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NQ1! trade ideas

Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following the non-farm payroll data release. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the possibility of a sharp drop in the third wave of selling on the 240-minute chart was highlighted and has largely materialized. The monthly 5-day moving average (20,880) emphasized this month acted as support, forming a lower wick. On the weekly chart, the MACD has crossed below the Signal line, generating a sell signal. The index is positioned between the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day moving averages above and the 20-day moving average below, suggesting the possibility of a range-bound market this week. If the market moves upward at the beginning of the week, it may decline later, and conversely, if it drops initially, a rebound may occur later in the week. The upper range is projected at 21,360–21,400, while the lower range is expected to be below 20,880. Flexible responses to early-week movements are crucial, especially with Wednesday’s CPI release likely to serve as a key turning point. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, making sell-side strategies near the 3-day or 5-day moving averages preferable during rebounds. Downward movement toward the 120-day moving average is possible, but there’s a strong likelihood of a rebound after forming a lower wick, so avoid chasing the sell-off. On the 240-minute chart, while selling pressure remains strong in the third wave of the downtrend, support and a potential trend reversal could occur below 20,700. Overall, a sell-on-rebound strategy is advantageous today. Oil Crude oil surged on the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports. As previously noted, oil continues to display a pattern of reversing trends and sharply rising from the bottom. In pre-market trading, prices have already surpassed $78, but with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, caution is warranted today. On the weekly chart, the divergence from the 5-week moving average and the presence of previous highs around the $78 range suggest that even if prices rise further, chasing the rally should be avoided. The most favorable scenario this week involves buying on dips near the 5-week moving average, with corrections potentially reaching $73.4–$74. On the daily chart, more time is needed for shorter-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 60-day, to align with current prices. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, generating a buy signal. However, if prices fail to surge further, divergence in the MACD could occur. Pay attention to potential sell signals and additional declines. As the rapid rise calls for a correction, prices are likely to consolidate around $78 during pre-market trading, making range-bound strategies favorable. Gold Gold surged on Friday due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut following employment surprises. On the weekly chart, gold has formed a bullish candle, breaking above key short-term moving averages. However, the significant divergence between the MACD and Signal lines suggests that surpassing the previous high near 2,760 will be challenging. On the daily chart, the MACD is above the zero line, and the Signal line is trending upward, showing a buying trend. Buying on dips near the strong support zone at the 5-day and 60-day moving averages around 2,690 is a favorable short-term strategy. With additional upward movement possible, a buy-on-dips approach is recommended. However, volatility is expected to increase with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI data, so plan accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, with the RSI entering the overbought zone, making premature selling risky. Weekly Overview This week, early movements are likely to continue last week’s trends, with a potential inflection point around Wednesday’s CPI data. Manage risks carefully, and have a successful trading week! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,945 / 20,900 / 20,780 / 20,740 / 20,680 -Sell Levels: 21,110 / 21,210 / 21,310 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 76.55 / 76.00 / 75.60 / 74.60 -Sell Levels: 78.35 / 78.85 / 79.45 / 80.00 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,713 / 2,703 / 2,695 / 2,685 / 2,677 -Sell Levels: 2,726 / 2,735 / 2,742 / 2,753 / 2,759 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
NQ Technical chartNQ Analysis Examining the overall 4-hour trend, we observe a pattern in the downward and upward price movements: Downward Move (AB): From 22,428.75 to 21,016.75. Retracement (BC): The upward retracement of BC was exactly 78.6% of the total downward move (AB). Price action moved up to this level before rejecting. Similarly: After rejecting at 22,118.75, the price dropped to retest at 20,983.75. This resulted in another upward retracement (DE) to 21,872.75, which again represented 78.6% of the previous downward move (CD). On Friday, the lowest tick on NQ was recorded at 20,874.75. If we apply Fibonacci to the most recent downward move: The 78.6% retracement level is at 21,674.00, marking a potential area of interest above. Below, the open areas of interest are: 78.6% retracement at 20,803.50 88.6% retracement at 20,605.75 This highlights key zones for potential price action and reaction points moving forward. Monday NQ Price Action Prediction Key Levels to Watch: Support: 20,803.50 (78.6% retracement): Critical support zone. 20,605.75 (88.6% retracement): Deeper support if the lower level is breached. Resistance: 21,674.00 (78.6% upward retracement): Key resistance zone. 21,872.75: Previous swing high and secondary resistance. Predicted Scenarios: Bullish: A bounce from 20,803.50 could lead to a rally toward 21,674.00. Breaking above 21,674.00 may push prices to 21,872.75. Bearish: Breaking below 20,803.50 could trigger a drop to 20,605.75. Rejection at 21,674.00 may signal continued downside toward support levels.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by bear-necessities
