Nasdaq bearish we are not done in pain ...
More downside ahead.
We need to rebalance the markets and then 23000 / 24000 on NQ
NQ1! trade ideas
Nasdaq Swing Trade – Bullish Setup with Strong FundamentalA confluence of fundamental and technical factors supports a long position on Nasdaq. COT data, retail positioning, seasonality, GDP, SPMI, inflation, and interest rates all align with a bullish outlook. Technically, price is in a discounted zone relative to the monthly low’s anchored VWAP, presenting an optimal long entry within the overall bullish trend. My target levels are set based on risk-reward principles, aiming to capture trend continuation if momentum sustains.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20011.75
- PR Low: 19983.25
- NZ Spread: 63.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
Holding value in the weekend gap range at previous session close
- Daily rotation short out of the Keltner average cloud, 20400-600 range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/28)
- Session Open ATR: 421.56
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 233K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -11.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-03-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Many potential trend lines that market could respect tomorrow. We are in an expanding triangle, a broad bull channel and the big bear trend on the daily chart. No idea what we get tomorrow so I lean neutral around 20000.
current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 (above 20700 that thesis drops to a 50/50 chance)
key levels: 19600 - 20700
bull case: Bulls surprised me with the huge buying around 20000. Yesterdays selling was good enough to expect lower prices, so stopping at 20000 wasn’t what I hoped for. Bulls turned the market neutral and if they continue with higher highs above 20200, they could get a breakout to 20400 or 20500. My w2 target still remains 20700. Past 50 trading ranges range is 19600 - 20500 and 50% of it is 20060 and we are at 20004. Good enough. Market is in balance.
Invalidation is below 19600.
bear case: Bears printed consecutive bear bars on the 4h chart but they barely make new lows on them. We could see a strong move below 20000 but for now I would need a strong signal and follow-through before I join the bears below 20000. I also think most bears will give up above 20200 and wait for market to get closer to 300 or 400 again. Daily chart shows it the best. We just closed the gap from Monday and market is now free to do whatever.
short term: Neutral 20000. Bears are slightly favored to continue the bigger bear trend but as of now, selling around or below 20000 does not make sense.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks.
trade of the day: Tough day if you are not comfortable with trading ranges and it was absolutely not clear that we get a range-bound day. Bull reversal from the US open was likely the best trade since it was very strong without much uncertainty.
NQ: 161st trading session - recapA more indepth post about my session, my journaling has been pretty bad recently that's why I gotta pick it up again.
Also I found out how I can enjoy my sessions 10x more: coffee, I'm usually just tired cause of sports and school, this not only makes it more enjoyable but I'm also way more locked in. Coffee might actually be the secret revolutionary trading strategy everyones been looking for.
Long Position NQLong Position NQ
SL: Swing low
TP: FE 0.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
High Probability Long Position NQHigh Probability Long Position NQ
TP: FE 1.27
SL: Swing Low
Size based on your risk management strategy
High Probability Long Position NQHigh Probability Long Position NQ
SL: Swing Low
TP: FE 1.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
NQ: 160th trading session - recapYeee so I'm late again. I've been struggling with some things mentally but I took a break today (not even willingly but it did me well lmao) and I'm ready for tomorrow. Mind is clear, my strategy is more defined and I just need to become patient and confident again.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20531.50
- PR Low: 20504.00
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
09:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Cleared previous week high, raising value towards 20600
- Auctioning inside daily Keltner average cloud below previous session close
- Weekend gap remains unfilled
Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 3/25)
- Session Open ATR: 432.71
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 224K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -9.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-03-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Volume is garbage but we are moving higher. Likely more due to strong bears stepping aside rather then strong bulls buying. 20700 is the 50% and we will likely get there over the next 1-2 days. I do think bears have to prevent the bulls from getting a 4th consecutive daily bull bar or more bulls could join and more bears cover. My thesis is that we are in W2 and forming a bear channel, so I would greatly prefer it if market stays below 20700. 20900 would be the breakout retest and is the next logical target above.
current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 (above 20700 that thesis drops to a 50/50 chance)
key levels: 19600 - 20700
bull case: Bulls have a bull trend from Globex open yesterday and keeping the market above the 1h 20ema. Right now longs with stop 20360 are reasonable since we are making higher lows. 20700 is the obvious target and then the breakout-retest 20900. As long as bulls keep the lower bull trend line valid, they are good. The upper wedge line is likely to get broken, so I don’t think it’s bigger resistance. Market is doing his best to keep most traders out of this move up, since most of the gains are made in the pre- and after market (obviously not futures).
Invalidation is below 20360.
bear case: Bears don’t have much right now. The bear trend is obviously still alive and market is likely forming a bear channel but since we are going up in a very tight channel, bulls are in control on the lower time frames. Bears need to either print a strong rejection tomorrow before or after we hit 20700. I’d prefer before, then another leg up to the 50% and then another strong rejection down to 20000 but it’s a rough guess. First target for bears is a break below 20300 again and going sideways.
short term: Neutral 20500 and bullish only closer to the 1h 20ema. 20700 is my bull target and there I expect the battle for either continuation of the big bear trend or transition into a big trading range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks.
trade of the day: Buying 20300 early in EU session or any pullback close to the 1h 20ema. Market is so strong since open of the week that moving far below the 1h 20ema was very low probability.
3.25.25 Market UpdateTradovate is not working for me, so I cannot trade. Times like this shows how sometimes having different brokers is beneficial.
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The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
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Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Trading Mistake made before 9:30 openEntered a trade that I should have waited on, here it is. Transparent and shown in real time in this video with my personal opinions.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
NQ: 159th trading session - recapFORGOT TO POST THIS!!!!!!!!!!!
Man I gotta work on that, one losing trade, it's not that deep tho
Tuesday's NQ Trade idea 3.25.25 first trade of the day. SL was hit at $160 profit. We disrespected the bearish FVG level.
Let's see what happens next.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Short position NQShort position NQ high probability setup
SL: swing high
TP: FE 1.618
Size based on your risk management strategy
Short Position High Probability NQShort Position High Probability NQ
TP: FE 1.61
SL: Swing High
Size based on your risk management strategy
Price moving up through resistance - facing new resistancePrice climbed after the bullish headshup we had on Friday
Strong bullish signs: strong close with little selling at the top, Closing above horizontal resistance and previous daily high
Warning signs:
1)Still bellow major LT MAs
2)Volume is not picking up, decline from Friday and bellow 7 day avg.
Should be cautious with Longs at this point
Current action: No action
