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Gold Futures (Mar 2025)

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GCH2025 trade ideas

Gold at 100 Times its Price - A Psychological LevelGold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
2
/GC GC1! GOLD Futures (GCM2025) – An Analysis by WaverVanir DSSThis setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Weak High in Premium Zone: Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high. Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through. Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias: Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure. Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase. Volume Analysis: Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal. Imbalance zones remain unfilled. Target Zones: 📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080. 📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880. Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price. 📉 Probabilistic Forecast: 🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions. 🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350. 🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice): Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries. Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium. 📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias #GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT? First off, reminder that you will never find a low risk entry point at a low. You need upwards movement off a low to start creating the upwards velocity, to create the uptrend, which will lead to the faster, more sustained gains. The true party starts once the confirmed breakout occurs. -------------- Now, see the gold chart below where I showcase where the greatest gains, in the shortest amount of time occurred. The first run started in 2019 and had gold run up 50%, without any visible interruptions on the quarterly chart. The second run started in late 2023 had gold run over 60% (still running). A chart traders role is to identify the entry points which can lead to this. Notice the huge bases are found right before those. There are no huge bases right now. If you missed these entry points, then you missed them. While price can still trend upwards from here, anybody jumping onboard right now is still considered chasing (not entering at the most opportune time). -------------- In summary: Low risk entry points = lesser chances of getting stopped out + higher gains/time ratio It does not mean results are guaranteed, but they do offer the possibility of obtaining the results showcased here on the gold chart. So, maybe next time you will recognize these huge opportunities, as we have, and understand that they were the low risk entry points. Hope this helps you out!
COMEX:GC1!
by Badcharts
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
Gold Futures (GC) – May 28, 2025 Gold is currently trading within a clean range, and I’m keeping it simple: 🔴 I will only sell in the red supply zone, but only after seeing confirmed seller reaction and order flow backing the move. 🟢 I will only buy in the green demand zone, once buyers clearly show strength and the flow supports it. 📉 My target for any trade is always the opposite zone — if I sell in the red, I’ll target the green. If I buy in the green, I’m aiming for the red. All of this holds until aggressive order flow tells me new participants are stepping in and shifting the narrative. No trades in the middle. Discipline and confirmation first. #GoldFutures #GCAnalysis #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #SupplyAndDemand #FuturesTrading #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #TechnicalAnalysis
COMEX:GC1!
by prolivetrader
GoldenZoneFX: Where Data Meets Strategy, GOLD TP Hit!Precision trading isn't about luck—it's about strategy, discipline, and expert analysis. Today at GoldenZoneFX, we executed a data-driven approach that led to a successful GOLD TP hit, proving once again that informed trading beats speculation. What We Determined Today: Market structure analysis revealed a key order block, signaling a high-probability trade setup. Fibonacci retracement levels aligned perfectly with major liquidity zones. Volume confirmation reinforced momentum, validating our entry and exit strategy. Why This Matters: GoldenZoneFX thrives on delivering calculated, professional trading insights. Whether you're a seasoned investor or refining your strategy, understanding market behavior through data-driven methods is what sets top traders apart. Join the @GoldenZoneFX Movement Success isn’t accidental—it's engineered. Subscribe, follow, and stay ahead with real market insights that position you for precision trading.
COMEX:GC1!
by GoldenZoneFX
GC (XAU) 1H Supply Short IdeaThis is a solid short setup. The fundamentals are strong, retailers are on the other side of the trade, and seasonality is in our favor. It's also overvalued compared to some other assets. The main concern is the current sentiment-driven economic environment, where a single news headline can shift the entire market cycle. Additionally, there are a few supply zones above our entry level, which pose some risk. However, the nearest 4H supply zone has already absorbed a significant number of orders, which reduces its strength. This makes it reasonable to take the trade now rather than waiting for price to reach that zone.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AlexiosCorporation
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details). The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected. So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures). From here, there are two possible scenarios: 1) Blue Labels The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside. This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4. This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100. Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible. 2) White Labels Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves. In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins. If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by aibek
GOLD/USD TWO SIDE ANALASIS Market Structure Analysis: Higher Low (HL): The early structure highlights a formation of a higher low, suggesting a bullish intent during that phase. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear BOS is marked, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish market structure, confirming a potential trend reversal to the upside. --- Key Zones Identified: 1. Opening Gaps: Two notable opening gaps are marked, one from earlier in the chart and another closer to the current price action. These zones often act as magnets for price due to inefficiencies in the market. 2. Order Block: A bearish order block near the recent highs around 3,440 signifies institutional selling pressure. Price rejected strongly from this area, adding credibility to its significance. 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A FVG lies below the order block, denoting an imbalance where price may return to fill. This aligns with institutional trading concepts and often precedes a retracement. --- Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance Zone: Aligned with a recent swing high and gap, this area around 3,280–3,300 could cap upward moves unless broken with strong volume. Support Zone: Defined lower around 3,120–3,080, price bounced from here, indicating buyer interest and a potential accumulation area. --- Forecast Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: A projected bounce from the support zone with a potential move toward the resistance zone and eventual fill of the opening gap, targeting 3,280–3,300. This aligns with the retracement into inefficiencies and institutional areas of interest. 2. Bearish Case: A possible rejection from the resistance zone, leading to a breakdown and move toward the lower target near the support zone around 3,080 or even sub-3,000, marking a deeper correction or continuation of the bearish leg. --- Technical Insight: The chart showcases a textbook smart money concept analysis using structural pivots, order blocks, gaps, and supply-demand zones. This approach aligns with liquidity engineering, where price seeks to mitigate imbalances and fulfill institutional orders.
COMEX:GC1!
by Johnson67