Nasdaq 2025 outlookAs we complete 2024 and the significant move we have experienced in the NQ this year, its time to have a look at the possible outcome for 2025. the ascending triangle suggests a topping pattern and as the Santa Claus rally completes and portfolio adjustments for year-end, I have to conclude that we will see a reasonable correction in January/February next year. I have drawn boxes to indicate my support and resistance areas. As we all have found out this year sentiment is a primary driver of markets but we are so extended and selling rallies is challenging. I don't believe in fighting the trend but look for a set-up that limits your risk, happy holidays and take care
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MarkLangley
MNQ Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25 Price delivered precisely to the Daily Discount Draw on Liquidity which was the D BISI 50% quadrant at 20,875.75 underneath that nice triple bottom PDLs. Now the question to ask is does price justify staying inside that BISI or will price cut through the BISI and continue to reach for the SSL at 20,640.00? Lets continue to watch and see if price reverses or continues lower from here. This week I got to experience first hand why its good to have a Directional Bias and why its a good idea to stick with it regardless of being right or wrong. - First always remember as a traders we do not control outcome only our performance and if we get one day wrong then thats okay because its only one day in my trading career not my whole trading career. Also its very important to have methodology or an edge that can produce consistency as that will help aid the mental battle of missing trades or getting the bias wrong and not getting the framework to take a trade. In the beginning it might feel bad but keep in mind the game is not capital gain but capital preservation. If your methodology is consistent in terms of producing setups then missed setups or hitting SL should not worry you as there will always be another day to trade and get a setup. -Another key thing I want to touch on is the peace of mind you get when sticking to your Directional Bias. When your looking for example only Bullish scenarios and ignore all Bearish ones then your not over here investing mental capital on a trade that you know is counter to the HTF Bias and could easily hit your SL. Watching price action also becomes enjoyable as well because you don't care to be right or wrong so if your right and your setup forms then take the trade and if your wrong then just turn the charts off and trade another day as there is plenty of trading opportunities through out the year.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025
by ProphetTheTrader
1
Nasdaq buys coming in uptoo 21400This week promises to be intriguing with the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release scheduled for Wednesday. My focus will be on Monday’s London session to potentially set up a buy scenario for Nasdaq, aiming for the 21450 level. I plan to approach Monday with reduced risk and lighter trading volume. Tuesday looks more dynamic, as I’ll be targeting a short setup if the market reaches my key point of interest. The conviction to target 20680 remains strong, aligning with my overall bias. Lets wait and see how manual intervention takes action Happy Trading and trust your process. Proverbs 16:3 (NKJV) Commit your works to the Lord, and your thoughts will be established.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by AndySalasDeJesus
DXY,SPX;NDX,GOLD WIf you look at my old DXY analysis, it can give you a hint. I mentioned that I'm still biased towards the downside for SPX and NDX. The AI hype is good, but in my opinion, it's causing more harm than good. Meanwhile, wars are ongoing, unstable democracies and many narcissistic people are causing trouble. In addition to all of this, racist parties and mindsets were hyped before WW2 as well.I just want to share:)In my opinion, there will be lightning-fast chaos, I just don't know when.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by H-A_T
Prepare Nasdaq for Monday on weekend 25.01.11Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Briefing Results Chart: Buy Perspective: No buy entry signals were triggered during session. Sell Perspective: While the initial blue ascending trendline break could have been a sell entry, the timing occurred outside of market hours (during the Asian, European, and U.S. sessions), rendering the move insignificant. Thus, the sell entry was based on the extended yellow ascending trendline. Upon its breakdown, the target was exceeded, resulting in a total drop of 325 points and approximately $6,500 in profit per contract. Daily Chart Analysis (Perpetual Contract) Chart: On the daily chart: Lagging Span (Chikou Span): The Lagging Span has definitively entered below the candles, suggesting a high probability of a trend reversal. For a full reversal, the price must break above 21555. Current Position: The price is currently at 21016. The Lagging Span suggests the potential for upward movement toward 21437 on Monday, barring further breakdowns. Green Box: Previously acted as a support zone, but the red box candlesticks broke below, creating new lows. Ichimoku Cloud: While the price has entered the cloud, it continues to close above the upper boundary, maintaining support for now. Key Moving Averages: Without a gap-up on Monday, the daily candle is likely to open below the 20 EMA and 60 EMA. Major resistance levels are at 21090 and 21440, respectively. March Futures Contract Analysis Chart: While largely similar to the perpetual contract: The price closed within the Ichimoku Cloud. Intraday trading on Friday even saw the price break below the cloud’s lower boundary. Key Levels: Resistance: 21213 (cloud upper boundary). Support: 20930 (already broken once, so its strength as support is questionable). Key Daily Chart Patterns Chart: Two notable patterns emerge on the daily chart: Descending Triangle (Red Lines): Height: ~6.8%. The pattern broke downward on Friday, suggesting