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Cocoa Futures

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COCOA COFFEE smaller ivory coast exports pushing cocoa prices up. a heavy amount short positions could get liquidated if we break 9k




COCOA short until 7,700, Gravestone showed on the daily chart



COCOA Wanted to come back on the 13th but got slammed with acting work. That said—last week’s war headlines and rollover pressure are still weighing on cocoa, holding it lower than expected. But this looks like it’s setting up for a reversal. Sentiment is heavily short right now, and history shows institutions love to snap price the other way when too many get caught leaning any 1 direction. Wouldn’t be surprised at all if we see an aggressive upside move soon.

Louis Rain
CEO, Equaterra Research

Disclaimer:
The content shared here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

COCOA We’ve cracked the code to the 🏉"COCOA"🏉 Commodities CFD market, and now it’s time to launch a high-stakes heist based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical + fundamental analysis🔥.

🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸

🔓 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open!"
Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure!
⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp.

🛑 Stop Loss:
SL = Nearest 4H Swing Low
🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries.

🎯 Target:
11,300 or escape early if the pressure builds!
Snapshot

COCOA
Here are the 3 scenarios we think we may see this week.

Scenario 1: Green Rollover Week (60% probability)
• Gap up at 1:45am open (up to $10,400)
• Potential short squeeze to $10,600–10,750 Tuesday
• A fade midweek (~$10,300) before final ramp to $11,000 by Friday

Scenario 2: Shakeout First, Then Ramp (30% probability)
• Open red or flat
• Flush to $9,700
• Then an aggressive bounce Tuesday through Wednesday as funds reenter
• Ends at ~$10,500 by Friday

Scenario 3: Rollover Trap (10% probability)
• Commercials fake rally, price caps at $10,250
• Reversal into $9,500 zone by Friday (unlikely unless macro shocks or ICCO surprise)

Day traders may care about non-commercial movements than traditional swing traders as they follow commercial activity to understand true systemic issues underlying in the supply chain. With that said, commercials likely are and have been absorbing near-term downside while specs de-risk for this week’s roll over.

Louis Rain
CEO, Equaterra Research

Disclaimer:
The content shared here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument.