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QO1! trade ideas

Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
COMEX:GC1!
by MarketIntel
1
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
Gold at 100 Times its Price - A Psychological LevelGold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
2
Gold Futures (GC) – May 28, 2025 Gold is currently trading within a clean range, and I’m keeping it simple: 🔴 I will only sell in the red supply zone, but only after seeing confirmed seller reaction and order flow backing the move. 🟢 I will only buy in the green demand zone, once buyers clearly show strength and the flow supports it. 📉 My target for any trade is always the opposite zone — if I sell in the red, I’ll target the green. If I buy in the green, I’m aiming for the red. All of this holds until aggressive order flow tells me new participants are stepping in and shifting the narrative. No trades in the middle. Discipline and confirmation first. #GoldFutures #GCAnalysis #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #SupplyAndDemand #FuturesTrading #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #TechnicalAnalysis
COMEX:GC1!
by prolivetrader
/GC GC1! GOLD Futures (GCM2025) – An Analysis by WaverVanir DSSThis setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Weak High in Premium Zone: Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high. Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through. Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias: Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure. Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase. Volume Analysis: Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal. Imbalance zones remain unfilled. Target Zones: 📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080. 📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880. Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price. 📉 Probabilistic Forecast: 🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions. 🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350. 🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice): Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries. Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium. 📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias #GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
2025.05.28 gold analysis This is the daily chart analysis for gold. After an upward move, a broadening descending pattern is forming on the daily chart. For the past four days, price has been supported by the 20-day moving average, with rebounds and pullbacks occurring repeatedly in similar zones. However, with the May 27th candle closing as a bearish candle, it’s wise to approach the market with the possibility of a 20MA retest and potential breakdown in mind. If the 20MA breaks, there's a high probability price will decline to clear the left-hand blue demand zone. At that point, the Ichimoku Cloud support may turn into resistance. Looking at the 2-hour chart, we can see a bounce from the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud. The key turning point for gold seems to be a break below the cloud. Currently, the important level to watch is around 3286. If the cloud breaks and the low at 3277.8 is breached, the price could fall to the low 3200s or even down to the 3100s. From a bullish perspective, a break above the descending resistance trendline and 3366.5 would be needed to shift the view to bullish. If that trendline is broken, it would signal a breakout from the descending broadening pattern, and a move up to around the 3500 level — where the pattern initially started — could be targeted. Conclusion For now, a bearish approach seems appropriate. A breakdown of the daily 20MA could lead to a sharp drop, and its timing is uncertain. A bullish setup is still premature. It’s better to wait for the descending broadening pattern to be invalidated before considering a long position. The pattern still favors the downside.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Greedy_allday
What does the coming month implying?These are the questions that we should ponder: 1. Where are we coming off of? A Premium or Discount price? 2. Where is price likely to go? 3. Does the market have a reason to: - Seek liquidity above or below the marketplace? - Seek to mitigate inefficiencies? 4. How did Previous Month Candle close? 5. Do we have bullish or bearish Order Flow? 6. Does the correlated asset (ie. Silver) shows a crack or a change in the state of delivery? 7. Does the Fundamental support the Technical? Note: The shiny metal is an event driven asset. I'm taking my time to study the Higher Time Frame chart to see the bigger picture, and keeping up-to-date with the current world event.
COMEX:GC1!
by Martingale_FX
GC (XAU) 1H Supply Short IdeaThis is a solid short setup. The fundamentals are strong, retailers are on the other side of the trade, and seasonality is in our favor. It's also overvalued compared to some other assets. The main concern is the current sentiment-driven economic environment, where a single news headline can shift the entire market cycle. Additionally, there are a few supply zones above our entry level, which pose some risk. However, the nearest 4H supply zone has already absorbed a significant number of orders, which reduces its strength. This makes it reasonable to take the trade now rather than waiting for price to reach that zone.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AlexiosCorporation
WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT? First off, reminder that you will never find a low risk entry point at a low. You need upwards movement off a low to start creating the upwards velocity, to create the uptrend, which will lead to the faster, more sustained gains. The true party starts once the confirmed breakout occurs. -------------- Now, see the gold chart below where I showcase where the greatest gains, in the shortest amount of time occurred. The first run started in 2019 and had gold run up 50%, without any visible interruptions on the quarterly chart. The second run started in late 2023 had gold run over 60% (still running). A chart traders role is to identify the entry points which can lead to this. Notice the huge bases are found right before those. There are no huge bases right now. If you missed these entry points, then you missed them. While price can still trend upwards from here, anybody jumping onboard right now is still considered chasing (not entering at the most opportune time). -------------- In summary: Low risk entry points = lesser chances of getting stopped out + higher gains/time ratio It does not mean results are guaranteed, but they do offer the possibility of obtaining the results showcased here on the gold chart. So, maybe next time you will recognize these huge opportunities, as we have, and understand that they were the low risk entry points. Hope this helps you out!
COMEX:GC1!
by Badcharts