Waiting for Price to Hit the Green Zone for Long in GCAt the moment, I’m patiently waiting for price to pull into the green zone below. If price hits this area, I will look for a high-probability long trade, targeting the upper red zone for a very extended move.
However, my stop-loss will remain very tight — placed just below the green zone — because I will only stay in the trade if buyers react strongly from this level.
If price instead reaches the red zone first, I will be looking for a short opportunity back down toward the green zone.
Important: I do not simply enter based on zones alone — I study how buyers and sellers behave when those zones are touched. I also use order flow to catch any trapped traders or aggressive buyers/sellers inside these areas, which gives me confirmation to take the trade or stay out if the move is weak.
Patience is key here — I am not in a rush. I want a clean entry with strong confirmation, then I will let the market do the work! ✅
QO1! trade ideas
Gold Sliver Spread is Pointing Downward - Silver to TrendGold-silver ratio dropped from 107 to current 91. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend?
If you take the gold prices on 'Liberation Day' on 2nd April 2025 - Gold at $3,509 divided by Silver at $35 = 100.25
Today, the gold prices at 3,400 divided by the silver prices at 37.36, you will get the ratio as 91.
Based on this historical development over the last 50 years, gold silver spread has range bound within this range of 40 and 100, and likely it should remain this way.
Studies shown it has just reached 100, forming a potential inverted hammer, and could be on the way down to its lower band. Either the 65 band or 40 band.
If that were to happen, this also means the Silver’s trend is likely to pick-up faster than gold did.
On 05 April 2024 a video analysis I have published, title “Silver is Next to Rally After Gold”, then I presented on its fundamental and its technical reasons.
By the way the cup & handle formation, it is taking a very good shape today.
On that analysis, I suggested in time to come, when Silver to catch-up with gold, it will be fast and furious. And I believe the time is near as the ratio now dip to around 91, and it seems more room for more downside.
This means with so many uncertainties and fear of inflation coming back again, Gold may still trend higher, but this time the rate-of-change for the silver to move higher is faster than that of gold. If the ratio continue to decline, we should see a much firmer silver prices from the current.
Historically, gold and silver have been used as money, and even today, if you take any grams or an ounce of gold or silver to banks with bullion departments, you can exchange it for cash.
As the world searches for the next reserve currency, precious metals have become a safe haven. That’s why gold has been trending upward over the years, especially when inflation hit a high of 9% in 2022. When gold becomes too pricey, investors often look for alternatives like silver. This also explains why, during most financial crises, the gold-silver ratio dips, indicating that silver is catching up with gold.
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
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when price consolidates, its just setting upLooking for a bigger moving going into mid week. Tues spent the entire day consolidating. Now im thinking we getting ready for a bigger move. Just trying to be patient and wait for it. Price should give us some kinda sign on what it would like to do as we coming into the Asian Killzone.
New Week! New Opportunities on GOLD! With the recent activity in the middle east expecting prices to continue bullish. I was looking for this move last week but it seems the holiday delayed the process. If we can get a full breakout above the previous daily High level that will be confidence that we are moving bullish for the rest of the week.
What is Gold Silver Spread?What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction.
Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend?
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
GOLD/USD Green box projection shows expected bullish 1. Initial Zone (Supply Zone)
Marked as the first point of interest where price showed a significant reaction.
Likely a zone of institutional activity or previous order block.
Price rejected this area earlier, indicating strong selling interest.
2. Descending Channel (Flag Pattern)
A clear bear flag or corrective descending channel pattern is drawn.
Shows price pulling back towards a premium zone after a prior drop.
Suggests potential continuation of bearish momentum after this pullback.
3. FVG & Liquidity Zone (Fair Value Gap)
Highlighted FVG (Fair Value Gap) and zone of buy-side liquidity—potential draw for institutional traders.
Price seems to be filling inefficiencies, a common behavior before major moves.
4. Resistance & Support Zones
Horizontal resistance marked at the top where previous rejection occurred.
Strong support below, marked with a green demand zone (likely for potential long setups if price taps into it).
5. Expected Move (Forecast Box)
Green box projection shows expected bullish reaction from demand zone.
Price is anticipated to dip into this zone, form a low, and then potentially reverse upwards (liquidity sweep and mitigation).
6. Volume Profile
Shows high activity and value areas to the left, confirming areas of interest.
Price reacting around high-volume nodes and gaps, suggesting smart money involvement.
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📉 Bias & Outlook:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish until price reaches the green demand zone (lower box).
Medium-Term Bias: Bullish bounce expected after liquidity grab from demand zone.
Invalidation: If price breaks below the demand zone without a bullish reaction.
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🧩 Conclusion:
This setup reflects a Smart Money Concept-based liquidity play, where price is correcting in a channel and aiming to tap a high-probability demand zone. Watch for confirmation of entry near the green box, potentially after a liquidity sweep or bullish engulfing, for high-RR trades.
GOLD- WATCHING IT CLOSELY.🔍 Chart Analysis
🏗️ Structure & Patterns
A perfect Cup & Handle formation is visible.
Price has broken out above the neckline (~₹98,000) but is currently in a pullback phase, forming the handle.
A falling wedge breakout is also seen prior to the breakout — a bullish continuation pattern.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement
0.382 level at ₹96,132
0.5 level at ₹95,132
These retracement levels align well with the handle zone and offer potential re-entry/buy levels.
🛡️ Key Support Levels
Level Description
₹98,000 Former resistance, now short-term support
₹96,132 38.2% Fib retracement
₹95,132 50% Fib retracement (also demand zone)
₹94,200 Major support
🔵 Note: Breakdown below ₹95,132 is bearish confirmation.
📊 RSI Analysis
RSI = 54.59, cooling off from overbought levels.
RSI has crossed below the RSI-based moving average (63.43), indicating temporary loss of momentum.
📈 Projected Path
The handle curve suggests a possible rebound after this pullback, targeting previous high ~₹99,358, and possibly ₹101,317 (height of cup projected upward).
✅ Summary
Category Observation
Pattern Bullish Cup & Handle with falling wedge breakout
Trend Bullish above ₹95,132; Weak only if closes below
Key Levels Support: ₹98,000 / ₹96,132 / ₹95,132 / ₹94,200
Resistance: ₹99,358 / ₹101,317
RSI Cooling down; not overbought; healthy retracement
Bias Bullish with pullback in progress; re-entry near ₹96k–95.1k zone
🧠 Final Thoughts
Pullbacks are healthy in bullish setups like this — watch for reversal signs near ₹96,132 or ₹95,132.
A daily close above ₹99,358 can trigger Cup & Handle target breakout toward ₹101,300+.
Maintain bullish bias unless ₹94,200 is breached.
Gold Slides as Markets Downplay the Fallout of ME EscalationGold prices are trending lower today after a slight positive open, struggling to hold near $3,365 per ounce, hovering just above the lowest level in over ten days.
This weak performance comes as markets continue to downplay the consequences of the unprecedented U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Previously, experts had viewed a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites as the line between a limited bilateral conflict with Israel and a full-blown regional war with global economic costs. Fears centered around a potential Iranian—or proxy—attack on the region’s vital oil and gas infrastructure, which supplies over a fifth of global energy needs.
However, those fears have yet to materialize, offering markets some reassurance that the escalation will not trigger a major shock that could reignite concerns over global economic stability. This narrative of containment has stripped gold of the geopolitical risk premium it previously enjoyed.
According to the New York Times , some experts believe Iran is unlikely to disrupt energy flows in the region as long as its own export facilities remain intact. In another word, any Iranian attempt to destabilize energy markets may invite retaliatory strikes on its own vital oil infrastructure—further damaging its already fragile economy. Axios quoted Brookings Institution foreign policy director Suzanne Maloney describing Iran’s parliamentary call to shut the Strait of Hormuz as symbolic, arguing that the Islamic Republic is unlikely to risk its economy or the rapprochements with Gulf neighbors.
That said, the Middle East’s unpredictable trajectory, with near-daily escalations, continues to unsettle markets and sustain elevated risk appetite, which could ultimately benefit gold.
In a New York Times opinion piece , Nicholas Kristof outlined three key risks that could stem from the U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities: the nature of Iran’s response, whether the strike set back or accelerated Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and whether this is a step toward a broader war.
Iran’s response could range from symbolic gestures to reckless escalation, potentially dragging the U.S. deeper into direct involvement.
According to the Wall Street Journal , Tehran may choose to strike at evacuated U.S. bases in the region, as it did in response to the 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani, when Iran targeted the Ain al-Asad base in Iraq in what was described as a calculated, non-escalatory response. Alternatively, Iran could intensify missile strikes on Israel—viewed by some as Washington’s largest forward base—thus keeping the conflict somewhat localized for now.
Still, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may ultimately reject a ceasefire, unlike what his predecessor Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did in the late 1980s to preserve the Islamic Republic. This keeps the door open to new and unpredictable rounds of conflict, according to The Times .
