QO1! trade ideas
Lows Swept! Now we should get Bullish action on Gold!Waited for price to sweep lows before looking for areas to buy. We got that sweep and its now the end of the week. We have been bearish all week. I'm not sure if it will go full on bullish cause we are in a new month and its Friday. They might just move sideways and wait for next week to push. We will take what we can get.
Gold Tesla4.28.25 In this video I talk about gold and Tesla. at the end of the video I suggested that there are times when the market isn't doing quite what your rules are but you have a feeling that the market is going to move in your favor... and in your opinion it's worth the risk even though you would not entirely be following your rules. the simple response would be that you're not following your roles at your decision is impulsive and that you shouldn't take that trade... but you believe that even if your trade breaks your rules you believe there's something in the pattern that tells you it's worth the risk you're willing to take. I'll tell you right now I did not upload this video until that bar completed... and I would have been stopped out of that trade because I would have gone short and the market went higher for a bit... but I realized something that I know about and I want to talk about that on a future video. to be clear I think the market is still going to go lower even though it would have taken out my short trade.... I'll talk about this tomorrow or the next day.... and by that time we'll see if the market really did go lower.
Gold Is Doing What Ever Gold Wants To DoPreviously I posted a reading where I said gold was to go a bit down before is went up. But Gold didn't go down, and went straight up.
But it did go up right :D
Right now I strongly believe gold is in a wxy correction.
And I think will finish the y-wave i the green box area somewhere between 3,147 and 3,077, which is the 100-123% fib-level of the w-wave.
The reason I believe this, is at that timewise the y-wave will here have taken as long as the w-wave, and I the price is heading for that cyan median line. And normally price will also go to the bottom and a bit below of the Kennedy line.
Multiple factors are pointing to that level.
When price hits that level, I believe we will see a 5th level to the upside where 4,000 definitely is in play.
I will include a link to a higher degree reading, where you can see I believe gold has finished a third wave, so we still need a 5th wave to the upside.
Gold Futures Wyckoff Re-accumulation and Lunar Day SynergyWe’re observing a textbook Wyckoff Reaccumulation unfolding on Gold Futures (4H), with somewhat clean volume behavior and alignment with recent lunar cycle activity — pointing toward a potential Wyckoff Phase D launch.
Wyckoff Breakdown:
1. Buying Climax established the range.
2. Automatic Reaction and Secondary Test defined support and resistance.
3. A Shakeout/Spring briefly broke support, absorbed supply, and reversed.
4. Spring Test held structure (though not on noticeably lower volume).
5. A clear Jump Over the Creek followed — strong demand emerging.
6. LPS (Last Point of Support) formed during a choppy pullback on Lunar Days 12–13, staying above demand and within structure.
We’re now in a pivotal moment — price is poised for continuation if buyers defend the LPS zone.
🌙 Lunar Days 12–13 (May 7–10)
-Typically a time of building energy + internal tension.
-Retests of breakout zones.
-Erratic, tricky pullbacks that challenge emotional conviction.
-The illusion of market weakness despite underlying strength.
📌 Gold pulled back during these days, testing the jump zone with indecision — but structure held. The LPS formed under cosmic pressure, showing resilience.
🌕 Lunar Day 15 – Full Moon (May 11–12)
-The culmination point — emotionally and energetically.
-Expect large candles, climax volume, or even fakeouts.
-Common reversal signals: parabolic spikes, gap reverals, wicks.
-Ends a trend — or confirms a Wyckoff phase transition.
📌 In our context, the Full Moon lines up with price stabilizing above LPS. Supply appears to be drying up. We could now be entering Phase E, or an aggressive Phase D continuation with a possible markup leg.
🌓 Lunar Day 16 – Integration & Clarity (May 12–13)
A time for reflection, balance, and trend confirmation.
If Day 15 broke upward on strong volume, today might:
-Consolidate healthily
-Retest support (LPS)
-Hold gains for next leg up
If no follow-through on Day 15:
-Expect a calmer retest — offering a second chance for buyers to step in without emotional overreaction.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
LPS support zone — needs to hold for bullish continuation.
Volume confirmation — essential for validating Phase D → E transition.
Reaction to Full Moon volatility — will reveal true intent.
Gold’s Showdown: Bulls vs. Bears at the Make or Break Level🚀 Gold on the Edge: Breakout or Fakeout?
Alright, gather around, folks. Gold’s approaching that ⚔️ Make or Break Level, and this is where things get spicy. It’s like watching two fighters square up—you know something big is about to happen.
💡 Why This Level Matters
We’re at the spot where bulls and bears are throwing shade and maybe a few punches. This level isn’t just another line on the chart; it’s the VIP zone where momentum either takes off or taps out.
Right now, we’re leaning bullish—especially if Gold punches through and holds above this zone. We’re looking for a breakout that could take us toward 3,380, maybe even 3,420 if the party keeps going.
But… if the bears win this round and push back, we’re eyeing 3,288 as a second chance for buyers. Think of it as a rebound opportunity—if Gold stabilizes there, it could still be game on for the bulls.
📝 Our Playbook:
Breakout confirmed? Ride the momentum.
Fakeout rejection? Watch for buys at 3,288—a possible second chance for the bulls.
Stay sharp and react—no hero moves. We’re letting the price action decide.
Your thoughts? Bullish or bearish on Gold at this level? 🐂🐻
Bearish Gold SetupGold has been a terrible short for awhile now but from a technical perspective this has to be one of the best setups you can get. Multiple divergences from well know momentum indicators, a variation of the evening star candlestick reversal pattern, and fresh off all time highs. From a pattern perspective it is forming an ascending triangle and it also has Trendline support as well. A break below this triangle would suggest a price target of 2850-3000 depending on what school of thought you align with on triangles.
Gold: Will 3,260 Flip From Supply to Springboard?Micro Gold Futures — 30 min chart
BULLISH ABOVE 3,260 | BEARISH BELOW
🗺️ Structure in Focus
Macro bias (4 h/1 D): remains bearish — lower highs & lows since late‑April.
Intraday context: price climbing in a rising channel; buyers defend each channel low since 1 May.
Grey zone 3 255‑3 260:
• 61 %‑78 % Fib retrace of the last leg down
• Breakdown base now acting as supply
• Mid‑channel + intraday VWAP overhead
A decisive H1 close above 3 260 plus a bullish retest flips the bias long toward ≈ 3 280.
🧭 Trade Map
🔴 Base‑case short
• Trigger – bearish reaction inside / below 3 255‑60
• Targets – 3 230, then 3 210 (-27 % Fib extension)
• Invalidation – H1/H4 close > 3 260
🟢 Flip‑bull plan
• Trigger – H1 close above 3 260 and zone holds as support
• Target – 3 280 supply (channel top + prior S/R)
• Invalidation – H1 close back under 3 250
(Risk ≤ 1 % per idea; scale out at interim levels.)
📊 Narrative to Watch
Fed speakers & US data could jolt real yields and gold flow.
Asia session often sets the tone—watch Shanghai physical premium chatter.
Softening DXY gives the upside‑break thesis a tail‑wind.
What’s your play—fade the zone or ride the breakout? Smash the boost 🔥 and follow for live updates!
Not financial advice; just sharing my plan.
Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #Futures #PriceAction #Fib #TechnicalAnalysis
GOLDM ANALYSISTechnical view on Goldm(mcx).
Disclaimer: This does not construe to be an investment advice. Investments/trading are subject to market risks.
All information is a point of view, and is for educational and informational use only.
The author accepts no liability for
any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being
used for actual investments.