a potential target at 19594 (6.8% below the breakdown point). Falling Wedge (Blue Lines): While this indicates a corrective downtrend, a breakout above the blue box could signal a return to the highs or even new all-time highs. Both patterns offer insight into market sentiment but require confirmation to act upon. Monday Trading Strategy Chart: Buy Perspective: Entry Trigger: A breakout above the green box + 21206. Context: The price has shown resistance at 21206 following a rebound and subsequent decline. Targets: Resistance levels are marked on the chart; verify specific price points on the chart’s left side. Key Consideration: Without a breakout above 21562 (light blue box), the overall trend remains bearish. Any potential buy would likely be a temporary retracement within a broader downtrend. Sell Perspective: Recommendation: Monday may be best suited for observation rather than aggressive sell entries. Risks: There are no clear support trendlines, and selling on a break of the previous low carries considerable risk. Conclusion The NASDAQ is a dynamic and unpredictable market where what appears to be a correction may not actually be one. Recent declines can trigger panic among traders, but it’s critical to approach the situation with patience and a calm, strategic mindset. Avoid emotional decisions and focus on the bigger picture. Trade smart and stay prepared for any market movements. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
NQ Range (01-06-25)2025 will get going this week or next. The prior Post called U Turn near the Danger Zone with Friday-Monday rally, which may be extended to 1/13 since markets closed on 1/9. Orange TL is danger zone, shaded are U Turn zones and others are just key levels (KL's). 990 hit & Long U Turn to stall out (next dash white or 22,080). Notice 12/18 & 19, we may see that now on way up and if not, reverse it and NAZ will fall in the DZ. 1st white vertical is Friday close and 2nd is January month end. Looking for NAZ to retest 18,655 should it get in and stay in the DZ. We will need to see some drops in the off session Overnight (never happens) and Not see the Friday-Monday Long play. Unless these breakdown look Long (as they are holding up the NAZ). Should these crack we could see some drop moves like 12/18 & 19th and provide the right shoulder to the H/S. BTD, FOMO, GoFed in 2025.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
6
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21309.00 - PR Low: 21211.25 - NZ Spread: 218.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate AMP raised margin requirements for pre-RTH jobs news - Additional expectation of high volatility due to Friday following a closed market holiday - Abnormally wide first hour range for session open - Daily print advertising potential rotation above 21400 - Holding auction below Wednesday's close, above the low Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 1/10) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 378.31 - Volume: 33K - Open Int: 239K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed flat due to the U.S. stock market holiday and early futures market closure. The MACD has fallen below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating continued selling pressure. Today's non-farm payroll data will be a key event, as it may determine whether the Nasdaq breaks below the 60-day moving average and continues its decline. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, indicating a persistent bearish trend. This suggests a possibility of further sharp declines, potentially expanding the divergence. Ahead of the data release, the pre-market is likely to remain range-bound. Focus on range-trading strategies but manage risks carefully as the non-farm payroll data approaches. Oil Oil closed higher, finding support near the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. After facing initial resistance around the $75 level, oil found support at the 240-day moving average, indicating a strong chance of another attempt to break above $75. Additionally, support near the 10-day moving average suggests the potential for another upward wave. On the 240-minute chart, a buying attempt is evident as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. The chart resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, where the neckline provides support, and the price may be attempting to form the right shoulder. Whether oil will surge beyond $75 remains uncertain, as the divergence in the MACD on the 240-minute chart and potential for time correction on the daily chart suggest caution. Avoid chasing prices at the highs; instead, confirm a breakout before taking action. Overall, buying on dips is the preferred strategy. Gold Yesterday, gold closed higher, continuing its upward trend on the daily chart. The MACD is approaching the zero line, and today's non-farm payroll data will determine whether gold moves above the zero line to resume a bullish trend or sharply reverses, resulting in a MACD dead cross and a bearish trend. On the 240-minute chart, the bullish momentum remains strong, but upcoming events such as today's data and next week's CPI report could create a turning point. Given the potential for trend changes, it’s better to react to established trends. While the short-term trend is strong, range-bound movement in the pre-market is possible, so trade accordingly. Buying on dips remains a favorable approach. As we approach the end of the trading week on Friday, heightened volatility is expected due to the non-farm payroll data. Manage risks carefully, and may you have a successful trading day! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21,190 / 21,120 / 21,065 / 20,990 / 20,945 -Sell Levels: 21,315 / 21,360 / 21,410 / 21,500 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 73.90 / 73.50 / 73.00 -Sell Levels: 74.80 / 75.20 / 75.60 / 76.40 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,685 / 2,681 / 2,676 / 2,670 / 2,665 / 2,661 -Sell Levels: 2,700 / 2,705 / 2,710 / 2,716 These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard