economic data releases may lead to pre-market consolidation. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21470 / 21400 / 21360 / 21285 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21625 / 21680 / 21770 / 21890 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.50 -Sell Levels: 73.40 / 73.85 / 74.40 / 75.00 GOLD - Bullish Market(April) -Buy Levels: 2793 / 2787 / 2777 / 2773 / 2768 -Sell Levels: 2803 / 2809 / 2813 / 2821 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard