Cocoa Cash Contract forum
Louis Rain
CEO, Equaterra Research
Disclaimer:
The content shared here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸
🔓 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open!"
Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure!
⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp.
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL = Nearest 4H Swing Low
🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries.
🎯 Target:
11,300 or escape early if the pressure builds!

Here are the 3 scenarios we think we may see this week.
Scenario 1: Green Rollover Week (60% probability)
• Gap up at 1:45am open (up to $10,400)
• Potential short squeeze to $10,600–10,750 Tuesday
• A fade midweek (~$10,300) before final ramp to $11,000 by Friday
Scenario 2: Shakeout First, Then Ramp (30% probability)
• Open red or flat
• Flush to $9,700
• Then an aggressive bounce Tuesday through Wednesday as funds reenter
• Ends at ~$10,500 by Friday
Scenario 3: Rollover Trap (10% probability)
• Commercials fake rally, price caps at $10,250
• Reversal into $9,500 zone by Friday (unlikely unless macro shocks or ICCO surprise)
Day traders may care about non-commercial movements than traditional swing traders as they follow commercial activity to understand true systemic issues underlying in the supply chain. With that said, commercials likely are and have been absorbing near-term downside while specs de-risk for this week’s roll over.
Louis Rain
CEO, Equaterra Research
Disclaimer:
The content shared here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.