CNH JPY Short Suggestion: Trade For Monday 9 Sept.24
This is the Daily chart for the Chinese Yuan & Japanese Yen. You can see following along the trend line how strong the Yuan was until a month or two ago - when it sharply sold off - 50 EMA diving under the 200 EMA creating a 'death-cross' which can signal a trend change. Even the last couple of Daily candles resumed this weakness down.
So, I see the Yuan falling some more and perhaps quite swiftly down to the levels and take-profit levels I have clearly marked.
One thing to be aware of is that the Yuan is heavily oversold at the moment & I see demand coming back into it very soon after this final 'flush-down' plays-out. Then we might trade it back up when I see enough demand coming back into it.
easy_explosive_trader
Chris
CNHJPY trade ideas
CNHJPY - Massive SHORT!! The pair that just keeps on giving ...... and giving, and then give some more.
Should one lack the inclination to deal with everyday FX volatility (or with the lack thereof) then this is the pair to be SHORT , in George Foreman style, ala; "Just set it and forget it!"
Simply put, China's absolute best hope (just a dream, really) to survive it's oncoming demographic (industrial, deurbanization, and ... ) collapse to somehow muddle through one of it's worst decade and a half well under way, to transition through total "Japanification". (This is only a hope, requiring lots and lots of luck to pull it off.)
This is undeniably China's best possible future scenario, all else being a far inferior outcome.
Consequently, as Japan is snapping out of it's 30 year slumber just as China "hopes" to achieve Japanification, this pair (provided any future convertibility of the Yuan) will mirror that process, obviously like no other.
E.g. SELL it (Short) for good! (through about 2035 and possibly beyond.)
Here is the Weekly;
SHORT it anywhere here!
p.s. The scenario outlined in the main (monthly) chart is only a near-term outlook (12-15 months out), severely understating the potential ultimate (Short) mileage in this pair.
CNHJPY - SHORT; This pair is ready to fall off a cliff!Considering China's (ongoing!!) predicament caused by an oncoming, abject, demographic (urban, industrial) collapse, the obvious consequence is a stand-alone Japan's as the region's only remaining super power" ... Making this Short a no-brainer, probably well over a decade and a half.
The Long Term Price Target on this pair is: 10! (I.e. a >50% Decline ...,
... provided that there will be still such a thing as a convertible (off-shore) Yuan, further down the road - which, in itself, is very unlikely!)
CNHJPY 30th APRIL 2022Based on the COT reports released today, focusing on CNH and JPY CME Contracts, it can be seen that bigboys interest accumulated 73.2% renminbi long contracts and 20.7% renminbi short contracts . As for the Yen , they still tend to short contracts 46.1% which is much more than long contracts which are only 6% . It can be concluded that the big boys sentiment for the CNHJPY pair still tends to be bullish .
Technically, we can see that in April 2022 there was a bullish flag which was followed by a bullish pennant . Possibly in early May trading there was also a similar pattern . The bullish flag pattern is clearly formed, however, the continuation bullish pennant pattern has not yet been formed and possibly will be formed .
CNHJPY - SHORT; Start SELLing it for good!Whom do you trust anyways, the Commie Chinese or "kamikaze Kuroda"??... When push comes to shove Ol' Kuroda is still the right bet. (And it's about to come to that, sooner rather than later.)
All "fundamentals" aside, this is one of the most lopsided carry trades out there. (If not The Most...) That alone is deserving a massive sell-off here, about the size of Montana.
Forex lovers❤️Hurray... wolves🔥
There is an ascending triangle on CNHJPY.
There was a strong bullish sentiment before.
Now it seems like possible breakout of resistance zone has been done.
Follow the chart and look for the best price to enter carefully.
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And always remember: "we don't predict, we react".
CHNJPY: A rising wedge is made.The price of CHNJPY has been unstable. If we do some statistical analysis on this price, the variance could be very high.
As we can see, there are some big candles, some of them even broke out from the Bollinger Bands.
Now, the price is forming a falling wedge. As we know, the rising wedge is a signal for bearish, so I would say that the price could go down after the wedge is completed.
From the MACD and RSI, we can see that the price is still in an upward trend, so the wedge hasn’t completed yet.
The Bollinger Bands shrunk a little bit, which means the price could break out anytime.
For this situation, I would wait for the rising wedge to complete and see if there is any signal for a breakout.
JPY/CNH: SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BROKE-OUT
Hello traders!
As you can see from the chart above, JPY/CNH just broke out! I think that the price will continue to go down for two reasons:
- MACD LINE crossed SIGNAL LINE -> STRONG BEARISH MOMENTUM (it’s getting stronger)
- RSI is not OVERSOLD yet so there is a good range for the price to continue its downhill
Go short until the TARGET (dotted line) and remember to put a stop loss in order to secure your capital!
Not a financial advice.
Enjoy your trade!
Trade War Positive Trade - CHNJPY #vfx #TradeWar #Ichimoku4Hr time-frame from technical perspective: Rising trend, price above the cloud, Tenkan above Kijun, Chikou is above the price, future cloud is green, Tenkan, Kijun and Chikou not in cloud or price.
I have been using this trade as a hedge on others in this trade war. Deal positive news or abatement in tariffs is positive for this trade. Also has the benefit of not being a direct USD pair when using as a hedge. Any good news for China is generally bad news for the Yen.
TP targets 16.68 17.47 18.25 FOREXCOM:CNHJPY