Copper OutlookFirstly, historical trends on Copper price are extremely important to understand. As we can see from the chart, Copper has been in an ascending channel with an 8% trend angle since 1988. In March 2020, a well-developed bullish triangle ended a decade of corrective action. Corrective waves of the same degree are more closely related to each other than impulses are and this can clearly be observed here. In addition, both primary corrective waves (2 & 4) lasted for nearly a similar period, the 2nd correction with a flat ABC structure lasted for 12 years (1989-2001) while the 4th correction (2006-2010) nearly lasted14 years.
There are five waves in a major movement that can be identified. Completion of the fourth implies that the fifth impulsive wave is now underway and this simply gives an early signal that Copper prices could be pointing towards amazing highs. The intermediate count is a lower degree illustrating a possible completion of the second correction in a lower degree and this is always an amazing sight to see since the next wave (3) of 5, may be equal to, or 1.618 times the length of (1) in 5, cannot be the shortest wave and is usually steeper than the first wave.
As a result of the anticipated thrust, we may see an overthrow from the main ascending channel over the next few years, driving prices to $7.80/lb or at least $6.69/lb (1.618 Fib retracement level). A confirmation level is highlighted in chart at $4.88/lb.
Disclaimer: The information provided here is only for educational purposes and should NOT be taken as investment advice.