On the nuclear front, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius warned in an opinion piece that Iran could pursue a crude radioactive “dirty bomb” using highly enriched near weapons-grade enriched uranium. Such a scenario would also be dangerously uncertain. In my opinion, it is unlikely that the U.S. or Israel would simply stand down after such a development, possibly setting the stage for the most extreme and dangerous escalation yet.
This could align with the protracted duration of the war and reports that Israel’s defensive missile stockpiles are running low, which raising the stakes. Israel may feel compelled to force Iran into surrender, as the U.S. did with Japan, though unlike Japan, Iran could be a nuclear state. Given Prime Minister Netanyahu’s political stance, a settlement that leaves Iran’s nuclear or ballistic program intact is unlikely to be accepted. Iran, for its part, firmly rejects dismantling its programs, adding to the likelihood of prolonged conflict and worst-case scenario.
Despite the market’s muted reaction to the U.S. strike, the surrounding risks remain significant and unresolved. As long as their realization remains uncertain, volatility in gold and oil prices may persist until the conflict is either resolved or definitively contained.
Samer Hasn
Holiday yesterday so no play! can we get it today?As we get ready to close out the week we are looking for the reversal to play out. We have been in a casual consolidation all week. Just looking for price to step outside of value one more time so that we can get a entry for it to continue pushing bullish.
Gold May Continue to Frustrate TradersGold prices have stalled once again and have struggled to make any significant advances since mid-April, remaining stuck in a range between $3,150 and $3,450. This trading range has resulted in sideways price action, with several false starts along the way. However, technical analysis suggests that this range is likely to remain in place.
After breaking above a downtrend in late May — a move that initially appeared convincing, with prices surging to $3,400 — gold has since declined, falling back to $3,300. As of 10 June, it is now retesting that trendline and bouncing at $3,300. This price also represents the 38.2% retracement of the rally from the 15 May intraday low of $3,120 to the 5 June intraday high of $3,400. The combination of the trendline and the Fibonacci retracement level is currently acting as support.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken above a downtrend, indicating a potential shift in momentum. At the time, all of this suggested that gold was likely to retest its previous highs.
However, a new problem has emerged — one that is not particularly favourable for further gains in gold. As of 6 June, the price has fallen below a short-term uptrend and has also stalled at resistance around $3,320.
In addition, the Relative Strength Index has now broken below its own short-term uptrend and is nearing the 50 level — a potentially bearish signal. If these developments are signs that all is not well, then gold could be expected to revisit its early May lows, around $3,100.
As things stand, there are two viable paths for gold, and it is far from easy to determine which one is the correct one. Unfortunately, both scenarios suggest that gold is likely to remain range-bound for some time yet.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
GC - Gold digging for a possible ShortAfter reaching WL2, we saw a sharp pullback followed by an immediate double top. Price failed to reach the centerline of the yellow fork, instead stalling at the 1/4 line.
Then came the break of the lower median line (L-MLH), a pullback to the white WL1—then the drop began.
If this market can’t push to new highs, we’ll likely fall back into the median line set. A pullback to the upper median line (U-MLH), as indicated by the red arrows, is a probable scenario.
Next stop: the white centerline.
I trade tiny. I trade with extremely high risk-reward setups. I’m fine getting stopped out all the time —because I’m hunting huge moves.
I don’t chase. No FOMO.
It’s how I sleep well, make money from trading and keep my stress level very low.
FUTURES GOLD i LIKE THIS POTENTIAL SETUP. WE are at an area of supply. Price is consolidating. I would like to see price break below that support giving us the notion that price will only correct and sell back to those previous areas of support and I have marked out the tp targets as those areas we might see some strong rejection as price is still very bullish
Gold looks like it might be heading Higher6 12 25 this is a long video hopefully it does not fail to upload. I mentioned a number of markets in this includes some advice to one of my students ( there is only one student right now) and that's perfectly fine for me.... but I wanted her to see a couple of markets that she might not be looking at but her worth looking at if she wants to trade more markets. I did not include agricultural stuff which could be a good choice, but I just don't spend time with it.
$MGC(Gold) EW Recount. Two Possible scenarios!!! - June 11, 2025Hello fellow gamblers,
As you can see in the title, I had to do a recount of my EW analysis for gold since we did fail to break below support towards our Wave C target.
This video is a bit long because i bring 2 different scenarios that could be playing out at this time.
I hope you enjoy!
- Watching for price action behavior near the down trendline and watching for the FVG gap to hold support.
- Levels to watch: 3418.2, 3398, 3360.4, 3324